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Adam Thielen Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsAdam Thielen's Basic Stats

Adam Thielen
ADP: 13.11
Bye: 11
Experience: 10
Age: 33.9
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 96.70

Burst Score (Rank): 121.20 (49%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.26 (49%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.11 (70%)

Injury PredictorAdam Thielen's Injury Guide

Medium Risk

Chance of Injury in 2024

45.3%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

3.5%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2024

1.90

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Dec 18, 2016 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Thielen missed about 2 quarters but returned the following week.
Oct 20, 2019 NFL Thigh Hamstring Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 He suffered a hamstring injury midway through the first quarter of the game. He missed one game
Nov 3, 2019 NFL Thigh Hamstring Strain Grade 2 Thielen left the game at Kansas City with a hamstring injury in his right leg in the first quarter. He missed 4 games
Jan 8, 2020 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Thielen sustained an ankle injury at a practice session ahead of the playoff game against the 49ers
Aug 21, 2021 NFL Leg Thigh Bruise Thielen suffered a thigh bruise early in the preseason game against the Colts. He was good for the regular season.
Dec 5, 2021 NFL Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3 Thielen suffered a high ankle sprain in Week 13's loss to Detroit. He missed two games
Dec 26, 2021 NFL Pedal Ankle Sprain/Pull Unspecified Grade 1 Thielen aggravated his ankle sprain in Week 16's loss to the Rams. He missed the remainder of the season

Basic StatsAdam Thielen's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Thielen had a career year last season, but that production decreased after HC Frank Reich was fired.

The production cliff is coming for Thielen, who is going into the season at 34 years old. With the Panthers’ additions to the WR room, Thielen is unlikely to see any consistent targets this season.

He is an end-of-the-roster flier who will need injuries to be relevant.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Thielen posted a season-long stat line of 103 catches for 1,014 yards ad four TDs on 137 targets.
  • His per-game averages were generally a massive upgrade over the average of the prior four years:
    • 8.06 targets (6.40)
    • 6.06 receptions (4.30)
    • 59.6 yards (50.33)
    • 0.24 TDs (0.66)
  • HC Frank Reich was fired 11 games into the season. Thielen’s per-game production decreased after Reich left the team:
    • 6.17 targets
    • 4.33 receptions
    • 47.67 yards
    • 0 TDs
  • He ranked as the WR18 in PPR fantasy points (229.0) and WR25 in points per game (13.5).
  • He missed no games due to injury for the second consecutive season.
  • He had three top-12 finishes. But he also had six WR37 or worse finishes.
  • Thielen had the 15th-highest target share in the league (26.0%)
  • Among 89 WRs with 45+ targets, Thielen ranked 33rd in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and 48th in yards per route run (1.59.
  • Among those same 89 WRs, he was 79th in average targeted air yards (7.6) but 32nd in percentage of team air yards (26.35%).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Thielen will play under HC Dave Canales, who will be calling plays for the Panthers offense.
    • Canales was the OC for the Buccaneers last season.
    • Under Canales, the Buccaneers ranked 19th in the NFL with 568 passes.
  • The Panthers are expected to take a step forward this year after only winning two games last season. They are fourth in the NFC South and 31st in the league with a 5.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Panthers have the worst odds in the NFL to win the Super Bowl at +25000 at most sportsbooks.
  • Thielen enters his 10th season at 34 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Thielen’s career produces 70% of his peak value at age-34.
  • He’ll face much tougher target competition this year after the Panthers added WRs Diontae Johnson and Xavier Legette.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

D.J. Chark Jr., WR LAC

4:17pm EST 11/8/23

D.J. Chark doubtful for Week 10

Panthers WR D.J. Chark (elbow) missed practice all week and is listed as doubtful for Thursday night's game vs. the Bears. His absence should elevate WR Terrace Marshall into a top-3 role. When Chark missed Week 1, Marshall ran a route on 96% of Carolina's pass plays and drew six targets for a 15.8% share. He turned that action into just two catches for 23 yards, though, and is really only in play in one-game DFS contests. Chark's absence could mean an extra target or two for WRs Adam Thielen and Jonathan Mingo.

View all D.J. Chark Jr. Shark Bites »

Panthers QB Bryce Young (ankle) put in a full week of practice and isn't listed on the final injury report. He'll be back under center for Sunday's game vs. the Vikings. Young has mustered just 4.2 yards per attempt so far this season and is just a low-end QB2 for Week 4, despite the plus matchup. Consider Young a slight downgrade from QB Andy Dalton for Carolina's pass catchers.

View all Bryce Young Shark Bites »

Panthers QB Bryce Young (ankle) was listed as a full participant in Wednesday's practice. That should put him on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Vikings. Young still has plenty of long-term upside but has struggled so far, completing 59% of his passes at 4.2 yards per attempt. He looks like at least a minor downgrade from QB Andy Dalton.

View all Bryce Young Shark Bites »

Panthers QB Bryce Young (ankle) is not expected to play vs. the Seahawks this weekend, the team announced. That'll leave QB Andy Dalton under center, which might actually be an upgrade at this point. Young has struggled mightily so far, completing 59% of his passes and averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. Dalton played well for New Orleans last year, finishing with a 67% completion rate and 7.6 yards per attempt. Hopefully you're not relying too much on this passing game in fantasy lineups, but WR Adam Thielen and TE Hayden Hurst remain fine lower-end plays.

View all Bryce Young Shark Bites »

Panthers WR Adam Thielen (ankle) is expected to play vs. the Falcons on Sunday, NFL Network's Cameron Wolfe reports. Thielen only got in limited practices on Wednesday and Friday this week, so it's safe to assume that he won't be at 100%. He sits in WR4 territory in the Week 1 Rankings.

View all Adam Thielen Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

See how we built the 17 indicators into our Draft War Room »
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