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Nico Collins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Nico Collins
HOU

WR HOU

#84 Wide Receiver

71 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.45

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.7 37 0.2 4.9

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Collins was a 4-star prospect coming out of high school in 2017 and chose Michigan over offers from Alabama, LSU, Clemson and a bunch of other high-profile schools.
  • Bad Michigan passing games limited Collins to a 38-632-6 line in 2018 and 37-729-7 in 2019. But he posted solid market shares, accounting for 22+% of the team’s receiving yards and TDs both years.
  • He opted out of the 2020 season.
  • Collins tested as a 95th percentile athlete at his Pro Day. The 6’4, 215-pounder posted a 4.45-second 40 time and 37.5-inch vertical.
  • The Texans traded 4th- and 5th-round picks in this year’s draft -- plus a 2020 4th-rounder -- to move up and take Collins with the 89th overall pick.
  • Collins finds plenty of opportunity in Houston. Brandin Cooks is locked in as the #1 WR, and Randall Cobb figures to be the primary slot guy. But the other outside spot is open, with Chris Conley looking like Collins’ primary competition.
    • The 28-year-old Conley signed a 1-year, $1.5 million contract with the Texans this offseason. His 775 yards back in 2019 were a career high, and he’s finished with fewer than 500 yards in 4 of 6 NFL seasons.
  • With Deshaun Watson’s Texans future looking extremely shaky, Collins could be catching passes from some combination of QBs Tyrod Taylor and Davis Mills.
    • Taylor has thrown just 121 passes over the last 3 seasons and sports a career 7.0 yards-per-attempt average.
    • Mills is a 3rd-round rookie who made just 11 starts at Stanford.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Collins has plus size and athleticism and a chance to win a top 3 role in Houston right out of the gate. But he’s a rookie on what figures to be a bad passing game if Deshaun Watson isn’t in the picture, so consider Collins just a late-round flier.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Texans WR Nico Collins is expected to miss 3-4 weeks with the shoulder injury that knocked him out early in Sunday's loss to the Browns. Houston's bye doesn't come until Week 10, so Collins looks like he'll miss at least 3 games. We'd bet on him hitting IR. Regardless of whether Collins is active, it's tough to imagine playing any Houston wideout not named Brandin Cooks -- especially now that Tyrod Taylor is dealing with a hamstring injury.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

Texans WR Nico Collins is questionable to return to Sunday’s game with a shoulder injury. We’ll let you know if he returns to the field. Before departing, the rookie caught a 32-yard pass.

UPDATE: Collins was ruled out in the 2nd half.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Aaron Reiss names WR Nico Collins 1 of the "risers" in training camp so far. "Collins has consistently made catches both on the sideline and over the middle during Texans camp," Reiss writes. The 3rd-round rookie has reportedly been getting lots of reps with the 1st-team and looks like the favorite to open the season as a starting outside WR opposite Brandin Cooks. Collins is worth considering as a late-round flier in fantasy drafts.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

The Texans traded up to take Michigan WR Nico Collins with the 89th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. Bad Michigan passing games muted Collins’ numbers in 2018 (38-632-6) and 2019 (37-729-7). Then he opted out of the 2020 campaign. But Collins posted solid market shares, flashes dominant contested-catch ability on tape and is 1 of the biggest, most athletic WRs in this class. Collins measured 6’4, 215 pounds at his Pro Day and ran a 4.45-second 40-yard dash with a big 37.5-inch vertical. He earned a 95th percentile Relative Athletic Score. Collins is a boom/bust prospect but has the upside to develop into a fantasy difference-maker. Houston’s QB situation is a concern, but there’s plenty of opportunity for immediate playing time here with Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb the only established WRs on the depth chart.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

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