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DFS Showdown Lineup Picks: Chiefs-Chargers

By Matt Schauf 5:27pm EST 11/20/22


There are a lot of question marks heading into tonight's game ...

Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are the biggest. We'll find out officially at about 7 p.m. ET, but all signs continue to point to both guys returning. Allen has appeared just once -- in limited fashion -- since Week 1. But NFL Network's Lindsey Thiry reports that he called himself "100%" certain he'll play.

Williams missed the past 3 contests after spraining an ankle in the Week 7 loss to the Seahawks. He reportedly told Thiry that he's not only planning to play but feels all the way back from his injury.

Both returns would be great for QB Justin Herbert, who sits 31st in the league in yards per pass attempt on the year; 21st in TD rate.

One more question for the Chargers to answer will be whether TE Gerald Everett plays. That didn't look like a question when the injury report 1st came out. But then L.A. downgraded him to questionable with the groin issue that knocked him out halfway through last week's game.

Everett's status could unlock cheaper, sneakier options for our showdown lineups.

The Chiefs didn't leave their questions lingering. JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) is out for this game. Mecole Hardman (abdomen) will miss at least 4. So what does that mean for the remaining guys?

Let's check the value charts ...


DraftKings

Everyone's excited about Kadarius Toney, but he played quite a bit less than Justin Watson last week: 41% route rate vs. 73%. We agree on Toney being the better bet for fantasy numbers, but he also carries a salary more than 5 times larger. That certainly doesn't put Toney out of contention. But it does add obvious value to Watson, who has scored TDs in 2 games this year and drew 5 targets against the Titans 2 weeks ago.

On the Chargers side, Tre' McKitty could come more into play if Everett goes inactive. McKitty drew 6 targets last week, in the game Everett left halfway through. Granted, Allen and Williams missed the game. But there's room for him to factor in relative to his $2200 DK salary. Herbert threw 48 passes in this year's 1st meeting with the Chiefs.


FanDuel

I mentioned Watson playing ahead of Toney last week. Marquez Valdes-Scantling also remained at the top of the route-rate rankings. MVS is working on 4 straight games of 4 targets or fewer, but he has stayed involved throughout the season and is averaging 17.0 yards per catch. Valdes-Scantling's lone 100-yard game so far this season came on just 3 receptions. And he's significantly cheaper than Toney on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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