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Alvin Kamara - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Alvin Kamara
NO

RB NO

#5 Running Back

242 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 214
40 Time: 4.56

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

High Floor

12.1

DS Projection

14.9

Consensus

38 other sites
17

Low Ceiling

18.8

Rest of
Season

14.9

Week 7 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
81 0.6 3.3 25.8 0.1 14.9
Weekly Writeup
Kamara’s handled 24+ opportunities in all but 1 game this season.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
72 0.6 3.5 29 0.2 14.9
Week 4
Kamara rushed for 120 yards on 26 carries in the Week 4 loss to the Giants, but he was held catchless for the first time this year. It was actually the first game in more than 2 years where he didn’t even get a target. His 4.6 yards per carry served as his highest average in a game this year.

Kamara’s value continues to not be as dominant without Drew Brees calling plays. The touches remain, though they lean much more heavily to the rushing side. Sunday marked Kamara’s 3rd game already with 20+ attempts. He should continue to be the bell cow in the Saints offense with a matchup against Washington on the docket this weekend.
Week 3
Through Week 3, Kamara sits as the RB12 averaging 13.6 PPG in half-PPR. This is clearly a big drop off from his 2020 RB1 overall campaign where he averaged 22.4 PPG. The good news for Kamara owners is he is clearly a workhorse, seeing 24 of 26 rush attempts in Week 3. This usage on the ground will keep Kamara as a RB1 moving forward. What is clearly holding back Kamara from being elite is his pass game usage. In Week 3, Kamara only saw 4 targets. That marks the second time in 2021 he had 4 or fewer targets in a game. Kamara only had 4 or fewer targets in 4 games total in 2020.
This week the Saints take on a Giants D that’s allowed a RB to score double digit fantasy points in 3 straight games. Kamara is a must start as he has one of the best ground game matchups on the week.
Week 1
Kamara was the clear focal point of this offense, getting 16 touches in the first half. Kamara did find the end zone on 1 of his receptions, leading to a strong RB10 finish on the week. If we are to knit pick Kamara’s performance, it would be that he only generated 8 yards on 3 receptions for the game. This could be something to monitor as Kamara averaged 9.4 yards per reception with Brees vs. 5.1 without in 2020.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • After missing 2 games in 2019 (ankle, back, knee), Kamara missed only 1 last fall. He sat out Week 17 on the COVID-19 list.
  • Kamara missed part of training camp while his agent negotiated a new contract. That contract materialized in early September to the tune of 5 years, $75 million.
  • The 26-year-old led all RBs in PPR points per game (25.2). He ranked 1st in total TDs (21), 1st in catches (83) and 1st in receiving yards (756).
  • He’s now caught between 81 and 83 catches in all 4 pro seasons. He’s averaged nearly 103 targets per season.
  • The TDs stemmed from a boost in goal line opportunities. Kamara’s 28 attempts inside the 10 yard-line topped his 2019 tally by 14.
  • Kamara showed no signs of slowing down. His 4.9 yards per carry and 9.1 yards per catch were the 2nd best marks of his career. He ran behind a top-10 run blocking O-line.
  • His 65.0 Elusive Rating from Pro Football Focus ranked 14th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
  • Latavius Murray remained a “1B” ball-carrier. He saw 9.7 carries per game to 12.4 for Kamara but totaled only 23 catches.
  • He wasn’t much of a goal line vulture with only 12 carries inside the 10. Taysom Hill was the bigger threat there with 18 such attempts.
  • 2021 will mark Kamara’s first season without Drew Brees. In 4 starts with Taysom Hill last year, Kamara totaled 50 carries for 237 yards (4.7 YPC) and 3 TDs, plus 10 catches and 51 yards. He handled a 14% target share in those 4; 21% on the season.
  • Hill, though, will battle 2nd-year Saint Jameis Winston for the starting gig. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport has called Winston the early favorite. Consider that a plus for Kamara.
  • Murray and all 5 O-line starters return for 2021. The Saints’ lack of pass catching depth behind Michael Thomas only furthers Kamara’s touch safety.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

You can say that Drew Brees’ conservative game benefited Kamara in recent seasons. His loss brings some questions to Kamara’s 2021 upside, but not enough to keep him out of the top-5 mix.

Still young — 26 — he remains locked into high target volume. He’s also proven durable with only 2 career missed games due to injury.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Saints RB Alvin Kamara said during his Thursday press conference that both QB Jameis Winston and QB Taysom Hill have been trying to build chemistry with him. That's good to hear as we move from Drew Brees -- a particular friend to the short pass in recent years -- to a new starter. Whether that's Winston or Hill, though, we should expect plenty of targets for Kamara -- especially while lead WR Michael Thomas is out. We're feeling better about Kamara in the middle of Round 1 than we did before Thomas' injury revelation.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

Saints RB Alvin Kamara and WR Michael Thomas are officially active for today's game against the Bears. Both were expected to be ready, but it's nice to get confirmation.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

Nick Underhill of NewOrleans.Football reports that the Saints have returned RB Alvin Kamara to the active roster. That indicates he's all set to face the Bears on Sunday. We'll watch for any reports to the contrary, but Kamara should be ready for fantasy use. We'll also see just how he splits work with Latavius Murray after being out the past week-and-a-half following a positive COVID test.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero confirms that Saints RB Alvin Kamara (COVID) has a chance to play in Sunday's Wild Card game vs. the Bears. Kamara would not have been eligible to be cleared for that game had it been scheduled for Saturday. Sunday, though, will mark the requisite 10 days since he tested positive for COVID. Kamara still needs to test negative, remain asymptomatic and get full medical clearance in order to play. RB Latavius Murray is eligible to return to the team mid-week after landing on the COVID list as a close contact of Kamara.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

The Saints have placed RB Alvin Kamara on the COVID list after a confirmed positive test. That not only knocks him out for Sunday's game against the Panthers. It almost certainly means he'd miss a Wild Card-round playoff game as well, if New Orleans doesn't reach the top seed in the NFC this weekend. Latavius Murray becomes a strong play for Sunday against Carolina. We'll see about the opening of the playoffs and Kamara's outlook for playoff-long leagues as we head into next week.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

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