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Mike Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMike Williams's Basic Stats

Mike Williams
ADP: 4.11
Bye: 8
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27.9
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.59
Speed Score: 102.30
Burst Score (Rank): 115.80 (22%)

Mike Williams's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 65.1 0.6 10.1
Weekly Writeup
It’s been a fitting start to the year for Williams, who's notched 10, 113 and 15 yards through 3 weeks. Getting Justin Herbert back healthy will be key going forward. Note that Keenan Allen (hamstring) is expected to return for the Texans game.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4 60.5 0.5 8.9

Mike Williams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#12 Wide Receiver

159.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.11 77.4 1175.3 7.3 2.9 0.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMike Williams's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Williams set career highs last year in all fantasy scoring systems, finishing 14th among WRs in PPR points, 13th in half-PPR and 12th in non-PPR.
  • He was a volatile weekly producer:
    • Williams scored as a top 14 PPR WR 6 times.
    • He finished outside the top 40 in 7 weeks.
  • Four of Williams’ 6 top-14 outings came over the first 5 weeks of the season. He ranked 2nd among WRs in PPR points over that stretch.
  • Williams ranked 28th in PPR points from Week 6 on.
  • His volume and efficiency shrunk from his first 5 games to his final 11.

  • It’s worth noting that Williams hurt his knee in Week 5. He didn’t miss any games, but he was limited to just 36% of the snaps in Week 6 and might have been impacted by the injury beyond that.
  • Williams tied teammate Keenan Allen and ranked 5th league-wide with 12 targets inside the 10-yard line.
  • Williams ranked 22nd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and 15th in yards per route run among 89 WRs with 50+ targets last year.
  • He beat Keenan Allen in both metrics. (Allen ranked 23rd and 28th.)
  • Allen turned 30 in April and has seen his yards per route run decline in 4 straight seasons.
  • Williams is 27 and coming off a career-high in yards per route run.
  • The Chargers gave Williams a 3-year, $60 million contract extension with $40 million guaranteed in March.
  • Williams finds himself in a similar situation this season as last.
    • HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi return for year 2 with the Chargers.
    • QB Justin Herbert enters his 3rd NFL season.
    • The Chargers return 6 of last year’s top 7 target-getters. TE Jared Cook will be replaced by TE Gerald Everett, which should be a lateral move in terms of target share.
  • So Williams should again benefit from a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense. The 2021 Chargers ranked 6th in both situation-neutral pace and situation-neutral pass rate. They finished 3rd in pass attempts.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Williams is coming off a career year in terms of fantasy production and yards per route run. He was volatile from week to week, as he’s been for most of his career. But the spike weeks were there.

He returns to the same offense with the same QB and very similar target competition in 2022. Williams will at least be the #2 WR in 1 of the game’s best passing attacks. And it’s within the realm of possibility that he passes up Keenan Allen for the #1 spot on the depth chart this year.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Mike Williams, WR LAC

8:50pm EDT 9/26/22

Williams catches a TD but nothing else

Chargers WR Mike Williams caught a 15-yard TD in the 2nd quarter of Sunday's loss to the Jaguars. And that marked his only reception among 6 targets. With WR Keenan Allen out (hamstring), Williams tied for just 3rd in looks behind WR Joshua Palmer (9) and RB Austin Ekeler (8). TE Gerald Everett joined him at 6. QB Justin Herbert -- playing through a rib injury -- completed just 55.6% of his passes. Palmer caught 6 balls and led the team with 99 receiving yards. Everett managed just 2 receptions for 25 yards.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Mike Williams hauled in 8 balls on 10 targets for 113 yards and a score in Thursday night's 3-point loss to the Chiefs. He made a contested 39-yard grab to set up Los Angeles' 1st TD and a spectacular 1-handed snare for a 15-yard TD in the 3rd quarter. This, of course, followed a 2-catch, 10-yard dud in the opener. So it's been a very typical Mike Williams start to the season. But we'd bet on plenty more big games the rest of the way -- as long as QB Justin Herbert's injury isn't serious.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that Chargers WR Keenan Allen's hamstring injury is not expected to be a "long-term" deal. But Pelissero confirms that Allen is "unlikely" to be ready for Thursday night's showdown with the Chiefs. That's obviously a big loss for the Chargers but frees up targets for Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams, Josh Palmer and Gerald Everett. See where all those guys sit in the Week 2 Rankings.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Mike Williams mustered only 2 catches for 10 yards in Sunday’s win over Vegas. He garnered only 4 targets on 34 Justin Herbert attempts. It’s a surprising result considering the plus matchup — and the early departure from Keenan Allen (hamstring). Of course, we’re looking at just a 1-game sample. And Williams has been historically prone to some hot and cold play. With Allen looking iffy for a Thursday night game at Kansas City, though, Williams will rank right back in fantasy starter range. The veteran saw 9 targets in both matchups with the Chiefs last season.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Mike Williams, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 130.8
Position Rank #25 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
464
748
879
Dynasty Write-up
Williams followed an electric start to 2021 by settling back into the role of inconsistent producer with volatile target shares. Did the Chargers re-sign him to keep deploying him the same way, or should we view the financial commitment as a plan for more? At worst, Williams will carry high weekly upside while playing with 1 of the league's best young QBs. And Justin Herbert is heading into just his 3rd season.

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