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Dak Prescott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDak Prescott's Basic Stats

Dak Prescott
ADP: 8.3
Bye: 7
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 30.2
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 238
40 Time: 4.79
SPARQx (Rank): 95.00 (68%)
Burst Score (Rank): 114.90 (71%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.43 (55%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 54.00 (37%)

Dak Prescott's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
232.4 1.7 0.6 14.1 17.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
250.6 1.8 0.8 14.8 18.1

Dak Prescott's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Quarterback

289.6 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
8.3 350.8/527 4009.4 28.3 13 55 236 3.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDak Prescott's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Dak couldn’t repeat the magic of his 37-TD season from 2020.

A Week 1 thumb fracture and a lack of weapons proved tough to overcome in 2022, but they’re both non-issues now.

Brandin Cooks and a healthier Michael Gallup make this one of Dak’s better WR corps. Coming at a QB10 price tag, the 30-year-old is a fine target for patient QB drafters.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Prescott appeared in only 12 games.
    • He suffered an extra-articular fracture to his right thumb in Week 1. He sat out the next five games following surgery.
  • Overall, Dak ranked QB9 in fantasy points per game.
    • He rarely flashed an elite ceiling, though, with two top-5 finishes.
  • Among 31 QBs with 300+ dropbacks, Dak tied for 12th in yards per attempt, ranked 21st in adjusted completion rate, tied for 15th in big-time throw rate, and ranked 21st in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • Dak tied for the league lead in INTs (15) and set a career high in INT rate (3.8%).
  • The offense lacked a dependable field stretcher behind WR CeeDee Lamb.
    • WR Michael Gallup played 14 games but was clearly affected by his return from the late-2021 ACL tear.
    • Rookie WR Jalen Tolbert, a Round 3 pick, barely saw the field.
    • So WR Noah Brown, who tallied 425 yards over his first four seasons, wound up finishing 3rd among Cowboys in targets.
  • Prescott scrambled at a higher rate than he did in 2021 (once every 24 dropbacks vs. once every 29.2 dropbacks). Still, it didn’t translate into fantasy success.
    • After going for 6 rushing scores in his first two seasons, Dak posted 1 rushing TD for the second straight season.
    • He averaged 15.1 rushing yards per game, up from 9.1 in 2021. Prescott was coming off a 2020 ankle fracture that year.
  • Dallas’ O-line wasn’t a weakness. Dak saw pressure on 31.4% of his dropbacks – a mid-pack mark. They ranked 15th in PFF pass blocking grade.

What to Expect in 2023
  • Dak will be almost a full year removed from right thumb surgery come Week 1. It’s a non-issue.
  • Dallas swung a trade for former Texans WR Brandin Cooks.
    • Cooks is coming off a down 2022 and isn’t in his prime at 30. But the 10th-year vet still provides some much-needed speed.
  • Offseason chatter on WR Michael Gallup indicates he’s much closer to pre-ACL form. He’ll likely slot into the No. 3 role behind Lamb and Cooks.
  • Dallas let TE Dalton Schultz walk in free agency. With Round 2 rookie Luke Schoonmaker, Jake Ferguson, and Peyton Hendershot battling for starting snaps, it’s a downgraded position.
  • Kellen Moore left to take the Chargers’ OC job, so HC Mike McCarthy will call plays for the first time since 2018 (in Green Bay). Dallas promoted Brian Schottenheimer to OC.
    • Schottenheimer has teased a “fast” approach on offense. Dallas was already second in situation-neutral pace last season, per Football Outsiders.
    • He added that about 70% of the offense will resemble what they ran in 2022.
    • McCarthy has said that the offense won’t feature different terminology. We’re ultimately not expecting much of an adjustment for Dak.
  • Dallas’ O-line remains solid, but how much will the team get out of Tyron Smith? The once-elite LT has missed 33 games over the past three seasons.

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Dak Prescott, QB DAL

6:35am EDT 9/25/23

Red zone woes sink Dak Prescott

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott struggled in the red zone in Week 3, leading to a lowly 249-1-1 passing line. “It just goes back to myself, the offense, in the red zone,” Dak said. “We get better there, we win this game. But we've got to fix that area, period.” After going one of five in the red zone on Sunday, the Cowboys now rank 27th in RZ efficiency. If we’re searching for a positive: Michael Gallup enjoyed his best game of 2023 (6-92). Brandin Cooks also returned in this one and dodged a setback. Prescott will look to rebound at home vs. New England.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott completed 13 of 24 attempts for 143 passing yards without any TDs or INTs in Sunday night’s win vs. the Giants. The veteran also added another 6 yards as a rusher in Week 1. An early blocked FG TD and a 22-yard INT return for a TD each occurred in primetime action before the end of the first quarter. The fact of the matter is that Prescott didn’t need to have a massive game for Dallas to pull out the victory. Considering how big of a blowout this 40-0 game was before halftime, it isn’t easy to take much away from the contest for fantasy purposes. Prescott and company are set to square off against the Jets in Week 2.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah came away from Cowboys training camp “concerned” about the O-line. LT Tyron Smith “looked a little bit old,” per Jeremiah. He also noted the absence of G Zack Martin (contract). It’s a storyline to follow, but we’re not too worried about this unit limiting Dak Prescott and company. See why in our recent piece on O-line play and fantasy production.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott missed 5 games last year with a right thumb fracture. Back healthy, he’s looking to play a full season for the first time since 2019. As Nick Harris of the Cowboys’ official site writes, “the new offense [with HC Mike McCarthy as play caller]… has been constructed completely around Dak.” Prescott, with two years remaining on his current deal, might also receive an extension this summer. Currently, he’s scheduled to count nearly $60 million against Dallas’ 2024 cap. Before then, Dak will look to capitalize on the arrival of WR Brandin Cooks, who gives this unit a more dynamic 11 personnel. Prescott ultimately projects as a low-end QB1 for fantasy managers.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Dak Prescott, QB DAL
Dynasty MVP 243.0
Position Rank #20 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
754
1,226
2,325
Dynasty Write-up
A thumb fracture disrupted Dak’s 2022. When healthy, though, he remained a viable QB1. With WR CeeDee Lamb under control through at least 2024, Prescott, 29, is in good hands. He should also benefit from at least one year of WR Brandin Cooks, who was acquired in March.
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