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Ty Chandler - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTy Chandler's Basic Stats

Ty Chandler
ADP: 12.9
Bye: 6
Experience: 3
Age: 26.2
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 204
40 Time: 4.38

SPARQx (Rank): 103.50 (30%)
Burst Score (Rank): 113.20 (25%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.81 (13%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.40

Ty Chandler's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
32.6 0.2 1.4 10.7 0.05 6.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
20.5 0.1 1.1 8 0 3.8

Ty Chandler's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#38 Running Back

128.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
12.9 136 583.5 3.59 0.2 0 24.6 187.6 0.88

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTy Chandler's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Chandler flashed in the second half of last season and has garnered praise from his coach. But the Vikings also imported a far more accomplished RB this offseason. Chandler will remain involved but will have a hard time being fantasy relevant while Aaron Jones is healthy. He’s a decent handcuff-level stash.

What We Learned Last Year

  • HC Kevin O’Connell clearly didn’t like Chandler as much at the beginning of the season as he did by the end.
  • The 2022 fifth-round pick totaled just eight carries and six targets through the first nine games. That doesn’t happen with a RB you’re excited about, especially when your starter is Alexander Mattison. The Vikings also acquired Cam Akers and played him ahead of Chandler during that span.
  • But Akers tore an Achilles’ tendon in Week 9. And then Mattison left Week 10 with a concussion. Chandler led that game with 15 carries but then worked as the RB2 over the next three contests with Mattison back.
  • Then Mattison left Week 14 with an ankle injury. Chandler filled in there, and then broke out with a 23-132-1 rushing line and 3-25 receiving as the Week 15 feature back.
  • Vikings coaches kept Chandler working ahead of Mattison the rest of the way, but he averaged just 10 carries, 42 rushing yards, 1.7 receptions, and 14.7 receiving yards over the final three contests.
  • For the season, Chandler ranked a solid 31st in Pro Football Focus rushing grade among 78 RBs with 40+ carries.
  • He ranked 44th in yards after contact per carry and 56th in elusive rating.

What to Expect in 2024

  • O’Connell has spoken highly of Chandler this offseason, enough to indicate that he’ll have a solid role even with Aaron Jones entering the fold.
  • That’s easier to believe given that Jones has averaged 12.1 carries per game for his career. Jones increased his carries per game each of the past two years but is coming off the most time lost to injury of his career.
    • Jones missed six whole games and parts of several others while dealing with multiple lower-body injuries.
    • He also closed 2023 with five straight games of 18+ carries and more than 100 yards rushing.
  • O’Connell has specifically praised Jones’ ability in the passing game this offseason and stated that Chandler needs further development in that area.
  • That’s significant for a team that ranked seventh in neutral-situation pass rate over the past two years (O’Connell’s stint).

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Cam Akers, RB HOU

11:35am EDT 7/3/24

Vikings Set to Bring Back Cam Akers?

The Vikings are expected to re-sign RB Cam Akers, according to Charley Walters of the Pioneer Press. That depends, of course, on Akers passing a physical. He joined Minnesota last September but went down for the season in Week 9 with a torn left Achilles' tendon. Over his six games with the team, Akers reached 29% snap shares four times, with a high of 39% in Week 7. He worked ahead of Ty Chandler over that span but behind then-starter Alexander Mattison.

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The Athletic's Alec Lewis says fans should "be keeping their eyes on" Vikings RB Ty Chandler, coming out of the team's recent minicamp. RT Brian O'Neill called Chandler one of the most explosive players on the team. "I see us having a one-two punch at running back, almost like they have in Detroit," O'Neill said, pairing Chandler with import Aaron Jones. "I don't know if that's what's happening on the offensive side, but I know that we have two true No. 1 running backs. I'd buy stock in Ty Chandler if I could." If the starting RT doesn't know how the RBs will be deployed this season, then odds are that remains a developing situation. It's worth noting that Jones -- signed immediately after the Packers released him -- turns 30 in December, has averaged 12.1 carries per game for his career, and has only reached 13.0 in a season twice across seven years.

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The Vikings have agreed to a deal with former Packers RB Aaron Jones, according to The Athletic's Dianna Russini. This comes just a day after Jones' release and Green Bay's announced deal with RB Josh Jacobs. Minnesota finished last season with Ty Chandler leading the backfield, and he should still factor in a decent amount. Jones has averaged 12.1 carries per game for his career and reached 13.0 in just two of his seven seasons. But we're betting Jones will lead the Vikings in both carries and RB targets. He should be a top-24 RB across draft formats and carries upside into the top 12. Jones turned 29 in December but also closed out the season with five straight games of 108+ rushing yards (and 18+ carries in each of those). Chandler looks like an RB4 -- with handcuff upside behind a starter who has missed games in five of seven seasons. Check our updated RB rankings to see where the new teammates land.

View all Aaron Jones Shark Bites »

The Vikings are releasing RB Alexander Mattison, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. The move saves the team $3.35 million in 2024 cap space. Mattison opened last season as Minnesota's lead back but eventually lost that job to Ty Chandler. Mattison has failed to reach 4.0 yards per carry in three straight seasons now and is unlikely to find more than a No. 2 RB job on the open market. The Vikings, meanwhile, are a virtual lock to add to the backfield this offseason. The level of addition will tell us how strongly they feel about Chandler, who played well down the stretch last year. He's currently RB38 in Underdog ADP but figures to get pricier now. Chandler sits 31st among RBs in our best-ball rankings.

View all Alexander Mattison Shark Bites »

There was a lot of chatter entering Week 16 surrounding the potential increase in Vikings RB Ty Chandler’s workload. Sunday’s game against the Lions didn’t see the second-year back dominate in the box score (8 carries, 17 rushing yards), though there is some good news that came from the contest. Chandler did find the end zone, which salvaged his fantasy contributions to a small degree, and teammate Alexander Mattison was almost completely uninvolved (2 carries, -1 yard). It’s clear that HC Kevin Stefanski’s comments from earlier in the week proved to be truthful. Chandler has certainly become the Vikings' RB1. Fantasy managers who survived and advanced to Week 17 should be comfortable going back to Chandler in lineups. The Packers rank 23rd in run defense DVOA this season and as the 10th-best RB matchup per our adjusted fantasy points allowed. It’s a good spot for him to net low-end RB2/flex-level value.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Ty Chandler, RB MIN
Dynasty MVP 72.2
Position Rank #61 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
233
373
642
Dynasty Write-up
Chandler captured Minnesota's lead back role late in the 2023 season. He showed some explosive chops and receiving game ability, but he'll return to a reserve role in 2024 with Aaron Jones rostered.
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