My pal Jared confirmed in this article last year what we all assumed to be true: More target volume leads to more PPR scoring.
So if we’re mining for WR sleepers in a PPR draft, we’re looking for more than just undervalued wideouts. We’re interested in players and situations that could deliver much greater volume than even we might be projecting.
The players on this list aren’t particularly strong bets to feast on TDs, but a few could wind up leading their teams in targets.
Emmanuel Sanders, Broncos
Sanders looks undervalued in general. As Jared pointed out in late June, Sanders finished both 2015 (with bad Peyton Manning) and 2016 (with regular Trevor Siemian) among the top 20 PPR wideouts. That’s a long way from the low-WR3 territory that has been his draft home so far this year. And Sanders’ ADP hasn’t climbed.
Does a WR going in WR3 range count as a sleeper? That’s up to you.
Sanders has topped 6 TD catches just once in his 8-year career. So we’re not projecting a monster season. But he looks like a pretty good bet to outperform his draft position.
Randall Cobb, Packers
We have 159 WRs projected at the moment. When you compare our total projected PPR points to non-PPR, just 31 wideouts see a bigger scoring spike (by percentage) than Cobb. Among the 86 WRs we project to score 100+ PPR points, only 4 see a bigger PPR spike than Cobb.
So Cobb’s greatest upside might lie in the possibility that he goes back to being a key red-zone target for a healthy Aaron Rodgers. The Green Bay QB has ranked top-2 in red-zone pass attempts each of his past 3 healthy seasons. But even if Cobb doesn’t recapture the TD glory of 2014 and 2012, he holds significant scoring potential for PPR formats.
The Packers’ #2 WR in Rodgers’ 8 healthy seasons has averaged a 21.3 finish among PPR wideouts -- with a median finish of 19.5. Cobb sits 39th among WRs in July ADP.