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Jameis Winston - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJameis Winston's Basic Stats

Jameis Winston
ADP: 14.4
Bye: 14
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 28.4
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 231
40 Time: 4.97
SPARQx (Rank): 84.90 (31%)
Burst Score (Rank): 101.40 (12%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.52 (47%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 55.00 (50%)

Jameis Winston's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#25 Quarterback

238.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
14.4 306.6/479 3544.6 21.6 12 53 217.3 3.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJameis Winston's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Winston tore his left ACL in Week 8 of last season. It doesn’t appear he needed anything else in the knee repaired during that surgery, though.
  • Winston has played in just 11 games over the past 2 years, including just 6 full starts.
  • The last time we saw him on the field for a full season, Winston led the NFL in pass attempts and yards, and ranked 3rd among QBs in total fantasy points. He also led the league with 30 INTs that season and ranked just 14th in fantasy points per pass attempt.
  • The 2021 Saints passed at the league’s 3rd-lowest rate. They attempted a pass or took a sack on just 51.5% of offensive plays.
  • Winston ranked 15th in fantasy scoring average last season, 13th if you take away the contest he left early. He checked in 2nd in fantasy points per pass attempt.
  • That’s because Winston managed an 8.7% TD rate that would have led the league by 1.7 percentage points had he qualified. Only 25 qualifying QB seasons have ever matched or exceeded that mark. Winston’s previous high was 5.3% with the 2019 Bucs.
  • Winston’s 59% completion rate with the 2021 Saints marked his lowest since his 2015 rookie campaign. Among 39 QBs with at least 150 dropbacks, Pro Football Focus graded him 23rd as a passer (3 spots ahead of new backup Andy Dalton).
  • The 2021 Saints didn’t have a single player garner more than 16.7% target share. WR Marquez Callaway led that category, with RB Alvin Kamara, WR Deonte Harris and WR Tre’Quan Smith following (and the only others to crack 50 targets).
  • The team expects WR Michael Thomas back for this season after an ankle injury cost him most of the past 2 years. The Saints also moved up in Round 1 to draft Chris Olave and signed Jarvis Landry in free agency. The team also re-signed Smith and returns Callaway.
  • Winston was back on the field for OTAs, though multiple reports had him operating with a noticeable limp.
  • This study didn’t find any meaningful downturn in production from QBs after ACL injuries. Our own look back at QB ACL tears last offseason turned up similar results.
  • HC Sean Payton moved on this offseason. The team returns OC Pete Carmichael and passing-game coordinator/QBs coach Ronald Curry from last year, though.
  • The Saints have moved on from LT Terron Armstead, who left for Miami in free agency. Injury limited him to less than half of last year’s offensive snaps, but PFF graded him 4th-best at the position in pass-blocking. New Orleans drafted Trevor Penning in Round 1 to replace him. The team also gets G Andrus Peat back after he lost three-quarters of last season to a pectoral tear.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Counting on Winston has a cornerstone for any 2022 fantasy football team wouldn’t be a good idea, but no one is doing that. Even best-ball drafts – which rely only on a player’s best weeks – have Winston going 18th among QBs on FFPC as of this writing and 20th on Underdog. Even at that level, however, he doesn’t look particularly attractive. The knee, plus inconsistent production when he has been healthy, plus an iffy offense incorporating new pass-catchers adds at least as much risk as Winston has upside. The unanswerable question of what we can expect from Michael Thomas in his return only further hurts Winston’s attractiveness for best-ball lineups.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jameis Winston, QB NO

10:40pm EDT 6/15/22

Winston not yet in team drills

Saints QB Jameis Winston has yet to be cleared for 11-on-11 workouts, according to the team website. Winston has been seen on the field in OTAs but is awaiting that final clearance to practice in full. We'd expect it to come at least by some early point in training camp but will keep an eye on the situation. Andy Dalton has run the starting offense in Winston's absence this week.

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Saints QB Jameis Winston was on the field with his team at OTAs this week. Katherine Terrell of The Athletic noted that he wore a "bulky" brace and sported a limp that "seemed more prominent when walking versus running." Neither of those things should be surprising for a player coming off an ACL repair, and it's obviously good that Winston was even taking part in the voluntary workouts. The QB said, though, that overcoming the ACL tear hasn't been the biggest challenge in this process. “The biggest thing about my specific injury was the meniscus,” he said. “It wasn’t the ACL and MCL. The MCL actually healed on its own before surgery and the ACL, Dr. Neal ElAttrache did a phenomenal job. … It was a pretty simple procedure. But the meniscus repair has been the biggest limiter for me right now, in terms of moving, rolling out, in terms of certain movements that I’m not able to do just because of the timetable of the recovery. But my ACL is very stable, my MCL is very stable. Right now I’m building around and fighting with the meniscus.” Again, the fact that Winston is on the field at all this early keeps us from worrying too much. But his progression through summer will certainly be worth tracking.

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Per NFL insider Albert Breer, Saints QB Jameis Winston is nearing full clearance from his October ACL tear. Winston will meet with surgeon Neal S. ElAttrache around the end of next month. “End of June is when I’ll be fully cleared,” Winston announced. “Camp, I’ll be full go.” With Michael Thomas, Chris Olave and Jarvis Landry as top targets, Winston could supply some spot-start value this fall.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

Saints QB Jameis Winston was a limited participant in OTAs this week, according to The Athletic's Katherine Terrell. Winston took part in individual drills, 7-on-7s and some 11-on-11s but was sporting a "bulky" brace and had a noticeable limp, per Terrell. Winston just resumed running earlier this month after last October's season-ending left knee injury. “The biggest thing about my specific injury was the meniscus,” Winston told reporters. “It wasn’t the ACL and MCL. The MCL actually healed on its own before surgery and the ACL, Dr. Neal ElAttrache did a phenomenal job. … It was a pretty simple procedure. But the meniscus repair has been the biggest limiter for me right now, in terms of moving, rolling out, in terms of certain movements that I’m not able to do just because of the timetable of the recovery. But my ACL is very stable, my MCL is very stable. Right now I’m building around and fighting with the meniscus.” The fact that Winston was on the field at all in May is a positive sign. We're expecting him to be under center for the Saints come Week 1.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

New Saints HC Dennis Allen confirmed that QB Jameis Winston is on track to start Week 1. Recall that Winston suffered a torn ACL in Week 8 of last season. "Well, certainly that's certainly the plan," Allen said. "There's a lot of days between now and Week 1, but we certainly like where he's at right now. We like the progress that he's making. Man, I really loved a lot of the things that he did last year for us -- 14 touchdowns, three interceptions. There was just some really good stuff that you see. And my vision and my hope is that he continues to progress on the same level as he gets another year in the system." New Orleans passed on adding a QB in the draft. Instead, they bolstered the offense with WR Chris Olave and OT Trevor Penning. Winston, for now, profiles as a clear QB2 with spot-start potential.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jameis Winston, QB NO
Dynasty MVP 200.7
Position Rank #34 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
711
1,147
1,359
Dynasty Write-up
Winston will get another crack at a starting job in 2022 -- with an upgraded supporting cast of rookie Chris Olave, free-agent addition Jarvis Landry and a hopefully healthy Michael Thomas. WInston turns 29 in January.
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