Wan'Dale Robinson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Bottom Line

Further removed from a 2022 ACL tear, we may get a better version of Robinson in 2024.

But what about his volume? Malik Nabers joined the squad in Round 1. He projects as a dynamic, pro-ready weapon.

Targets are essential for a player like Robinson, who isn't a downfield or red zone factor.

The third-year pro is OK as a back-of-the-roster WR in PPR. There’s just not a significant ceiling here – notable for best ball leagues.

What We Learned Last Year

• A torn ACL surfaced in Week 11 of 2022. As a result, he missed Week 1 and Week 2 of last season.
• Robinson continued to play a short-range slot role for the Giants.
  • Robinson saw 50 targets from the slot, a number only 16 WRs beat.
  • Of his 76 total targets, 12% came on screens. That contributed to a 5.5-yard average depth of target (down from 6.1 in ‘22).
  • Only six of his targets came 20+ yards downfield.
• His yards per route run dropped to 1.31. His yards per catch fell over one yard to 8.8.
• On the year, Robinson saw only two red zone targets. He scored once, giving him two total TDs on 83 career catches.
• Losing Daniel Jones to a November ACL tear didn’t help.
  • New York QBs combined for 15 passing TDs and 197 passing yards per game.
  • The Giants ranked bottom five in total yards and points.
• Robinson finished as a top-36 WR five times. He slotted outside the top 50 on nine occasions.

What to Expect in 2024

• Robinson returns for year three alongside HC Brian Daboll, OC Mike Kafka, and QB Daniel Jones.
• Malik Nabers joins the Giants as an early Round 1 pick with immense potential.
  • He tallied 161 catches, 2,586 yards, and 17 TDs over the past two seasons.
  • Current projections have him for ~125 targets. His presence contributes to Robinson’s middling projection of 86 targets.
  • Nabers can be moved around the formation; he’s not a threat to eliminate Robinson’s slot role.
• Darren Waller retired. His absence removes 74 targets (12 games).
• Saquon Barkley joined the Eagles in free agency.
  • We may see some backfield targets shift elsewhere with Devin Singletary now the lead back. The fantasy impact figures to be minimal for Robinson, though.
• Daniel Jones returns for year three alongside HC Brian Daboll and OC Mike Kafka.
  • Coming off a November ACL tear, Jones is expected to return for Week 1. He continues to project as a below average passer.