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Dak Prescott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDak Prescott's Basic Stats

Dak Prescott
ADP: 5.12
Bye: 7
Experience: 8
Age: 30.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 238
40 Time: 4.79

SPARQx (Rank): 95.00 (65%)
Burst Score (Rank): 114.90 (69%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.43 (56%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 54.00 (37%)

Dak Prescott's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
282.4 2 0.7 13.6 20
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
268 1.8 0.7 15.8 19.3

Dak Prescott's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Quarterback

321.2 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
5.12 406.4/601.6 4518.4 32 11.2 51.2 217.6 4.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDak Prescott's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

After a slow start in 2023, Prescott went on to post the QB3 fantasy season.

This offense remains highly reliant on his arm – and the health of CeeDee Lamb. The All-Pro WR has missed only one game since entering the league, though. And Prescott made it through 2023 without missing action.

The 31-year-old shakes out as a mid-tier QB1.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Prescott enjoyed a resurgent season.
    • Appearing in all 17 games, he ranked third in QB fantasy points.
    • That was despite tallying only 2 rushing TDs. Dak’s 4,516 yards ranked third league-wide; his 36 TDs paced all QBs.
    • He set or matched personal bests in completions (410) and completion rate (69.5%).
  • His season began slowly, with fantasy finishes of QB29, QB17, QB17, QB20, and QB25.
    • From then on, Dak’s volume increased, helping him finish as a top-four fantasy QB seven times.
    • He finished worse than QB16 only once over that stretch.
  • Prescott scrambled on just 4.3% of his dropbacks – below league average. His best rushing days are very likely behind him.
  • Dak tied or led all QBs in EPA per play and success rate when pressured last year. That bodes well for any O-line turbulence in ‘24.
  • Dak wisely leaned on stud WR CeeDee Lamb.
    • Lamb accounted for 32.9% of Prescott’s completions, 38.7% of his yards, and 33.3% of his TDs.
    • Breakout TE Jake Ferguson quickly developed into Dak’s No. 2 target (71-761-5).
  • Dallas finished 16th in pass-block win rate; 11th in PFF’s pass-blocking grades.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Dallas lost LT Tyron Smith and C Tyler Biadasz in free agency.
    • Round 1 pick Tyler Guyton, a college RT, is likely to play LT
    • Round 3 pick Cooper Beebe is the favorite to replace Biadasz. The rookie played LT, RT, and LG in college.
  • We’re unconcerned about the other spots: LG Tyler Smith, RG Zack Martin, and RT Terence Steele. We anticipate a bounce-back year for Steele, who’s further removed from a ‘22 ACL/MCL tear.
  • Dallas moved on from WR Michael Gallup, a non-factor in 2023.
  • In his place, the team will look for more out of Jalen Tolbert and Round 6 rookie Ryan Flournoy.
    • There’s been offseason buzz on Tolbert, but he enters a make-or-break third season.
    • Flournoy turns 25 in October but brings solid size and reliable hands.
  • CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks return as the top two WRs.
    • Lamb will remain among the league’s most targeted players.
    • Cooks showed signs of decline last year and turns 31 in September. Consider him a subpar real-life WR2.
  • HC Mike McCarthy and OC Brian Schottenheimer return as the offensive brain trust.
    • Last year, Dallas ranked 12th in pass rate; fourth in pass rate over expected.
    • Given their questions in the backfield, another pass-centric offense is likely.

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Dak Prescott, QB DAL

10:03pm EST 12/17/23

Dak Prescott kills fantasy teams in Week 15

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott finished the Week 15 loss to the Bills with 134 passing yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT. He added 27 yards on four carries -- which wasn't nearly enough to salvage his fantasy day. The 134 passing yards were a season low. Prescott's 3.9 yards per attempt marked a season-low. And it was his first game since Week 1 without a passing TD. Buffalo's defense deserves a ton of credit, getting consistent pressure with four-man rushes and covering well on the back end. But Prescott continues to struggle on the road this season. He's now averaging just 216 passing yards and 1.1 TDs across seven games on the road (vs. 304 yards and 2.9 TDs at home). Prescott has finished as a top-12 fantasy QB in just two of those seven road games. He's back on the road in Week 16, although it's in Miami for a game with shootout potential. Prescott returns home for Week 17 for the Lions. If you've been rolling with him all season -- and you survived this Week 15 dud -- stick with Prescott these final two weeks.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott rebounded from a relative down week in the win at Carolina to hang 331 yards and 4 TD passes on the Commanders in Week 12. He did so while spreading the ball around more than usual. WR CeeDee Lamb led the way with 9 targets but posted just a 4-53-1 receiving line. WR Brandin Cooks snagged a 31-yard TD among his 4 receptions for 72 yards on 5 targets. The other two scores went to KaVontae Turpin from 34 yards out and RB Rico Dowdle on a 15-yard catch-and-run. The soft opponent certainly helped, but Prescott has now gone over 300 yards with 3+ TDs in four of his past five games. And his remaining schedule ranks third-best for QB scoring, with no truly worrisome spots. Prescott just might prove to be a league winner for 2023.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Dak Prescott, QB DAL
Dynasty MVP 250.5
Position Rank #35 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
812
1,310
2,186
Dynasty Write-up
A thumb fracture disrupted Dak’s 2022. When healthy, though, he remained a viable QB1. His production approached career highs in 2023, while WR CeeDee Lamb's game reached another level. Prescott turns just 31 in July, but his contract situation adds uncertainty over his future in Dallas.
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