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Dak Prescott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dak Prescott
DAL

QB DAL

#2 Quarterback

451 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.74

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#2 Quarterback

451 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 438/655 5240 35 12 315

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

383.4

DS Projection

451

Consensus

38 other sites
374.7

Low Ceiling

500.6

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Prescott averaged 1.5 more fantasy points per game last season than #2 in that category, Patrick Mahomes -- even with his injury game included. Remove that contest, and Prescott beat everyone else at the position by 7+ fantasy points per game.
  • Through 4 healthy outings last year, Prescott was on pace for 6,760 passing yards and 36 TDs. He reached 450 yards in 3 straight games before going down against the Giants.
  • It’s worth noting that Prescott ranked just 9th in Pro Football Focus passing grade over those first 4 weeks, with Jared Goff and Joe Burrow among the players ahead of him. He did post his highest passing grade since his rookie season, though, and the best overall grade of his career to date.
  • After going 58-42 with their pass-run split in 2019, Kellen Moore’s 1st season as OC, the Cowboys passed on 66.2% of their offensive plays through Prescott’s 5 starts in 2020. Dallas went 68.6% pass in Prescott’s 4 full outings, though going 1-3 in those contests contributed to that rate. Even the Week 2 win over Atlanta was a big comeback (down 19 at the half).
  • According to PFF, Prescott’s passing grade improved the further downfield he targeted. That included the Dallas QB ranking 2nd among qualifiers in adjusted completion rate on deep balls (20+ yards downfield).
  • That falls right in line with his previous results. Prescott graded out 4th-best among deep passers in 2019, with his next-best grade in the 10-19 yard range. His first 3 seasons also found Prescott delivering his strongest passing grades in the deeper 2 ranges.
  • That matches up nicely with 1 of the league’s top set of pass-catchers. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb all excel at getting downfield.
  • Despite playing only 4 full games, Prescott still reached 3 rushing TDs for the 5th straight season. He’s the only QB to do so each of the past 5 years. Just 5 others have reached 3 rushing TDs 3 times in that span.
  • His 19.0 rushing yards per game since 2016 ranks 12th over that span among QBs with at least 100 total carries.
  • Dallas let Prescott play on the franchise tag last season, after the 2 sides couldn’t agree on an extension. He then got a 4-year, $160 million extension this March, including a record $126 million guaranteed -- in spite of the compound fracture and dislocated ankle in his right leg that ended Prescott’s season. That says they not only believe in the player, but also believe he’ll rebound from the injury.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Prescott’s return from last year’s gruesome ankle injury will bear watching through the summer -- both for any setbacks and any sign of impact on his play. But the Cowboys’ actions indicate they believe he’ll be ready. On top of the big new contract, Dallas let Andy Dalton walk in free agency and look prepared to roll with Garrett Gilbert as the backup. More important than that, of course: Prescott heads into another season with maybe the league’s best set of wideouts. And the Cowboys have leaned more toward the pass recently.

A healthy Prescott sports as high a fantasy ceiling as anyone at the position. The depth at QB makes it even easier to gamble on his ankle.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has earned rave reviews for his work through the first 3 days of training camp. "Prescott has shown no signs of ever having suffered a severe ankle injury," The Athletic's Jon Machota writes "His mobility looks as good as ever and he’s been accurate in individual and team drills." At this point, we can put any concerns about that ankle to bed. Prescott -- with a loaded group of pass catchers -- has upside to lead all QBs in fantasy points this season.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is not expected to be limited at the open of training camp. “I see for him to be a full participant,” HC Mike McCarthy said on Wednesday. “It’s still a projection. We’ll see how it goes. Obviously, we’ll watch it.” Dak, who suffered a compound right ankle fracture on October 11, was held out of team drills in OTAs. We’ll keep an eye on the ankle, but with a loaded supporting cast, Prescott's positioned to tally top-5 fantasy totals.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

According to Jon Machota of The Athletic, Cowboys QB Dak Prescott appears “on track” to be a “full participant” in training camp. Machota observed Dak moving well in OTAs, all while “never seeming to favor his surgically repaired right ankle.” HC Mike McCarthy added the following: “Physically, I think he’s right where he needs to be. He’s done everything. He hasn’t missed anything that’s been slated. He’s doing a lot of extra, frankly, so the anticipation would be for him to go every day (in training camp) is the outlook. We’re not naïve. It’s just like any player that comes back from injury, especially a major joint injury, the first year back there’s going to be some things you have to work through. But I would anticipate we’d start with him in full mode, get him into the team periods and get back to playing football.” Prescott, almost 28, remains a high-ceiling QB1.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (ankle) was on the field for the start of OTAs on Monday. It was his 1st live action since suffering a compound fracture and dislocation of his right ankle in Week 5. All reports on his recovery have been positive, and Prescott remains on track to be full-go for the season opener.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys HC Mike McCarthy said Saturday that QB Dak Prescott (ankle) is on track to be a full-go when training camp opens in late July. Prescott has had "excellent workouts" the past couple of weeks and is expected to do "most things" at OTAs, McCarthy added. Prescott, by all indications, has had a smooth rehab from October's fractured and dislocated ankle. We're not expecting it to be an issue this season.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

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