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Dak Prescott - Injury History

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dak Prescott
DAL

QB DAL

#4 Quarterback

429 Projected Points

ADP: 4.5
Bye: 7
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 226
40 Time: 4.74

Injury Predictor Injury Predictor

Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2021

15%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

1%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2021

0.30

Durability

5

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Index, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Nov 9, 2013 Non-NFL Arm Elbow Sprain Prescott sprained his elbow against Texas A&M. He missed two games.
Dec 15, 2019 NFL Shoulder In the first quarter vs. the Rams, Prescott landed on his right elbow while holding the ball. He returned the following week.
Oct 11, 2020 NFL Pedal Ankle Dislocation Prescott suffered an ankle injury during Week 5's win over the Giants. He missed the remainder of the season.
Oct 11, 2020 NFL Pedal Ankle Fracture Prescott suffered an ankle injury during Week 5's win over the Giants. He missed the remainder of the season.
Jul 28, 2021 NFL Shoulder Prescott was diagnosed with a strained right shoulder when he left the training camp practice.

Basic Stats Full Player Fantasy Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Prescott averaged 1.5 more fantasy points per game last season than #2 in that category, Patrick Mahomes -- even with his injury game included. Remove that contest, and Prescott beat everyone else at the position by 7+ fantasy points per game.
  • Through 4 healthy outings last year, Prescott was on pace for 6,760 passing yards and 36 TDs. He reached 450 yards in 3 straight games before going down against the Giants.
  • It’s worth noting that Prescott ranked just 9th in Pro Football Focus passing grade over those first 4 weeks, with Jared Goff and Joe Burrow among the players ahead of him. He did post his highest passing grade since his rookie season, though, and the best overall grade of his career to date.
  • After going 58-42 with their pass-run split in 2019, Kellen Moore’s 1st season as OC, the Cowboys passed on 66.2% of their offensive plays through Prescott’s 5 starts in 2020. Dallas went 68.6% pass in Prescott’s 4 full outings, though going 1-3 in those contests contributed to that rate. Even the Week 2 win over Atlanta was a big comeback (down 19 at the half).
  • According to PFF, Prescott’s passing grade improved the further downfield he targeted. That included the Dallas QB ranking 2nd among qualifiers in adjusted completion rate on deep balls (20+ yards downfield).
  • That falls right in line with his previous results. Prescott graded out 4th-best among deep passers in 2019, with his next-best grade in the 10-19 yard range. His first 3 seasons also found Prescott delivering his strongest passing grades in the deeper 2 ranges.
  • That matches up nicely with 1 of the league’s top set of pass-catchers. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb all excel at getting downfield.
  • Despite playing only 4 full games, Prescott still reached 3 rushing TDs for the 5th straight season. He’s the only QB to do so each of the past 5 years. Just 5 others have reached 3 rushing TDs 3 times in that span.
  • His 19.0 rushing yards per game since 2016 ranks 12th over that span among QBs with at least 100 total carries.
  • Dallas let Prescott play on the franchise tag last season, after the 2 sides couldn’t agree on an extension. He then got a 4-year, $160 million extension this March, including a record $126 million guaranteed -- in spite of the compound fracture and dislocated ankle in his right leg that ended Prescott’s season. That says they not only believe in the player, but also believe he’ll rebound from the injury.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Prescott’s return from last year’s gruesome ankle injury will bear watching through the summer -- both for any setbacks and any sign of impact on his play. But the Cowboys’ actions indicate they believe he’ll be ready. On top of the big new contract, Dallas let Andy Dalton walk in free agency and look prepared to roll with Garrett Gilbert as the backup. More important than that, of course: Prescott heads into another season with maybe the league’s best set of wideouts. And the Cowboys have leaned more toward the pass recently.

A healthy Prescott sports as high a fantasy ceiling as anyone at the position. The depth at QB makes it even easier to gamble on his ankle.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has “taken a step back” in his return from a right shoulder strain, per HC Mike McCarthy. “We’ve kind of taken a step back," McCarthy said Tuesday. “We still feel the same about the type of injury. Only the timeline has changed. After research and looking at, we just don’t want this to turn into something big. ...We’re just being a little more conservative with the rehab.” While Dallas is being overly cautious, Dak is still taking on more risk as an early-round QB1. Interestingly, McCarthy did note that the team “definitely” hopes to have Prescott get some preseason reps. We’ve altered our QB rankings to reflect today’s news.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys HC Mike McCarthy said Thursday that the plan for QB Dak Prescott (shoulder) to play in the preseason is "still on schedule." We'll see if Prescott ends up getting on the field for the exhibitions, but this is another sign that the team isn't overly concerned with his strained shoulder.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that the Cowboys hope "just a few days" rest will get QB Dak Prescott's right shoulder strain "under control." The issue is considered a "slight" strain. We'll certainly keep tracking the situation closely.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott and the team Wednesday downplayed the significance of his shoulder strain. David Moore of the Dallas Morning News reports that a "mild or Grade 1 strain" of the latissimus muscle -- which connects the upper arm to the spine -- "typically requires a couple of weeks to heal." Prescott has said it'll be a day-to-day question for his availability. Whether Dallas brings in another QB could be telling. For now, Garrett Gilbert will fill in with the starters.

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has a muscle strain in his right shoulder, according to ESPN’s Todd Archer. Prescott had an MRI after experiencing some soreness in his throwing arm. He’ll get day-to-day treatment and evaluation of the latissimus in the shoulder, per Archer’s report. We’ll keep an eye on the QB’s status. This doesn’t yet seem like a major concern, though. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to knock Prescott down a spot or 2 among QBs in current drafts. “Better to be cautious and smart about it,” Prescott said, per NFL Network’s Jane Slater. “I don’t see this as any kind of serious setback. We’ll treat it on a daily basis, and I’ll be fine.”

View all Dak Prescott Shark Bites »

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