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Brock Purdy - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBrock Purdy's Basic Stats

Brock Purdy
ADP: 15.2
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.84
SPARQx (Rank): 79.10 (15%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.78 (22%)

Brock Purdy's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
245.7 2 0.6 6 17.4
Weekly Writeup
Purdy’s 310-2-0 passing line last week gives him 2+ TDs in 9 of his 11 full games in the NFL. His 49ers’ 29.0-point implied total vs. the Cardinals is the highest on the week, making Purdy a good bet for another multi-score outing.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
231 1.6 0.6 8.3 16.4

Brock Purdy's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#19 Quarterback

261.6 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
15.2 314.2/465 3695.9 25.9 10.1 38 132.8 2.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBrock Purdy's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Purdy was one of the biggest surprises of 2022, going from Mr. Irrelevant to 49ers starter.

He played efficient real-life football in eight full games and even scored as a top-10 fantasy QB over that span.

But Purdy suffered a serious right elbow injury in the NFC Championship that required surgery. He was surprisingly cleared for the start of training camp, though, and is the favorite to be the 49ers' Week 1 starter.

Barring a setback with that elbow, Purdy will have some lower-end QB2 appeal given the 49ers’ top-notch weapons and HC Kyle Shanahan’s QB-friendly scheme.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Purdy was 2022’s Mr. Irrelevant: The very last pick of the NFL Draft.
  • He saw significant playing time across all four of his seasons at Iowa State, recording a career 67.7% completion rate, 8.3 yards per attempt, and an 81-to-33 TD:INT ratio.
  • Purdy opened last season third on the 49ers’ depth chart. But QB Trey Lance went down with a season-ending ankle injury in Week 2, and QB Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a foot injury early in Week 13.
  • Over the next eight games (including San Francisco’s first two playoff games), Purdy averaged 231.8 passing yards and 2.0 passing TDs.
  • His scoring average in those eight games would have ranked ninth among fantasy QBs on the season.
  • Purdy completed 66.8% of his passes and averaged 8.4 yards per attempt in those eight games. Those marks would have ranked ninth and second among all QBs.
  • Purdy ranked 13th in Pro Football Focus passing grade among 41 QBs with 150+ dropbacks last year.
  • He tore the UCL in his right elbow in the NFC Championship. He eventually had surgery in early March. The 49ers said at that time that they were expecting to get Purdy back on the field six months after surgery, although HC John Lynch admitted then that there are “a variety of time frames.”

What to Expect in 2023
  • Purdy was cleared for the start of training camp on July 25. He'll be on a pitch count to start, but the 49ers are hoping he's ready to throw without restriction by mid-August.
  • The 49ers return former third overall pick Trey Lance and signed Sam Darnold to a one-year deal in free agency. But the team has said all offseason that Purdy is the “leader in the clubhouse" for the starting job.
  • Purdy will be back in HC Kyle Shanahan’s offense.
  • The 49ers have been a run-leaning attack under Shanahan, ranking bottom-7 in pass attempts in three of the last four seasons, including each of the last two.
  • But the passing games have been efficient, finishing top-11 in yards per attempt in five straight seasons, including three top-four finishes.
  • The Niners have ranked between 12th and 15th in total passing yards in five straight seasons.
  • Overall, though, it hasn’t been a great spot for fantasy production. Here’s where the 49ers have ranked in total QB fantasy points under Shanahan:
    • 2017: 17th
    • 2018: 20th
    • 2019: 22nd
    • 2020: 26th
    • 2021: 13th
    • 2022: 12th
  • RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Deebo Samuel, WR Brandon Aiyuk, and TE George Kittle all return. It’s one of the better pass-catching corps in the NFL.

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Brock Purdy, QB SF

11:21pm EDT 9/21/23

Brock Purdy delivers without Brandon Aiyuk

49ers QB Brock Purdy was without WR Brandon Aiyuk on Thursday night but still delivered a strong fantasy outing in the win over the Giants. He completed 25 of 37 passes (67.6%) for 310 yards (8.4 YPA), two TDs, and 0 INTs. Purdy actually missed a few throws early on but settled in by the second quarter. He found WR Ronnie Bell at the front pylon for a nine-yard score in the second quarter and then tossed a beautiful back-shoulder deep ball to WR Deebo Samuel for a 27-yard score in the fourth. Purdy has now tallied multiple passing TDs in nine of his 11 full games as a pro. He gets another plum matchup in Week 4 vs. the Cardinals that will make him a viable QB1. That's followed by much tougher draws vs. the Cowboys and Browns.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

49ers QB Brock Purdy completed 19 passes on 29 attempts for 220 passing yards with 2 TDs and zero INTs in Sunday’s win vs. the Steelers. The second-year signal-caller also added a career-best 20 rushing yards on 3 carries in the contest. The 49ers recorded 391 yards of total offense, the highest of any team in the early slate of games. Aside from a strip sack by Steelers LB T.J. Watt, Purdy performed efficiently and should have another solid outing in Week 2 vs. the Rams.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

The 49ers have named Sam Darnold their No. 2 QB, NFL Network reports. That leaves QB Trey Lance as the No. 3 -- and his future with the team in limbo. We'll see if Lance is still on the 49ers' roster come Week 1, but he's obviously not worth a roster spot in any redraft leagues.

View all Sam Darnold Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan doesn’t expect QB Brock Purdy to play in the preseason opener. Purdy will take part in joint practices with the Raiders this week. In his place, look for San Francisco to get an extended look at Trey Lance come Sunday afternoon.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said he no longer thinks about Brock Purdy’s offseason elbow surgery. This comment came on the heels of Purdy’s "sharpest practice” of camp, per beat reporter Matt Maiocco. “That’s completely off my mind. He’s healed; he’s healthy,” Shanahan said. “Guys got to get into throwing shape and they got to play and get used to that, and that takes time. But I’m not thinking about his injury.” Purdy and the 49ers travel to Pittsburgh for Week 1. The second-year QB should only factor into your superflex strategy for that one.

View all Brock Purdy Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Brock Purdy, QB SF
Dynasty MVP 251.7
Position Rank #19 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
756
1,267
2,494
Dynasty Write-up
The final pick of the 2022 draft, Purdy soon made his case to be San Francisco’s long-term answer. A surgically repaired elbow once complicated matters, but Purdy is now locked in as QB1 following the Trey Lance trade.
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