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Dak Prescott - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dak Prescott
DAL

QB DAL

#5 Quarterback

420 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.74

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

17.7

DS Projection

22.4

Consensus

38 other sites
23

Low Ceiling

26.4

Rest of
Season

23.9

Week 6 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
255 2.2 0.5 13 22.4
Weekly Writeup
Dak continues to deliver on suboptimal volume. The QB10, he’s hit 24 fantasy points in 4 of 5 games…yet he ranks 20th in pass attempts. Plus, he’s yet to record a rushing score. A matchup with New England should lead to another balanced attack.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
267 2.1 0.6 15 23.9
Week 5
Prescott was playing on the same field against the same team where 1 day short of 1 year before he went down for the rest of the season with a broken ankle. He said afterward that he had been thinking back to last season against the Giants. After a shaky start that included an INT, a fumble and just 3 completions in 8 1st-quarter passes, Prescott finished with 302 yards and 3 TDs on 22-for-32 passing. 9.4 yards per attempt. His 2 rushing attempts gained 3 yards each. He showed great sleight of hand on a 4-yard TD pass to RB Ezekiel Elliott, which followed 2 fakes that caught the Giants’ defense off guard.
The Cowboys have scored 35+ points in 3 straight games for the first time since Weeks 14-17 of 2014. Those 3 wins came at home. Dallas next will travel to New England and Minnesota sandwiched around a bye in Week 7. The Patriots have allowed the 5th fewest passing yards in the NFL, and the Vikings are second with 17 sacks. Dak and Cowboys have shown this season that they can be effective both passing and running.
Week 4
Few NFL QBs can throw just 22 passes and turn those into 4 TDs and a win. Prescott has been doing that throughout his career; he’s 23-3 when throwing less than 30. In his developing years, the Cowboys had a complementary rushing attack – like what they had against Carolina with 245 yards on the ground, including a season-high 35 from Prescott. Twice he broke away from a pass rush by running to the left for big gains. RG Zack Martin and the O-line kept the Panthers without a sack.
Dak will be playing at home Sunday against the Giants, coming off their 1st win. On the same field 52 weeks earlier, Prescott’s 2020 season ended with a broken ankle. His 75.2% completion percentage ranks 2nd in the NFL. After this week’s 3rd straight home game, Dallas will be on the road against the Patriots and Vikings sandwiched around the Cowboys’ bye week. Prescott is just 1 cog in an offense running on all cylinders. If needed, he’s capable of taking charge of a potent passing attack with multiple dangerous receivers.
Week 3
In a game when Dallas answered plenty of questions, Prescott answered 1 of ours Monday night by throwing an accurate long ball to WR CeeDee Lamb for 44 yards at the Eagles’ 1-yard line. In a blowout, Dak completed 21 of 26 passes for 238 yards and 3 TDs. Those totals were more than enough to improve his record when throwing for fewer than 300 yards to 22-3. He made a bad mistake when, after pushing out to the 5-yard line after an INT at the 1, he dropped back into the end zone long enough that the Eagles were able to sack him for a fumble that was caught for a Philadelphia TD. Prescott carried 9 times for 6 yards.
We’ve seen that he’s nearly as good as the pre-injury Prescott. He doesn’t have the mobility to be an effective ball carrier, but there’s nothing wrong with his throwing and leadership. Dak and the Cowboys offense will face a challenge Sunday from the visiting Panthers, leading NFL defenses with 146 passing yards per game.
Week 2
Negating the Chargers pass rush with quick throws, Prescott was sacked only once behind a patched-up O-line. He completed 23 of 27 for 237 yards with 1 INT. After he led Dallas to 2 1st-quarter TDs, the Cowboys didn’t reach the end zone again. He did direct the drive to the last-second game-winning FG. Returning RG Zack Martin and RT Terence Steele, starting in place of suspended RT La’el Collins, kept Chargers DE Joey Bosa away from Dak. Prescott’s offense had to punt only once.
We didn’t see Prescott throw long and were told that was because the Chargers consistently used 2 safeties in the secondary to keep receivers underneath. Maybe. We’ll see soon. Dak and the Cowboys offense will be home for the next 3 weeks, where they will face difficult hurdles Monday against the Eagles and in Week 4 vs. Carolina. Those teams have allowed a total of 44 points. The Panthers have the early lead in many team defensive categories.
Week 1
Negating the Tampa Bay pass rush with quick throws, Prescott was sacked only once while completing 42 of 58 attempts for 403 yards, with 3 TDs and a lone INT. That INT came on a 3rd-quarter pass that WR CeeDee Lamb couldn’t hold.

Prescott showed mobility dodging Bucs pass rushers and carried 4 times for 13 yards. He was coming back from a season-ending ankle injury in 2020 and a strained shoulder during training camp.

Prescott didn’t appear to be affected by the ankle injury. We didn’t see him throw long very often. But in WRs Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb, he has targets who can get open deep. The biggest question for the next 5 games could be whether he can receive similar protection when trying to escape to his right.

T Terence Steele, who was not effective when called upon to start 14 games last season, will start at RT Sunday against the Chargers and DE Joey Bosa. RT La’el Collins has been suspended for 5 games for violating the NFL’s substance-abuse policy. On the positive side, RG Zack Martin will be returning from the Covid-19 list.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Prescott averaged 1.5 more fantasy points per game last season than #2 in that category, Patrick Mahomes -- even with his injury game included. Remove that contest, and Prescott beat everyone else at the position by 7+ fantasy points per game.
  • Through 4 healthy outings last year, Prescott was on pace for 6,760 passing yards and 36 TDs. He reached 450 yards in 3 straight games before going down against the Giants.
  • It’s worth noting that Prescott ranked just 9th in Pro Football Focus passing grade over those first 4 weeks, with Jared Goff and Joe Burrow among the players ahead of him. He did post his highest passing grade since his rookie season, though, and the best overall grade of his career to date.
  • After going 58-42 with their pass-run split in 2019, Kellen Moore’s 1st season as OC, the Cowboys passed on 66.2% of their offensive plays through Prescott’s 5 starts in 2020. Dallas went 68.6% pass in Prescott’s 4 full outings, though going 1-3 in those contests contributed to that rate. Even the Week 2 win over Atlanta was a big comeback (down 19 at the half).
  • According to PFF, Prescott’s passing grade improved the further downfield he targeted. That included the Dallas QB ranking 2nd among qualifiers in adjusted completion rate on deep balls (20+ yards downfield).
  • That falls right in line with his previous results. Prescott graded out 4th-best among deep passers in 2019, with his next-best grade in the 10-19 yard range. His first 3 seasons also found Prescott delivering his strongest passing grades in the deeper 2 ranges.
  • That matches up nicely with 1 of the league’s top set of pass-catchers. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb all excel at getting downfield.
  • Despite playing only 4 full games, Prescott still reached 3 rushing TDs for the 5th straight season. He’s the only QB to do so each of the past 5 years. Just 5 others have reached 3 rushing TDs 3 times in that span.
  • His 19.0 rushing yards per game since 2016 ranks 12th over that span among QBs with at least 100 total carries.
  • Dallas let Prescott play on the franchise tag last season, after the 2 sides couldn’t agree on an extension. He then got a 4-year, $160 million extension this March, including a record $126 million guaranteed -- in spite of the compound fracture and dislocated ankle in his right leg that ended Prescott’s season. That says they not only believe in the player, but also believe he’ll rebound from the injury.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Prescott’s return from last year’s gruesome ankle injury will bear watching through the summer -- both for any setbacks and any sign of impact on his play. But the Cowboys’ actions indicate they believe he’ll be ready. On top of the big new contract, Dallas let Andy Dalton walk in free agency and look prepared to roll with Garrett Gilbert as the backup. More important than that, of course: Prescott heads into another season with maybe the league’s best set of wideouts. And the Cowboys have leaned more toward the pass recently.

A healthy Prescott sports as high a fantasy ceiling as anyone at the position. The depth at QB makes it even easier to gamble on his ankle.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (shoulder) was listed as a full participant on the 1st official practice report of the season on Monday. His surgically repaired ankle isn't even on the injury report. It's confirmation that Prescott will be under center for Thursday night's opener vs. the Bucs.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys owner Jerry Jones said Sunday that QB Dak Prescott (shoulder) is "good to go" for the start of the season after a nice week of practice. “He really turned it loose and was none the worse for it," Jones said. Prescott got limited practice reps this offseason as he rehabbed ankle and then shoulder injuries. But he's returning to the same offense with the same group of weapons. There's more risk with Prescott than the rest of the top-end fantasy QBs -- but his ceiling easily climbs into the top 3.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is back to full practice participation. “I thought he looked great,'' OC Kellen Moore said Thursday, referring to Prescott's Wednesday workout. "We’re not looking at anything from a limitation standpoint ... We're just playing ball at this point. We're fired up." Obviously, there's always chance of a re-injury, but Dallas has clearly been playing it cautiously with their franchise passer. It sounds like we should feel confident in drafting Prescott in fantasy football leagues.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (shoulder) is expected to throw in 7-on-7 drills in Wednesday's practice, David Helman of the team's official website reports. It'll be Prescott's 1st competitive reps since the 1st week of training camp. He continues to trend toward being ready to rock come Week 1.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott (shoulder) told NFL Network's Tom Pelissero that he has "no doubt" he'll be 100% for Week 1. Pelissero adds that Prescott has had no setbacks in his rehab and could have played vs. Houston on Saturday night if it was a regular-season game. Dallas reportedly plans to ramp up Prescott's reps in practice this coming week and have him be a full-go during the week leading up to the Thursday night opener vs. the Bucs

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

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