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Sam Howell - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsSam Howell's Basic Stats

Sam Howell
ADP: 18.1
Bye: 14
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.0
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220

Sam Howell's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
229.9 1.3 1 12.9 14.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
209 1.3 0.9 16.3 14.7

Sam Howell's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#25 Quarterback

234.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
18.1 288.9/472 3344 20.9 14.3 60 260.5 3.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsSam Howell's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Barring an offseason faceplant, Howell will be under center come Week 1.

Does that mean he belongs anywhere near your fantasy roster? Unless you’re in a superflex league – that’s a hard no.

At best, we see Howell becoming a deep-league streamer, with help from some sneaky rushing potential.


What We Learned Last Year
  • The Commanders selected this productive, three-year starter at North Carolina in Round 5.
    • Most draft analysts graded Howell as a Round 1 or Round 2 pick.
  • Howell didn’t see the field until Week 18. QB Carson Wentz made seven starts; Taylor Heinicke started nine.
  • In that lone start, Howell went 11 of 19 for 169 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT against Dallas.
    • That’s only a 57.9% completion rate but also a sterling 8.8 yards per attempt.
    • The tape showed Howell’s ability to make several tough throws.
    • He showed some life on the ground, too. Howell rushed five times (three scrambles) for 35 yards and one score.
    • He forced two missed tackles, per Pro Football Focus.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Howell is fully expected to start Week 1 for Washington, despite the arrival of veteran QB Jacoby Brissett.
    • ESPN’s Jon Keim tweeted the following from HC Ron Rivera.
      • Rivera said Howell has done enough to remain QB1 entering training camp. "He's young, we know he's young. Lot of room for growth and we know that but he has a good skillset." Lists: quick twitch, decisions, arm talent. "That's the thing that excites us."
    • Ben Standig of The Athletic cautions it’s not yet time to hand the job to Howell, saying “there’s a world” in which Jacoby Brissett is the Week 1 starter.
      • In Standig’s view, though, Howell would have to lose the job; Brissett couldn’t win it outright.
  • We’re not expecting miracles from the starting QB here, but there are enticing pieces to work with.
    • WR Terry McLaurin returns for Year 5. He has hit 1,000 yards in three straight seasons.
    • WR Jahan Dotson brings breakout-candidate ability into Year 2. He led the 2022 Commanders with 7 receiving TDs, adding 14.9 yards per catch.
    • Curtis Samuel brings durability questions. But when healthy, he’s an exciting catch-and-run option.
  • Eric Bieniemy takes over as OC following five years as Kansas City’s OC.
    • The Athletic’s Ben Standig expects more RB screens mixed in with a more aggressive approach.
    • Washington executed only 10 RB screens last year, ranking 25th league wide.
  • Washington added G Nick Gates and RT Andrew Wylie in free agency.
    • This O-line doesn’t profile as great, but it looks improved a year after finishing 26th in Pro Football Focus' pass-blocking grade.
  • Howell could provide added value with his legs. Across three seasons at North Carolina, he racked up 899 yards on 117 scrambles.

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Sam Howell, QB WAS

8:15pm EDT 9/24/23

Sam Howell throws 4 picks

Commanders QB Sam Howell tallied only 170 passing yards, 0 TDs, and 4 picks in Week 3. He took 9 sacks in the loss to Buffalo. The first-year starter didn’t have much of a chance in this one, as the Bills pressured him on 69.2% of his dropbacks (per Next Gen Stats). Howell faces another tough matchup next week at Philly.

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Commanders QB Sam Howell completed 19 passes on 31 attempts for 202 passing yards with 1 TD and 1 INT vs. the Cardinals. The first-year starter also contributed a rushing TD with 11 yards on the ground in Sunday’s win. Other than the INT and a lost fumble, Howell played relatively well. Given his lack of NFL experience, fantasy managers can only hope production goes up from here. The 2022 fifth-round pick with have a chance to improve against the Broncos in Week 2.

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Per ESPN's John Keim, Commanders HC Ron Rivera feels QB Sam Howell has a chance to be "really good" for the team this season. "For three seasons, I've always felt that I had a question mark [about quarterback]," shared Rivera, adding that the team feels "very strongly ... going into this season that we've got a guy." Though Howell made just one start last year, the team liked how he developed as a rookie enough that they're prepared for him to be the starter in 2023. A fifth-round pick in last year's NFL Draft, Howell will have an opportunity to work in an offense under the tutelage of ex-Chiefs OC Eric Biemiemy with a strong supporting cast of pass-catchers. Check out where Howell appears in our current QB rankings.

View all Sam Howell Shark Bites »

Commanders HC Ron Rivera named QB Sam Howell the Week 1 starter. There was never much doubt that Howell would get the nod to open the season. The question is whether he'll play well enough to keep backup QB Jacoby Brissett off the field. Howell has had a nice training camp by all accounts and looked good in Washington's preseason opener.

View all Sam Howell Shark Bites »

Poor QB play limited Commanders WR Jahan Dotson in 2022. Still, he flashed true Round 1 talent with 14.9 yards per catch and 7 scores. He did so despite missing five games with an early-season hamstring injury. Year two brings a QB change with Sam Howell likely to start. Washington will also break in new OC Eric Bieniemy. “Exciting. … A lot of down-the-field plays," Dotson said of Bieniemy’s offense, per The Athletic. “We’re going to stretch the field, make the defense really work.” Dotson should see plenty of downfield opportunities alongside Howell, who wasn’t shy about throwing deep at North Carolina. The 23-year-old sits just outside WR3 range in our 2023 WR rankings.

View all Jahan Dotson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Sam Howell, QB WAS
Dynasty MVP 214.6
Position Rank #27 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
627
1,082
2,179
Dynasty Write-up
Howell dropped to Round 5 of the 2022 draft. After making just one start as a rookie, he won the starting gig this summer. With Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson in town, Howell could show enough to keep Washington's starting job into 2024. His offseason performance suggests he's ready to take the next step.
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