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Roschon Johnson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Basic Stats

Roschon Johnson
ADP: 16.3
Bye: 7
Experience: 2
Age: 23.4
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.58

Burst Score (Rank): 114.60 (30%)

Roschon Johnson's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
16.6 0.1 1.1 7.9 0.04 3.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
24.5 0.2 1.1 8.6 0 4.4

Roschon Johnson's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#59 Running Back

83.4 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
16.3 74.4 318.3 1.88 0 0 20.9 148 0.76

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Johnson could beat out Khalil Herbert for the No. 2 role. But the upside is limited without a D’Andre Swift injury. Johnson looks more interesting for dynasty formats than redraft at the moment.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Bears liked Johnson’s ability in the passing game right away. He drew 7 targets to tie for the team lead in Week 1, catching a team-high six passes for 35 yards.
  • Johnson would finish the season tops among Chicago RBs in targets, catches, and receiving yards. He also ranked fourth on the team in targets and yards; third in receptions.
  • Johnson trailed Khalil Herbert, however, in yards per catch (6.7 to 6.1) and receiving success rate (41.9% to 27.5%, according to Pro Football Reference).
  • He also checked in just fourth on the team – and third among RBs – in carries, despite playing more games than both Herbert and D’Onta Foreman.
    • Johnson drew 5.4 carries per game vs. 11.0 for Herbert and 12.1 for Foreman.
    • He also trailed Herbert and Foreman in yards after contact per attempt, according to Pro Football Focus – as well as elusive rating and rushing grade.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Johnson’s still relatively new to the position. He shifted from QB to RB midway through his freshman season at Texas. And then he had to work behind Bijan Robinson.
  • He’s likely still developing, which complicates his competition with Khalil Herbert.
  • Of course, the Bears capped the upside for both RBs by paying up for D’Andre Swift in free agency. Chicago paid him clear lead-back money. And Swift’s strength conflicts with Johnson’s.
    • Since he entered the league in 2020, Swift ranks fourth among RBs in receptions. Only Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara, and Christian McCaffrey have caught more passes at the position in that span.
  • Johnson leads the 2024 RB group in size, which could help him garner goal-line opportunities. He led Herbert in that category last year. D’Onta Foreman is gone, and D’Andre Swift has never been a goal-line winner thus far in his NFL career.

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D'Andre Swift, RB CHI

12:14pm EDT 3/11/24

Bears make D'Andre Swift new lead back

The Bears have agreed to a three-year deal with RB D'Andre Swift, according to multiple reports. Chicago will pay Swift $24 million over that span, with $15.3 million of that guaranteed. That should position Swift as the backfield leader for at least the next two seasons -- assuming he stays healthy, of course. Swift opened his lone Philly season barely playing behind Kenneth Gainwell but then exploded when Gainwell missed Week 2. Swift worked as the lead back the rest of the way, averaging a career-high 41.3 carries per game but a career-low 2.4 receptions per contest. He should immediately step ahead of Bears incumbents Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson as both a runner and receiver. If the QB shift to Caleb Williams comes to fruition, then Swift would gain target upside over what Philly presented (or what Justin Fields would present). Swift has been a solid-to-good value in early best ball drafting. Expect his ADP to rise now that he has found starter money on the market. Swift's RB31 position in Underdog Fantasy to date gives him plenty of room to move up the board and still be worth targeting. Check our RB rankings to see where he lands.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Bears RB Khalil Herbert (back, personal) is questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Packers. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and then sidelined on Friday. Herbert’s absence would presumably leave Chicago’s backfield to Roschon Johnson and D’Onta Foreman, who has not played the past two weeks.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Bears RB D'Onta Foreman is a surprise inactive for today's game vs. the Falcons. He missed last week's game due to a personal issue but was left off the final injury report this week. Chicago will again roll with RBs Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson today. Herbert tallied 20 carries and two targets to Johnson's nine carries and three targets last week.

View all D'Onta Foreman Shark Bites »

Bears RB D'Onta Foreman (personal) practiced all week and isn’t listed on the final injury report for Sunday’s game vs. the Falcons. It’s entirely unclear how work will be divvied between Foreman, Khalil Herbert, and Roschon Johnson, making it a situation to try to avoid in Week 17 fantasy lineups.

View all D'Onta Foreman Shark Bites »

Bears RB D'Onta Foreman (personal) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. That should put him on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Falcons -- and return Chicago's backfield to an ugly three-man committee.

View all D'Onta Foreman Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Roschon Johnson, RB CHI
Dynasty MVP 51.8
Position Rank #91 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
166
263
472
Dynasty Write-up
Johnson doesn’t have much tread off his tires after playing behind Bijan Robinson at Texas. His limited sample showed a tough, hard-nosed rusher with pass protection chops. At 6’0, 220 pounds, Johnson also posted solid testing numbers at the Combine. He simply never took over the backfield as a rookie, and now he'll battle for the No. 2 role after Chicago added D'Andre Swift. Chicago will also break in a new OC.
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