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Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Lamar Jackson
BAL

QB BAL

#4 Quarterback

413 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 8
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 216
40 Time: 0.00

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

21.3

DS Projection

27.6

Consensus

38 other sites
28

Low Ceiling

30.9

Rest of
Season

24.9

Week 6 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
244 1.6 0.6 72 27.6
Weekly Writeup
We just saw Lamar do it with his arm in Monday night's comeback win over the Colts. We like the rushing upside this weekend vs. a Chargers defense that Football Outsiders ranks 31st against the run.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
220 1.5 0.7 62 24.9
Week 5
After a slow start, including a lost fumble in the 1st half, Jackson put on an absolute firework show from halftime through the final whistle. If he wasn’t before, he has put himself near the top of the MVP conversation again based on his incredible play this year. The guy threw for over 300 yards and 4 TDs in the 2nd half and OT alone. The Ravens were down by 19 late in the 3rd quarter and then the Jackson, Brown, and Andrews’ show began. Jackson was accurate throughout the night, completing 12 passes in a row at one point. He finished the night going 37/43 for 442 yards (Ravens franchise record) and 4 TDs. Jackson added 62 yards rushing on 14 carries.
Jackson will have a tougher matchup this week against a solid Chargers defense. However, the Chargers defense has given up 7 passing TDs over their last three games. This shouldn’t scare you off Jackson though. With his rushing ability combined with throwing for over 750 yards and 5 passing TDs over the last two weeks, he remains an elite option. We have Jackson ranked at QB3 this week against Los Angeles. The next three games on the Ravens schedule include LAC, CIN, and their bye week.
Week 4
Despite leading for the majority of the game, Jackson produced the most passing yards and most attempts of this season. He completed 22 of 37 for 316 yards and a TD. Last year Jackson eclipsed 30 attempts just twice and never threw for 300+ yards.

Jackson added 7 rushes for just 28 yards. This was his lowest yardage total on the ground this season. He's ran it 7 times in each of the last 2 games after rushing 10+ times in Weeks 1 and 2.

Going forward, Jackson has the potential to have his best passing season as a pro. He has a strong group of pass catchers that will improve when Rashod Bateman returns combined with the weakest RB group. If he continues to throw 30+ times, he can produce his most volume as a passer. Now, if that production comes at the detriment of his rush yards it could be a frustrating one from a fantasy perspective.
Week 3
Jackson was facing a terrible Lions defense that was unable to cover players in the middle of the field, allowing both Mark Andrews and Marquise Brown to have plenty of open space to roam. However, Brown dropped 2 long passes, 1 of which would’ve been a TD, and he couldn’t hang onto a short TD pass that was slightly tipped by a defender. He also had a chance to connect on a TD to Sammy Watkins, but the WR failed to extend for the ball. Those miscues kept Jackson from throwing for well over 300 yards and up to 4 TD passes.

Although he’s thrown just a single TD pass in each game, his yardage has increased each week. Jackson could get Rashod Bateman back from the IR soon, potentially giving him another weapon in the passing attack. Ultimately, if he can ramp up his fantasy scoring in the passing game, that’s what can move Jackson from a great fantasy option into an elite one. He’s averaging 83 yards per game on the ground with a pair of rushing scores, and he’s always a high-floor option regardless of opponent.
Week 2
Another MVP-level performance for Lamar Jackson. He had a rough start to the game Sunday night against the Chiefs, throwing 2 INTs in the first half (1 for a Chiefs TD).

With Baltimore down 35-24 late in the game, though, Jackson turned into superman and put the Ravens on his back. He made incredible plays with his arm and his legs leading the comeback. Jackson was able to make throws on one leg, from difficult angles, and while suspended in the air. He looked like the player we all remember from his MVP season in the 2nd half.

Jackson finished the night with 239 passing yards, 1 passing TD and 2 INTs. He added 107 rushing yards and 2 rushing scores in the 4th quarter.

Baltimore gets another juicy matchup this week against a Lions defense that was just shredded by the Packers for 4 passing TDs. We have him ranked at QB3 against Detroit this week. The receiving corps will get Rashod Bateman back in a few weeks, further bolstering the options for Jackson through the air. We have him ranked at QB5 the rest of the way.
Week 1
Week 1 was a good but not great week for Jackson. He threw for 235 yards, a number he only reached in a game 3 times last season. He also led the team in both carries and yards, amassing 86 yards on 12 carries. Unfortunately for Jackson, he only produced 1 TD in this contest and lost 2 fumbles. The Raiders pressure was in his face a ton, and the Ravens O-line will be an area to watch going forward. Still, Jackson's a no-doubt QB1 whenever he takes the field. Next up is an intriguing matchup against Kansas City.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Jackson was the league MVP in 2019 and finished as the clear-cut QB1.
  • In 2020, Jackson matched or nearly matched his 2019 output in completion rate (64.4%), YPA (7.3) and rushing scores (7).
  • Jackson’s passing TDs dropped from 36 to 26; his attempts sunk from 401 to 376. Hence the fall to QB10.
  • With little beyond Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews, the Ravens continued to orchestrate a run-heavy game plan. Jackson tallied 30+ attempts just twice all year (including the postseason).
  • Jackson’s wheels remained on display. He became the 1st QB to ever rush for 1,000 yards in 2 separate seasons.
  • Jackson easily led the league with 159 rush attempts — down from 176 in ’19, however.
  • Stud LT Ronnie Stanley missed most of the season with a broken ankle. Two surgeries were required, but he should be ready for Week 1.
  • OC Greg Roman returns for his 3rd season on staff with Jackson. As OC, his offenses have ranked 1st in rush attempts and yards over the past 2 seasons. No surprise with the league’s most athletic QB running the show.
  • In May, he teased the following: “There are definitely some things that we’re doing, right now to evolve, and there are definitely some things people are going to see from us that they haven’t seen before…schematically-wise, though, we’re always going to change a little bit, and I’d probably say more so this year than we did last year.”
  • New passing concepts are likely on the way after the Ravens used a Round 1 pick on WR Rashod Bateman and a Round 4 pick on Tylan Wallace. Bateman looks pro-ready with excellent separation skills and inside/out versatility.
  • The Ravens also added Sammy Watkins, 28, who’s capable of supplying a boost in spurts.
  • Baltimore dealt RT Orlando Brown over the offseason. But with additions like RT Alejandro Villaneuva, OG Kevin Zeitler and rookie OG Ben Cleveland, this unit looks like a strength.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

After a truly remarkable 2019, Jackson took a predictable step back last fall. The takeaway: Never bet on any QB repeating a 9% TD rate.

Still, there were encouraging signs here. Jackson remained an elite rusher, with usage only scaled back slightly. He also ended 2020 strong with finishes of QB6, QB1, QB5, QB12 and QB9 over the final 5 weeks.

Only in year 4, and now surrounded with his best supporting cast yet, look for Jackson’s passing numbers to rebound. He’s an enticing pick if he slips to late Round 5/Round 6 of 12-team drafts.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (back) is active for today’s game vs. the Broncos. He dealt with back soreness early in the week but put in a full practice on Friday. We’re not expecting Jackson to be limited today.

View all Lamar Jackson Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (back) is expected to play vs. Denver today. Jackson sat out the first 2 practices of the week with a sore back but put in a full practice on Friday. We've heard nothing to suggest that he'll be limited today.

View all Lamar Jackson Shark Bites »

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (back) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Broncos. He sat out the first 2 practices of the week but was a full-go on Friday. WR Marquise Brown said Jackson looked “real good.” He’s fully expected to start vs. Denver, but check back Sunday for confirmation.

View all Lamar Jackson Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport expects Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (back) to play vs. the Broncos on Sunday. Jackson has missed the first 2 practices of the week, but it sounds like that's been mostly precautionary. "Nothing much to worry about," Rapoport said. "Nothing alarming. I would expect Lamar Jackson back at practice [Friday] ... no one I've talked to is alarmed at all." We'll see what Jackson does in practice today and how he's listed on the final injury report.

View all Lamar Jackson Shark Bites »

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (back) missed practice again on Thursday. The team is calling it "back soreness," according to The Athletic's Jeff Zrebiec, who does expect Jackson to play vs. Denver this weekend. But this is certainly a situation to monitor over the next few days. We'll see if Jackson practices tomorrow.

View all Lamar Jackson Shark Bites »

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