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D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsD'Andre Swift's Basic Stats

D'Andre Swift
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24.8
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 208
40 Time: 4.48
Burst Score (Rank): 120.90 (63%)

D'Andre Swift's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
55.6 0.3 2.8 16.9 0.1 9.5
Weekly Writeup
Swift gets a non-easy matchup with the 49ers this week. But San Francisco has been inconsistent in run D and ranks just 20th in rush-defense DVOA for the year. Swift, meanwhile, has generated positive rush yards over expected in all four games this season that have found him leading the backfield and G Cam Jurgens playing the whole way. He has gone negative in that category in all six games Jurgens missed or left early. Jurgens has been back for two games now, and the Eagles get star RT Lane Johnson back this week after he missed the Buffalo game. None of that makes Swift a lock for production against a D that's tough overall. But his offense remains run-friendly, and Swift just might present more upside in this matchup than you'd expect. Don't reach to start another RB over him.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
51.9 0.4 2.4 19.4 0.2 10.4

D'Andre Swift's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#14 Running Back

166.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 143.2 830 6.6 1.8 1.9 37.8 311 2.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsD'Andre Swift's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Swift doesn’t project well for fantasy, and the reasons aren’t hard to find.

Jalen Hurts and Rashaad Penny – if healthy – impede the former Lions’ path to goal-line carries.

A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert stand in the way of a high target ceiling.

So drafting Swift at his current Round 5 ADP (RB21) is a bet on his high-end talent delivering in a strong environment. It’s possible he pays off there. But fantasy’s a game of probabilities, and they’re not in Swift’s favor this fall.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Swift’s 2022 season began poorly.
    • He sustained an ankle sprain in Week 1.
    • Two weeks later, he suffered a sprained shoulder.
  • In total, Swift sat out three games. He has now missed 10 games through three seasons.
  • When active, Swift produced on limited chances for an upstart Detroit offense.
    • Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries, Swift ranked:
      • tied for second in yards per carry
      • 16th in yards after contact per attempt
      • fifth in breakaway percentage
      • 10th in elusive rating.
    • In a sample of 19 RBs with 50+ targets, Swift ranked fifth in yards per catch; third in yards per route run.
    • Swift reached 46 catches in each of his first three seasons.
  • Swift showed an explosive ceiling with four top-6 PPR finishes last season. But he also ranked RB30 or worse five times.
  • Jamaal Williams cost Swift a ton of fantasy points.
    • Williams saw a whopping 45 carries inside the 10-yard line, easily the most league wide.
    • Swift earned only 11 carries in that range.
  • He ran behind one of the league’s top O-lines.
  • He also benefited from one of QB Jared Goff’s best seasons. Goff ranked top-6 in passing yards, passing TDs, and QBR.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Eagles traded for Swift during the 2023 NFL Draft. All it took was a 2025 fourth-rounder and a swap of 2023 seventh-rounders.
    • "He's got big-play ability as a runner and a receiver," Eagles GM Howie Roseman said at the time. "We saw it firsthand when we were in Detroit the first game of the [2022] season."
  • The Eagles let Miles Sanders and his 259 carries walk in free agency.
  • Rashaad Penny joined on a cheap one-year deal with only $600K guaranteed.
  • Penny’s history suggests he’s the more efficient runner, but he’s also an injury risk.
    • Penny missed 12 games last year with a tibia fracture.
    • The 27-year-old has missed 40 games over five seasons. His single-season high in games played – 14 – came as a rookie.
  • Swift’s path to scoring upside has a hurdle beyond the 220-pound Penny. QB Jalen Hurts popped in 11 TDs from inside the 10-yard line in 2022.
  • Swift’s target upside doesn’t look great as long as A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert remain healthy.
    • Kenneth Gainwell also returns as a part-time player.
    • The Philly offense produced a 12% target share to RBs last year – second lowest league wide.
  • This O-line still projects as one of the best in the league. We’re not too concerned about the loss of veteran G Isaac Seumalo.

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D'Andre Swift, RB PHI

9:39pm EST 11/5/23

D'Andre Swift goes quiet on plenty of work

Eagles RB D'Andre Swift rushed 18 times in Sunday's win over the Cowboys but gained just 43 yards. The 18 carries were his most since Week 2. The 2.4 yards per carry was his second-lowest mark of the year. Swift exploded into view with 6.9 yards per carry across weeks 2 and 3, racking up 175 and 130 yards. Since then, however, he has averaged just 3.4 yards per rush and 51.0 yards per game across six contests. That span has coincided with G Cam Jurgens' foot injury. He left the first game of that span early and has missed the five since. Jurgens' impending return can obviously only help the run game and should assist Swift's efficiency. The RB did, at least, add 31 yards on 2 receptions against the Cowboys. He watched QB Jalen Hurts and RB Kenneth Gainwell claim the team's two rushing scores, though.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Eagles RB D’Andre Swift carried the ball 15 times for 62 rushing yards in Week 7 vs. the Dolphins. He also added 3 catches for 13 yards as a pass-catcher in the contest. Unfortunately, his teammate Kenneth Gainwell siphoned off a rushing TD and limited Swift to just 10.5 PPR points. Still, he’s recorded double-digit PPR points in every game since taking over as the team’s starter in Week 2. Not all bad! Next week, the Eagles’ backfield will face slightly stiffer competition against their NFC East rival Commanders.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Eagles RB D'Andre Swift delivered a nice receiving line amid an otherwise tough outing in Sunday's loss to the Jets. Swift caught a team-high eight passes for 40 yards and a TD (Philly's lone passing score). His 10 targets trailed WR DeVonta Smith's team lead by 1. It was Swift's second straight game with at least 6 receptions and third straight with 4+. Swift struggled on the ground against the Jets, though, gaining just 18 yards on a team-high 10 carries. We won't fret that aspect, as RBs Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott logged just 2 carries apiece. Swift remains the clear backfield leader in a strong running game.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Eagles RB D'Andre Swift ran just OK on the ground in Sunday's win over the Rams. He drew 17 carries vs. Kenneth Gainwell's seven and turned them into 70 yards (4.1 per rush). Swift added a 6-38 receiving line on 6 targets to boost his PPR line. Most importantly, the work split between Swift (23 opportunities) and Gainwell (9) makes Swift the easy choice to start in fantasy lineups until something changes.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

D'Andre Swift, RB PHI
Dynasty MVP 115.1
Position Rank #25 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
396
603
927
Dynasty Write-up
Swift’s usage took an odd turn in 2022. His receiving numbers dipped, while his goal line production was capped by Jamaal Williams. Detroit showed their cards this offseason, signing David Montgomery early in free agency (3 years, $18 million). Swift, of course, was dealt to Philly following the Lions' addition of Jahmyr Gibbs. The move likely puts a tighter lid on Swift's target volume.
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