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Jameis Winston - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Jameis Winston
NO

QB NO

#29 Quarterback

249 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 231
40 Time: 4.91

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
206 1.6 0.9 17 18.1
Week 4
Winston threw for 226 yards and a TD on 17-of-23 passing in the OT loss to the Giants last weekend. Nine different Saints made a catch, but the offense looked mostly stale. QB Taysom Hill took a couple of runs in for scores, which certainly takes away from Winston’s appeal.

Winston hasn’t done much since his 5-TD Week 1 performance, proving it was more a fluke than a signal. His 226 yards marked a high for the year so far. Winston’s lack of consistency and proven options makes him a dangerous fantasy play, especially with Hill waiting in the wings. It’s better to monitor this situation from afar.
Week 3
After a big Week 1, Winston has seen his stats flat line as he once again failed to hit 150 passing yards in Week 3. This time, however, he only threw for 2 TDs instead of 5 in Week 1. The Saints didn’t need to throw much in this game as their defense dominated. The Saints held the Patriots to just 6 points through 3 quarters. This led to Winston only dropping back to throw 26 times, which was 2nd fewest on the week. In 2021 Winston is 30th in the NFL in dropbacks, and with limited weapons he has it will be tough for him to consistently put up fantasy points.
In Week 4 the Saints take on an underperforming Giants D that has allowed at least passing 240 yards and 2 TDs in every game this season. It is tough to trust Winston after underwhelming fantasy days. However, after facing back-to-back top 5 pass defenses, according to Football Outsiders DVOA, Winston will have a much easier time vs. a Giants team that is ranked 20th in that metric.
Week 2
Winston took a huge step back from his 5-TD Week 1. With 11-of-22 passing for 111 yards, Winston ranked as just the QB26 in Week 2. He went without a passing score, something he did only once when he last started in 2019. Winston did score when the defense left a rush lane for him on 3rd and goal. But overall, this was an ugly showing. He tossed 2 INTs — including 1 into triple coverage — and had another dropped. For most of the game, he struggled to feel pressure from a much-improved Carolina defense. Truthfully, their rise might be the real story here. Winston, though, just doesn’t look like a reliable spot-starter right now. He’s on the road for 3 of his next 4, starting Sunday at New England.
Week 1
If you told us after Week 1 that Winston only threw for 148 passing yards, we would have thought that Taysom Hill would be starting Week 2 after a bad loss. Instead, Winston threw for 5 TDs on just 20 attempts, leading the Saints to a ridiculous 38-3 victory over the Packers. Many people will run out to the waiver wire to grab Winston, but we suggest you proceed with caution. The Saints had the second highest average starting field position. This includes 2 TDs when the offense had to drive 21 yards or less.
Heading into Week 2, Winston shouldn’t be thrusted into lineups as the Panthers finished Week 1 as the 3rd best defense according to Football Outsiders DVOA. If you did grab Winston, he could be solid trade candidate to a team who is looking for a QB. It might not be a bad idea to pair him with an RB/WR to get an upgrade while his value is sky high.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • The Saints signed Winston to a 1-year deal in April of 2020. He was coming off a hot/cold 2019 in Tampa Bay that saw him throw for 5,109 yards at 8.2 YPA … and chuck 30 INTs.
  • He was surrounded by top talent including Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and O.J. Howard — plus a speed threat in Breshad Perriman who tallied a career-best 36-645-6.
  • Winston underwent lasik eye surgery last offseason. Bullish news, we suppose.
  • He was a reclamation project HC Sean Payton last fall. Drew Brees, of course, returned for another season.
  • Brees suffered an injury in Week 10, and Winston took over for a half. He went 6 of 10 for 63 yards in the small sample vs. San Francisco.
  • When Brees missed Weeks 11-14 due to injury, however, it was Taysom Hill who stepped in as the starter. Going 3-1, he held his own, completing 88 of 121 passes for 928 yards, 4 TDs and 2 INTs (16 games). He rushed 87 times for 457 yards and 8 scores.
  • Winston re-signed with the Saints (1-year, $5.5 million). He said the following: "I just wanted a one-year to show that I can be an elite quarterback, that I will protect the football and that I’m a CEO. I’m ready to lead a team, ready to lead an organization and lead a community to happiness."
  • This offseason, Payton has said that Winston and Hill will compete for the starting gig.
  • NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported in March that Winston is the favorite for the starting job.
  • We project Winston as the Week 1 starter, but even so, Hill will retain a role. He ranked 3rd among QBs in red zone rushes last year (28).
  • The Saints are strong at WR1 (Michael Thomas) and RB1 (Alvin Kamara). But they’ll count on 2nd-year TE Adam Trautman and WR Tre'Quan Smith taking steps forward. Winston’s supporting casts with the Bucs were superior.
  • Winston averaged 209 rushing yards across 5 starting seasons with the Bucs. He scored 1 TD in 4 of those seasons. Decent production — but nothing spectacular.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

We like Winston’s odds of becoming the Week 1 starter. But he’s still a wild card having barely played last year. Plus, the presence of Taysom Hill figures to be an upside-capper for fantasy.

Entering the summer, Winston’s just a QB3 option in best ball drafts.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

QB Jameis Winston has been named the Saints' starter, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Winston and QB Taysom Hill seemed to play to a draw in training camp, but Winston won this job with his 123-yard, 2-TD performance in Monday night's preseason game vs. Jacksonville. Having Winston under center is good news for RB Alvin Kamara and New Orleans' WRs. But Winston himself isn't a very attractive fantasy option. He'll be working with an underwhelming group of pass catchers until WR Michael Thomas returns. And Hill still figures to steal snaps, especially in the red zone.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

ESPN's Jeremy Fowler confirms that Saints QB Jameis Winston "appears well-positioned to start opening day vs. Green Bay." HC Sean Payton has yet to officially name a starter, but it'd be a surprise if it wasn't Winston after his impressive showing in the 2nd preseason game. "Winston is receiving significant locker-room support this week for the Saints starting QB job, with many teammates treating him as if he is the starter or giving indications he will get the job," Fowler adds. If you're drafting this weekend, assume Winston is the Saints' starter. He's not an appealing fantasy option -- but Winston being under center is good news for RB Alvin Kamara and the rest of New Orleans' skill guys.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

Saints QB Jameis Winston got the start in Monday night's preseason game vs. the Jaguars and took full advantage of the opportunity. He completed 9 of 10 passes for 123 yards and 2 TDs to WR Marquez Callaway across 3 possessions. QB Taysom Hill came on in relief, finishing 11-of-20 for 138 yards and a score. HC Sean Payton declined to name a starter after the game. But, at this point, it'd be a major surprise if Winston wasn't under center for the opener vs. the Packers.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

Larry Holder of The Athletic says of the Saints QB battle that Jameis "Winston holds the edge in the race, in my eyes." Holder adds, "But this remains a competition to watch." We're certainly not treating the competition as decided, especially ahead of Winston's 1st preseason start. (Hill started the opener.) But keep this in mind in case you happen to be choosing between Saints QBs late in a best-ball draft this weekend. We'll see how both fare Monday night against the Jaguars.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport's "read" is that Jameis Winston has the "leg up" on the Saints' starting QB job. Rapoport adds that there will be a competition between Winston and Taysom Hill this summer but that Winston "really impressed in practice" last year. Hill reportedly stepped in when Drew Brees went down only because HC Sean Payton had promised Hill that he'd get an opportunity. This will be 1 of the biggest training camp battles to track -- not only for Winston and Hill's fantasy values, but also Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara's.

View all Jameis Winston Shark Bites »

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