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Deshaun Watson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Deshaun Watson
HOU

QB HOU

#19 Quarterback

234 Projected Points

ADP: 11.7
Bye: 10
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 221
40 Time: 4.66

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#19 Quarterback

234 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
11.7 236/347 2701 15 7 287

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

175.5

DS Projection

234

Consensus

38 other sites
369.4

High Ceiling

313.6

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • It’s been a tumultuous offseason for Watson …
    • On bad terms with owner Cal McNair and executive vice president Jack Easterby, Watson requested a trade in January.
    • The first sexual assault lawsuit was filed against Watson in mid-March, alleging that he "went too far" during a massage. By early April, there were 22 claims made against him. Both the NFL and Houston police have investigated.
    • ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported in early May that “there are people in league circles who believe Deshaun Watson will not play this season.”
  • Houston signed free-agent QB Tyrod Taylor and drafted QB Davis Mills this offseason, clearly planning on being without Watson for part or all of the 2021 campaign.
  • Watson had his best season as a pro last year, setting career highs with …
    • 4,823 passing yards
    • 33 passing TDs
    • A 70.2% completion rate
    • 8.9 yards per attempt
    • A 112.4 QB Rating
  • Watson led the league in passing yards and yards per attempt. He also ranked top 7 in TDs, completion rate, QB Rating and Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • Watson ranked 5th among QBs with 90 carries, 6th with 444 rushing yards and 11th with 3 rushing scores.
  • He finished top 5 at his position across fantasy scoring formats.
  • It was Watson’s 3rd straight top-5 finish. And as a rookie in 2017, he led all QBs in fantasy points per game.
  • If Watson plays for the Texans this season, he’ll do so without WR Will Fuller, who led the team with 80 yards and .73 TDs per game last year.
  • Houston’s top 5 WRs figure to be Brandin Cooks, Randall Cobb, Nico Collins, Keke Coutee and Chris Conley.
  • If Watson is traded, Denver, Carolina and Philadelphia are the most likely destinations. Any of those spots would boost his fantasy value.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Watson’s off-field issues need to be settled before we can really assess his 2021 fantasy value. He’s likely looking at a suspension for the 22 sexual assault lawsuits filed against him. And his future with the Texans looks bleak.

What we know is that Watson is a high-end fantasy producer who’s just hitting his prime at 25 years old. Even if he returns to a crappy Texans squad this season, he’s a good bet for at least top-10 production. And if he ends up somewhere like Denver, Carolina or Philadelphia, he’d have a chance at his 4th straight top-5 finish.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Texans QB Deshaun Watson will report for the start of training camp on Sunday, according to ESPN's Sarah Barshop. ESPN's Ed Werder reports that Watson is only showing up to avoid the daily $50,000 fine for missing camp. Watson, of course, has had issues with Houston management and requested a trade earlier this offseason. "Sense around league is Texans have moved on from Watson in their football plans, unless Watson’s arrival to camp somehow changes the dynamic," ESPN's Jeremy Fowler tweeted on Sunday. We'll see where that goes -- along with Watson's legal situation and standing with the NFL after the sexual assault allegations. He remains just a late-round flier in fantasy drafts right now.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

"There are people in league circles who believe [Texans QB] Deshaun Watson will not play this season," ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Watson, of course, faces 22 civil lawsuits alleging sexual assault. Houston police and the NFL are both looking into the matter. The Texans spent their 1st pick of the draft (67th overall) on Stanford QB Davis Mills, another sign that Watson's future with the team is up in the air. We'll continue to stay on top of this situation, but Watson is a high-risk pick in early fantasy drafts. His FFPC ADP has sunk to Round 11.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

A complaint against Texans QB Deshaun Watson has officially been filed with the Houston Police Department. Prior to this, all the sexual assault claims against Watson were of the civil variety. It's unclear exactly what this means for Watson's standing with the league. The NFL can place him on the commissioner's exempt list and/or suspend Watson even without a guilty charge. Watson is obviously a risk/reward pick in current best-ball drafts.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

A sexual assault lawsuit has been filed against Texans QB Deshaun Watson. The complaint alleges that Watson "went too far" during a massage. “I have not yet seen the complaint, but I know this: I have never treated any woman with anything other than the utmost respect," Watson posted to Twitter on Tuesday night. "The plaintiff’s lawyer claims that this isn’t about money, but before filing suit he made a baseless six-figure settlement demand, which I quickly rejected. Unlike him, this isn’t about money for me — it’s about clearing my name, and I look forward to doing that.” We'll see where this goes. Watson, of course, continues to be the subject of trade rumors, with the Panthers reportedly hottest on his tail.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Texans QB Deshaun Watson has "officially" requested a trade. "He actually did it weeks ago," Schefter asserts, adding that new HC David Culley "will not alter Watson's thinking." The QB's no-trade clause complicates the process, but Houston should find no shortage of suitors for the 25-year-old stud. We'll see where this goes ... and who succeeds Watson at the helm of the Texans offense.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

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