Tyler Allgeier - Injury History

What You Need to Know:

• Allgeier walked on at BYU, redshirted in 2018 and actually moved to LB for part of the 2019 season.
• He received a scholarship prior to the 2020 campaign and earned a starting job, finishing with 150 carries for 1,130 yards and 13 scores.
• Allgeier turned in a massive 2021 season. He ranked 4th nationally with 1,601 rushing yards and popped in 23 TDs on 276 attempts (5.8 YPC).
  • Allgeier benefited from playing behind a strong BYU offensive line that ranked 9th in Pro Football Focus’ 2021 run-blocking grades
  • But he ranked 13th in PFF rushing grade and 20th in Elusive Rating among 173 RBs with 100+ carries.
  • Against the 4 best defenses he faced last year -- Baylor, Arizona State, Utah and Boise State -- Allgeier was held to 3.3 yards per carry.
  • He set career highs with 28 catches and 199 yards. But Allgeier accounted for just 6.0% of BYU’s receiving yards and ranked 91st among 120 qualifying RBs in yards per route run.
• Allgeier checked into the Combine at 5’11, 224 pounds and posted the following results in athletic testing:
  • 40-yard dash: 4.60 seconds (42nd percentile)
  • Vertical: 33 inches (35th)
  • Broad: 120 inches (65th)
• The Falcons selected Allgeier in the 5th round of this spring’s draft. He was the 12th RB off the board.
• 28 RBs were selected in Round 5 over the previous 10 drafts …
  • Jordan Howard, Zac Stacy and Vick Ballard hit 200+ carries and 800+ rushing yards as rookies
  • But only 1 other (Karlos Williams) reached 500 rushing yards.
  • Only 1 other (Paul Perkins) tallied 100+ carries.
• Allgeier finds plenty of opportunity in the Atlanta backfield.
  • Mike Davis, who tallied 138 carries and 58 targets last year, is gone.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson returns after a breakout 2021 season that saw him post a 153-618-6 rushing line and 52-548-5 receiving. But he’s 31 now and didn’t top 64 carries or 228 yards in any of his first 8 NFL seasons.
  • Damien Williams arrived in free agency. He got a cheap, 1-year deal, has never reached 500 rushing yards in a season and turned 30 in April.
• HC Arthur Smith returns for his 2nd season in Atlanta. The 2021 Falcons ranked:
  • 29th in total yards
  • 26th in points
  • 29th in rush attempts
  • 31st in rush yards
  • 27th in rush TDs
• The Falcons traded QB Matt Ryan to the Colts in March. They signed QB Marcus Mariota in free agency and then grabbed QB Desmond Ridder in Round 3 of this year’s draft.
• The 2021 Falcons ranked 6th in PFF’s run-blocking grades but just 20th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards.
  • They return the same 5 starters in 2022: LT Jake Matthews, LG Jalen Mayfield, C Matt Hennessy, RG Chris Lindstrom and RT Kaleb McGary.
• DraftKings sports book has Atlanta’s over/under win total set at 5. Only the Texans have a lower total.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Allgeier has a relatively clear path to work in Atlanta, with Cordarrelle Patterson, Damien Williams and Qadree Ollison filling out the depth chart.

Just be careful not to overrate that path. Allgeier is an unexciting-looking prospect, was a 5th-round pick and will be playing on 1 of the worst offenses in the league.

He’s a fine flier to take near the end of your fantasy drafts. But you shouldn’t enter the season counting on him as a starter.