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Kadarius Toney - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKadarius Toney's Basic Stats

Kadarius Toney
Bye: 8
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 24.0
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 193
40 Time: 4.43
Speed Score: 97.50
SPARQx (Rank): 107.00 (59%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.11 (65%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.19 (77%)

Kadarius Toney's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Kadarius Toney's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#40 Wide Receiver

120.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 62.3 810 6 2 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKadarius Toney's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Among 103 WRs with 40+ targets last year, Toney tied for 11th (with Tyreek Hill) in yards per route run, according to Pro Football Focus. For some context, here’s the top 20:

  • Toney stood out among that group for having the shortest average depth of target. You’d have to look down all the way to #45 Rondale Moore on the YPRR list to find someone with a shorter ADOT than Toney’s 6.5.
  • Overall, Toney ranked 98th in ADOT among the 103 WRs with 40+ targets. He tied for 8th in yards after catch per reception, matching Chris Godwin and Cooper Kupp, and trailing:
    • Deebo Samuel
    • Mecole Hardman
    • Rondale Moore
    • Ja’Marr Chase
    • Deonte Harty
    • Kendrick Bourne
    • Laviska Shenault
  • Toney went similarly short on ADOT in college, posting a 6.6 career ADOT and 7.7 for his senior year. He also proved similarly strong after the catch.
  • Trade rumors around NFL Draft time didn’t produce anything, and new HC Brian Daboll has since dispelled reports of displeasure with the 2nd-year wideout: “I told you I had a really good conversations with KT before. I really like him. He’s smart,” Daboll said in mid-May. “You can tell he’s got instinctive football. He was a really good (high school) quarterback down in Alabama. He’s been a pleasure to be around. Good teammate. Smart. It’s been great.”
  • His specific role remains to be seen as of this writing, as Toney wasn’t on the field for OTAs. He’s expected to start opposite Kenny Golladay, though, and play primarily outside in 3-WR sets. Toney spent 60% of his time in the slot last year, but the Giants then drafted 5’8 Wan’Dale Robinson in the 2nd round.
  • It’s also worth noting that Toney spent more than 85% of his pass snaps in the slot in each of his final 2 college seasons.
  • Toney drew 79.2% of his targets in the short range (0-9 yards) or behind the line of scrimmage as a rookie, according to PFF. Just 11 of his 57 total looks traveled 10+ yards downfield.
  • Toney lost most of training camp last year to a hamstring injury. He then lost games in season to ankle, quad and oblique injuries. He topped 50% playing time in 7 games and cracked 60% on just 3 occasions.
  • None of last season’s injuries looks like it’ll factor into his readiness for 2022.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Toney flashed in limited opportunities as a rookie. If the fantasy public were more excited heading into Year 2, then we might be wary of him. But Toney currently sits at the bottom of WR4 territory in ADP. There’s plenty of upside from that level, and minimal risk even if he tanks. Assuming he holds down 1 of the top 2 spots, Toney should compete for the target lead in an offense with nowhere to go but up from last season. Draft him as a reserve and you might just wind up with a sneaky regular starter.

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Kadarius Toney, WR KC

2:17pm EST 2/2/23

Toney on track for Super Bowl?

Chiefs HC Andy Reid said Thursday that WR Kadarius Toney (ankle) is "close." He didn't practice on Thursday but did participate in the walkthrough. It sounds like Toney has a good chance to play in next weekend's Super Bowl. We'll keep you updated on his progress.

View all Kadarius Toney Shark Bites »

Chiefs WRs JuJu Smith-Schuster, Kadarius Toney and Mecole Hardman were all knocked out of Sunday's AFC Championship game vs. the Bengals. It was a knee for Smith-Schuster, which HC Andy Reid called a "re-aggravation" of an issue he dealt with in practice leading up to this game. (Smith-Schuster was added to the injury report with a knee on Friday.). Toney hurt his ankle in the 1st quarter and didn't return. Hardman seemingly tweaked the pelvis injury that had him sidelined since Week 9. The Chiefs get a much-needed week off before squaring off with the Eagles in the Super Bowl. We'll keep a close eye on these WRs when Kansas City officially gets back to work next week.

View all JuJu Smith-Schuster Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman (pelvis) logged limited practice participation all week and is officially listed as questionable for the AFC Championship game vs. the Bengals. The speedster didn't practice last week, eventually leading to him not playing vs. the Jaguars in the Divisional Round. Teammate WR Justin Watson (illness) popped up on the injury report last minute and is also questionable for Sunday's game. The lack of health in the WR room makes us feel even better about Kadarius Toney in this fairly neutral matchup vs. the Bengals. Toney totaled 50 yards on 6 touches last week and stands to possibly be in line for another good opportunity for involvement if Hardman doesn't suit up.

View all Mecole Hardman Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman (hip) didn't practice all week and has been ruled out for Saturday's Divisional Round game vs. the Jaguars. Rookie WR Skyy Moore (hand) managed to practice fully all week and doesn't carry an injury designation. WR Kadarius Toney could see a small bump into DFS relevancy for this weekend's slate with this news, though neither Toney nor Moore carries a target share greater than 10% since Toney's arrival from the Giants in Week 9. We still feel best about WRs JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling for fantasy purposes. The Jaguars' defense ranks as the 9th-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed.

View all Mecole Hardman Shark Bites »

Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman (abdomen) will not practice on Tuesday, HC Andy Reid said. “It’s not responding the way he wants it to,” Reid said of Hardman's injury. It doesn't sound like he's a good bet to be ready for Saturday's Divisional Round game vs. the Jaguars. That'd again leave Kansas City with a WR corps of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Kadarius Toney, Justin Watson and potentially Skyy Moore, who missed Week 18 with a hand injury.

View all Mecole Hardman Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Kadarius Toney, WR KC
Dynasty MVP 116.9
Position Rank #50 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
In theory, Toney’s in the perfect spot to rehab his long-term value. JuJu Smith-Schuster is set to enter free agency. Travis Kelce turns 34 in October. And, oh yeah — Patrick Mahomes! The issue is that soft tissue injuries continued to limit Toney in 2022, even after the trade to Kansas City. His ability to stay on the field will be the difference going forward. He’s only 24 years old.

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