Chigoziem Okonkwo - Fantasy Points Outlook

Bottom Line

Okonkwo is an athletic TE/WR hybrid who was never used correctly in the previous offense.

He flashed at times, though, and the new offense led by HC Brian Callahan could utilize his abilities a bit more.

On the downside, Okonkwo faces more target competition this year with the arrival of WR Calvin Ridley.

That leaves Okonkwo as a volatile TE2 who will likely be more valuable in best-ball leagues than managed leagues.

What We Learned Last Year

• Okonkwo’s per-game numbers were generally an improvement over his rookie season:
  • 4.53 targets (up from 2.71)
  • 3.18 receptions (up from 1.88)
  • 31.1 yards (up from 26.5)
  • 9.8 yards per catch (down from 14.1)
  • 0.06 TDs per game (down from 0.18)
• He ranked as the PPR TE21 in total fantasy points and TE30 in points per game.
• He played all 17 games and has not missed a game in his entire career.
• He had two top-12 finishes. He also had nine TE25 or worse finishes.
• Okonkwo’s target share of 16.5% ranked 17th among TEs. It was an improvement over last year’s 11.8%.
• Among 33 TEs with at least 40+ targets, Okonkwo ranked:
  • 26th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
  • 19th in yards per route run (1.31)
  • 16th in average target depth (7.0)

What to Expect in 2024

• Okonkwo enters his third season on the Titans, but his first season with:

• HC and play caller Brian Callahan
• OC Nick Holz

• The Titans figure to throw it significantly more under the new coaching staff.
  • Four of Callahan’s five Bengals offenses ranked top-12 in pass rate, including a trio of top-6 finishes.
  • The Titans never finished higher than 24th in pass rate in six seasons under HC Mike Vrabel.
• The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
• They sit tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
• Okonkwo enters his third season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average TE with Okonkwo’s career and profile will produce peak value at age-25.
• He’ll face tougher target competition this season after the Titans added WR Calvin Ridley on a big four-year, $92 million deal. WR DeAndre Hopkins returns after leading the team with a 27.7% target share last year.