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D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

D'Andre Swift
DET

RB DET

#19 Running Back

189 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.48

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

7.6

DS Projection

11.5

Consensus

38 other sites
12

Low Ceiling

15

Rest of
Season

12.3

Week 6 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
43 0.3 5.1 41.6 0.2 11.5
Weekly Writeup
Swift has set season highs with 73% and 74% snap rates the last 2 weeks. The Bengals rank 27th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
51 0.4 4.5 36 0.2 12.3
Week 5
After playing a season-high 73% of the Lions’ snaps last week, Swift maintained a similar pace by playing 74% of the snaps in this contest. Despite the vast disparity in playing time between Swift and Jamaal Williams, Swift handled 17 touches to 15 for his backfield mate, though Swift held the edge in pass targets 6-2. Although both RBs had similar success on the ground, it was Swift who scored the rushing TD, and his strong performance as a receiver helped him get over the 100 combined yards for the 3rd time this year.

With the increased snap share the last 2 weeks and an average of 7 targets per game, Swift should remain a high floor weekly fantasy option who’ll produce at least an RB2. He’ll also benefit in the games when the Lions are overmatched and fall behind on the scoreboard. The sooner in the games the Lions are in hurry-up mode, the more likely it is that Swift will see high target volume. And although his yards per carry as a rusher haven’t been great, he continues to see enough attempts to amass yardage while also being a big part of the red zone offense.
Week 4
Swift rushed just 8 times for 16 yards, adding 4 receptions for 33 yards in the Lions' Week 4 loss to the Bears.
Swift was out-carried 14 to 8 by backfield mate Jamaal Willams.
Swift got all the RB targets but is certainly in a time share, which is hurting his floor/ceiling combination in fantasy.
Swift has a chance to rack up a lot of catches in Week 5 against the Vikings, with the Lions 7.5-point underdogs.
Week 3
Although Swift played a season-low 56% of the Lions’ snaps, the team played from behind for most of the contest, allowing him to see 7 targets. And with the Ravens dealing with injuries across the defense, he was able to break consistent chunks of yardage through the air on his way to a strong fantasy performance. Despite how well he played, he continued to cede significant work to Jamaal Williams, who had 12 carries and a rushing TD. But Swift dominated the pass-game usage, as Williams had just 2 targets.

Although he’s yet to reach 50 yards on the ground, he’s done his biggest damage in the passing game by averaging 8 targets for 55 yards, making him a fantastic PPR play. Although his targets have been great, he did see 11 of those in the season opener when the Lions ran 92 offensive plays. Regardless, even with the presence of Williams, Swift will continue to be at least an RB2 with plenty of RB1 weeks, and even some high-end RB1 performances.
Week 2
Swift saw 8 carries for 37 yards against the Packers. He also caught 4 of his 5 targets for 41 yards.

Despite a 63% to 39% snap-rate advantage and 62% to 31% route-rate advantage, Swift only saw 3 more opportunities than Jamaal Williams. This volume came a week after seeing 4 more opportunities than Williams in Week 1 with a similar snap share.

These numbers paint the picture of a more split backfield despite Swift being the more impressive back. There are some lingering injury issues around Swift, which could be part of the reason the touches have been closer than expected.

Going forward, expectations for Swift should remain measured. He could easily vault in this offense, especially with the passing game looking competent. But only time will tell if we see that.
Week 1
With the Lions falling way behind on the scoreboard early in this game, Swift ended up leading the team with 11 targets. He wasn’t terribly efficient with his catches until he broke off a 43-yard TD catch late in the 3rd quarter when the game seemed out of hand. He was also held to fewer than 4 yards per carry while the 49ers were able to tackle him near the line on the majority of his carries, but the game script allowed him to have a great fantasy day with 19 touches.

Given that he was racing to get back from the groin injury that cost him much of training camp, it was promising that he had 22 rushes/targets in his 1st game. And even though Jamaal Williams saw nearly the same amount of touches, it should be noted that Swift played 68% of the snaps to 42% for Williams. So with the Lions expected to trail in many weeks, Swift has outstanding weekly upside, especially in PPR leagues. And the snap advantage he had seems likely to continue, raising his weekly floor as well.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • You’ve probably read or heard some version of new OC Anthony Lynn classifying his RBs. Here’s his full quote (from The Athletic):
    • “Jamaal is what I’d call a classic ‘A’ back. I like to break the backs down into A and B. My ‘A’ backs are normally my bigger backs. They can run between the tackles, block probably a little better than a ‘B’ back. They can also run the perimeter. I can leave those guys in there for all three downs. My ‘B’ back comes in, he’s a guy that sometimes I want to use in space more. He’s my speed-in-space guy. I feel like Jamaal would be an outstanding ‘A’ back. I like his energy, I like his pad level and the way he runs the football between the tackles.”
  • Lynn also indicated this spring that the Lions won’t hesitate to go with the “hot hand” in the backfield. “If you go in and you’re balling, you’re going to stay in,” he said.
  • Swift reached double-digit carries in just 2 of the first 8 games last season, averaging 6.8 carries per contest over that span while reaching 50% playing time just once.
  • Swift then averaged 63.4% over his final 5 appearances. with no game below 54%. That stretch surrounded 3 missed games: 2 for a concussion, 1 with illness.
  • Football Outsiders rated Swift 16th in rushing DYAR and 14th in DVOA among 47 qualifying RBs.
  • He checked in even higher as a receiver: 9th and 13th in those categories among 50 qualifiers.
  • Among 63 RBs with 75+ carries, though, Pro Football Focus ranked Swift just 46th in rushing grade. That did put him only 1 spot behind Cam Akers, however. Jamaal Williams, meanwhile, checked in 20th.
  • Among 61 RBs with 20+ targets, Swift ranked 19th in receiving grade. Williams checked in 32nd.
  • Swift delivered 4.48-second speed at 5’8, 212 pounds at the 2020 Scouting Combine, giving him an 81st-percentile speed score among NFL RBs.
  • He averaged 6.6 yards per carry and 9.1 per catch (across 73 receptions) in 3 seasons at Georgia. As a rookie, Swift averaged 4.6 yards per rush, compared with teammates Adrian Peterson’s 3.9 and Kerryon Johnson’s 3.5. He did trail Peterson (8.4) and Johnson (9.8) in yards per catch, though, with 7.8.
  • Among returning Lions, only T.J. Hockenson garnered more targets last season than Swift’s 57.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Swift presented some flash as a rookie but had a difficult time sustaining a big role or production. The coaching staff that helped limit his opportunities is gone, as are Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson. But the new staff imported Jamaal Williams in free agency and has talked him up as a big contributor. The Lions have also expressed interest in Todd Gurley.

Swift should be the best back in Detroit and should lead the position in carries and targets for the Lions. But this situation has the potential to frustrate with week-to-week workloads. Throw in what figures to be a bad offense overall, and Swift lacks Year 2 excitement unless his draft price drops.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Lions RBs D'Andre Swift (groin) and Jamaal Williams (hip) are active for today’s game vs. the Vikings. We’re expecting both guys to be available to play their usual roles.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RBs D'Andre Swift (groin) and Jamaal Williams (hip) were limited in practice all week and are listed as questionable for Sunday's game vs. the Vikings. This has been the case with Swift all season, so there's no reason to worry there. It's a new injury for Williams, but we've heard nothing to suggest that it's a real concern. We'll get Detroit's inactives around 11:30 am ET on Sunday.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift (groin) is active for today’s game vs. the Ravens. He was listed as questionable -- like he was the past 2 weeks -- but Swift should be ready to play his usual role.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift (groin) is once again listed as questionable for Sunday's game vs. the Ravens. He was "questionable" the past 2 weeks but hasn't seemed limited at all, totaling 19 carries and 16 targets. Unless we hear otherwise, Swift is safe to get into Week 3 fantasy lineups.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift (groin) is active for tonight's game against the Packers. He was listed as questionable but practiced all week, including a full workout on Saturday. We're not expecting him to be limited tonight.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

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