Smith almost has to be better than what the Jets puked up at QB last season. He gets a better group of pass catchers than last year’s offense presented, and better than what the 2025 Raiders provided. But Smith still presents limited upside as a player, and the Jets still present little to get excited about. Treat him as a low-end QB2 across formats.
Fantasy Rankings & Projections
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Geno Smith's Preseason Player Analysis
Draft Sharks Verdict
2025 Role & Results
Production & Fantasy Finishes
Smith played 15 games in his lone season with the Raiders. It started well, with 70.6% completions and 362 passing yards in a victory at New England. That week’s QB15 fantasy finish would be one of just six times that Smith landed among the top 20.
That included just two top-12 weeks and one other higher than 17th, a fortunate QB13 finish in Week 12 against Cleveland. (Smith’s 18.1 fantasy points that week -- by our default scoring system -- would have ranked just 22nd at the position in scoring average for the season.)
Smith’s scoring average fell below all three of his Seattle seasons and even his rookie-year mark with the Jets.
Efficiency & Regression
Smith’s 67.4% completion rate for the Raiders stayed in line with his Seattle numbers:
- 69.8% in 2022 (his first full starting year for the Seahawks)
- 64.7% in 2023
- 70.4% in 2024
The Raiders’ limited pass-catching corps and one-year coaching staff helped limit Smith to the shortest average depth of target in his career (6.9). That led to a career low in yards per attempt and his lowest yards per attempt since the Jets days.
2026 Opportunity & Projection
Supporting Cast
Smith jumps to a Jets offense with one dominant target. WR Garrett Wilson ranked second in the league with a 30.4% target share last season after finishing top-12 each of the previous two years.
He’ll remain the No. 1, but the team would probably like him to be less dominant after drafting TE Kenyon Sadiq and WR Omar Cooper Jr. in the first round. They join WR Adonai Mitchell and TE Mason Taylor in competing for top spots.
The Jets franchised RB Breece Hall and then reached a three-year deal with him. Hall has logged the sixth-most receptions among RBs since he entered the league in 2022. That included 76 catches in 2023 and 57 in 2024. His 8.7 career yards per catch signal high-end receiving ability for the position.
It’s not a terrific group overall, but there’s enough talent to help Smith to some starter-worthy fantasy outings.
Coaching & Offensive Scheme
Frank Reich arrives as the new OC after Tanner Engstrand’s first year on the job got him booted.
Reich last coached in the NFL in 2023, when he got through just 11 games as Panthers HC. That team balanced the run and pass, ranking 16th in neutral pass rate. That marked Reich’s fifth straight offense to rank 16th or lower in that category.
This marked a notable shift vs. Reich’s previous five years, which included:
- Two seasons as Chargers OC
- Two as Eagles OC
- One as Colts HC
That range averaged a No. 10 finish in neutral pass rate, including three seasons of eighth or higher.
Consider Reich willing to cater to his personnel, which should leave the Jets near the middle of the league in run-pass split, game script permitting.
Paths to Ceiling
Smith’s three Seattle seasons found him ranking eighth, 24th, and 14th in fantasy points per game at the position. Can he get back to the heights of that span? Not likely.
Those Seahawks offenses started with a 25-year-old DK Metcalf and 30-year-old Tyler Lockett. The 2024 squad phased Lockett out while hitting Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 100 catches.
Garrett Wilson’s cool, but the Jets don’t come close to that group. Smith’s ceiling here is likely mid-QB2 range. Low impact.
Smith could get there by continuing his high completion rates and getting a little lucky with his passing-TD rate. Even then, we’re talking streamer at best.
Risk Factors
Smith also posted a career low in rushing yards per game last season. That category has fluctuated, but he fell short of 160 rushing yards in two of the past three years.
That lowers the floor for a guy who posted modest TD rates each of the past three years while increasing his INT rate each of the past two.
A Wilson injury would likely reveal a pass-catching corps that mixes lackluster talent with unproven rookies.
Advanced Stats
- 40 Yard Dash
- 4.6
- 40 Yard Dash Rank
- 92
- Burst Score
- 120.6
- Burst Score Rank
- 85
- Throw Velocity
- 55
- Throw Velocity Rank
- 50
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Off-Field Trouble For Geno Smith?
Off-Field Trouble For Geno Smith?
Jets QB Geno Smith is under police investigation following assault allegations made by a woman on social media over the weekend. Davie (Fla.) police initially said the case was closed with no arrests but later clarified that the incident is still being reviewed before a report can be released. Neither Smith nor the Jets have addressed the situation. No charges have been filed as of now, but that doesn't preclude the league from investigating the incident under the personal conduct policy. We'll keep you updated on any further developments. For now, we're not adjusting Smith's spot in the QB rankings.
The Jets Invest a Round 4 Pick into QB Cade Klubnik
The Jets Invest a Round 4 Pick into QB Cade Klubnik
The New York Jets selected Clemson QB Cade Klubnik in Round 4 of the 2026 NFL Draft. A five-star recruit, Klubnik started for three years at Clemson. He ended his career third in career passing yards at Clemson, but Klubnik struggled to make a major impact over his final two seasons. In 2025, Klubnik finished with 2,943 yards with 16 TDs and 6 INTs. His lack of arm strength in an RPO-style offense limited Klubnik’s production and consistency. Among the 15 QBs invited to the NFL Combine, Klubnik ranked seventh in 2025 adjusted completion percentage (77.6%), and ninth in aDOT (8.4). He ranked 10th in 2025 Big Time Throw rate (3.8%) and 11th in rushing yards per game when removing sacks (28.1). He is currently 22 years old.
Jets Land Standout TE Kenyon Sadiq with 16th Pick
Jets Land Standout TE Kenyon Sadiq with 16th Pick
The New York Jets selected Oregon TE Kenyon Sadiq with the 16th pick of the 2026 NFL Draft. Sadiq’s production profile is not as impressive as recent first-round TEs Brock Bowers, Tyler Warren, or Colston Loveland. He caught just five balls as a freshman and was out-produced by TE Terrance Ferguson as a sophomore in 2024. Sadiq set career highs across the board this past season, leading Oregon with 51 catches and 8 TDs and finishing second to WR Malik Benson with 560 yards. But his 1.62 yards per route ranked just 10th among 27 of the top TEs in this year’s class. For perspective, Bowers, Warren and Loveland all topped 2.6 yards per route in their final college seasons. On the plus side, Sadiq just turned 21 in March and lit up the Combine. He clocked a 4.39-second 40 time with a 43.5-inch vertical to earn a 9.52 Relative Athletic Score. Sadiq is a bit undersized at 6’3, 241 pounds but holds up well as a blocker. He should be able to stay on the field for all three downs. And he’s a three-level threat as a receiver, possessing plus route running and after-catch skills. The Athletic’s Dane Brugler calls Sadiq a “Vernon Davis-like weapon.”
Aaron Glenn Says Geno Smith is 'Our Guy'
Aaron Glenn Says Geno Smith is 'Our Guy'
Jets HC Aaron Glenn confirmed that QB Geno Smith will be the starter. "No doubt about it, he's our guy," Glenn told NFL Network's Judy Battista.
Geno Smith Heads Back to Where He Busted
Geno Smith Heads Back to Where He Busted
The Raiders are sending QB Geno Smith to the Jets, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The price for his new/old team is a mere pick swap, with the Jets sending a sixth-rounder to Vegas and getting a seventh back. Smith originally went to the Jets in the second round of the 2013 draft and started 29 games across his first two years before getting benched and then banished. He spent a year with the Giants, another with the Chargers, and then six with the Seahawks. That's where he grew into a starter. But Seattle traded him after three starting seasons in favor of Sam Darnold.
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