Projected Role & Competition
Expect Bowers’ elite usage to continue, with Jalen Nailor, Tre Tucker, and Jack Bech forming a shaky WR group around him.
Nailor signed a three-year deal with $23 million in guarantees. That suggests the Raiders plan to start him, but he spent four seasons as the No. 3 or 4 WR in Minnesota behind Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and Adam Thielen. Nailor set career highs last year with just 29 catches and 444 yards.
Tucker looks more like a role player than an every-down starter, even after a career-best 2025 (57-696-5). The 5’8, 192-pounder posted poor per-route efficiency and drew just 17.9% of Raiders targets despite Jakobi Meyers’ midseason departure, Bowers missing five games, and the rest of the WRs contributing little.
Bech brought promise as a Round 2 pick last year, but he managed only 20 catches in 16 games.
The Raiders also return former Round 2 TE Michael Mayer, whose 44.4% route rate could climb. New HC Klint Kubiak leaned into two-TE sets in Seattle last year, ranking eighth in the league at 30%. His 2024 Saints offense ranked sixth at 30.5%.
Mayer has a path to snaps when Bowers aligns off the line. But that’s more of a formation wrinkle than a real threat to Bowers, who should contend for the league lead in TE targets.
Supporting Cast
Kubiak said in March that “ideally,” he wouldn’t have to start top pick Fernando Mendoza right away. We’ll see how long that lasts.
Kirk Cousins could start into midseason and at least brings familiarity with Kubiak. They spent three seasons together in Minnesota, including a strong 2021 campaign with Kubiak calling plays. Cousins threw for 4,221 yards, 33 TDs, and just 7 INTs that year, topping league average in both completion rate (66.3%) and yards per attempt (7.5).
But Cousins has looked like a QB in decline since leaving Minnesota. He managed only 6.4 yards per attempt for last year’s Falcons, ranking 31st among 33 qualifiers in on-target throw rate.
We’re not downgrading Bowers because of Cousins. The TE has already shown he can produce at an elite level through bad QB play, and the team will surely shift to Mendoza if Cousins truly struggles.
Coaching & Offensive Scheme
Kubiak clearly thinks highly of Bowers after calling him a “football robot from heaven” in May.
“We gotta get the most out of Brock,” Kubiak continued. “Wherever he goes, he’s been successful: in college, in high school … whoever’s coached him … can’t say enough good things about him. Love his work ethic. He’s a standard bearer.”
Kubiak’s three stops as an OC have produced finishes of 30th (2025), 25th (2024), and 21st (2021) in pass rate over expected. That might be concerning for an average starting TE, but there’s no question Bowers will be featured in this passing game.
Paths to Ceiling
It starts with good health after Bowers’ injury-impacted 2025. The good news is he participated in OTAs, and there’s been no talk of managing his prior knee issue.
No matter who starts at QB, Bowers should finish first or second at the position in targets, giving him an elite ceiling. Our projections peg him for 8.0 targets per game, second among TEs behind Trey McBride.