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Kadarius Toney - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Kadarius Toney
NYG

WR NYG

#83 Wide Receiver

66 Projected Points

ADP: 14.11
Bye: 10
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: N/A
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 189
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#83 Wide Receiver

66 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
14.11 34 422 3 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

52.8

DS Projection

66

Consensus

38 other sites
0

High Ceiling

141.9

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Toney arrived at Florida as a 3-star, dual-threat QB.
  • He managed just 50 catches and 3 total TDs through his first 3 seasons with the Gators. Toney rushed 47 times over the same span, while playing a mere 510 total snaps (according to Pro Football Focus).
  • He finally had a “breakout” season as a 21-year-old senior: 70 receptions, 984 yards, 10 TD catches -- plus 19-161-1 rushing. Toney accounted for 23.6% of Florida’s catches, 23.0% of yards and 22.2% of TD receptions over his 11 games, before opting out of the Cotton Bowl.
  • Toney spent a lot of time in the slot in 2020, tying for 6th nationally in slot receptions and ranking 6th in receiving yards from that position.
  • He had more receptions on screen passes than any other route, according to ESPN.
  • Toney is an elite athlete. He posted elite numbers in the jumps at his pro day: 90th percentile in the vertical and 99th percentile in the broad. Even the downward pro-day adjustment to his 40 time still landed it at 4.43 seconds. That’s good enough for an above-average speed score among WRs. He added an above-average 3-cone time for the position as well.
  • That athleticism shows up in his after-catch ability. Toney evaded 21% of tackle attempts last season, 2nd-best in the SEC, according to Sports Info Solutions.
  • Draft scouts say he’s raw as a route-runner.
  • Toney saw light use in the return game at Florida. He did lead the Gators twice in kick returns but totaled just 15 across his 4 seasons. Toney didn’t serve as the lead punt returner until his senior season, when he averaged 12.6 yards and scored 1 TD across 11 returns.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Toney’s physical gifts are easy to see if you watch his college tape. He can be a breathtaking runner with the ball in his hands. The rookie undoubtedly has some exciting plays ahead of him. There are 2 key questions, though:

  1. Can he turn into a consistent enough contributor to be worth starting in fantasy?
  2. If so, how soon could we expect that?

It’s worrisome that the Gators couldn’t find a way to regularly involve Toney before his senior season, though injuries played some role in that. And even when he broke out, Toney lived off short stuff. We’d bet the Giants will try to create touches for their 1st-round pick as soon as he’s ready. But we’re also not betting he finds big touch volume this season (if ever).

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Giants placed WR Kadarius Toney on the COVID list Thursday after the rookie tested positive for the virus. Toney can only take part in meetings remotely until he's cleared and obviously won't practice with the team while on the list. This shouldn't affect his regular-season status. Toney's summer will be interesting to track, though.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Dan Duggan doesn't expect Giants 1st-round WR Kadarius Toney to win a top 3 role this season. Toney played 82% of his snaps in the slot at Florida last season and figures to be primarily a slot guy in New York. So he'd either need to beat out Sterling Shepard -- or have the Giants kick Shepard outside to replace Darius Slayton. The 1st-round draft capital should help Toney get on the field. And he's a guy who can also contribute via end arounds, jet sweeps, etc. But he still doesn't look like a great bet to be a reliable fantasy producer as a rookie.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

The Giants added Florida WR Kadarius Toney with the 20th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. Toney has just 1 season of experience as a full-time WR. He was a dual-threat QB in high school and spent his first 3 years at Florida splitting time between WR, RB and Wildcat QB. Toney broke out at WR this past season, though, leading the Gators with 70 catches and 984 receiving yards and finishing 2nd to TE Kyle Pitts with 10 TDs. He added another 161 yards and a score on 19 carries. Toney is a fun watch. He has elite start-stop and change-of-direction ability. And his combination of vision, burst, contact balance and leg drive make him 1 of the best after-catch receivers in this class. Toney flashes potential as a route runner but has a ways to go in that department. There are also durability and character concerns here. Toney missed 10 games at Florida with shoulder and shin injuries and was involved in 2 off-field incidents involving guns. As a pro, he projects as a slot receiver who can also add value on end arounds, jet sweeps, etc. We’ll see exactly how he fits in a WR corps alongside Kenny Golladay, Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

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