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Travis Etienne - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTravis Etienne's Basic Stats

Travis Etienne
ADP: 2.12
Bye: 9
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.7
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.50
Burst Score (Rank): 121.00 (64%)

Travis Etienne's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
78.7 0.5 3.2 26.3 0.1 13.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
73.9 0.5 2.4 19.6 0.2 13.3

Travis Etienne's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#8 Running Back

182.3 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
2.12 230.8 1008.8 7.6 2.2 2.4 35.9 274 2.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTravis Etienne's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Etienne should remain the best RB in Jacksonville. His rushing was solid in 2022. His receiving proved highly disappointing, though.

The Jaguars backfield will be one of the most interesting to watch through the summer to gauge how they plan to split work. Don’t bet on Etienne garnering as many carries per game as he did after James Robinson left. If he doesn’t regain some targets, he could easily frustrate fantasy managers.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Etienne opened the year trailing RB James Robinson in work.
    • He claimed 32% of Jacksonville’s carries over the first six games, compared with 47.9% for Robinson.
    • Etienne led the backfield receiving, drawing 8.9% of targets vs. Robinson’s 4.9%.
    • Robinson played just 12 snaps against the Giants in Week 7 and logged no touches. He was traded after that game.
    • From Week 7 on (through the two playoff games), Etienne garnered 61.4% of Jaguars carries but just 6.5% of targets.
    • JaMycal Hasty sat next among Jacksonville RBs, with 46 carries and 26 targets for the season. He saw 5.2% target share from Week 7 on. He got 12 carries and 5 targets in the Week 12 win over Baltimore that Etienne left early.
    • Snoop Conner collected just 12 carries for the year (no targets).
  • Overall, Etienne finished 21st among RBs in opportunity share (carries + targets) in his second season. He missed his rookie year, of course, with a foot injury.
  • He averaged 16.2 carries, 82.7 rushing yards, and 0.5 TDs per game over the 12 healthy outings from Week 7 through the playoffs.
  • For the year, Etienne ranked 18th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade among 61 RBs with 70+ carries. He also ranked:
    • 18th in yards after contact per attempt
    • T-17th in elusive rating
    • fourth in rushing yards over expected per attempt
    • 17th in Football Outsiders rushing DYAR
    • 20th in rushing DVOA
    • 16th in rushing success rate
What to Expect in 2023
  • When asked at the Scouting Combine if Jacksonville would add to its backfield this offseason, HC Doug Pederson said: “Yes. I think in today’s game, you’ve got to have two to three guys. They’ve got to be able to carry the load. You’re talking about an 18-week, 17-game schedule, and the postseason. It’s wear and tear on guys. We haven’t seen enough of Snoop Conner yet either, but we like him. We know what JaMycal can do, we obviously know what Etienne can do. So yeah, you’re always looking to have two, three, four guys that can work the rotation.”
  • Jacksonville first signed RB D’Ernest Johnson. His $1.2 million, one-year deal includes just $50,000 guaranteed. That’s not enough to even lock him in for the 2023 regular-season roster. Johnson did run for 534 yards and catch 19 balls for 137 with the 2021 Browns. But then he totaled just seven touches last year.
  • RB Tank Bigsby arrived via Round 3 of the NFL Draft. He spent three years leading the Auburn backfield. He also led last year’s Tigers in receptions, drawing 15% target share.
  • Etienne should remain the carry leader. We’ll see how the Jaguars elect to split work, though.
    • Doug Pederson spent five years at the Eagles helm before landing in Jacksonville last season. The most carries per game any RB had among those teams was Miles Sanders in 2020, with 13.7.
      • No other Philly RB reached 12.0 carries per game in a season over that span.
      • Four others finished in the range of 11.2 to 11.9.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Travis Etienne, RB JAC

5:36pm EDT 9/24/23

Travis Etienne pays off in ugly loss

Jaguars RB Travis Etienne shined as the lone bright spot for this offense in Week 3. The third-year pro compiled 138 total yards across 19 carries and 4 catches vs. the Texans. Etienne continues to face little backfield competition from his teammates Tank Bigsby (2 carries, 10 yards, 1 TD) and D’Ernest Johnson (3 carries, 6 yards) and should figure to have another good game next week vs. the Falcons. It remains to be seen if we can say the same about any of his skill-position teammates. This Jacksonville offense is experiencing major troubles thus far in 2023.

View all Travis Etienne Shark Bites »

Jaguars RB Travis Etienne handled 15 of 17 team RB opportunities in a Week 2 loss to Kansas City. Rookie Tank Bigbsy didn't see a carry or a target, as D'Ernest Johnson filled in as the RB2. Etienne tallied just 42 total yards, but the usage signals future RB1 lines. Next up is a home date with a Houston squad that allowed Zack Moss to post 18-88-1 rushing.

View all Travis Etienne Shark Bites »

Jaguars RB Travis Etienne racked up 104 total yards and a TD in the Week 1 win over the Colts. The score was a 26-yard burst in the fourth quarter to put the game away. More importantly, Etienne out-carried RB Tank Bigsby 18 to seven and out-targeted him five to one. Bigsby did vulture a one-yard TD and might continue to be favored at the goal line. But if Etienne continues to get this type of volume, he'll deliver as a top-15 fantasy RB. Etienne will find himself in a likely shootout vs. the Chiefs in Week 2 and then gets favorable matchups against the Texans and Falcons in Weeks 3 and 4.

View all Travis Etienne Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Travis Etienne, RB JAC
Dynasty MVP 138.0
Position Rank #5 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
470
718
1,135
Dynasty Write-up
After a lost rookie year, Etienne proved ready to take over Jacksonville’s backfield. The James Robinson trade certainly helped. And it’s clear that QB Trevor Lawrence is trending up as a top-flight passer. We’ll see if Jacksonville decides to boost Etienne’s receiving work in ’23 and beyond. But his rushing work might dip following the arrival of Round 3 RB Tank Bigsby.
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