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Xavier Worthy - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsXavier Worthy's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 9.5
Bye: 6
Experience: 0
Age: 21.1
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 165
40 Time: 4.21
Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (96%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.28 (91%)

Xavier Worthy's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 52.7 0.3 7.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Xavier Worthy's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#43 Wide Receiver

182.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
9.5 62.4 843.2 4.8 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsXavier Worthy's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Worthy’s short- and long-term fantasy outlooks got a boost when he landed with the Chiefs in Round 1 of this year’s draft. Kansas City has ranked top eight in passing yards and TDs in all six seasons since QB Patrick Mahomes took over.

Worthy faces stiff target competition this year from TE Travis Kelce, WR Marquise Brown, and WR Rashee Rice (after he serves an expected suspension). It’s possible that the rookie settles in as the No. 3 WR and No. 4 option in the passing game.

But he has the potential to push Rice for the lead WR role. That could have Worthy producing as a WR2 with upside for fantasy squads.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Worthy arrived at Texas as a four-star recruit.
  • He broke out as a true freshman in 2021, leading the Longhorns with 62 catches, 981 yards, and 12 TDs.
    • Worthy accounted for 29% of the team’s catches, 36% of the receiving yards, and 41% of the receiving TDs. Very strong market shares.
  • Worthy’s numbers took a step back in 2022: 60 catches, 760 yards, and nine TDs. He dealt with a QB change to freshman Quinn Ewers and played through a fractured finger. Worthy still led Texas in all major receiving categories.
  • Worthy set new career highs last year with 75 catches and 1,014 yards.
  • He did that despite the arrival of WR Adonai Mitchell, who went in the second round of this year’s draft.
    • Worthy beat Mitchell in catches, yards, and yards per route.
    • Mitchell beat Worthy in TDs and Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • Among 286 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Worthy ranked:
    • 125th in PFF receiving grade
    • 89th in yards per route
  • Texas made it a point to get the ball in Worthy’s hands. Nearly 23% of his career catches came on screens. He averaged a strong 7.3 yards after catch per reception over the past three years.
  • Worthy set the Combine record with a 4.21-second 40 time.
  • He also posted a 95th-percentile vertical and 92nd-percentile broad jump.
  • The biggest concern with Worthy: He weighed just 165 pounds at the Combine.
  • Since 2000, DeVonta Smith, Tank Dell, and Taylor Gabriel are the only WRs of 170 pounds or less to reach 10 PPR points per game in a season.

What to Expect in 2024

  • The Chiefs traded up four spots to select Worthy with the 28th overall pick of this year’s draft.
  • He joins DeVonta Smith as the only two WRs since 2000 to weigh 170 pounds or less and get drafted in Round 1. In that way, Worthy is already an outlier when it comes to his frame.
  • Kansas City also added free-agent WR Marquise Brown this offseason. Brown is coming off a disappointing 2023 season in Arizona but topped 1,000 yards in 2021 and was on a 1,000-yard pace in 2022.
  • WR Rashee Rice returns after a strong rookie season, but he’s expected to draw a multi-game suspension for his involvement in a street-racing accident in Dallas in late March.
  • TE Travis Kelce is also back after leading the Chiefs with 8.1 targets per game last year.
  • There’s plenty of receiving production to go around in Kansas City. The Chiefs have ranked top 8 in passing yards and TDs in all six seasons since QB Patrick Mahomes took over.
  • Here’s where Kansas City has ranked in total WR PPR points under Mahomes:
    • 2018 - 8th
    • 2019 - 12th
    • 2020 - 8th
    • 2021 - 10th
    • 2022 - 15th
    • 2023 - 20th
  • Worthy is the first Round 1 WR in the Mahomes era. The Chiefs have picked three WRs in Round 2 since 2018. Here’s where those guys ranked in PPR points per game as rookies:
    • Mecole Hardman - 79th
    • Skyy Moore - 151th
    • Rashee Rice - 27th

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Rashee Rice, WR KC

2:22pm EDT 5/21/24

Assault charges against Rashee Rice dropped

Chiefs WR Rashee Rice is under investigation for allegedly hitting a photographer at a Dallas club early Monday, police sources tell WFAA. We don't have any other details at this point. This, of course, comes just about one month after Rice was involved in a street-racing accident in Dallas. He's facing eight charges for that incident.

Update: NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that the accuser has asked that charges be dropped and called the incident a "misunderstanding."

View Full Story »

The Chiefs selected Texas WR Xavier Worthy in Round 1 of the NFL Draft. Worthy set the Combine record with a 4.21-second 40 time and plays to that speed on the field. He averaged 14.0 yards per reception for his college career, making big plays both downfield and after the catch (7.3 career YAC/reception). He’s also an impressive route runner. Worthy broke out as an 18-year-old true freshman, easily leading the Longhorns with 62 catches, 981 yards, and 12 TDs. A QB change and a fractured finger led to a dip in raw production in 2022, although Worthy still led Texas in all major receiving categories. He made it three straight seasons as Texas’ top receiver last year, despite the arrival of WR Adonai Mitchell. Not only did Worthy easily beat Mitchell in catches (75 to 55) and yards (1,014 to 845), but he also dusted him in advanced metrics like targets per route (0.25 to 0.17) and yards per route (2.14 to 1.72). The glaring concern with Worthy: He’s just 165 pounds. Only two WRs at 170 pounds or lighter – DeVonta Smith and Tank Dell – have reached 10 PPR points per game since 2000. Worthy, though, is just the third sub-170-pound WR since 2000 to be a top-50 pick in the draft (joining Smith and Dexter McCluster). His chances of success increase in Kansas City. The Chiefs are simply thin at WR, especially with Rashee Rice facing a multi-game suspension. Note that free-agent addition Marquise Brown signed a one-year deal. Worthy ultimately projects in WR5 range for early best ball drafters.

View all Xavier Worthy Shark Bites »

Texas WR Xavier Worthy ran an official 4.21-second 40-yard dash at the Combine on Saturday, breaking WR John Ross' old record by one one-hundredth of a second. That followed a three-year college career that saw Worthy average a big 14.0 yards per catch, including 7.3 yards after the catch. He also impressed in Indianapolis with a 41-inch vertical and 131-inch broad jump. But the most important measurable might have been when Worthy weighed in at just 165 pounds. That was seven pounds lighter than his college listing and lands him in a bucket of players that rarely make significant fantasy impacts. In fact, Tank Dell and DeVonta Smith are the only sub-170-pound WRs since 2000 to reach 11 PPR points per game in a season. Of course, none of those light WRs were as fast as Worthy. And most didn't get first-round draft capital, as Worthy likely will after running the 4.21-second 40. His fantasy stock certainly gets a bump post-Combine. Just don't forget to factor his size into the evaluation.

View all Xavier Worthy Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Xavier Worthy, WR KC
Dynasty MVP 112.1
Position Rank #43 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
348
574
1,054
Dynasty Write-up
Worthy earned freshman All-America honors in 2021, easily pacing the Longhorns in catches (62), yards (981), and TDs (12). The slender speedster remained productive over the past two seasons while catching passes from a potential Round 1 QB in the 2025 draft (Quinn Ewers). He then broke the record for fastest forty time at the NFL Combine (4.21). You couldn't ask for a better landing spot than Kansas City.
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