FF Tips

Buy/Sell/Hold Report #2

By Draft Sharks Staff 8:10am EDT 10/7/20

BUY David Montgomery, RB, Bears

Montgomery got workhorse usage in his 1st game without RB Tarik Cohen last week. He played a career-high 85% of Chicago’s offensive snaps. He ran a season-high 37 pass routes. He handled 10 of the 13 RB carries. And he garnered a 14.3% target share.

That’s RB1-level usage.

The good news for you (assuming you’re not already a Montgomery owner) is that the production didn’t follow against a stout Colts defense. (Indianapolis ranks 1st in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA and 5th against the run.) The production might not even come this week against an equally stout Bucs defense. (2nd in both defensive and run defense DVOA.)

So you could gamble and wait another week before making an offer for Montgomery. Or just play it safe and go get him now.

Chicago’s offensive ineptitude will probably keep him from reaching RB1 territory. But volume alone should make him a rock-solid weekly starter.

Also helping Montgomery’s case is that he’s simply playing well. Among 47 RBs with 20+ carries this season, Montgomery ranks 21st in yards after contact per attempt and 9th in Pro Football Focus’ Elusive Rating, which factors in yards after contact and missed tackles forced.

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