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D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

D'Andre Swift
DET

RB DET

#17 Running Back

192 Projected Points

ADP: 3.7
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 215
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#17 Running Back

192 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
3.7 196 884 6 2 2 64 504 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

155.5

DS Projection

192

Consensus

38 other sites
128.3

Med Ceiling

236.2

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • You’ve probably read or heard some version of new OC Anthony Lynn classifying his RBs. Here’s his full quote (from The Athletic):
    • “Jamaal is what I’d call a classic ‘A’ back. I like to break the backs down into A and B. My ‘A’ backs are normally my bigger backs. They can run between the tackles, block probably a little better than a ‘B’ back. They can also run the perimeter. I can leave those guys in there for all three downs. My ‘B’ back comes in, he’s a guy that sometimes I want to use in space more. He’s my speed-in-space guy. I feel like Jamaal would be an outstanding ‘A’ back. I like his energy, I like his pad level and the way he runs the football between the tackles.”
  • Lynn also indicated this spring that the Lions won’t hesitate to go with the “hot hand” in the backfield. “If you go in and you’re balling, you’re going to stay in,” he said.
  • Swift reached double-digit carries in just 2 of the first 8 games last season, averaging 6.8 carries per contest over that span while reaching 50% playing time just once.
  • Swift then averaged 63.4% over his final 5 appearances. with no game below 54%. That stretch surrounded 3 missed games: 2 for a concussion, 1 with illness.
  • Football Outsiders rated Swift 16th in rushing DYAR and 14th in DVOA among 47 qualifying RBs.
  • He checked in even higher as a receiver: 9th and 13th in those categories among 50 qualifiers.
  • Among 63 RBs with 75+ carries, though, Pro Football Focus ranked Swift just 46th in rushing grade. That did put him only 1 spot behind Cam Akers, however. Jamaal Williams, meanwhile, checked in 20th.
  • Among 61 RBs with 20+ targets, Swift ranked 19th in receiving grade. Williams checked in 32nd.
  • Swift delivered 4.48-second speed at 5’8, 212 pounds at the 2020 Scouting Combine, giving him an 81st-percentile speed score among NFL RBs.
  • He averaged 6.6 yards per carry and 9.1 per catch (across 73 receptions) in 3 seasons at Georgia. As a rookie, Swift averaged 4.6 yards per rush, compared with teammates Adrian Peterson’s 3.9 and Kerryon Johnson’s 3.5. He did trail Peterson (8.4) and Johnson (9.8) in yards per catch, though, with 7.8.
  • Among returning Lions, only T.J. Hockenson garnered more targets last season than Swift’s 57.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Swift presented some flash as a rookie but had a difficult time sustaining a big role or production. The coaching staff that helped limit his opportunities is gone, as are Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson. But the new staff imported Jamaal Williams in free agency and has talked him up as a big contributor. The Lions have also expressed interest in Todd Gurley.

Swift should be the best back in Detroit and should lead the position in carries and targets for the Lions. But this situation has the potential to frustrate with week-to-week workloads. Throw in what figures to be a bad offense overall, and Swift lacks Year 2 excitement unless his draft price drops.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Lions OC Anthony Lynn has given us a little more info on the plan for splitting backfield touches. "If you go in and you're balling, you're going to stay in," Lynn said this week, according to Pro Football Talk. Lynn added that his approach will be to get the ball into the hands of his top playmakers, pointing out that RBs can earn receiving work in addition to carries. We'll see how this situation plays out, including whether the Lions act on their interest in free-agent RB Todd Gurley. Early indications, however, point to potential for weekly fantasy frustration.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions new assistant HC/RBs coach Duce Staley talked up RB D'Andre Swift on Wednesday. "When I look at D'Andre, I do think he's a three-down back and like I said, he has some special traits I can't wait to get my hands on, so I'm excited about that," Staley said. "You can get 18 carries and seven touches as far as receptions and you have 25 touches, which is what you want from your star back." It's the time of the year when coaches toss around touch projections for the coming season, so don't go expecting 25 touches per game from Swift. But it's clear the new coaching staff is high on the Georgia product, despite not being around when he was drafted. There's RB1 upside here if Swift gets feature-back usage.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift (illness) is active for today’s game against the Packers. He practiced all week, including a full workout on Friday. It’s still uncertain how big a role he’ll be returning to, though, leaving Swift as a risk/reward RB2.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport confirms that Lions RB D'Andre Swift (illness) is expected to play against the Packers today. That was the expectation after the rookie practiced all week, including a full workout on Friday. The question is how big a role Swift will play in his 1st action since Week 10. Consider him a risk/reward RB2 in a plus matchup vs. Green Bay's 27th-ranked RB defense.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift (illness) is listed as questionable for this weekend's game against the Packers. He practiced all week, including a full workout on Friday, so we're expecting the rookie to play. But it's strange that he's been dealing with this "illness" for over a week now -- after clearing the concussion protocol. Swift had a breakout game last time we saw him, but it's unclear how big a role he'll be returning to. We'll see if we hear anything about that on Sunday morning.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

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