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Joe Mixon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Basic Stats

Joe Mixon
ADP: 1.11
Bye: 10
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26.2
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.50
SPARQx (Rank): 120.40 (78%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (49%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.37 (54%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.10

Joe Mixon's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
69.1 0.6 3.9 30.7 0.1 13.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
73.2 0.7 3.5 25.2 0.2 15

Joe Mixon's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#4 Running Back

229.2 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
1.11 271.3 1149.2 11.3 2.6 2 47.9 355.2 2.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Mixon delivered his best fantasy season to date last year, finishing 4th among PPR backs and tied for 6th in points per game. He also checked in 4th in points per game in both half-PPR and non-PPR. His previous highs came in 2018, when Mixon ranked 10th among RBs in total PPR points and 9th in points per game.
  • Mixon’s underlying metrics were merely solid. Among 61 RBs with at least 70 rushing attempts, he ranked 23rd in yards after contact per attempt, according to Pro Football Focus. That marked a rebound from 2020 (3.03 vs. 2.55) but came up short of his 2019 rate (3.15).
  • Mixon ranked just 40th among the same group in PFF’s elusive rating, which seeks to measure the performance of a runner “independently of the blocking.”
  • Football Outsiders rated him 32nd in DVOA and 24th in DYAR – their 2 main rushing-efficiency metrics – among 50 qualifying RBs.
  • Cincinnati’s O-line delivered a roughly average-level performance, ranking 15th in FO’s adjusted line yards and 20th in PFF’s run-blocking grade. That marked an improvement over 2020, when the Bengals finished 31st and 21st, respectively.
  • The team has sought to improve the line further this offseason. Cincinnati signed T La’el Collins and G Alex Cappa in free agency. PFF graded Collins 3rd-best in run-blocking among OTs last year. Cappa checked in 39th among 135 graded guards, 2 spots behind Bengals G Quinton Spain (whom he’s expected to replace at RG) but well ahead of the other 3 Cincinnati guards who played meaningful snaps.
  • Mixon ranked 2nd in the league in carry share in 2021. His 67% share of Bengals rushing attempts trailed only Najee Harris (74.7%) and edged Jonathan Taylor (66.5%), despite Mixon sitting out the regular-season finale and being limited in several others while managing an ankle sprain.
  • The Bengals threw him the ball more as the games got more important: Mixon drew just 7.7% target share through Week 15. From Week 16 through the playoffs, however, he garnered 15.3%.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Mixon has been a favorite draft value of ours for a couple of years now, and he still looks capable of outperforming his current RB7 ADP in FFPC best-ball drafting. The advanced metrics say that Mixon isn’t the world’s greatest runner … but that almost doesn’t matter. The Bengals clearly love what he does. They made him 1 of the NFL’s most workhorse-iest ball-carriers last year. And then the playoffs found him targeted at a rate that would have ranked among the top at the position. If that trend continues into 2022, then Mixon has upside all the way to #1 among RBs – especially in an offense that ranked 7th in scoring last season and should be ascending.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Mixon, RB CIN

3:24pm EDT 9/26/22

Mixon has minor ankle injury

Bengals HC Zac Taylor said Monday that RB Joe Mixon "nicked up" his ankle in the win over the Jets but "will be good to go" for Thursday night's game vs. the Dolphins. We'll keep an eye on Mixon's practice participation over the next couple of days, but he can be penciled into Week 4 fantasy lineups for now.

View all Joe Mixon Shark Bites »

Bengals RB Joe Mixon was fed 27 carries and 9 targets in Sunday’s loss to Pittsburgh. He turned the heavy workload into 145 total yards and 7 catches, the latter mark matching a career high. Sure, Joe Burrow tossed 53 passes in a game that lasted all 70 minutes. But it was still encouraging to see Mixon deliver as a pass-catcher following spotty production there last season. His 9 targets accounted for 17% of Burrow's total pass attempts, a rate in line with Mixon's increased passing game usage through last year's playoffs. Samaje Perine mixed in for only 1 carry and 3 catches (5 targets). Look for Mixon to remain busy this week at Dallas — especially if Tee Higgins (concussion) is sidelined.

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The Athletic's Paul Dehner believes the Bengals are no longer interested in making RB Joe Mixon a 3-down back. Dehner notes that Mixon's usage on 3rd downs fell off precipitously late in the season and through the playoffs. Over his final 9 games, Mixon played just 17 3rd-down snaps compared to RB Samaje Perine's 83. But, Mixon averaged 4.3 targets over those 9 games vs. just 2.7 over his first 11. Losing 3rd-down snaps obviously isn't ideal and will probably keep Mixon from joining the top tier of fantasy RBs. But he's still capable of RB1 production as the clear lead back in a strong Bengals offense.

View all Joe Mixon Shark Bites »

Bengals RB Joe Mixon has been activated from the COVID list. We'll watch his practice participation this week, but he should be ready for his usual workload in Saturday's Wild Card game vs. the Raiders.

View all Joe Mixon Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow told reporters that he won't play in Sunday's regular-season finale. He said it's to "rest up," but it's also worth remembering that Burrow tweaked his right knee at the end of last week's win over the Chiefs. Cincinnati has a 1st-round home playoff game locked up and would need the Titans to lose to the Texans and the Chiefs to lose to the Broncos to get the #1 seed. RB Joe Mixon (COVID) is already out for Week 18, and we're not expecting WRs Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to play much, if at all, vs. Cleveland. QB Brandon Allen will get the start.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Mixon, RB CIN
Dynasty MVP 170.8
Position Rank #8 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
639
958
1,078
Dynasty Write-up
Mixon finally put it all together in 2021 for a career-best RB3 fantasy finish. He's tied to an ascending offense for at least the next 2 seasons and turned just 26 in July.
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