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Adam Thielen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAdam Thielen's Basic Stats

Adam Thielen
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 32.3
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 96.70
Burst Score (Rank): 121.20 (50%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.26 (48%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.14 (70%)

Adam Thielen's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.3 45.8 0.4 7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 53.8 0.4 7.8

Adam Thielen's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#25 Wide Receiver

134.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 71.5 825.9 8.9 2.1 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAdam Thielen's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Thielen remained a prestigious TD scorer in 2021, notching 10 on 67 catches. Since Kirk Cousins arrived in 2018, Thielen’s TD rate is a whopping 13.7%.
  • Amazingly, Thielen turned 13 red zone targets into 7 scores. There’s no doubting his strong rapport with Cousins.
  • In 2021, though, the WR missed 4 games. He suffered a Week 13 high-ankle sprain, then aggravated the injury in Week 16 and sat out the final 2 games.
  • Thielen needed ankle surgery in late December. He was back at 100% well before OTAs.
  • Overall, the now 32-year-old posted 67-726-10 on a career-low 10.8 YPC.
  • Thielen also posted just 1.63 yards per route run, his lowest mark since 2015.
  • His 9.5-yard average depth of target also marked a low since ’15.
  • Boosted by a minuscule drop rate, though, Thielen caught an impressive 77.9% of his targets. His pre-2021 average was around 70%.
  • 2022 ushered in new HC Kevin O’Connell, formerly the Rams’ OC, and a fresh offensive approach.
  • According to ESPN’s Courtney Cronin, the new-look offense will have “a heavy dose of pre-snap motion and movement, reliance on three-receiver sets, a zone run game and play-action concepts.” Essentially — a lot of what the Rams do under Sean McVay.
  • The Rams also like to go up-tempo. As a snapshot, they ranked 4th in situation neutral pace last year, per Football Outsiders. The Vikings were down at 17th.
  • Justin Jefferson returns as a target hog; he saw a nearly 29% target share in 2021. Irv Smith also returns after missing all of last season with a torn meniscus.
  • For dynasty owners: The Vikings restructured Thielen’s contract over the offseason. There’s a potential out after this coming season, although he's technically signed through the 2024 season.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

When healthy, Thielen continued to produce at a high level in 2021. Boosted by TDs, he finished as a top-24 WR 6 times across 11 healthy games.

At 32, and with 11 missed games over the past 3 seasons, there’s clearly some decline risk. Whenever he’s on the field, though, he’ll continue to project as a strong TD bet — especially with an upgraded coaching staff.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Jefferson, WR MIN

7:38pm EST 12/4/22

Jefferson contained but scores

The Jets limited Vikings WR Justin Jefferson to 45 yards on 7 catches among 11 targets in Sunday's Minnesota win. Jefferson did find the end zone from 10 yards out in the middle of the 4th quarter to save what would have been a disappointing fantasy day by his standards otherwise. A Week 14 clash with the Lions presents an opportunity for Jefferson to avenge his worst outing of the year: 3 catches for 14 yards in Week 3. TE T.J. Hockenson and WR Adam Thielen tied for 2nd in targets against the Jets with 6 apiece. Hockenson caught 4 for 33 yards. Thielen caught 2 balls for 27 yards.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson amassed 139 yards and a TD on 9 catches in Thursday night's win over the Patriots. WR Adam Thielen trailed him by just 1 target and matched Jefferson's 9 catches, tallying 61 yards and a TD. TE T.J. Hockenson snagged the other of Kirk Cousins' 3 scoring tosses, totaling a 5-43-1 receiving line among 6 targets. The Minnesota passing game gets a tougher draw against the Jets in Week 13.

View all Justin Jefferson Shark Bites »

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins managed only 12-of-23 passing for 105 yards in Sunday's beatdown at the hands of the Cowboys. He took 7 sacks and lost a fumble in the 40-3 defeat, giving way to Nick Mullens for late mop-up duty. TE T.J. Hockenson led Minnesota pass-catchers with just 5 catches and 34 yards. WR Justin Jefferson checked in just behind with a 3-33 line on 5 targets. WRs Adam Thielen and K.J. Osborn were the only other Vikings to catch more than 1 pass. (They each caught 2.) Minnesota gets challenging matchups the next 2 weeks as well, against the Patriots and Jets. The 1st of those comes on Thanksgiving night.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

New Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson led the team with 9 receptions Sunday in his 1st game since the trade. He caught all 9 of his targets (2nd on the team) for 70 yards. Only WR Justin Jefferson drew more looks, catching 7 of 13 for 115 yards and a TD. WR Adam Thielen garnered 7 targets and tallied 3 receptions for 67 yards. QB Kirk Cousins totaled 265 yards on a lackluster 22-of-40 (55%) passing. Minnesota heads to Buffalo next Sunday for 1 of the league's toughest passing matchups.

View all T.J. Hockenson Shark Bites »

The Lions are trading TE T.J. Hockenson to the Vikings, along with a 2023 4th-round pick and a 2024 conditional 4th-round pick, in exchange for a 2023 2nd-round pick and 2024 3rd-round pick, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. It's surprising for a few reasons, most notably because it's an intra-division trade and involves a former 1st-round pick still on his rookie deal. Hockenson counts just $6.5 million against this year's salary cap and has a $9.3 million 5th-year option for 2023. He's been slightly underwhelming through 3+ NFL seasons considering he was the 8th overall pick of the 2019 NFL Draft. But Hockenson's 44.0 receiving yards per game since 2019 rank 10th among TEs. He's averaged a career-best 56.4 yards per game so far this year and ranks 7th among 31 qualifying TEs in Pro Football Focus' 2022 receiving grades. Minnesota is an OK spot for Hockenson's rest-of-season fantasy value. He'll obviously be behind WR Justin Jefferson in the pecking order but could challenge WR Adam Thielen for the #2 spot. And the Vikings have been a pass-leaning offense this year, ranking 7th at 38.0 pass attempts per game. (The Lions rank 15th at 35.7.). Hockenson will face negative fantasy-scoring matchups the next 2 weeks vs. Washington and Buffalo, but the schedule looks nice after that. Detroit, meanwhile, is left with TEs Brock Wright and James Mitchell. Wright is the preferred add but is probably only worth a look in TE-premium leagues like the FFPC. RB D'Andre Swift and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown should pick up more targets with Hockenson gone.

View all T.J. Hockenson Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Adam Thielen, WR MIN
Dynasty MVP 81.1
Position Rank #79 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
385
385
385
Dynasty Write-up

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