Tyler Allgeier Fantasy Overview

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Allgeier carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 TDs last year. He added another 96 scoreless yards on 14 catches. He finished:

• 51st among RBs in PPR points per game
• 51st in half-PPR points per game
• 47th in non-PPR points per game

Usage & Role

Allgeier worked as the clear No. 2 RB behind Bijan Robinson, registering a:

• 29.9% snap rate
• 30.0% carry share
• 2.9% target share

Allgeier played a bigger role near the goal line, matching Robinson and tying for 22nd among all RBs with 10 carries inside the 5-yard line.

But he still finished outside the top 50 RBs in expected points per game across scoring formats.

Efficiency & Regression

Allgeier posted career worsts in multiple efficiency metrics last year, including:

• Yards per carry (3.6)
• Yards after contact per attempt (2.92)
• Missed tackles forced per attempt (0.18)

He also ranked 40th among 51 qualifying RBs in rush yards over expected per attempt.

Historical Production & Trends

Allgeier led the Falcons backfield with 210 carries and 1,035 rushing yards as a rookie in 2022. But he has worked behind Robinson the last three years, averaging 155 carries, 614 yards, and 5 TDs per season.

He ranks 31st in career yards after contact per attempt and 43rd in missed tackles forced per attempt among 69 RBs with 200+ carries over the last four seasons.

Allgeier has been lightly used in the passing game throughout his career, finishing all four seasons in the range of 13-18 catches.

Injury History & Durability

Allgeier has not missed a game due to injury across his four NFL seasons.

Projected Role & Competition

Allgeier inked a two-year, $12.25 million deal with the Cardinals in free agency in March. At that point, he looked like the favorite to lead the team in carries, ahead of James Conner and Trey Benson.

Then Arizona used the third overall pick on Jeremiyah Love. The Notre Dame product racked up 2,497 rushing yards on 6.9 yards per carry and 517 receiving yards on 9.4 yards per catch over the last two seasons.

Love will lead Arizona's backfield this season, and recent top-10 RB history says he has a real chance to dominate the work. Four of the last five RBs drafted in the top 10 averaged at least 16 touches per game as rookies, with three at 18.9 or more.

Allgeier already played behind one of those top-10 picks in 2023. Bijan Robinson only out-carried him 214 to 186, although Robinson crushed him 86 to 23 in targets. Allgeier still finished just 44th among RBs in PPR points per game and 42nd in non-PPR.

Supporting Cast

The Cardinals are in rebuild mode, planning to trot out Jacoby Brissett as their Week 1 starter. Brissett kept the offense decent over the final 12 games of last season. But we’re still talking about a 33-year-old journeyman 6.6 yards per attempt for his career.

There’s also a chance we see third-round rookie Carson Beck under center at some point this season. QB play is at least a minor concern for Allgeier’s 2026 outlook.

Same with the offensive line. Last year’s Cardinals ranked:

• 29th in adjusted line yards
• 15th in ESPN’s run block win rate
• 27th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades

Arizona added some pieces this offseason, namely free-agent G Isaac Seumalo and second-round rookie G Chase Bisontis. But this still projects as a subpar offensive line.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Arizona features a new coaching staff led by HC Mike LaFleur, who is expected to call offensive plays.

LaFleur spent the past three years as Rams OC but did not call plays. He also spent seven seasons working under Kyle Shanahan from 2014 to 2020. That’s a strong coaching tree, as Sean McVay and Shanahan have consistently churned out productive backfields.

But LaFleur’s only play-calling experience came with the Jets in 2021 and 2022. Neither offense was good, largely due to QB rooms of Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco.

The 2021 team deployed an ugly three-RB committee with Michael Carter, Tevin Coleman, and Ty Johnson. Carter led the way but finished just RB34 in PPR points per game.

Rookie Breece Hall arrived in 2022. He split work with Carter over the first three games of the season but claimed a workhorse role over the next three before tearing an ACL.

Paths to Ceiling

The best-case scenario for Allgeier this season is a role similar to the one he played behind rookie Bijan Robinson in 2023. He could maintain something close to a 50-50 split in carries with Jeremiyah Love, although Love is a lock to control receiving.

That type of usage could make Allgeier a usable RB3 or flex, especially in non-PPR leagues.

Risk Factors

Allgeier is the favorite for Arizona’s No. 2 RB job. But James Conner and Trey Benson remain on the roster.

If Allgeier doesn’t bounce back from underwhelming 2025 efficiency, he could get pushed for that spot on the depth chart.

There’s also a chance that Love dominates backfield work to the extent that Allgeier is a non-factor.