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Roschon Johnson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Basic Stats

Roschon Johnson
ADP: 13.7
Bye: 13
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22.7
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 222

Roschon Johnson's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
24.8 0.2 2.3 16.6 0.1 5.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
30.1 0.3 1.4 12.3 0.1 6.2

Roschon Johnson's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#43 Running Back

99.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
13.7 87.7 481.4 4.6 1.1 0.9 21.8 197.1 0.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsRoschon Johnson's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Johnson showed he can gain yardage in chunks and block well in pass protection, despite Bijan Robinson limiting his opportunities.

Johnson joins a crowded Bears backfield, but there’s room for him climb the depth chart. We like his upside and will be watching the competition through summer. Though this backfield could frustrate fantasy managers throughout the season.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Johnson was selected in the 4th round.
  • He initially committed to Texas as a QB recruit but changed to RB midway through his freshman season.
  • Teammate and current Falcons rookie RB Bijan Robinson overshadowed him the past three seasons. Johnson actually set career highs in carries and receptions as a freshman. Even then he trailed Keaontay Ingram, a 2022 sixth-round pick by the Cardinals.
  • Johnson finished his final season with 93 carries, 554 rushing yards, 14 receptions, 128 receiving yards, and 6 total TDs.
  • Despite receiving limited opportunity, Johnson finished within the top 10 of college RBs (min. 80 attempts) in Pro Football Focus elusive rating in three consecutive seasons from 2020-22. His yards per carry ranked among the Big 12’s top 10 RBs all four seasons he played.
  • Johnson measured in at the NFL Combine at 6’0, 219 pounds with a 4.58-second 40 time.

What to Expect in 2023
  • It won’t show in the box score, but Johnson is a stellar pass blocker. You’ll have a greater appreciation for this facet of his game by diving into C.H. Herms’ prospect evaluation. This matters because being a good blocker helps RBs find their way onto the field in passing situations.
  • That’s a potential differentiator in Johnson’s competition with Khalil Herbert and D’Onta Foreman for playing time and touches.
  • QB Justin Fields obviously factors heavily into the rushing offense as well. Chicago had the league’s second most rushing attempts last year, but Bears RBs ranked just 14th in that category.
  • Johnson will likely compete with free-agent addition D’Onta Foreman for short-yardage work. Both outweigh Khalil Herbert by more than 10 pounds. The rookie already appears way ahead of Foreman in passing-game acumen, though.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Khalil Herbert, RB CHI

5:56pm EDT 10/1/23

Khalil Herbert has big day vs. Denver

Bears RB Khalil Herbert had easily his best outing of the season in the Week 4 loss to the Broncos. He led Chicago with 18 carries and 103 yards, a strong 5.7 yards per carry. Herbert also caught four of five targets for 19 yards and a TD. Herbert played well -- and played well ahead of RB Roschon Johnson, who finished with five carries and one target. But this game was more about Denver's pathetic defense than anything in Chicago's offense. Herbert is a potential sell-high this week if you can find a competitor that views him as a top-25 RB. He gets a tougher draw against the Commanders in Week 5, although that's followed by plus matchups vs. the Vikings, Raiders, and Chargers.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Bears rookie RB Roschon Johnson tallied 8 carries for 38 rushing yards and 2 catches on as many targets for 11 yards as a receiver in Week 3 vs. the Chiefs. Neither he nor anyone on the Chicago offense were particularly effective in this poor outing, though this game is notable because Johnson ended up out-touching teammate Khalil Herbert. Herbert logged 8 total touches for 35 yards on Sunday and may have potentially lost his grip on being the lead back. This development will be worth considering ahead of Week 4 vs. the Broncos.

View all Roschon Johnson Shark Bites »

Bears RB Khalil Herbert garnered just 7 carries in Sunday's loss to the Buccaneers. He took those for a solid 35 yards (5.0 per rush), while ceding the other 4 RB carries to rookie Roschon Johnson. Chicago ran the ball just 16 times for the game, including four rushes for QB Justin Fields. Herbert edged Johnson 3-2 in targets but caught just one for 23 yards. RB D'Onta Foreman was a healthy scratch for the game, leaving Herbert and Johnson splitting all the work. But the Bears went 68.6% pass for the game, even leaning that way in the first half. If Chicago continues to enjoy playing from behind so much, Herbert will struggle to get enough touch volume to be fantasy viable.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Bears RB D'Onta Foreman will be a healthy scratch for today's game vs. the Bucs, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. That'll turn a three-way committee into a two-way committee with RBs Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson. Pelissero confirms that Johnson is expected to see an increased workload today. The rookie would still be a shaky Week 2 fantasy start, but he's worth grabbing if available in your fantasy league.

View all D'Onta Foreman Shark Bites »

Bears RB Khalil Herbert struggled in Week 1 vs. the Packers, tallying only 27 rushing yards on 9 carries in the divisional loss. He also added 3 catches on 5 targets for 37 yards as a receiver. Despite winning the RB1 job outright in training camp, Herbert fell victim to rookie Roschon Johnson vulturing a goal-line TD in the fourth quarter of play. Johnson also received more targets (7) and only 2 fewer touch opportunities than Herbert in Week 1. The distribution of the RB workloard was so messy that it’ll be tough to trust any Bears back in Week 2 vs. the Buccaneers. However, that shouldn’t stop fantasy managers from checking Johnson’s availability off the waiver wire in deep leagues.

View all Khalil Herbert Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Roschon Johnson, RB CHI
Dynasty MVP 82.9
Position Rank #52 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
267
424
752
Dynasty Write-up
Johnson doesn’t have much tread off his tires after playing behind Bijan Robinson at Texas. His limited sample showed a tough, hard-nosed rusher with pass protection chops. At 6’0, 220 pounds, Johnson also posted solid testing numbers at the Combine. He brings lead back upside to the pros, and that could happen as soon as 2023 in Chicago.
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