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Mike Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMike Williams's Basic Stats

Mike Williams
ADP: 5.8
Bye: 8
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27.7
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.59
Speed Score: 102.30
Burst Score (Rank): 115.80 (22%)

Mike Williams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Wide Receiver

168 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.8 78.3 1182.1 8.6 3 0.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMike Williams's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Williams set career highs last year in all fantasy scoring systems, finishing 14th among WRs in PPR points, 13th in half-PPR and 12th in non-PPR.
  • He was a volatile weekly producer:
    • Williams scored as a top 14 PPR WR 6 times.
    • He finished outside the top 40 in 7 weeks.
  • Four of Williams’ 6 top-14 outings came over the first 5 weeks of the season. He ranked 2nd among WRs in PPR points over that stretch.
  • Williams ranked 28th in PPR points from Week 6 on.
  • His volume and efficiency shrunk from his first 5 games to his final 11.

  • It’s worth noting that Williams hurt his knee in Week 5. He didn’t miss any games, but he was limited to just 36% of the snaps in Week 6 and might have been impacted by the injury beyond that.
  • Williams tied teammate Keenan Allen and ranked 5th league-wide with 12 targets inside the 10-yard line.
  • Williams ranked 22nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and 15th in yards per route run among 89 WRs with 50+ targets last year.
  • He beat Keenan Allen in both metrics. (Allen ranked 23rd and 28th.)
  • Allen turned 30 in April and has seen his yards per route run decline in 4 straight seasons.
  • Williams is 27 and coming off a career-high in yards per route run.
  • The Chargers gave Williams a 3-year, $60 million contract extension with $40 million guaranteed in March.
  • Williams finds himself in a similar situation this season as last.
    • HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi return for year 2 with the Chargers.
    • QB Justin Herbert enters his 3rd NFL season.
    • The Chargers return 6 of last year’s top 7 target-getters. TE Jared Cook will be replaced by TE Gerald Everett, which should be a lateral move in terms of target share.
  • So Williams should again benefit from a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense. The 2021 Chargers ranked 6th in both situation-neutral pace and situation-neutral pass rate. They finished 3rd in pass attempts.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Williams is coming off a career year in terms of fantasy production and yards per route run. He was volatile from week to week, as he’s been for most of his career. But the spike weeks were there.

He returns to the same offense with the same QB and very similar target competition in 2022. Williams will at least be the #2 WR in 1 of the game’s best passing attacks. And it’s within the realm of possibility that he passes up Keenan Allen for the #1 spot on the depth chart this year.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Mike Williams, WR LAC

1:45pm EST 3/8/22

Chargers extending Williams

According to multiple reports, WR Mike Williams is on the verge of signing a 3-year, $60 million deal with the Chargers that will include $40 million in guarantees. This news comes ahead of today's 4 p.m. ET deadline for team's to apply franchise tags. Williams stays with an ascending QB in a strong offense and should remain a high-ceiling fantasy wideout.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the Chargers are expected to use the franchise tag on WR Mike Williams. The deadline for teams to do so is 4 p.m. today, so we'll know Williams' status soon. We'd guess the 2 sides are working toward a longer-term deal, but the Chargers rank among league leaders in projected 2022 salary-cap space. So they have some flexibility here. For fantasy football draft purposes, expect Williams to remain a Charger.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Mike Williams has been activated from the COVID list, putting him on track to return for Sunday's game vs. the Broncos. Williams has scored as a WR3 since a hot start to the season and carries some extra risk this week in his first game back from COVID.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Jalen Guyton has been activated from the COVID list. He'll be back for Sunday's game vs. the Broncos. Guyton will only be a potential fantasy play if WR Mike Williams remains on the COVID list for that one.

View all Jalen Guyton Shark Bites »

The NFL announced changes to the COVID protocol on Tuesday. Most notable is that fully vaccinated players can be cleared and return in less than 5 days if their symptoms have improved, while unvaccinated players are out for at least 5 days from the positive test. This means guys like Carson Wentz, Mike Evans and Mike Williams have a chance to be cleared for Week 17. We'll keep you updated on all the guys on the COVID list.

View all Carson Wentz Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Mike Williams, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 133.1
Position Rank #21 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
489
788
788
Dynasty Write-up
Williams followed an electric start to 2021 by settling back into the role of inconsistent producer with volatile target shares. Did the Chargers re-sign him to keep deploying him the same way, or should we view the financial commitment as a plan for more? At worst, Williams will carry high weekly upside while playing with 1 of the league's best young QBs. And Justin Herbert is heading into just his 3rd season.
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