D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats

RB DET

#19 Running Back

189 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available

Bye: 9

Experience: 1 Yr(s)

Age: 22

Height: 5'9"

Weight: 215

40 Time: 4.48

Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds	Rush TDs	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TDs	Fantasy Pts
48	0.3	4	32	0.2	11

Week 11
Swift’s 130 rushing yards in the OT tie at Pittsburgh looked like an outlier, because it came on 33 carries. That was more than double his next best total. Swift gave that outlier a companion in the Week 11 loss to Cleveland, though.

He got back to his customary 14 rushing attempts -- with Jamaal Williams returning for 7 -- and racked up a season-high 136 yards against a Browns D that has played the ground game tough this year. The big strike was a 57-yard, 3rd-quarter TD scamper. But even if you took away that run, Swift averaged 6.1 yards per carry on the rest of them.

His mere 5 yards on 6 receptions over the past 2 games is concerning. A return to health for Jared Goff should help in that area. Swift had caught no fewer than 4 passes in any previous game and averaged 51.9 receiving yards per contest through Week 8.

It’s a bad offense to be stuck in for scoring opportunities, and Williams’ return siphons some touches. But Swift averaged 17.1 touches per game (11.1 carries, 6 receptions) through Week 7 before Williams went down. Swift should be fine.

Week 10
Swift rushed 33 times for 130 yards in the Lions' Week 10 tie with the Steelers, adding 3 receptions for 5 yards on 6 targets.
With Jamaal Williams once again out of the lineup, Swift had elite usage as he parlayed 36 touches into 135 all-purpose yards against a tough Steelers defense.
Swift is a strong RB2 play with RB1 upside no matter the matchup. He’s continued to be among the league leaders in targets at his position.

Week 7
Swift quietly is the RB5 in PPR PPG through Week 7. Swift has completely dominated in the pass game due to great game scripts. Swift leads the NFL in RB targets with 52 on the season. That is 6 more than 2nd on the list Najee Harris (46) and 16 more than the RB3 Myles Gaskin (36). Last week was no different for Swift as he saw a team-high 10 targets. Swift turned those targets into 8-96-1. It is important to note that Swift had a 63-yard TD on the first drive of the game, but still saw 21 touches. The bigger development for Swift is he has taken over the lead ball carrier role. Swift has seen more carries than Jamaal Williams in back-to-back weeks for the first time this season.
This week the Lions take on the Eagles, who have allowed the third most points to RBs on the year. Swift is a lock and loaded start, but it will be interesting to see how the RB touches are handled if the game is close vs. an Eagles team that is struggling as well.

Week 6
Garbage-Time Swift continued to get it done in Week 6. He caught 3 balls for 37 yards and scored a 1-yard rushing TDs on Detroit’s final drive of a 34-11 loss to the Bengals.

Swift entered halftime with 8 carries for 11 yards and 1 catch on 2 targets for 3 yards. He finished with a 13-24-1 rushing line and 5-43 receiving on 7 targets.

That’s been the status quo for Swift, who has scored 74% of his PPR points in the 2nd half of games. It certainly feels unsustainable. But we can count on Detroit playing from behind, which is good for a pass-catching back like Swift. And it’s certainly worth noting that his snap rates have spiked to 73%, 74% and 78% over the past 3 weeks.

Swift might not keep up his current pace that has him sitting 7th among RBs in PPR points. But he looks like at least a low-end RB1 in PPR leagues and a high-end RB2 in non-PPR.

Week 5
After playing a season-high 73% of the Lions’ snaps last week, Swift maintained a similar pace by playing 74% of the snaps in this contest. Despite the vast disparity in playing time between Swift and Jamaal Williams, Swift handled 17 touches to 15 for his backfield mate, though Swift held the edge in pass targets 6-2. Although both RBs had similar success on the ground, it was Swift who scored the rushing TD, and his strong performance as a receiver helped him get over the 100 combined yards for the 3rd time this year.

With the increased snap share the last 2 weeks and an average of 7 targets per game, Swift should remain a high floor weekly fantasy option who’ll produce at least an RB2. He’ll also benefit in the games when the Lions are overmatched and fall behind on the scoreboard. The sooner in the games the Lions are in hurry-up mode, the more likely it is that Swift will see high target volume. And although his yards per carry as a rusher haven’t been great, he continues to see enough attempts to amass yardage while also being a big part of the red zone offense.

Week 4
Swift rushed just 8 times for 16 yards, adding 4 receptions for 33 yards in the Lions' Week 4 loss to the Bears.
Swift was out-carried 14 to 8 by backfield mate Jamaal Willams.
Swift got all the RB targets but is certainly in a time share, which is hurting his floor/ceiling combination in fantasy.
Swift has a chance to rack up a lot of catches in Week 5 against the Vikings, with the Lions 7.5-point underdogs.

Week 3
Although Swift played a season-low 56% of the Lions’ snaps, the team played from behind for most of the contest, allowing him to see 7 targets. And with the Ravens dealing with injuries across the defense, he was able to break consistent chunks of yardage through the air on his way to a strong fantasy performance. Despite how well he played, he continued to cede significant work to Jamaal Williams, who had 12 carries and a rushing TD. But Swift dominated the pass-game usage, as Williams had just 2 targets.

Although he’s yet to reach 50 yards on the ground, he’s done his biggest damage in the passing game by averaging 8 targets for 55 yards, making him a fantastic PPR play. Although his targets have been great, he did see 11 of those in the season opener when the Lions ran 92 offensive plays. Regardless, even with the presence of Williams, Swift will continue to be at least an RB2 with plenty of RB1 weeks, and even some high-end RB1 performances.

Week 2
Swift saw 8 carries for 37 yards against the Packers. He also caught 4 of his 5 targets for 41 yards.

Despite a 63% to 39% snap-rate advantage and 62% to 31% route-rate advantage, Swift only saw 3 more opportunities than Jamaal Williams. This volume came a week after seeing 4 more opportunities than Williams in Week 1 with a similar snap share.

These numbers paint the picture of a more split backfield despite Swift being the more impressive back. There are some lingering injury issues around Swift, which could be part of the reason the touches have been closer than expected.

Going forward, expectations for Swift should remain measured. He could easily vault in this offense, especially with the passing game looking competent. But only time will tell if we see that.

Week 1
With the Lions falling way behind on the scoreboard early in this game, Swift ended up leading the team with 11 targets. He wasn’t terribly efficient with his catches until he broke off a 43-yard TD catch late in the 3rd quarter when the game seemed out of hand. He was also held to fewer than 4 yards per carry while the 49ers were able to tackle him near the line on the majority of his carries, but the game script allowed him to have a great fantasy day with 19 touches.

Given that he was racing to get back from the groin injury that cost him much of training camp, it was promising that he had 22 rushes/targets in his 1st game. And even though Jamaal Williams saw nearly the same amount of touches, it should be noted that Swift played 68% of the snaps to 42% for Williams. So with the Lions expected to trail in many weeks, Swift has outstanding weekly upside, especially in PPR leagues. And the snap advantage he had seems likely to continue, raising his weekly floor as well.

Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

You’ve probably read or heard some version of new OC Anthony Lynn classifying his RBs. Here’s his full quote (from The Athletic):
- “Jamaal is what I’d call a classic ‘A’ back. I like to break the backs down into A and B. My ‘A’ backs are normally my bigger backs. They can run between the tackles, block probably a little better than a ‘B’ back. They can also run the perimeter. I can leave those guys in there for all three downs. My ‘B’ back comes in, he’s a guy that sometimes I want to use in space more. He’s my speed-in-space guy. I feel like Jamaal would be an outstanding ‘A’ back. I like his energy, I like his pad level and the way he runs the football between the tackles.”
Lynn also indicated this spring that the Lions won’t hesitate to go with the “hot hand” in the backfield. “If you go in and you’re balling, you’re going to stay in,” he said.
Swift reached double-digit carries in just 2 of the first 8 games last season, averaging 6.8 carries per contest over that span while reaching 50% playing time just once.
Swift then averaged 63.4% over his final 5 appearances. with no game below 54%. That stretch surrounded 3 missed games: 2 for a concussion, 1 with illness.
Football Outsiders rated Swift 16th in rushing DYAR and 14th in DVOA among 47 qualifying RBs.
He checked in even higher as a receiver: 9th and 13th in those categories among 50 qualifiers.
Among 63 RBs with 75+ carries, though, Pro Football Focus ranked Swift just 46th in rushing grade. That did put him only 1 spot behind Cam Akers, however. Jamaal Williams, meanwhile, checked in 20th.
Among 61 RBs with 20+ targets, Swift ranked 19th in receiving grade. Williams checked in 32nd.
Swift delivered 4.48-second speed at 5’8, 212 pounds at the 2020 Scouting Combine, giving him an 81st-percentile speed score among NFL RBs.
He averaged 6.6 yards per carry and 9.1 per catch (across 73 receptions) in 3 seasons at Georgia. As a rookie, Swift averaged 4.6 yards per rush, compared with teammates Adrian Peterson’s 3.9 and Kerryon Johnson’s 3.5. He did trail Peterson (8.4) and Johnson (9.8) in yards per catch, though, with 7.8.
Among returning Lions, only T.J. Hockenson garnered more targets last season than Swift’s 57.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Swift presented some flash as a rookie but had a difficult time sustaining a big role or production. The coaching staff that helped limit his opportunities is gone, as are Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson. But the new staff imported Jamaal Williams in free agency and has talked him up as a big contributor. The Lions have also expressed interest in Todd Gurley.

Swift should be the best back in Detroit and should lead the position in carries and targets for the Lions. But this situation has the potential to frustrate with week-to-week workloads. Throw in what figures to be a bad offense overall, and Swift lacks Year 2 excitement unless his draft price drops.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift (shoulder) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Vikings. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said Thursday that it "feels like a long shot" for Swift to make it back for Week 14. We'll keep an eye on him next week. Jamaal Williams is a volume-fueled RB2 in Week 13 fantasy lineups.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

"It feels like a long shot" for Lions RB D'Andre Swift (shoulder) to play in Week 14, NFL Network's Ian Rapoport says. That jibes with ESPN's Jeremy Fowler's Wednesday report that Swift could miss "multiple weeks." Fantasy owners should keep Swift stashed but plan on being without him for at least the next 2 weeks. Jamaal Williams will be a volume-based RB2 for however long Swift is out.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift could miss "multiple weeks" with the sprained AC joint in his shoulder, ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reports. "Lions will be cautious with their top back," Fowler adds. That makes sense considering the 0-10-1 Lions are looking ahead to 2022. Swift should be stashed on benches in all fantasy leagues, but Jamaal Williams will be a volume-based RB2 for however long Swift is out.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions HC Dan Campbell hinted Monday that RB D'Andre Swift (shoulder) is unlikely to play vs. the Vikings this weekend. "It’s hard to say that you’d see him playing, but there again, we’ll know a lot more on how he feels tomorrow and then certainly Wednesday," Campbell said. "But I know he’s hurting a little bit." We'll keep an eye on Swift this week, but fantasy owners should be making other plans for Week 13. If Swift is out on Sunday, Jamaal Williams would be a volume-based RB2.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

Lions RB D'Andre Swift is considered "day to day" with the shoulder injury he suffered on Thanksgiving, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. So Swift dodged a serious injury and seemingly has a shot to be ready for Week 13. RB Jamaal Williams will still be worth adding if available on waivers wires in case Swift can't play vs. the Vikings next weekend.

View all D'Andre Swift Shark Bites »

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