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Tyler Allgeier - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Basic Stats

Tyler Allgeier
ADP: 11.5
Bye: 14
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22.4
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.60
SPARQx (Rank): 110.10 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 116.10 (37%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.45 (45%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Tyler Allgeier's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
23.5 0.1 0.4 3.2 0 3.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
26.7 0.2 1 5.9 0 4.3

Tyler Allgeier's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#52 Running Back

72.9 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
11.5 101.4 392.5 3.1 0.9 1 18.5 134.6 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Allgeier walked on at BYU, redshirted in 2018 and actually moved to LB for part of the 2019 season.
  • He received a scholarship prior to the 2020 campaign and earned a starting job, finishing with 150 carries for 1,130 yards and 13 scores.
  • Allgeier turned in a massive 2021 season. He ranked 4th nationally with 1,601 rushing yards and popped in 23 TDs on 276 attempts (5.8 YPC).
    • Allgeier benefited from playing behind a strong BYU offensive line that ranked 9th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 run-blocking grades
    • But he ranked 13th in PFF rushing grade and 20th in Elusive Rating among 173 RBs with 100+ carries.
    • Against the 4 best defenses he faced last year -- Baylor, Arizona State, Utah and Boise State -- Allgeier was held to 3.3 yards per carry.
    • He set career highs with 28 catches and 199 yards. But Allgeier accounted for just 6.0% of BYU’s receiving yards and ranked 91st among 120 qualifying RBs in yards per route run.
  • Allgeier checked into the Combine at 5’11, 224 pounds and posted the following results in athletic testing:
    • 40-yard dash: 4.60 seconds (42nd percentile)
    • Vertical: 33 inches (35th)
    • Broad: 120 inches (65th)
  • The Falcons selected Allgeier in the 5th round of this spring’s draft. He was the 12th RB off the board.
  • 28 RBs were selected in Round 5 over the previous 10 drafts …
    • Jordan Howard, Zac Stacy and Vick Ballard hit 200+ carries and 800+ rushing yards as rookies
    • But only 1 other (Karlos Williams) reached 500 rushing yards.
    • Only 1 other (Paul Perkins) tallied 100+ carries.
  • Allgeier finds plenty of opportunity in the Atlanta backfield.
    • Mike Davis, who tallied 138 carries and 58 targets last year, is gone.
    • Cordarrelle Patterson returns after a breakout 2021 season that saw him post a 153-618-6 rushing line and 52-548-5 receiving. But he’s 31 now and didn’t top 64 carries or 228 yards in any of his first 8 NFL seasons.
    • Damien Williams arrived in free agency. He got a cheap, 1-year deal, has never reached 500 rushing yards in a season and turned 30 in April.
  • Josh Kendall of The Athletic believe’s there’a “scenario in which RB Tyler Allgeier becomes Atlanta’s starting RB” in 2022.
  • HC Arthur Smith returns for his 2nd season in Atlanta. The 2021 Falcons ranked:
    • 29th in total yards
    • 26th in points
    • 29th in rush attempts
    • 31st in rush yards
    • 27th in rush TDs
  • The Falcons traded QB Matt Ryan to the Colts in March. They signed QB Marcus Mariota in free agency and then grabbed QB Desmond Ridder in Round 3 of this year’s draft.
  • The 2021 Falcons ranked 6th in PFF’s run-blocking grades but just 20th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards.
    • They return the same 5 starters in 2022: LT Jake Matthews, LG Jalen Mayfield, C Matt Hennessy, RG Chris Lindstrom and RT Kaleb McGary.
  • DraftKings sports book has Atlanta’s over/under win total set at 5. Only the Texans have a lower total.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Allgeier has a relatively clear path to work in Atlanta, with Cordarrelle Patterson, Damien Williams and Qadree Ollison filling out the depth chart.

Just be careful not to overrate that path. Allgeier is an unexciting-looking prospect, was a 5th-round pick and will be playing on 1 of the worst offenses in the league.

He’s a fine flier to take near the end of your fantasy drafts. But you shouldn’t enter the season counting on him as a starter.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cordarrelle Patterson, RB ATL

3 hours ago

Patterson heading to short-term IR

The Falcons are placing RB Cordarrelle Patterson on IR with a designation to return. According to multiple reports, Patterson had a "procedure" Monday morning. We're assuming it addressed the left knee that had him questionable entering Sunday and limited his touches against Cleveland. Patterson will miss at least the next 4 games, leaving the backfield to rookie Tyler Allgeier, Caleb Huntley and Avery Williams. Damien Williams figures to be in the mix as well if he makes it back from his IR stint for a rib injury. There's no exciting option in this group, but we'd bet on Allgeier as the most productive. A Week 5 meeting with Tampa Bay likely won't prove as favorable as it looked to Chiefs RBs on Sunday night.

View all Cordarrelle Patterson Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson missed his 2nd straight practice on Thursday. He's listed on the injury report as "resting player" and "knee," making this a confusing situation. We'll see if Patterson practices on Friday and how he's listed on the final injury report. If he can't play vs. the Browns on Sunday, rookie Tyler Allgeier would likely step in as Atlanta's lead back.

View all Cordarrelle Patterson Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson ran for 141 yards and a TD on 17 carries in Sunday's win over the Seahawks. He ceded just 7 other rushing attempts to Tyler Allgeier (6) and Avery Williams (1). Patterson again didn't see much receiving work. He garnered 1 target for the 2nd straight game and ran just 2 more routes than the combined total for Allgeier and Williams. We're not sure Patterson is built to regularly log 17+ carries, as he has in 2 of the 1st 3 games. But we'll take the production from a guy whose ADP sat well outside of starter range in fantasy football drafts. A decent Week 4 matchup with Cleveland gives way to tougher defenses from Tampa Bay and San Francisco the following 2 games.

View all Cordarrelle Patterson Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson ran for 41 yards on 10 carries in Sunday's loss to the Rams. Atlanta trailed for most of the game, which didn't help. But Patterson also watched rookie RB Tyler Allgeier match his carry total. Patterson added just 1 target among 13 routes. Allgeier, Avery Williams and Caleb Huntley combined to run 11 routes. We'd like to see more separation for Patterson in at least 1 of the 2 areas -- especially the passing game -- vs. the rest of the backfield. There's some sell potential here, with proximity still to his big Week 1 and/or if he has big games in matchups with Seattle and Cleveland the next 2 weeks.

View all Cordarrelle Patterson Shark Bites »

With Damien Williams on short-term IR with a rib injury, Falcons rookie RB Tyler Allgeier got his 1st pro action in Sunday's loss to the Rams. Allgeier matched RB Cordarrelle Patterson for the team carry lead (10), turning that into just 30 yards. He ran 5 routes but didn't get a target. Allgeier trailed only Patterson in playing time, with Avery Williams and Caleb Huntley factoring in behind them. Patterson ran for 41 yards on 10 attempts and garnered just 1 target (no catches).

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Tyler Allgeier, RB ATL
Dynasty MVP 49.7
Position Rank #71 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
236
236
236
Dynasty Write-up
Allgeier’s draft capital is less than ideal: He was a 5th-round pick and the 12th RB off the board. But two-thirds of the Draft Sharks staff had him as a top-9 RB in the class pre-draft. Allgeier is a 5’11, 224-pound power back who’s coming off a 1,601-yard, 23-TD season. He’s also adept in the passing game, catching 42 balls over the last 2 seasons. Most importantly, Allgeier is a prime candidate to climb in dynasty value this year after landing in Atlanta. With RB Mike Davis gone, Allgeier is only competing for snaps with Cordarrelle Patterson, Damien Williams and Qadree Ollison.
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