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Kadarius Toney - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKadarius Toney's Basic Stats

Kadarius Toney
ADP: 10.6
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.3
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 193
40 Time: 4.43
Speed Score: 97.50
SPARQx (Rank): 107.00 (59%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.11 (65%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.19 (77%)

Kadarius Toney's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#42 Wide Receiver

117.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
10.6 71.9 826.9 5.1 2.1 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKadarius Toney's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Among 103 WRs with 40+ targets last year, Toney tied for 11th (with Tyreek Hill) in yards per route run, according to Pro Football Focus. For some context, here’s the top 20:


  • Toney stood out among that group for having the shortest average depth of target. You’d have to look down all the way to #45 Rondale Moore on the YPRR list to find someone with a shorter ADOT than Toney’s 6.5.
  • Overall, Toney ranked 98th in ADOT among the 103 WRs with 40+ targets. He tied for 8th in yards after catch per reception, matching Chris Godwin and Cooper Kupp, and trailing:
    • Deebo Samuel
    • Mecole Hardman
    • Rondale Moore
    • Ja’Marr Chase
    • Deonte Harty
    • Kendrick Bourne
    • Laviska Shenault
  • Toney went similarly short on ADOT in college, posting a 6.6 career ADOT and 7.7 for his senior year. He also proved similarly strong after the catch.
  • Trade rumors around NFL Draft time didn’t produce anything, and new HC Brian Daboll has since dispelled reports of displeasure with the 2nd-year wideout: “I told you I had a really good conversations with KT before. I really like him. He’s smart,” Daboll said in mid-May. “You can tell he’s got instinctive football. He was a really good (high school) quarterback down in Alabama. He’s been a pleasure to be around. Good teammate. Smart. It’s been great.”
  • His specific role remains to be seen as of this writing, as Toney wasn’t on the field for OTAs. He’s expected to start opposite Kenny Golladay, though, and play primarily outside in 3-WR sets. Toney spent 60% of his time in the slot last year, but the Giants then drafted 5’8 Wan’Dale Robinson in the 2nd round.
  • It’s also worth noting that Toney spent more than 85% of his pass snaps in the slot in each of his final 2 college seasons.
  • Toney drew 79.2% of his targets in the short range (0-9 yards) or behind the line of scrimmage as a rookie, according to PFF. Just 11 of his 57 total looks traveled 10+ yards downfield.
  • Toney lost most of training camp last year to a hamstring injury. He then lost games in season to ankle, quad and oblique injuries. He topped 50% playing time in 7 games and cracked 60% on just 3 occasions.
  • None of last season’s injuries looks like it’ll factor into his readiness for 2022.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Toney flashed in limited opportunities as a rookie. If the fantasy public were more excited heading into Year 2, then we might be wary of him. But Toney currently sits at the bottom of WR4 territory in ADP. There’s plenty of upside from that level, and minimal risk even if he tanks. Assuming he holds down 1 of the top 2 spots, Toney should compete for the target lead in an offense with nowhere to go but up from last season. Draft him as a reserve and you might just wind up with a sneaky regular starter.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kadarius Toney, WR NYG

2:05pm EDT 5/21/22

Toney had knee procedure

Per beat writer Pat Leonard, Giants WR Kadarius Toney underwent a “minor” arthroscopic knee procedure. He’s been limited in OTAs as a result. Per Leonard, Toney is “expected to be fine and ready for training camp.” Still, it’s a concerning development after Toney picked up a variety of injuries as a rookie. Avoiding a setback in training camp will be critical for the mercurial WR.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

Giants WR Wan'Dale Robinson lined up "almost exclusively" in the slot at rookie minicamp on Friday, according to NJ Advance Media's Zack Rosenblatt. That "will be his long-term role in this offense," Rosenblatt adds. Robinson played inside and out at Kentucky last year. But, at 5'8 and 178 pounds, he was always destined for the slot in the NFL. New HC Brian Daboll's Bills led the league in percentage of offensive snaps with 3+ WRs on the field last year (84.5%). So, if Robinson wins the starting slot job, he'll be on the field plenty. It also means that WR Kadarius Toney will be playing primarily on the outside after spending 59% of his snaps in the slot as a rookie last season.

View all Wan'Dale Robinson Shark Bites »

The Giants selected Kentucky WR Wan’Dale Robinson with the 43rd overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft. Robinson is a fun watch. He’s quick, elusive and explosive with the ball in his hands. And he has the acceleration and speed to win deep. Robinson is a raw route runner, though, at least in part because he’s relatively inexperienced at WR. He played RB in high school and spent about 50% of his snaps in the backfield as a freshman at Nebraska. Robinson played more WR than RB for the Huskers in 2020. But it wasn’t until he transferred to Kentucky this past year that he really broke out. Under OC Liam Coen, who worked under Sean McVay in Los Angeles from 2018 to 2020, Robinson finished 3rd in the country in receptions (104) and 11th in receiving yards (1,334). He ranked top 5 among 251 qualifying WRs in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade. Robinson played about two-thirds of his snaps in the slot but was actually slightly more effective in terms of yards per route run on the outside (3.82 vs. 3.45). The concern with Robinson is size. He’s just 5’8, 178 pounds and has the shortest arm length and wingspan of all WRs in the MockDraftable.com database. Robinson’s skill set overlaps a bit with WR Kadarius Toney, who might still be on thin ice with the new Giants regime. We’ll see how the situation shakes out.

View all Wan'Dale Robinson Shark Bites »

Giants WR Kadarius Toney has been in town and at the team's facility for the past few days, according to insider Bobby Skinner. ESPN's Jordan Raanan, meanwhile, hears that the Giants still view Toney as a "valuable asset" and "would want a significant return" in a trade. "Makes it seem right now the likelihood is he does not get moved," Raanan adds.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News reports that the Giants are "making calls on what they can get" for WR Kadarius Toney. The team drafted Toney 20th overall just last season but has since changed its GM and HC. Toney flashed as a rookie but appeared in just 10 games and compiled 57 total targets. It's hard to imagine the Giants getting a Round 1 pick in trade for Toney. We'll see what the market holds and whether a move actually happens. For now, be wary of Toney in best-ball drafts and dynasty trade proposals.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Kadarius Toney, WR NYG
Dynasty MVP 109.7
Position Rank #39 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
364
614
849
Dynasty Write-up
Toney looked like an iffy prospect a year ago, but he flashed like a lighthouse in limited rookie-year duty. If the new coaching staff believes in him, there's room for Toney to take over top-target status in Year 2 and become a serious fantasy factor.

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