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Joe Mixon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Basic Stats

Joe Mixon
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 27.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.50
SPARQx (Rank): 120.40 (78%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (49%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.37 (54%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.10

Joe Mixon's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
50.3 0.2 2.8 18.4 0.1 8.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
46.9 0.4 1.8 19.2 0.1 9.4

Joe Mixon's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#26 Running Back

150.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 227.9 750.1 6 1.7 1 29.1 306.4 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Mixon finds himself entering his age-27 season after showing signs of regression as a runner last year.

Despite that, the former Pro Bowl back did benefit from an uptick in usage as a pass-catcher in 2022 that will hopefully carry over into the upcoming NFL season.

With very little on the depth chart behind him, it’s safe to consider Mixon a RB2 with upside in one of the league’s best offenses.

Just note that there’s still suspension risk here.

What We Learned Last Year
  • After posting a career-best season in 2021, Mixon regressed in many statistical categories this past year:
    • 2021: 334 touches, 1,519 total yards, 16 total TDs, RB4 overall in PPR (18.0 points per game)
    • 2022: 270 touches, 1,255 total yards, 9 total TDs, RB10 overall in PPR (17.1 points per game)
  • Part of the reason he didn’t ball out quite as much last season is that Mixon missed parts of two full games due to a lingering concussion in late November.
  • Mixon was still good enough when healthy to help fantasy squads. He concluded 2022 with six top-12 weekly finishes and four others within the top-24 among RBs in PPR.
  • Despite the overall production dip, Mixon saw a massive uptick in the pass-catching department. He set career highs in targets (75), receptions (60), and receiving yards (441) in 2022, ranking within the top-6 at the position in each category.
    • Moreover, Mixon ranked seventh in PFF receiving grade among RBs who received at least 40 targets last year. He finished 18th in this same measure in 2021.
  • Another critical piece of the puzzle to remember is that the Bengals’ offensive line was not very good last year, ranking 21st in PFF team run blocking grade and 16th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Rumors of Mixon being cut for financial reasons have swirled for months, in addition to some offseason legal troubles. Through all of that, however, the team hasn’t added much to the RB room beyond the drafting of rookie Chase Brown.
  • As of now, it seems Mixon’s standing with the team and role in the offense is safe.
  • Free agent signee OT Orlando Brown Jr. will presumably help the Bengals’ offensive line problems. However, his PFF metrics suggest he’s considerably more impactful as a pass blocker than a run blocker.
  • Entering his age-27 season, Mixon is still just young enough to be a quality fantasy asset in a high-powered offense, though he’s definitely showing signs of regression.
  • Mixon is worthy of consideration as an RB2, given the expectation of relatively high volume in a high-scoring offense.

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Joe Burrow, QB CIN

2:46pm EST 11/17/23

Joe Burrow done for the year with wrist injury

Bengals QB Joe Burrow will miss the rest of the season with a torn ligament in his wrist that will require surgery, HC Zac Taylor announced Friday. It ends a frustrating season that saw Burrow battle through a calf injury for the first six weeks, get hot coming off the bye, and then suffer this wrist injury. We'll look for further details on Burrow's rehab plan and whether his 2024 season will be impacted. His absence the rest of this season leaves Cincinnati with QBs Jake Browning and A.J. McCarron (practice squad). Browning was abysmal in relief of Burrow in Baltimore on Thursday night, completing eight of 14 passes for 68 yards (4.9 YPA). It's about the biggest QB downgrade imaginable and awful news for Bengals pass catchers. The offense figures to lean more on the running game going forward, but we still wouldn't consider this an upgrade for RB Joe Mixon because the Bengals will struggle to sustain drives and score points under Browning.

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Bengals HC Zac Taylor said after Thursday night's loss to the Ravens that QB Joe Burrow is believed to have a sprained right wrist. "Fell on it early in the game and then felt it on the touchdown pass," Taylor said. Burrow was spotted with a wrap on that wrist prior to Thursday's game but was not listed on the Week 11 injury report. He had a "multi-layered" wrap on the wrist after the game, according to ESPN's Ben Baby. Burrow is scheduled for an MRI on Monday, so we should get more details on the injury over the next 24 hours. Stay tuned. QB Jake Browning mustered just 68 yards on 8-of-14 passing (4.9 YPA) in relief of Burrow in Baltimore.

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Bengals RB Joe Mixon logged 14 carries for 37 rushing yards and a TD in Week 9 vs. the Bills. The veteran also added 5 catches for 31 yards as a pass-catcher in the contest. He’s now seen no fewer than 15 touch opportunities in all eight games played in 2023. Mixon’s volume-laden role is about as safe as it gets barring injury. Next week’s showdown against the Texans (12th-best matchup for RBs in adjusted fantasy points allowed) should present Mixon with solid RB2 fantasy value.

View all Joe Mixon Shark Bites »

Bengals RB Joe Mixon ran for 87 yards and a TD on 16 carries (5.4 per rush) in Sunday's win over the 49ers. He added 23 yards on 3 receptions. It marked a season-high in yards per carry for Mixon and just the second time he has reached the end zone this season. The offense racked up a season-high 400 yards despite facing a defense that entered the day ranked sixth in DVOA. With Joe Burrow further removed from his calf injury and WR Tee Higgins off the injury report, this is likely the healthiest Cincinnati's offense has been in 2023. If the Bengals can continue like this, Mixon won't need to be overly efficient to deliver worthwhile fantasy scoring the rest of the way.

View all Joe Mixon Shark Bites »

Bengals RB Joe Mixon recorded 25 carries for 81 rushing yards in Week 5’s win vs. the Cardinals. The veteran also added 4 catches on as many targets for 13 receiving yards in the contest. Through five games, Mixon holds an obscenely high 87% opportunity share of the Bengals’ RB touches. It’s insane how much involvement he sees on a weekly basis. He’ll be right back to his typical workhorse role again in Week 6 vs. the Seahawks.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Mixon, RB CIN
Dynasty MVP 76.8
Position Rank #65 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
282
389
587
Dynasty Write-up
Mixon posted a career-best fantasy finish in 2021, then encountered a 2022 headlined by wildly inconsistent play. Mixon is still only 27. But it’s very likely we’ve seen the best from a guy already entering Year 7.
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