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Khalil Shakir - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKhalil Shakir's Basic Stats

Khalil Shakir
ADP: 12.1
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.4
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 190
40 Time: 4.43

SPARQx (Rank): 116.60 (84%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.50 (80%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.49 (22%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.99 (48%)

Khalil Shakir's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.6 36.4 0.19 4.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.6 21.4 0.1 3

Khalil Shakir's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#75 Wide Receiver

125.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
12.1 44.2 618.8 3.23 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKhalil Shakir's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Shakir made strides in year two, excelling as a catch-and-run threat down the stretch.

Dalton Kincaid – plus new arrivals Keon Coleman and Curtis Samuel – turn up the 2024 target competition. But opportunity certainly looks improved after the team moved on from Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.

At a late-round price, Shakir supplies a cheap way to gain exposure to Josh Allen.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Shakir, a former Round 5 pick, made progress in his second pro season.
    • Working as a short-range target (7.4-yard aDOT), Shakir flashed strong hands with an 87.5% catch rate.
    • Only 6 of his 56 targets came 20+ yards downfield.
    • Shakir lined up in the slot on most passing snaps (76.8%).
  • Shakir’s role increased by mid-season.
    • He saw five targets over the first six weeks. After that point, he saw 4+ targets eight times, including in the postseason.
    • Two of his 4 TDs surfaced in the postseason.
  • Per Next Gen Stats, Shakir ranked 3rd in yards over expected after the catch.
    • Overall, he averaged an impressive 7.0 yards after catch per reception.
  • Among 109 charted WRs, Shakir ranked 69th in ESPN Analytics’ “Open Score.” This aims to measure “the likelihood a receiver would be able to complete a catch…if he were targeted.”

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Bills traded Stefon Diggs and let Gabe Davis walk in free agency.
    • That removes 241 targets from the 2023 offense.
  • Buffalo’s main WR additions include Curtis Samuel and Keon Coleman.
    • Samuel, 28, spent the past three years in Washington. After an injury-ruined 2021, he filled a short-range slot role from 2022-2023.
    • His contract – which includes $15 million guaranteed – suggests the Bills will feature him.
    • Coleman arrived as an early Round 2 pick.
    • While he projects more on the outside, Coleman’s development will play a key role in Shakir’s final target count.
  • OC Joe Brady returns for his first full season on the job in Buffalo.
    • When he took over last year, Buffalo leaned more on the run. If that continues, the volume squeeze will likely impact Shakir.

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Keon Coleman, WR BUF

11:59am EDT 6/14/24

Should We Expect a Slow Start From Keon Coleman?

Bills GM Brandon Beane suggested recently that WR Keon Coleman still has a lot of developing to do. Beane noted the big difference between college and NFL playbooks and that Coleman will need to learn to stay engaged on run plays.

View Full Story »

The Bills are signing WR Curtis Samuel to a three-year, $24 million deal, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. The contract can be worth up to $30 million and includes $15 million in guarantees. It almost certainly locks Samuel in as the No. 2 WR alongside Stefon Diggs. It's worth noting, however, that he's getting significantly smaller annual averages than Gabe Davis (Jaguars) and Darnell Mooney (Falcons). Each of those free-agent WRs got deals with $13 million annual averages and more guaranteed money. For now, Samuel looks poised to battle TE Dalton Kincaid for the No. 2 spot in targets. Though we'll see whether Buffalo adds a WR early in the draft. Samuel presents intrigue in that his short-range game differs from the skill sets of Diggs and Davis, who spent the past four years in Buffalo. Samuel also played under Bills OC Joe Brady in Carolina in 2020, when he trailed Robbie Chosen and D.J. Moore by more than 20 targets apiece. Samuel did garner a career-high 41 carries that season, but the Panthers only got three games of RB Christian McCaffrey. For fantasy, Samuel looks interesting and obviously lands with an upside QB. But it's tough to like him as more than a high-WR4 to low-WR3. Samuel's short-range game makes him more attractive for lineup-setting leagues than best ball drafts. His arrival is also bad news for WR Khalil Shakir, who has spent 72% of his snaps in the slot over two seasons in Buffalo. Shakir can play outside as well. But you shouldn't consider him before the end of best ball drafts.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

Bills HC Sean McDermott said Friday that WR Gabe Davis (knee) won't play Sunday against the Chiefs. That should mean a continued role increase for WR Khalil Shakir. But WR Trent Sherfield got an even bigger bump the past two games. He has played his two largest snap shares of the season -- 71% at Miami, 63% vs. Steelers -- in the game Davis left and then the playoff opener he missed. Sherfield didn't see a target against Pittsburgh, so he's only in range as a DFS flyer and for deeper fantasy formats. Shakir racked up 6-105 receiving in the regular-season finale but then drew just 3 targets against the Steelers. He presents intriguing upside but is also no lock for opportunities. The Bills will also go without CB Christian Benford and S Taylor Rapp.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

The Steelers-Bills game originally scheduled for 1 pm ET on Sunday has been moved to 4:30 pm ET on Monday. Buffalo is expecting heavy snow and wind gusts up to 60 mph on Sunday. The forecast for Monday calls for light snow, sustained winds around 15 mph, and gusts up to 30 mph. That's still tough weather for the passing and kicking games -- but significantly better than it would have been on Sunday. We're adjusting our projections for this game.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) has been activated to the 53-man roster. That puts him in line to play vs. the Chiefs on Sunday for the first time since Week 7. Knox would be a desperation fantasy start, but his return dings TE Dalton Kincaid's target projection. It also takes WR Khalil Shakir out of the picture even in deep fantasy leagues.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Khalil Shakir, WR BUF
Dynasty MVP 68.4
Position Rank #129 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
208
355
647
Dynasty Write-up
Shakir emerged mid-season for a Bills offense needing another option. His target outlook improved after a March trade of Stefon Diggs. But the Bills went on to add Keon Coleman in Round 2 and Curtis Samuel in free agency.
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