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Joe Mixon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJoe Mixon’s Basic Stats

Joe Mixon
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 7
Age: 28.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.50

SPARQx (Rank): 120.40 (78%)
Burst Score (Rank): 118.50 (49%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.37 (55%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.10

Joe Mixon's Weekly Outlook

Week 15 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
80.9 0.69 3 22.7 0.09 15
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
85.3 0.7 2 14.9 0.1 14.2

Joe Mixon's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Running Back

229.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 268.1 1124.7 8.96 1 1.3 33.7 251.1 1.17

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJoe Mixon's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Mixon signing with the Texans was the best-case scenario after being released by the Bengals.

He joins a prolific offense that gave Devin Singletary fantasy relevancy last season in OC Bobby Slowik’s offense. With C.J. Stroud and the WR weapons on the Texans, Mixon should have even more scoring opportunities.

Even if his receptions take a step back, Mixon should flirt with RB1 numbers again this season.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mixon’s 923 rushing yards ranked 13th among RBs. His 51 catches ranked 10th among RBs.
  • He did not miss any games due to injury.
  • Mixon ranked as the PPR RB7 in total fantasy points (242.2) and RB10 in points per game (12.0).
    • He finished RB12 or better six times. He recorded seven games between RB13 and RB24.
  • He ranked 19th among all ball carriers in rushing success rate at 49.4%.
  • He played 69% of the Bengals offensive snaps last season. His per-game averages for the season :
    • 15.1 carries
    • 60.8 rushing yards
    • 0.53 rushing TDs
    • 3.76 targets
    • 3.06 catches
    • 22.1 receiving yards
    • 0.18 receiving TDs
  • Mixon’s statistical success may have been a bit of a charade. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:
    • 32nd in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 39th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 27th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • His receiving metrics were slightly better. Among 43 RBs with 30+ targets, Mixon ranked:
    • 15th in PFF receiving grade
    • 24th in yards per route run

What to Expect in 2024

  • Mixon signed a three-year, $25.5 million contract with the Texans this offseason with $13 million guaranteed. His $9.875 million per year ranks sixth among RBs.
  • He will play under HC Demeco Ryans and second-year OC Bobby Slowik.
  • The Texans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They have the highest win total in the AFC South at 9.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
  • They also have the eighth-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600 on most sportsbooks, best in the division.
  • Mixon enters his eighth season at 28 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average RB with Mixon’s career will produce between 80 and 88% of his peak value at age-28.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Mixon, RB HOU

12:36am EST 11/19/24

Joe Mixon Continues Fantasy Dominance

Texans RB Joe Mixon had his way with the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football. He ran 20 times for 109 yards and three TDs while also adding two catches for 44 yards. He has been a Fantasy MVP since returning from his ankle injury.

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Texans RB Dameon Pierce (groin) is out for Sunday night’s game vs. the Lions. He’ll be replaced again by RB J.J. Taylor, who is not a fantasy option. RB Joe Mixon should be in for another big workload.

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Texans RB Dameon Pierce (groin) is out for Thursday night's game vs. the Jets. He's carried just 11 times over the past three weeks with RB Joe Mixon back, including three carries over the last two games, so there's little fantasy impact here. Mixon already projected to be super busy against the run-funnel Jets.

View all Dameon Pierce Shark Bites »

A week after he made a strong return from a hamstring injury with 132 total yards and 2 TDs against the Patriots, Texans RB Joe Mixon accounted for most of the offense in Sunday's narrow loss at Green Bay. He ran for 115 yards and 2 TDs on 25 carries (89.3% of the team RB total) and caught two passes for 9 yards. Even that low reception total ranked second on the team for the game. Mixon's 124 total yards constituted 63% of Houston's total net yardage against the Packers.

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Texans RB Joe Mixon returned from his ankle injury with a big game rushing 13 times for 102 yards and a TD. He also caught 2 of 3 targets for 30 yards including a second TD. Mixon took 13 of the 25 RB touches in the game due to the blowout

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Joe Mixon, RB HOU
Dynasty MVP 34.1
Position Rank #18 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
350
512
653
Dynasty Write-up
Mixon quietly assembled the PPR RB6 season in 2023. He's now compiled 918 touches over the past three years. Entering his age 28 season, Mixon is a clear sell-high candidate -- even in a favorable situation with Houston.
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