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Chris Olave - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChris Olave's Basic Stats

Chris Olave
ADP: 10.4
Bye: 14
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 188
40 Time: 4.39
Burst Score (Rank): 116.40 (25%)

Chris Olave's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 62.4 0.4 8.6
Weekly Writeup
Olave has registered huge 33% and 32% target shares the last 2 weeks. With WRs Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry banged up, the rookie looks like the best bet for Saints targets again this weekend. He gets a middling Vikings pass defense.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 48.2 0.4 7.2

Chris Olave's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#42 Wide Receiver

117.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
10.4 55.8 789.2 6.6 2 0.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChris Olave's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • The Saints moved up to #11 to take Olave as the 3rd WR in this year’s draft, 1 spot ahead of Jameson Williams. (Jahan Dotson and Treylon Burks followed as Round 1 WRs.)
  • Olave broke out as a 19-year-old sophomore at Ohio State, drawing 18.7% of targets and producing 17.7% of receptions, 22.8% of receiving yards and 25% of TD catches. He ranked 21st in Pro Football Focus receiving grade that year, among 200 WRs with 50+ targets, and checked in 11th in yards per route run.
  • Olave delivered market shares of 34.2% receptions, 36.7% yards and 31.8% TDs in a 7-game junior season that was shortened by COVID.
  • Those market shares receded in his senior campaign: 20.8% receptions, 21.4% yards and 32.5% TDs. The season saw Ohio State introduce QB C.J. Stroud after 2 years of Justin Fields, and sophomore Jaxson Smith-Njigba emerged to lead the team in catches and yards.
  • Olave ran a 4.39-second 40 at the Combine, befitting his career rate of 15.4 yards per catch in college.
  • His 15.5-yard college average depth of target (according to PFF) was nearly 2 yards deeper than the ADOT of last year’s Saints leader in targets, Marquez Callaway (13.4). The 2 Saints who beat that were WR Kevin White (32.0 on 5 total targets) and WR Kenny Stills (20.6, 21 targets).
  • QB Jameis Winston means an ADOT boost over Drew Brees. His career mark stands at 10.8. Brees posted ADOTs of 6.9 and 6.5 in his final 2 campaigns.
  • Winston is coming off a torn left ACL. The Saints re-signed him this offseason after a 7-game stint as starter to open last season.
  • New Orleans also expects WR Michael Thomas back from the ankle injury that cost him all of 2021, though it doesn’t look like he’ll get on the field until at least training camp. The team also signed Jarvis Landry in free agency.
  • The 2021 Saints ran the league’s 3rd most run-heavy offense, rushing on 48.5% of offensive snaps. They were 5th most run heavy in 2020. Sean Payton resigned this offseason, but the team returns its OC and passing-game coordinator from last year.
  • ESPN’s Mike Triplett writes that WR Chris Olave “has looked the part” through minicamp practices. Triplet points out the rookie’s “fluid route-running” and “big-play ability.”


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Olave clearly brings plenty of physical upside, and his style matches well with QB Jameis Winston’s desire to send targets downfield. Olave looks intriguing long term. His primary questions for this year, though, center on his QB and available targets. Winston is coming off an ACL tear and barely played the year before that. Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry have each taken turns as leading targets, plus Alvin Kamara has drawn dominant target shares for a RB. Ultimately, Olave projects as a more frustrating play than comforting for lineup-setting formats, especially in full-PPR scoring. Even in best ball, you can find more upside in other options around his ADP.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Andy Dalton, QB NO

23 hours ago

Dalton solid in loss

Saints QB Andy Dalton completed 20 of 28 passes (71.4%) for 236 yards (8.4 yards per attempt) and 1 TD in Sunday's narrow loss to the Vikings in London. He spread the targets around, with WR Chris Olave drawing a team-high 7, WR Marquez Callaway getting 6, TE Juwan Johnson seeing 4 and no one else topping 3. Olave's 4 receptions and 67 yards led the team. Four other Saints caught 3 balls. Jarvis Landry came away with a mere 2 catches for 7 yards on 2 targets. We'll see about QB Jameis Winston's status for the Week 5 home date with Seattle.

View all Andy Dalton Shark Bites »

The Saints have ruled WR Michael Thomas (foot) out for Sunday morning's game against the Vikings in London. Thomas' absence leaves target share available for WRs Chris Olave and Jarvis Landry, as well as TE Juwan Johnson. We'll see how much longer this foot issue is expected to hamper Thomas.

View all Michael Thomas Shark Bites »

Saints WR Chris Olave led the team in targets (13), receptions (9) and receiving yards (147) in Sunday's loss to the Panthers. The rookie claimed 31.7% target share in a game that both Michael Thomas (foot) and Jarvis Landry (ankle) left early. WR Tre'Quan Smith added a 4-105 receiving line on 5 targets. We'll see about the severity of the injuries, but Olave is looking like a weekly starter for 3-WR fantasy football leagues.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Rookie WR Chris Olave led the Saints with 13 targets in Sunday's loss to the Buccaneers. He caught just 5 of them, though, tallying 80 yards. Olave notably spent a lot of time working downfield, though. According to Pro Football Focus, he sported a 26.1-yard average depth of target for the game. He became the 1st player to ever do so on 13+ targets in PFF's 17 years of charting data, and the 1st to do so on 10+ targets since Mike Wallace in 2013. Olave checked in close with Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry in playing time and routes once again. It won't be surprising if the targets continue to fluctuate among that top 3. Olave's tremendous ADOT, though, will make it easier for him to deliver above-average efficiency. QB Jameis Winston and the passing game might be in for better defensive matchups until a Week 10 visit to Pittsburgh.

View all Chris Olave Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chris Olave, WR NO
Dynasty MVP 128.1
Position Rank #32 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
378
651
1,281
Dynasty Write-up
We wrote in Olave’s pre-draft scouting report that he looked like a long-term #2 WR in the NFL. That’s what he’ll be in New Orleans, at least to start his career, behind Michael Thomas. Thomas is signed through 2024 – and it’d be tough for the Saints to get out of his deal. There are long-term QB questions in New Orleans. And we’ll see what the offense looks like without HC Sean Payton. But Olave’s sub-4.4 speed, route-running ability and reliable hands make him a relatively safe fantasy bet.

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