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Adam Thielen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAdam Thielen's Basic Stats

Adam Thielen
ADP: 6.7
Bye: 7
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 31.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.54
Speed Score: 96.70
Burst Score (Rank): 121.20 (50%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.26 (48%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.14 (70%)

Adam Thielen's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#28 Wide Receiver

131.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.7 71.5 805.9 8.7 2 0.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAdam Thielen's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Thielen remained a prestigious TD scorer in 2021, notching 10 on 67 catches. Since Kirk Cousins arrived in 2018, Thielen’s TD rate is a whopping 13.7%.
  • Amazingly, Thielen turned 13 red zone targets into 7 scores. There’s no doubting his strong rapport with Cousins.
  • In 2021, though, the WR missed 4 games. He suffered a Week 13 high-ankle sprain, then aggravated the injury in Week 16 and sat out the final 2 games.
  • Thielen needed ankle surgery in late December. He was back at 100% well before OTAs.
  • Overall, the now 32-year-old posted 67-726-10 on a career-low 10.8 YPC.
  • Thielen also posted just 1.63 yards per route run, his lowest mark since 2015.
  • His 9.5-yard average depth of target also marked a low since ’15.
  • Boosted by a minuscule drop rate, though, Thielen caught an impressive 77.9% of his targets. His pre-2021 average was around 70%.
  • 2022 ushered in new HC Kevin O’Connell, formerly the Rams’ OC, and a fresh offensive approach.
  • According to ESPN’s Courtney Cronin, the new-look offense will have “a heavy dose of pre-snap motion and movement, reliance on three-receiver sets, a zone run game and play-action concepts.” Essentially — a lot of what the Rams do under Sean McVay.
  • The Rams also like to go up-tempo. As a snapshot, they ranked 4th in situation neutral pace last year, per Football Outsiders. The Vikings were down at 17th.
  • Justin Jefferson returns as a target hog; he saw a nearly 29% target share in 2021. Irv Smith also returns after missing all of last season with a torn meniscus.
  • For dynasty owners: The Vikings restructured Thielen’s contract over the offseason. There’s a potential out after this coming season, although he's technically signed through the 2024 season.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

When healthy, Thielen continued to produce at a high level in 2021. Boosted by TDs, he finished as a top-24 WR 6 times across 11 healthy games.

At 32, and with 11 missed games over the past 3 seasons, there’s clearly some decline risk. Whenever he’s on the field, though, he’ll continue to project as a strong TD bet — especially with an upgraded coaching staff.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kirk Cousins, QB MIN

9:18am EST 1/10/22

Vikings fire GM and HC

The Vikings have fired HC Mike Zimmer and GM Rick Spielman, NFL Network reports. It ends an 8-year run for Zimmer and a 16-year run for Spielman in Minnesota. Zimmer's tenure brought just 3 seasons of double-digit wins and 2 playoff victories. We'll see who the Vikings hire to run the show going forward.

View all Kirk Cousins Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Adam Thielen will miss at least the rest of the regular season after undergoing ankle surgery on Tuesday, according to The Athletic's Chad Graff. NFL Network's Tom Pelissero adds that Thielen is expected to be sidelined for about a month, so Minnesota would need to make a deep playoff run if Thielen is going to play again before the 2022 season. K.J. Osborn will step in as the Vikings' #2 WR -- and WR Justin Jefferson will dominate targets -- for as long as Thielen is out.

View all Adam Thielen Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Adam Thielen left in the 1st half of Sunday's game against the Rams with a left-ankle injury. The team calls him questionable to return. Thielen missed the past 2 games with a high left ankle sprain, and his reaction to today's injury sure made it look like an aggravation of the existing issue. We'll see whether he can make it back -- and then see about his availability for Week 17.

Update: Thielen returned for the start of the 2nd half. We'll see how that ankle holds up.

View all Adam Thielen Shark Bites »

Vikings WR Adam Thielen (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Rams. He’s 3 weeks removed from a high-ankle sprain and was limited in practice all week. Thielen’s fantasy floor is lower than usual today.

View all Adam Thielen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Adam Thielen, WR MIN
Dynasty MVP 79.2
Position Rank #79 WR
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Dynasty Write-up

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