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Mecole Hardman - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Mecole Hardman
KC

WR KC

#49 Wide Receiver

111 Projected Points

ADP: 12.10
Bye: 12
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 183
40 Time: 4.33

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#49 Wide Receiver

111 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
12.10 49 712 6 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

88.8

DS Projection

111

Consensus

38 other sites
118.7

High Ceiling

172.1

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Hardman has posted 26-538-6 and 41-560-4 lines in his first 2 NFL seasons.
  • He improved his catch rate from 63.4% to 66.1% from year 1 to 2 -- but his yards per catch sunk from 20.7 to 13.7. His yards per target dropped from 13.1 to 9.0.
  • Last year’s yards per target still ranked 23rd among 87 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • But Hardman finished just 48th among those 87 in yards per route run and 55th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • Hardman wasn’t usable in fantasy last year.
    • He ranked 62nd among WRs in PPR points and 59th in non-PPR.
    • He scored as a top-24 WR in just 2 of 16 games.
    • Even in the 6 games WR Sammy Watkins missed, Hardman averaged just 3.2 targets, 2.5 catches, 40.3 yards and .2 TDs.
    • Hardman’s playing time yo-yoed throughout the regular season. Then he played just 35% and 31% of the offensive snaps in the Chiefs’ final 2 playoff games.
  • Watkins, who ranked 3rd on the Chiefs with 5.5 targets per game last year, is gone.
  • Kansas City brought back WRs Demarcus Robinson and Byron Pringle. But the only addition they made was 5th-round rookie WR Cornell Powell.
  • Don’t forget: Hardman was a high-school QB and got just 2 seasons of extensive experience at WR in college. So it’s no surprise that he’s gotten off to a relatively slow start as a pro. A 3rd-year breakout wouldn’t be too surprising.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Hardman has popped for a few big plays over his first 2 NFL seasons but hasn’t seen enough playing time or volume to be a bankable fantasy asset.

Don’t give up on him yet, though. He entered the NFL as a raw prospect, so there’s still plenty of room for improvement here. And WR Sammy Watkins’ departure frees up some opportunity in this Patrick Mahomes-led passing game.

Perhaps most importantly, Hardman figures to come considerably cheaper in fantasy drafts this summer than last. He’s an intriguing bench stash.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman has been activated from the COVID list and will play against the Raiders on Sunday night. WR Sammy Watkins (hamstring, calf) has been ruled out for that one. Hardman and DeMarcus Robinson will continue to operate as the #2 and #3 WRs for Kansas City.

View all Mecole Hardman Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman has been placed on the COVID list. It's fortunate timing with the team on bye. We'll see if Hardman is cleared in time for Week 11.

View all Mecole Hardman Shark Bites »

Chiefs HC Andy Reid "gave the impression" that WRs Mecole Hardman and De'Anthony Thomas will split Tyreek Hill's work against the Raiders on Sunday, The Athletic's Nate Taylor writes. "(Thomas) has done it before, and Mecole has kind of been in that position," Reid said. “We feel good working both of them." Anthony missed the opener on a 1-game suspension for violating the league's substance-abuse policy. He's been more of a gadget player in the past, tallying 64 catches and 29 carries over his first 5 NFL seasons. We could see Thomas get the jet-sweep and other quick-hitting type plays Hill usually gets, while Hardman runs more of the typical WR plays. We still prefer Hardman as the Week 2 fantasy play, but consider him just a WR4 or flex flier.

View all Mecole Hardman Shark Bites »

The Chiefs selected Georgia WR Mecole Hardman with the 56th pick of the 2019 NFL Draft. The high school QB moved to WR for the Bulldogs, totaling 60 catches for 961 yards (16.0 YPC) and 11 TDs over the past 2 seasons. He added 13 carries for 97 yards and 2 scores, averaged 15.2 yards per punt return and 25.0 yards per kick return. Hardman goes just 5’10 and 183 pounds but blazed a 4.33-second 40-yard dash. He'll undoubtedly draw Tyreek Hill comparisons now that he’s in Kansas City. This pick feels like a reach to us, but it’s definitely a strong landing spot for Hardman’s fantasy value. He’ll be a riser in the post-draft dynasty rankings.

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