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Chris Olave - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChris Olave's Basic Stats

Chris Olave
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22.6
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 188
40 Time: 4.39
Burst Score (Rank): 116.40 (25%)

Chris Olave's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Chris Olave's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#22 Wide Receiver

143.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 61.8 1009.2 7.2 2.5 0.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChris Olave's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • The Saints moved up to #11 to take Olave as the 3rd WR in this year’s draft, 1 spot ahead of Jameson Williams. (Jahan Dotson and Treylon Burks followed as Round 1 WRs.)
  • Olave broke out as a 19-year-old sophomore at Ohio State, drawing 18.7% of targets and producing 17.7% of receptions, 22.8% of receiving yards and 25% of TD catches. He ranked 21st in Pro Football Focus receiving grade that year, among 200 WRs with 50+ targets, and checked in 11th in yards per route run.
  • Olave delivered market shares of 34.2% receptions, 36.7% yards and 31.8% TDs in a 7-game junior season that was shortened by COVID.
  • Those market shares receded in his senior campaign: 20.8% receptions, 21.4% yards and 32.5% TDs. The season saw Ohio State introduce QB C.J. Stroud after 2 years of Justin Fields, and sophomore Jaxson Smith-Njigba emerged to lead the team in catches and yards.
  • Olave ran a 4.39-second 40 at the Combine, befitting his career rate of 15.4 yards per catch in college.
  • His 15.5-yard college average depth of target (according to PFF) was nearly 2 yards deeper than the ADOT of last year’s Saints leader in targets, Marquez Callaway (13.4). The 2 Saints who beat that were WR Kevin White (32.0 on 5 total targets) and WR Kenny Stills (20.6, 21 targets).
  • QB Jameis Winston means an ADOT boost over Drew Brees. His career mark stands at 10.8. Brees posted ADOTs of 6.9 and 6.5 in his final 2 campaigns.
  • Winston is coming off a torn left ACL. The Saints re-signed him this offseason after a 7-game stint as starter to open last season.
  • New Orleans also expects WR Michael Thomas back from the ankle injury that cost him all of 2021, though it doesn’t look like he’ll get on the field until at least training camp. The team also signed Jarvis Landry in free agency.
  • The 2021 Saints ran the league’s 3rd most run-heavy offense, rushing on 48.5% of offensive snaps. They were 5th most run heavy in 2020. Sean Payton resigned this offseason, but the team returns its OC and passing-game coordinator from last year.
  • ESPN’s Mike Triplett writes that WR Chris Olave “has looked the part” through minicamp practices. Triplet points out the rookie’s “fluid route-running” and “big-play ability.”


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Olave clearly brings plenty of physical upside, and his style matches well with QB Jameis Winston’s desire to send targets downfield. Olave looks intriguing long term. His primary questions for this year, though, center on his QB and available targets. Winston is coming off an ACL tear and barely played the year before that. Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry have each taken turns as leading targets, plus Alvin Kamara has drawn dominant target shares for a RB. Ultimately, Olave projects as a more frustrating play than comforting for lineup-setting formats, especially in full-PPR scoring. Even in best ball, you can find more upside in other options around his ADP.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Rashid Shaheed, WR NO

6:43pm EST 1/1/23

Shaheed leads Saints with 79 yards

Saints WR Rashid Shaheed led the team with 6 catches and 79 yards in Sunday's win over the Eagles. TE Juwan Johnson hauled 5 of 7 targets for 62 yards, and rookie WR Chris Olave returned with 4 receptions on 5 targets for 42 yards after missing Week 16 vs. the Browns. Shaheed's penchant for making big plays paid off once again as he's now logged 70+ receiving yards in 3 of the last 4 games. Fantasy managers playing into Week 18 will see this bunch of pass-catchers take on a Panthers defense that ranks as the 3rd-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs and just got torched by QB Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in Week 17.

View all Rashid Shaheed Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (hamstring) is active for today’s game vs. the Eagles. The rookie was sidelined with this injury last week and limited in practice all this week. Consider Olave just a WR3 against Philly’s 9th-ranked WR defense.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (hamstring) is expected to play vs. the Eagles today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Olave got in 3 limited practices this week after missing Week 16. The hamstring adds some risk to Olave, who ranks just 35th in fantasy points per game over his last 5 healthy outings.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (hamstring) logged limited participation on Friday and carries a questionable tag ahead of Week 17 vs. the Eagles. The talented rookie only managed limited practice all week and missed last week's game with this same ailment. It looks like fantasy managers aren't going to know about the status of Olave until 90 minutes before kickoff on Sunday. It'll be tough to view Olave as anything more than a WR3/flex option if he does suit up against a brutally stingy Eagles secondary.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave (hamstring) logged limited participation at practice for the 2nd consecutive day. Tomorrow's report will be telling about his availability for Week 17 vs. the Eagles. The rookie did not play last week due to this injury, so limited participation in back-to-back days is a good sign at a minimum. Tune in tomorrow for official word on Olave's outlook.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chris Olave, WR NO
Dynasty MVP 156.2
Position Rank #10 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
461
794
1,563
Dynasty Write-up
An injured Michael Thomas helped Olave prove his value right away. The 1st-round pick displayed a nice blend of speed and route-running ability, while his production (alongside Andy Dalton ) was nothing to sneeze at. New Orleans needs to find its long-term solution at QB, but they discovered a gem in Olave.
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