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Xavier Worthy - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsXavier Worthy's Basic Stats

Xavier Worthy
ADP: 7.9
Bye: 6
Experience: 0
Age: 21.4
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 165
40 Time: 4.21

Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (96%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.28 (91%)

Xavier Worthy's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.6 51.7 0.33 7.7
Weekly Writeup
Worthy will be the top WR for the Chiefs with Rashee Rice on IR, but he still has never had more than four targets in a game. Andy Reid will have to scheme some touches for Worthy, but he still needs an explosive play to be counted on for fantasy. He is a high end WR3 with upside.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.1 57.7 0.3 8.4

Xavier Worthy's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#26 Wide Receiver

206.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
7.9 67.2 949.1 5.78 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsXavier Worthy's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Worthy’s short- and long-term fantasy outlooks got a boost when he landed with the Chiefs in Round 1 of this year’s draft. Kansas City has ranked top eight in passing yards and TDs in all six seasons since QB Patrick Mahomes took over.

Worthy faces stiff target competition this year from TE Travis Kelce, WR Marquise Brown, and WR Rashee Rice (after he serves an expected suspension). It’s possible that the rookie settles in as the No. 3 WR and No. 4 option in the passing game.

But he has the potential to push Rice for the lead WR role. That could have Worthy producing as a WR2 with upside for fantasy squads.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Worthy arrived at Texas as a four-star recruit.
  • He broke out as a true freshman in 2021, leading the Longhorns with 62 catches, 981 yards, and 12 TDs.
    • Worthy accounted for 29% of the team’s catches, 36% of the receiving yards, and 41% of the receiving TDs. Very strong market shares.
  • Worthy’s numbers took a step back in 2022: 60 catches, 760 yards, and nine TDs. He dealt with a QB change to freshman Quinn Ewers and played through a fractured finger. Worthy still led Texas in all major receiving categories.
  • Worthy set new career highs last year with 75 catches and 1,014 yards.
  • He did that despite the arrival of WR Adonai Mitchell, who went in the second round of this year’s draft.
    • Worthy beat Mitchell in catches, yards, and yards per route.
    • Mitchell beat Worthy in TDs and Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • Among 286 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Worthy ranked:
    • 125th in PFF receiving grade
    • 89th in yards per route
  • Texas made it a point to get the ball in Worthy’s hands. Nearly 23% of his career catches came on screens. He averaged a strong 7.3 yards after catch per reception over the past three years.
  • Worthy set the Combine record with a 4.21-second 40 time.
  • He also posted a 95th-percentile vertical and 92nd-percentile broad jump.
  • The biggest concern with Worthy: He weighed just 165 pounds at the Combine.
  • Since 2000, DeVonta Smith, Tank Dell, and Taylor Gabriel are the only WRs of 170 pounds or less to reach 10 PPR points per game in a season.

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Chiefs traded up four spots to select Worthy with the 28th overall pick of this year’s draft.
  • He joins DeVonta Smith as the only two WRs since 2000 to weigh 170 pounds or less and get drafted in Round 1. In that way, Worthy is already an outlier when it comes to his frame.
  • Kansas City also added free-agent WR Marquise Brown this offseason. Brown is coming off a disappointing 2023 season in Arizona but topped 1,000 yards in 2021 and was on a 1,000-yard pace in 2022.
  • WR Rashee Rice returns after a strong rookie season, but he’s expected to draw a multi-game suspension for his involvement in a street-racing accident in Dallas in late March.
  • TE Travis Kelce is also back after leading the Chiefs with 8.1 targets per game last year.
  • There’s plenty of receiving production to go around in Kansas City. The Chiefs have ranked top 8 in passing yards and TDs in all six seasons since QB Patrick Mahomes took over.
  • Here’s where Kansas City has ranked in total WR PPR points under Mahomes:
    • 2018 - 8th
    • 2019 - 12th
    • 2020 - 8th
    • 2021 - 10th
    • 2022 - 15th
    • 2023 - 20th
  • Worthy is the first Round 1 WR in the Mahomes era. The Chiefs have picked three WRs in Round 2 since 2018. Here’s where those guys ranked in PPR points per game as rookies:
    • Mecole Hardman - 79th
    • Skyy Moore - 151th
    • Rashee Rice - 27th

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Rashee Rice, WR KC

8:12pm EDT 9/29/24

Chiefs Fear Torn ACL For Rashee Rice

Underdog Fantasy's James Palmer reports that the Chiefs fear WR Rashee Rice tore his right ACL in the Week 4 win over the Chargers. Rice is scheduled for an MRI on Monday, but doctors can often accurately diagnose a torn ACL without scans. If confirmed, Rice's 2024 season would be over.

View Full Story »

Chiefs WR Marquise Brown is expected to miss the entire regular season with his shoulder injury that requires surgery, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Sources tell Schefter that there's a chance Brown could return for the postseason, but mid-January is the earliest he could get back on the field. (Week 17 takes place the last week of December.)

View Full Story »

Chiefs WR Marquise Brown will miss at least another four games because of his shoulder injury. NFL reporter Jordan Schultz reports that Brown is scheduled to have surgery Monday on the dislocated SC joint that's been sidelining him. Brown reportedly felt better this week, but testing revealed that the injury wasn't healing correctly. Without surgery, Brown would risk further long-term damage.

View Full Story »

Chiefs WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) remained sidelined for Wednesday's practice. HC Andy Reid said that Brown's shoulder still has healing to do before he'll be cleared to play.

View Full Story »

Chiefs HC Andy Reid said Monday that WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) is "feeling better" and "getting close" to a return. Week 2 or 3 has looked like Brown's most likely return date since he suffered the shoulder injury. We're currently projecting him to miss this Sunday's game vs. the Bengals and return in Week 3, but we'll continue to keep a close eye on his status. Brown's absence would make WR Xavier Worthy easier to trust in Week 2 fantasy lineups. The rookie totaled 68 yards and two scores in the opener -- but saw only three targets and one carry.

View all Marquise Brown Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Xavier Worthy, WR KC
Dynasty MVP 56.9
Position Rank #12 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
343
563
1,025
Dynasty Write-up
Worthy earned freshman All-America honors in 2021, easily pacing the Longhorns in catches (62), yards (981), and TDs (12). The slender speedster remained productive over the past two seasons while catching passes from a potential Round 1 QB in the 2025 draft (Quinn Ewers). He then broke the record for fastest forty time at the NFL Combine (4.21). You couldn't ask for a better landing spot than Kansas City.
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