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Dak Prescott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dak Prescott


#5 Quarterback

420 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.74

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
In an up-and-down performance, Prescott completed 22 of 39 passes for 211 yards, with 1 TD and 2 INTs, 1 of which went for a TD that let Washington back in the game in the 4th quarter. He carried 7 times for just 15 yards. The Dallas offense generated only 1 TD, giving the Cowboys just 6 offensive TDs in the last 4 games. Against the Football Team, Dallas scored only 1 TD in 6 trips to the red zone.
Dak is 8-1 in his career vs. Washington, the Cowboys’ opponent again in Week 16, back at A&&T Stadium. In 4 of his last 6 games, Prescott has had a passer rating under 80 passer rating, including 58.8 vs. the Football Team. Neither HC Mike McCarthy nor owner/GM Jerry Jones would go so far as to say that Prescott is in a slump. He could get better in the Washington rematch against a pass defense that has allowed the 3rd-most passing yards in the NFL. Then in Week 17, Dak would be going against Arizona’s 5th-best pass D.
Week 13
At New Orleans, Prescott completed 26 of 40 for 236 yards, not even 6 yards per attempt. He completed just 4 for 20 or more yards. That could be because of limited arm strength, little usage of the best downfield threat – WR Amari Cooper, who returned after 2 games in the COVID-19 protocol – or even getting passes away more quickly. The O-line has been better pass protection, allowing only 1 sack in each of the last 2 games. Prescott threw for 1 TD and 1 INT.
Prescott acknowledged that against the Saints he was helped by extraordinary plays by WRs Michael Gallup, Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Will Dak be capable of giving a struggling Dallas ground game a boost by taking off out of the pocket on occasion? Is he still battling a strained calf muscle that kept him out for 1 game? Statistically, which is the backbone of fantasy football, the Cowboys rank No. 4 in passing yards. In 2 of the next 3 weeks, Prescott’s value could be enhanced against a Washington pass D that has allowed the 4th-most yards this season.
Week 12
Prescott was 32 for 47 for 375 yards and 2 TDs in a shootout against the Raiders. He rallied Dallas to send the game to OT, but in that OT the ‘Boys were back to the 8-yard line after a penalty on the kickoff. They went 3 and out with a 3rd-and-4 pass thrown too low for WR Noah Brown. That was Dak’s 1st career incomplete pass in 21 attempts, including 3 game-winning TDs. With LT Tyron Smith back in the game, Prescott was sacked only once for 2 yards.
It will be important for the Cowboys to get a good start because they never led in either of their 2 games. The Saints’ stout run defense means Prescott and the Dallas passing game may have to step up. HC Mike McCarthy and 6 assistant coaches will miss Thursday’s game after testing positive for Covid-19. Thursday’s game at New Orleans begins a stretch when the Cowboys will not play at home for a month and a day. Dak will take the 3rd-most-productive pass offense against the 22nd-ranked pass defense. After the Saints, they will have 4 games against NFC East rivals with losing records, none closer than 2 games behind the Cowboys. Week 14 opponent, Washington, ranks 27th in pass yardage allowed.
Week 11
Dallas won the coin toss and HC Mike McCarthy elected to receive. After a 3-and-out on the 1st possession that included an overthrown pass for WR Michael Gallup, Kansas City scored a TD to take a lead it never relinquished. Prescott lost a fumble on the 2nd possession, which led to an FG and a 9-0 deficit. Dak completed 28 of 43 passes for 216 yards but was intercepted twice, and for the 1st time this season didn’t throw for a TD. The Cowboys were 5 for 15 on 3rd downs and 0 for 3 in the red zone. After WR CeeDee Lamb left with a concussion just before halftime, Dallas turned even more to a short-passing game that had no reception for more than 19 yards. Protection on the left side suffered with LT Terence Steele still replacing oft-injured Pro Bowl LT Tyron Smith and LG Connor McGovern giving up 2 of the Chiefs’ 5 sacks after taking the starting job from G Connor Williams. The offense had little continuity and no TDs.
Dak and the Cowboys could bounce back the way they did after an even uglier loss to Denver. Dallas will complete the AFC West portion of its schedule on Thanksgiving against the Raiders. In 3 games against that division, the Cowboys are 1-2, averaging just 15 points per game – 16 of the 45 points in throwaway garbage time against the Broncos – 20 points per game fewer than against other opponents. At Kansas City, Prescott completed just 2 of 15 passes beyond 10 yards, which could bring into question whether he was favoring the right ankle or right calf that have been injured, or at least whether he was unable to step into longer passes. Smith has been practicing and is expected to be back this week. Only the Texans and Lions have lower percentages of red-zone TDs on the road, where Dallas will be in Weeks 13 and 14 against the Saints and Football Team. Still, overall, the Cowboys lead the NFL with 418.3 yards and 29.3 points per game.
Week 10
A bounce-back for Prescott. Coming off his worst game in a loss to Denver, he played just 3 quarters and completed 24 of 31 passes for 296 yards and 2 TDs. He also scored his 1st TD this season on a 4-yard run after rolling to his left and finding no receivers open. Dak has had 6 consecutive games with 2-plus TD passes, but there’s an asterisk indicating that in the 5th of those games, his only TDs came in garbage time of a 30-16 loss.
It’s likely that there could be shootouts in the next 2 weeks, when Dallas with its fifth-highest passing yardage this season goes against the top-ranked Chiefs at Kansas City on Sunday, followed by the fourth-high Raiders’ pass offense on Thanksgiving at home. Las Vegas presents additionally a pass defense ranked 9th in fewest passing yards allowed. Prescott has performed well in passing duels.
Week 9
Dak was not good. He was unable to convert 2 4th downs in the 1st quarter, throwing short of WR Ced Wilson on 4th and 2 on the 2nd to start Denver on a drive for its 1st TD. Prescott’s offense converted only 1 of 8 attempts in the 1st half on 3rd and 4th downs, helping Denver gain a 16-0 lead, momentum and confidence. Any stats for Dak were distorted by 2 garbage-time TD drives in the 4th quarter. But then, if you’re a fantasy owner you can count all his 19 for 39 passing for 232 yards (120 in garbage time) with 2 TDs and 1 INT. That he was sacked just twice (for 20 yards) was a tribute to Prescott’s ability to escape a relentless pass rush that made him “definitely shocked,” including 2 scrambles for 16 yards. After missing a game because of a strained right calf muscle, Dak said the injury didn’t bother him against Denver. Evidence to the contrary: Dallas’s 18:48 time of possession, Prescott’s career-worst 1st-half completion rate (35.7%, 5 for 14, 75 yards), overthrowing WR CeeDee Lamb on a last-chance 4th down midway through the 3rd quarter.
Not the smooth sailing we expected. Is he sound enough physically, or is he at the mercy of an injury-weakened O-line? LT Terence Steele and RT La’el Collins were overmatched by the Broncos. In addition, LG Connor Williams is 1 of the NFL’s most-penalized O-linemen. The Cowboys are hoping Pro Bowl LT Tyron Smith could return for Sunday’s home game against Atlanta but given Smith’s injury history (1 game missed in his 1st 5 seasons, 27 in the last 4 ½), the Cowboys can’t count on his presence and performance vs. Atlanta, at Kansas City and in a quick turnaround on Thanksgiving vs. the Raiders. We could expect a Week 11 shootout at Kansas City, where the Chiefs’ pass D has allowed the 6th-most passing yards, even more than the Dallas D. Thanksgiving opponent Las Vegas has allowed the third-lowest total of passing yards.
Week 5
Prescott was playing on the same field against the same team where 1 day short of 1 year before he went down for the rest of the season with a broken ankle. He said afterward that he had been thinking back to last season against the Giants. After a shaky start that included an INT, a fumble and just 3 completions in 8 1st-quarter passes, Prescott finished with 302 yards and 3 TDs on 22-for-32 passing. 9.4 yards per attempt. His 2 rushing attempts gained 3 yards each. He showed great sleight of hand on a 4-yard TD pass to RB Ezekiel Elliott, which followed 2 fakes that caught the Giants’ defense off guard.
The Cowboys have scored 35+ points in 3 straight games for the first time since Weeks 14-17 of 2014. Those 3 wins came at home. Dallas next will travel to New England and Minnesota sandwiched around a bye in Week 7. The Patriots have allowed the 5th fewest passing yards in the NFL, and the Vikings are second with 17 sacks. Dak and Cowboys have shown this season that they can be effective both passing and running.
Week 4
Few NFL QBs can throw just 22 passes and turn those into 4 TDs and a win. Prescott has been doing that throughout his career; he’s 23-3 when throwing less than 30. In his developing years, the Cowboys had a complementary rushing attack – like what they had against Carolina with 245 yards on the ground, including a season-high 35 from Prescott. Twice he broke away from a pass rush by running to the left for big gains. RG Zack Martin and the O-line kept the Panthers without a sack.
Dak will be playing at home Sunday against the Giants, coming off their 1st win. On the same field 52 weeks earlier, Prescott’s 2020 season ended with a broken ankle. His 75.2% completion percentage ranks 2nd in the NFL. After this week’s 3rd straight home game, Dallas will be on the road against the Patriots and Vikings sandwiched around the Cowboys’ bye week. Prescott is just 1 cog in an offense running on all cylinders. If needed, he’s capable of taking charge of a potent passing attack with multiple dangerous receivers.
Week 3
In a game when Dallas answered plenty of questions, Prescott answered 1 of ours Monday night by throwing an accurate long ball to WR CeeDee Lamb for 44 yards at the Eagles’ 1-yard line. In a blowout, Dak completed 21 of 26 passes for 238 yards and 3 TDs. Those totals were more than enough to improve his record when throwing for fewer than 300 yards to 22-3. He made a bad mistake when, after pushing out to the 5-yard line after an INT at the 1, he dropped back into the end zone long enough that the Eagles were able to sack him for a fumble that was caught for a Philadelphia TD. Prescott carried 9 times for 6 yards.
We’ve seen that he’s nearly as good as the pre-injury Prescott. He doesn’t have the mobility to be an effective ball carrier, but there’s nothing wrong with his throwing and leadership. Dak and the Cowboys offense will face a challenge Sunday from the visiting Panthers, leading NFL defenses with 146 passing yards per game.
Week 2
Negating the Chargers pass rush with quick throws, Prescott was sacked only once behind a patched-up O-line. He completed 23 of 27 for 237 yards with 1 INT. After he led Dallas to 2 1st-quarter TDs, the Cowboys didn’t reach the end zone again. He did direct the drive to the last-second game-winning FG. Returning RG Zack Martin and RT Terence Steele, starting in place of suspended RT La’el Collins, kept Chargers DE Joey Bosa away from Dak. Prescott’s offense had to punt only once.
We didn’t see Prescott throw long and were told that was because the Chargers consistently used 2 safeties in the secondary to keep receivers underneath. Maybe. We’ll see soon. Dak and the Cowboys offense will be home for the next 3 weeks, where they will face difficult hurdles Monday against the Eagles and in Week 4 vs. Carolina. Those teams have allowed a total of 44 points. The Panthers have the early lead in many team defensive categories.
Week 1
Negating the Tampa Bay pass rush with quick throws, Prescott was sacked only once while completing 42 of 58 attempts for 403 yards, with 3 TDs and a lone INT. That INT came on a 3rd-quarter pass that WR CeeDee Lamb couldn’t hold.

Prescott showed mobility dodging Bucs pass rushers and carried 4 times for 13 yards. He was coming back from a season-ending ankle injury in 2020 and a strained shoulder during training camp.

Prescott didn’t appear to be affected by the ankle injury. We didn’t see him throw long very often. But in WRs Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb, he has targets who can get open deep. The biggest question for the next 5 games could be whether he can receive similar protection when trying to escape to his right.

T Terence Steele, who was not effective when called upon to start 14 games last season, will start at RT Sunday against the Chargers and DE Joey Bosa. RT La’el Collins has been suspended for 5 games for violating the NFL’s substance-abuse policy. On the positive side, RG Zack Martin will be returning from the Covid-19 list.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Prescott averaged 1.5 more fantasy points per game last season than #2 in that category, Patrick Mahomes -- even with his injury game included. Remove that contest, and Prescott beat everyone else at the position by 7+ fantasy points per game.
  • Through 4 healthy outings last year, Prescott was on pace for 6,760 passing yards and 36 TDs. He reached 450 yards in 3 straight games before going down against the Giants.
  • It’s worth noting that Prescott ranked just 9th in Pro Football Focus passing grade over those first 4 weeks, with Jared Goff and Joe Burrow among the players ahead of him. He did post his highest passing grade since his rookie season, though, and the best overall grade of his career to date.
  • After going 58-42 with their pass-run split in 2019, Kellen Moore’s 1st season as OC, the Cowboys passed on 66.2% of their offensive plays through Prescott’s 5 starts in 2020. Dallas went 68.6% pass in Prescott’s 4 full outings, though going 1-3 in those contests contributed to that rate. Even the Week 2 win over Atlanta was a big comeback (down 19 at the half).
  • According to PFF, Prescott’s passing grade improved the further downfield he targeted. That included the Dallas QB ranking 2nd among qualifiers in adjusted completion rate on deep balls (20+ yards downfield).
  • That falls right in line with his previous results. Prescott graded out 4th-best among deep passers in 2019, with his next-best grade in the 10-19 yard range. His first 3 seasons also found Prescott delivering his strongest passing grades in the deeper 2 ranges.
  • That matches up nicely with 1 of the league’s top set of pass-catchers. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb all excel at getting downfield.
  • Despite playing only 4 full games, Prescott still reached 3 rushing TDs for the 5th straight season. He’s the only QB to do so each of the past 5 years. Just 5 others have reached 3 rushing TDs 3 times in that span.
  • His 19.0 rushing yards per game since 2016 ranks 12th over that span among QBs with at least 100 total carries.
  • Dallas let Prescott play on the franchise tag last season, after the 2 sides couldn’t agree on an extension. He then got a 4-year, $160 million extension this March, including a record $126 million guaranteed -- in spite of the compound fracture and dislocated ankle in his right leg that ended Prescott’s season. That says they not only believe in the player, but also believe he’ll rebound from the injury.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Prescott’s return from last year’s gruesome ankle injury will bear watching through the summer -- both for any setbacks and any sign of impact on his play. But the Cowboys’ actions indicate they believe he’ll be ready. On top of the big new contract, Dallas let Andy Dalton walk in free agency and look prepared to roll with Garrett Gilbert as the backup. More important than that, of course: Prescott heads into another season with maybe the league’s best set of wideouts. And the Cowboys have leaned more toward the pass recently.

A healthy Prescott sports as high a fantasy ceiling as anyone at the position. The depth at QB makes it even easier to gamble on his ankle.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Dallas Morning News' Michael Gehlken believes the Cowboys' starters are "unlikely to see [their] usual workload" vs. the Eagles tonight. Dallas has little to play for with the NFC East already clinched. QB Dak Prescott, RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR CeeDee Lamb, WR Amari Cooper and TE Dalton Schultz are all risky fantasy plays.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys HC Mike McCarthy said Monday that his team will play its starters in Saturday night's regular-season finale at Philadelphia. "We're going to line up to do what we need to do to win the game," McCarthy told reporters, according to The Athletic's Jon Machota. We wouldn't be shocked if RB Ezekiel Elliott gets the night off to rest his knee, or if the Eagles decide to rest starters and thus present a light challenge. For now, though, you should assume that any active Cowboys on your fantasy football roster will be going in Week 18.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (calf) is not listed on the final Week 9 injury report. He put in full practices on Thursday and Friday. ESPN's Ed Werder reported Thursday that the Cowboys have an "unlimited" game plan for Prescott vs. Denver this weekend. He’s safe to get back into fantasy lineups.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

ESPN's Ed Werder reported on NFL Live that the Cowboys have an "unlimited" game plan for QB Dak Prescott (calf) this week. Werder said that means the team will take full advantage of Prescott's mobility outside the pocket. Dallas played it extremely safe with this calf injury, so we're not expecting Prescott to be at all limited vs. Denver on Sunday.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys HC Mike McCarthy confirmed that QB Dak Prescott (calf) is expected to be a full-go in Thursday's practice and play vs. the Broncos on Sunday. We'll continue to monitor his status, but Prescott can be penciled into Week 9 fantasy lineups.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

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