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Tyler Allgeier - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Basic Stats

Tyler Allgeier
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.6
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.60
SPARQx (Rank): 110.10 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 116.10 (37%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.45 (45%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Tyler Allgeier's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
27.6 0.2 0.6 4.5 0 4.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
41.9 0.4 0.5 2.8 0 7

Tyler Allgeier's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#46 Running Back

112.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 113.9 670.7 6.9 1.5 2 7.5 45.3 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Allgeier looks like a high-level handcuff behind Bijan Robinson in 2023.

Whether he can be a standalone fantasy contributor will depend primarily on just how high the rushing rate remains in Atlanta.

Don’t start the season expecting Allgeier to be worth setting in your lineup in leagues of 12 teams or fewer.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Allgeier didn’t really get going until after the bye.
  • He did see a slight bump in work across weeks 5-9, with Cordarrelle Patterson out. But even then, Allgeier topped 41.9% carry share just once in four games.
  • Overall, Allgeier garnered just 31.3% of Falcons carries through the 13 games before the team’s bye. He averaged 10.1 rushes per game over that span.
  • The fifth-round rookie jumped to 56% carry share and 19.8 carries per game over the final four contests, after the bye.
  • He remained a limited passing-game contributor all year, exceeding one target in a game only three times en route to 17 total looks. Allgeier did catch 16 of those for 139 yards and a TD (8.7 yards per reception).
  • Among 61 RBs with at least 70 carries (playoffs included) last year, Allgeier ranked:
    • 6th in Pro Football Focus run grade
    • 6th in yards after contact per attempt
    • 6th in elusive rating
    • T-12th in yards per carry
  • Allgeier also ranked ninth in the league in rush yards over expected per carry. Cordarrelle Patterson checked in 14th, among 36 RBs with 90+ carries.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Allgeier isn’t likely to find more work in Year 2. After limiting their investment into RB over HC Arthur Smith’s first two seasons, the Falcons drafted Bijan Robinson eighth overall. That certainly seems to point to workhorse usage – at least a featured role.
  • Smith and GM Terry Fontenot preached “positionless” football after the Robinson selection, primarily in answer to how there might be room for multiple RBs.
  • Robinson, in particular, is capable of running WR routes. And early practice videos have already showed him lining up in WR positions at times.
  • Allgeier clearly had his opportunity ceiling lowered quite a bit by Robinson’s arrival. But he should also be the No. 2 rusher. And Atlanta’s offense ranked second most run-heavy in the league last year.
  • Don’t be surprised if the Falcons move a bit more toward the pass in 2023, however. The team went from 32nd in neutral-situation pass rate over Marcus Mariota’s 13 starts last year to 24th over Desmond Ridder’s four starts. The 2021 offense ranked 14th in neutral pass rate.
  • Patterson remains as competition. But he carried just 36 times vs. Allgeier’s 79 over last season’s final four games. That was 56% to 25.5% in Allgeier’s favor in carry share.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Bijan Robinson, RB ATL

9:36pm EST 11/12/23

Bijan Robinson gets boost in ground work

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson took a season-high 22 carries for 95 yards (4.3 per rush) and a TD in Sunday's loss to the Cardinals. That beat his previous high by 3 carries and marked eight more rushing attempts than he had received in a game since Week 2. Robinson's TD came from 5 yards out, just his third carry from inside the 10-yard line all season -- and his first since Week 6. Tyler Allgeier carried just nine times in a game that found Atlanta leading throughout the first half and the lead going back and forth after the break. Robinson added just one 11-yard catch among 2 targets, but only two teammates drew more targets as Atlanta attempted only 21 passes (vs. 41 rushes). If this signals a change in work split, then Robinson could be a fantasy difference maker the rest of the way. Atlanta now gets a Week 11 bye but faces four strongly positive matchups among the final six games after the bye.

View all Bijan Robinson Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson saw 11 carries for 51 rushing yards and 2 catches for 8 receiving yards in Week 9 vs. the Vikings. Fellow RB Tyler Allgeier was again a thorn in the side of the rookie, tallying 30 total yards and a rushing TD on a combined 14 touches in the contest. Allgeier’s involvement has cut into Robinson’s fantasy scoring lately. Over the past four games, Robinson only accounts for 34% of the Falcons’ RB touch opportunities. With how frustrating this offense is in the hands of HC Arthur Smith, it’s become tougher to project whether or not the former Texas standout is a low-end RB1 or middling RB2 each week. At least Week 10’s showdown vs. the Cardinals (third-easiest RB matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed) should present a get-right spot for Robinson.

View all Bijan Robinson Shark Bites »

Tyler Allgeier operated as the Falcons' workhorse RB in Tampa Bay on Sunday, with RB Bijan Robinson barely playing due to an illness. Allgeier struggled to get anything going on the ground, totaling just 59 yards on 21 carries. He added 53 yards on three catches, most of that coming on a 46-yard catch and run in the fourth quarter. We'll look for further updates on Robinson but would expect Allgeier to be back in his prior role next week. He averaged 12.5 carries and 1.7 targets over the first six games of the season. Week 8 brings a tough matchup vs. the Titans' ninth-ranked RB defense.

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Tyler Allgeier recorded 13 carries for a team-leading 51 rushing yards in Week 6’s loss vs. the Commanders. His rookie teammate Bijan Robinson logged an equal number of carries with 31 rushing yards and roped in 5 of 8 targets for 43 receiving yards as a pass-catcher in the contest. Though the Falcons’ run game wasn’t super effective on Sunday, Robinson’s contributions in the receiving game elevated him to 13 PPR points. Fantasy managers can hope for a better outing in Week 7 vs. the Buccaneers.

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson racked up 137 total yards in Sunday’s loss vs. the Jaguars. The rookie showcased his skill set in London with an impressive one-handed snag in the contest while also serving as the lone functional piece of the Atlanta offense. Tyler Allgeier took a back seat in Week 4, only tallying 7 carries for 16 yards and one catch that netted negative yardage. Managers who drafted Bijan should be thrilled to start him again next week vs. the Texans.

View all Bijan Robinson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Tyler Allgeier, RB ATL
Dynasty MVP 72.6
Position Rank #66 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
234
370
657
Dynasty Write-up
Allgeier was a pleasant surprise in 2022 for an offense hellbent on running. The Round 5 rookie (and converted LB) led Atlanta’s backfield and ranked top-15 among qualifiers in DVOA and Success Rate. Come the 2023 draft, Atlanta crushed any hope of a repeat by selecting Texas superstar Bijan Robinson.
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