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Tyler Allgeier - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Basic Stats

Tyler Allgeier
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22.8
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.60
SPARQx (Rank): 110.10 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 116.10 (37%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.45 (45%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Tyler Allgeier's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Tyler Allgeier's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#56 Running Back

72.9 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 101.4 392.5 3.1 0.9 1 18.5 134.6 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyler Allgeier's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Allgeier walked on at BYU, redshirted in 2018 and actually moved to LB for part of the 2019 season.
  • He received a scholarship prior to the 2020 campaign and earned a starting job, finishing with 150 carries for 1,130 yards and 13 scores.
  • Allgeier turned in a massive 2021 season. He ranked 4th nationally with 1,601 rushing yards and popped in 23 TDs on 276 attempts (5.8 YPC).
    • Allgeier benefited from playing behind a strong BYU offensive line that ranked 9th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 run-blocking grades
    • But he ranked 13th in PFF rushing grade and 20th in Elusive Rating among 173 RBs with 100+ carries.
    • Against the 4 best defenses he faced last year -- Baylor, Arizona State, Utah and Boise State -- Allgeier was held to 3.3 yards per carry.
    • He set career highs with 28 catches and 199 yards. But Allgeier accounted for just 6.0% of BYU’s receiving yards and ranked 91st among 120 qualifying RBs in yards per route run.
  • Allgeier checked into the Combine at 5’11, 224 pounds and posted the following results in athletic testing:
    • 40-yard dash: 4.60 seconds (42nd percentile)
    • Vertical: 33 inches (35th)
    • Broad: 120 inches (65th)
  • The Falcons selected Allgeier in the 5th round of this spring’s draft. He was the 12th RB off the board.
  • 28 RBs were selected in Round 5 over the previous 10 drafts …
    • Jordan Howard, Zac Stacy and Vick Ballard hit 200+ carries and 800+ rushing yards as rookies
    • But only 1 other (Karlos Williams) reached 500 rushing yards.
    • Only 1 other (Paul Perkins) tallied 100+ carries.
  • Allgeier finds plenty of opportunity in the Atlanta backfield.
    • Mike Davis, who tallied 138 carries and 58 targets last year, is gone.
    • Cordarrelle Patterson returns after a breakout 2021 season that saw him post a 153-618-6 rushing line and 52-548-5 receiving. But he’s 31 now and didn’t top 64 carries or 228 yards in any of his first 8 NFL seasons.
    • Damien Williams arrived in free agency. He got a cheap, 1-year deal, has never reached 500 rushing yards in a season and turned 30 in April.
  • Josh Kendall of The Athletic believe’s there’a “scenario in which RB Tyler Allgeier becomes Atlanta’s starting RB” in 2022.
  • HC Arthur Smith returns for his 2nd season in Atlanta. The 2021 Falcons ranked:
    • 29th in total yards
    • 26th in points
    • 29th in rush attempts
    • 31st in rush yards
    • 27th in rush TDs
  • The Falcons traded QB Matt Ryan to the Colts in March. They signed QB Marcus Mariota in free agency and then grabbed QB Desmond Ridder in Round 3 of this year’s draft.
  • The 2021 Falcons ranked 6th in PFF’s run-blocking grades but just 20th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards.
    • They return the same 5 starters in 2022: LT Jake Matthews, LG Jalen Mayfield, C Matt Hennessy, RG Chris Lindstrom and RT Kaleb McGary.
  • DraftKings sports book has Atlanta’s over/under win total set at 5. Only the Texans have a lower total.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Allgeier has a relatively clear path to work in Atlanta, with Cordarrelle Patterson, Damien Williams and Qadree Ollison filling out the depth chart.

Just be careful not to overrate that path. Allgeier is an unexciting-looking prospect, was a 5th-round pick and will be playing on 1 of the worst offenses in the league.

He’s a fine flier to take near the end of your fantasy drafts. But you shouldn’t enter the season counting on him as a starter.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Tyler Allgeier, RB ATL

4:22pm EST 1/1/23

Allgeier dominates carries, finds end zone

Falcons RB Tyler Allgeier racked up 20 carries for 83 yards and a TD in Sunday's win over the Cardinals. He more than doubled RB Cordarrelle Patterson (9) in rushing attempts but watched Patterson control the receiving. Patterson caught a team-high 6 passes -- on a team-high-tying 8 targets -- for 42 yards. Patterson added a ground TD on 9-42 rushing. Atlanta closes out against a Buccaneers defense that has been a negative matchup for RB scoring but a neutral matchup for rushing overall (4.5 yards per carry allowed to RBs). Tampa Bay also might not have much to play for after clinching the NFC South title with a Week 17 win. Allgeier has claimed 17+ carries in 3 straight games.

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Tyler Allgeier once again the team in rushing for Sunday's loss to the Ravens. He rushed 18 times for 74 yards (4.1 per carry), compared with just 8-17 for RB Cordarrelle Patterson (2.1). Allgeier also beat his backfield mate in targets (5-1), receptions (4-1) and receiving yards (43-14). The rookie will be an intriguing play in Week 17 against a Cardinals defense that entered this week as the 5th most friendly RB-scoring matchup by our adjusted fantasy points allowed.

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Caleb Huntley will miss the rest of the season with an Achilles injury that will require surgery, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That also figures to threaten Huntley's availability for the start of the 2023 campaign. Huntley had been phased out recently, averaging just 1.8 carries over Atlanta's last 4 games, so his absence is just a slight boost for RBs Cordarrelle Patterson and Tyler Allgeier.

View all Caleb Huntley Shark Bites »

Falcons rookie RB Tyler Allgeier racked up 139 yards and a TD on a team-high 17 carries in Sunday's loss to the Saints. He edged RB Cordarrelle Patterson by 3 carries and trailed Patterson 3-1 in targets. Patterson took his 14 rushes for 52 yards (3.7 per attempt) and a TD. He caught just 1 of his 3 targets for no gain. Week 16 holds a terrible rushing matchup with the Ravens, who entered the week 7th in our adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs -- and have played even better more recently. A Week 17 matchup with Arizona looks much friendlier to Atlanta rushing.

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Caleb Huntley has been ruled out of Sunday's game vs. the Saints with an ankle injury. That'll leave backfield duties to RBs Cordarrelle Patterson and Tyler Allgeier.

View all Caleb Huntley Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Tyler Allgeier, RB ATL
Dynasty MVP 70.9
Position Rank #60 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
217
390
623
Dynasty Write-up
Allgeier was a pleasant surprise in 2022 for an offense hellbent on running. The Round 5 rookie (and converted LB) led Atlanta’s backfield and ranked top-15 among qualifiers in DVOA and Success Rate. The power back lacks receiving upside, though. And it’s possible that the Falcons pursue backfield competition in 2023.
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