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Mac Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMac Jones's Basic Stats

Mac Jones
ADP: 14.3
Bye: 10
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.8
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 217
40 Time: 4.88
SPARQx (Rank): 88.30 (44%)
Burst Score (Rank): 114.00 (67%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.43 (55%)

Mac Jones's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#32 Quarterback

272.9 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
14.3 367.1/552 4112.4 25.9 11.6 42 134.4 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMac Jones's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • A 2021 first-round pick, Jones started all 17 games for the Pats last season.
  • Following a slow start, Jones went on to finish as a top-12 QB 5 times. That includes a QB4 finish against Cleveland.
  • Jones ranked 14th in pass attempts; New England sat 26th in pass rate.
  • Jones was aided by a strong O-line, one that allowed pressure at one of the lowest rates league-wide (18.4%).
  • New England’s pass catchers weren’t dynamic. Jones’ top-5 target-getters were Jakobi Meyers, Hunter Henry, Kendrick Bourne, Nelson Agholor and Brandon Bolden.
  • They were dependable, though. The team’s 3.1% combined drop rate ranked 2nd lowest.
  • Jones ranked 10th in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • For 2022, HC Bill Belichick hasn’t announced New England’s OC. But it’ll likely be either Joe Judge or Matt Patricia, a pair of uninspiring choices.
  • New England returns Meyers, Henry, Bourne and Agholor. James White, who missed most of 2021 with a hip injury, was re-signed in the offseason. His health remains a potential roadblock to production.
  • The Pats added size in veteran DeVante Parker; speed in Round 2 rookie WR Tyquan Thornton.
  • The Pats traded stud OG Shaq Mason to Tampa Bay and added surprise Round 1 OG Cole Strong in the draft.
  • This unit remains a non-issue for Jones. PFF ranked the O-line 10th in pass blocking last year and it profiles similarly in 2022.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Jones ranked as the QB18 in his debut NFL season. Not bad considering his less-than-stellar supporting cast.

The talent was upgraded this offseason, but it’s still nowhere close to the top of the league. And Jones simply doesn’t supply much with his legs, making his path to high-end fantasy production a bit more difficult.

Jones should go undrafted in normal-sized, 1-QB leagues. But he’s certainly in the mix as an in-season streamer.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Mac Jones, QB NE

7:40am EDT 6/12/22

More deep stuff in 2022?

ESPN’s Mike Reiss believes “there is potential for significant improvement in the deep passing game” for the Patriots this season. It appears Reiss bases this opinion primarily on how the deep-passing game has looked in early workouts. There’s certainly room for improvement. QB Mac Jones ranked just 26th among 31 qualifiers in deep-ball completion rate, according to ESPN Stats. He checked in above-average in on-target rate on downfield passes. In addition to more experience for the young QB and another off-season with his pass-catchers, New England added WR DeVante Parker via trade and speedy WR Tyquan Thornton in the 2nd round of the draft. Increasing his deep-ball production would be especially valuable for Jones, because he lacks rushing production and New England doesn’t figure to be a high-volume passing offense

View all Mac Jones Shark Bites »

Per league inside Jeff Howe, the Patriots “sound ecstatic” with QB Mac Jones’ “offseason dedication.” Jones exceeded year 1 expectations with 3,801 yards, 22 TDs and 13 picks across 17 games. He completed nearly 68% of his passes. A lack of rushing hurts his fantasy outlook, but the former ‘Bama standout at least projects as a bye week fill-in. Jones, 24 in Septmeber, finished as the QB18 in 2021.

View all Mac Jones Shark Bites »

The Patriots spent a 4th-round pick on Western Kentucky QB Bailey Zappe – notably ahead of North Carolina’s Sam Howell and Nevada’s Carson Strong. Zappe started 4 seasons for FCS-level Houston Baptist before transferring to Western Kentucky last year. He stuffed the stat sheet for the Hilltoppers, racking up 5,967 passing yards and 62 scores. Zappe is considered a refined and smart QB, but he lacks arm strength. He looks like an NFL backup, which is what he’ll be in New England behind Mac Jones.

View all Bailey Zappe Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Mac Jones, QB NE
Dynasty MVP 284.9
Position Rank #21 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
865
1,482
2,696
Dynasty Write-up
Jones looked limited as a downfield passer in year 1, but his strong short-to-intermediate accuracy carried over from college. He doesn’t profile as a high-volume passer any time soon, while the Pats need to add talent around him. New England also lost long-time OC Josh McDaniels to Las Vegas.
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