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Alvin Kamara - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Alvin Kamara
NO

RB NO

#7 Running Back

242 Projected Points

ADP: 1.4
Bye: 6
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 214
40 Time: 4.56

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Running Back

242 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
1.4 203 976 9 2 1 79 672 4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

213

DS Projection

242

Consensus

38 other sites
206.7

Med Ceiling

297.7

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-After missing 2 games in 2019 (ankle, back, knee), Kamara missed only 1 last fall. He sat out Week 17 on the COVID-19 list.

-Kamara missed part of training camp while his agent negotiated a new contract. That contract materialized in early September to the tune of 5 years, $75 million.

-The 26-year-old led all RBs in PPR points per game (25.2). He ranked 1st in total TDs (21), 1st in catches (83) and 1st in receiving yards (756).

-He’s now caught between 81 and 83 catches in all 4 pro seasons. He’s averaged nearly 103 targets per season.

-The TDs stemmed from a boost in goal line opportunities. Kamara’s 28 attempts inside the 10 yard-line topped his 2019 tally by 14.

-Kamara showed no signs of slowing down. His 4.9 yards per carry and 9.1 yards per catch were the 2nd best marks of his career. He ran behind a top-10 run blocking O-line.

-His 65.0 Elusive Rating from Pro Football Focus ranked 14th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.

-Latavius Murray remained a “1B” ball-carrier. He saw 9.7 carries per game to 12.4 for Kamara but totaled only 23 catches.

-He wasn’t much of a goal line vulture with only 12 carries inside the 10. Taysom Hill was the bigger threat there with 18 such attempts.

-2021 will mark Kamara’s first season without Drew Brees. In 4 starts with Taysom Hill last year, Kamara totaled 50 carries for 237 yards (4.7 YPC) and 3 TDs, plus 10 catches and 51 yards. He handled a 14% target share in those 4; 21% on the season.

-Hill, though, will battle 2nd-year Saint Jameis Winston for the starting gig. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport has called Winston the early favorite. Consider that a plus for Kamara.

-Murray and all 5 O-line starters return for 2021. The Saints’ lack of pass catching depth behind Michael Thomas only furthers Kamara’s touch safety.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

You can say that Drew Brees’ conservative game benefited Kamara in recent seasons. His loss brings some questions to Kamara’s 2021 upside, but not enough to keep him out of the top-5 mix.

Still young — 26 — he remains locked into high target volume. He’s also proven durable with only 2 career missed games due to injury.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Saints RB Alvin Kamara and WR Michael Thomas are officially active for today's game against the Bears. Both were expected to be ready, but it's nice to get confirmation.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

Nick Underhill of NewOrleans.Football reports that the Saints have returned RB Alvin Kamara to the active roster. That indicates he's all set to face the Bears on Sunday. We'll watch for any reports to the contrary, but Kamara should be ready for fantasy use. We'll also see just how he splits work with Latavius Murray after being out the past week-and-a-half following a positive COVID test.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero confirms that Saints RB Alvin Kamara (COVID) has a chance to play in Sunday's Wild Card game vs. the Bears. Kamara would not have been eligible to be cleared for that game had it been scheduled for Saturday. Sunday, though, will mark the requisite 10 days since he tested positive for COVID. Kamara still needs to test negative, remain asymptomatic and get full medical clearance in order to play. RB Latavius Murray is eligible to return to the team mid-week after landing on the COVID list as a close contact of Kamara.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

The Saints have placed RB Alvin Kamara on the COVID list after a confirmed positive test. That not only knocks him out for Sunday's game against the Panthers. It almost certainly means he'd miss a Wild Card-round playoff game as well, if New Orleans doesn't reach the top seed in the NFC this weekend. Latavius Murray becomes a strong play for Sunday against Carolina. We'll see about the opening of the playoffs and Kamara's outlook for playoff-long leagues as we head into next week.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

Saints beat writer Nick Underhill reports that RB Alvin Kamara is awaiting a 2nd COVID test after an initial positive test. If the 2nd comes back positive as well, Kamara would not only miss Sunday's finale against the Panthers but also the playoff opener if the Saints don't get a 1st-round bye. We'll be tracking this situation for Week 17 as well as playoff leagues. Latavius Murray would obviously become a strong fantasy play in any week that doesn't include Kamara.

View all Alvin Kamara Shark Bites »

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