Mike Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Bottom Line

Williams’ boom-or-bust projection remains in play.

Part of that stems from his current ACL rehab. Of course, Aaron Rodgers’ recovery from an Achilles tear is another huge component.

Given the variables, it’s likely we see a slow start for the former Charger. But from mid-season on, it’s quite possible he pops as the red zone threat New York desparately needs.

We’ll track his rehab closely this summer. For now, Williams is a fine bench stash.

What We Learned Last Year

• Williams tallied 19 catches, 249 yards, and 1 TD in less than 3 full games.
  • He saw 26 targets over that stretch – right on par with Keenan Allen.
• In Week 3, the 29-year-old sustained a left ACL tear.
  • He underwent surgery on October 25.
  • This came after Williams missed time in 2022 with a pair of ankle injuries.
• Williams played at least 15 games from 2018-2021.

What to Expect in 2024

• HC Robert Saleh said this offseason that he's "very confident" Williams will be ready for Week 1.
  • Expect Williams to be eased into training camp – hardly ideal as he looks to gain the trust of Aaron Rodgers.
• When healthy, Williams will have a shot to emerge as the No. 2 option behind target hog Garrett Wilson.
  • The Jets don’t have another notable WR of his size. Williams brings ball-winner ability both inside and outside the red zone.
  • Wilson, despite his clear talent, enters 2024 with a TD rate of just 3.9%.
  • The Jets used a Round 3 pick on Malachi Corley, a run-after-catch specalict whose skill set complements Williams’.
• Williams’ outlook is directly tied to the health of Rodgers, who’s coming off a Week 1 Achilles tear. He’s on track to be 100% for the opener.
• The 2023 Jets, despite QB issues, ranked 5th in pass rate; 13th in pass rate over expected. Look for their pass-centric ways to remain following the return of Rodgers and OC Nathaniel Hackett.