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Mike Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMike Williams's Basic Stats

Mike Williams
ADP: N/A
Bye: 8
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28.3
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.59
Speed Score: 102.30
Burst Score (Rank): 115.80 (22%)

Mike Williams's Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0 0 0 0
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Mike Williams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#14 Wide Receiver

159.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 77.4 1175.3 7.3 2.9 0.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMike Williams's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Williams set career highs last year in all fantasy scoring systems, finishing 14th among WRs in PPR points, 13th in half-PPR and 12th in non-PPR.
  • He was a volatile weekly producer:
    • Williams scored as a top 14 PPR WR 6 times.
    • He finished outside the top 40 in 7 weeks.
  • Four of Williams’ 6 top-14 outings came over the first 5 weeks of the season. He ranked 2nd among WRs in PPR points over that stretch.
  • Williams ranked 28th in PPR points from Week 6 on.
  • His volume and efficiency shrunk from his first 5 games to his final 11.

  • It’s worth noting that Williams hurt his knee in Week 5. He didn’t miss any games, but he was limited to just 36% of the snaps in Week 6 and might have been impacted by the injury beyond that.
  • Williams tied teammate Keenan Allen and ranked 5th league-wide with 12 targets inside the 10-yard line.
  • Williams ranked 22nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and 15th in yards per route run among 89 WRs with 50+ targets last year.
  • He beat Keenan Allen in both metrics. (Allen ranked 23rd and 28th.)
  • Allen turned 30 in April and has seen his yards per route run decline in 4 straight seasons.
  • Williams is 27 and coming off a career-high in yards per route run.
  • The Chargers gave Williams a 3-year, $60 million contract extension with $40 million guaranteed in March.
  • Williams finds himself in a similar situation this season as last.
    • HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi return for year 2 with the Chargers.
    • QB Justin Herbert enters his 3rd NFL season.
    • The Chargers return 6 of last year’s top 7 target-getters. TE Jared Cook will be replaced by TE Gerald Everett, which should be a lateral move in terms of target share.
  • So Williams should again benefit from a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense. The 2021 Chargers ranked 6th in both situation-neutral pace and situation-neutral pass rate. They finished 3rd in pass attempts.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Williams is coming off a career year in terms of fantasy production and yards per route run. He was volatile from week to week, as he’s been for most of his career. But the spike weeks were there.

He returns to the same offense with the same QB and very similar target competition in 2022. Williams will at least be the #2 WR in 1 of the game’s best passing attacks. And it’s within the realm of possibility that he passes up Keenan Allen for the #1 spot on the depth chart this year.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Herbert, QB LAC

10:51am EST 1/17/23

Chargers fire OC Lombardi

The Chargers have fired OC Joe Lombardi, according to NFL Network. Lombardi piloted Los Angeles to top 9 finishes in total yards in each of the past 2 seasons, despite dealing with a bunch of injuries to offensive linemen and skill-position players. But his scheme simply didn't accentuate QB Justin Herbert's arm talent, as evidenced by his 7.6 and 6.4 intended air yards per pass attempt marks over the last 2 years. That 6.4-yard mark this past season ranked 31st among 33 qualifiers. We'll see who the Chargers tab to replace Lombardi -- but the change is more likely than not to be good news for Herbert's fantasy value.

View all Justin Herbert Shark Bites »

Playing without WR Mike Williams, Chargers QB Justin Herbert completed 25-of-43 passes for 273 yards and 1 score. The Chargers settled for 2 short range FGs in the first half — 1 after Herbert missed Keenan Allen in the end zone — which kept Jacksonville’s comeback hopes alive. In the second half, the Chargers went: punt, FG, missed FG, punt. Following the loss, we’ll see if the Chargers retain HC Brandon Staley (and OC Joe Lombardi) for another season. Regardless, Los Angeles needs to find a speed threat to compliment Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.

View all Justin Herbert Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that further imagining revealed a fracture in Chargers WR Mike Williams' back. Williams is expected to be out "a couple of weeks," Pelissero adds. He's already been ruled out for Saturday night's game vs. the Jaguars -- and it sounds like Williams would also likely miss a potential Divisional Round game.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

The Chargers have downgraded WR Mike Williams from questionable to out for Saturday night's game against the Jaguars, because of the back injury he suffered in Week 18 against the Broncos. That boosts the outlook for Chargers WRs Josh Palmer and DeAndre Carter, who have each moved up our WR rankings for the week. HC Brandon Staley has taken a lot of flak this week for the way he handled starters in a game his team didn't need. But he at least did coaches everywhere a service by clearly reminding everyone why you rest key players in those situations. We'll see about Williams' status for Round 2, if the Chargers advance.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Mike Williams, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 126.3
Position Rank #36 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
464
748
748
Dynasty Write-up
High floor…low ceiling…and more injuries. Williams’ 2022 really didn’t show us anything new. He did sign a new contract last March, tying him to the team through the 2024 season.

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