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Nico Collins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNico Collins's Basic Stats

Nico Collins
ADP: 16.1
Bye: 6
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.5
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.50
Speed Score: 109.20
SPARQx (Rank): 108.40 (63%)
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (77%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.11 (65%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.36 (95%)

Nico Collins's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3 41.5 0.2 5.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.4 47.3 0.2 5.9

Nico Collins's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#72 Wide Receiver

96.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
16.1 51.8 718.3 4.3 1.8 0.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNico Collins's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know

  • The Texans drafted Collins (6’4, 215) out of Michigan in Round 3 of the 2020 draft.
  • He wasn’t a big-time producer in college, due in part to a bad QB situation. But his market share numbers at least hit the thresholds we like to see.
  • At the Combine, Collins showed plenty of athleticism with a 77th percentile Burst Score, a 65% Agility Score and a 95th percentile catch radius.
  • As a rookie, Collins’ raw game showed. He ranked T-63rd among 76 WRs with 60+ targets in Pro Football Focus receiving grade; 64th in yards per route run.
  • He wasn’t elusive after the catch, forcing only 1 missed tackle on 33 catches (per PFF).
  • Collins’ 2 most targeted games (10 and 8) came with 2022 starter Davis Mills under center.
  • Brandin Cooks returns as the team’s WR1. But Houston only added rookie slot John Metchie (Round 2) over the offseason.
  • Metchie is recovering from a December ACL tear. He should be fine for Week 1, but his early effectiveness is certainly in question.
  • Collins slots in as the clear favorite for a starting outside role.
  • TE is a question mark for Houston; as is pass-catching ability out of the backfield.
  • Mills adds another element of unknown after showing some promise in ’21, albeit in just 11 starts.
  • Pep Hamilton, formerly Houston’s QB coach, enters year 1 as the OC. In 3 prior stops as OC (2013-2015 in Indy) his units ranked 15th, 1st and 9th in pass attempts. Andrew Luck started 39 of 48 games.
  • Expect a more balanced offensive approach this year, especially as Mills navigates his first full season under center. Volume is unlikely to be a major selling point for Collins.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

On the surface, Collins looks like a breakout candidate entering the ’22 season.

That’s certainly within his range of outcomes. But even with rookie John Metchie (ACL) a candidate to start slow, this offense is simply unlikely to support anyone other than Brandin Cooks outside of best ball leagues.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Brandin Cooks, WR HOU

3:10pm EDT 9/12/22

Cooks dominates Week 1 targets

Texans WR Brandin Cooks drew 12 targets in Sunday's season opener, accounting for 32.4% of QB Davis Mills' total pass attempts. He caught 7 of those for 82 yards, including a 42-yarder. RB Rex Burkhead was the only other Texan to see more than 3 targets in the game. Chris Moore and Nico Collins tied for 2nd among wideouts with 3 apiece. Collins ran much closer to Cooks in usage, though, running a route on 78% of Mills' dropbacks. Cooks hit 92.7%, with Moore well behind at 51.2%. Cooks looks like the only usable Houston passing-game piece right now, but there's room for Collins to work his way into deeper-league contention.

View all Brandin Cooks Shark Bites »

Texans HC Lovie Smith commented on WR Nico Collins following Week 2 of the preseason. Collins (6'4, 215) caught a jump ball in the end zone — something Smith hopes to see more of this fall. "Nico's a big target with a lot of talent," Smith said. "We want to get him in those type of [jump ball] situations. We continue to run the ball well. If we run the ball well, we'll get more one-on-one situations for Nico. As I say, he's got length, he can catch the ball. It's a big play by him there. He's capable of making a lot of plays like that.” We’re fully on board with the 2nd-year man as a late-round target in fantasy drafts.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

Texans WR Brandin Cooks was not activated from the COVID list and will miss Sunday's game vs. the Chargers, ESPN's Field Yates reports. Cooks' absence leaves WR Nico Collins as the best bet for targets in Houston -- but he's only in play in DFS tournaments.

View all Brandin Cooks Shark Bites »

Texans WRs Nico Collins (foot) and Chris Conley (neck) are active for today’s game vs. Arizona. Neither is a bankable fantasy play.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

Texans WRs Nico Collins (foot) and Chris Conley (neck) are questionable for Sunday's game against the Cardinals. Brandin Cooks is the only Houston WR that should be anywhere near fantasy lineups.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Nico Collins, WR HOU
Dynasty MVP 90.7
Position Rank #71 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
310
529
630
Dynasty Write-up
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