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Nico Collins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Nico Collins
HOU

WR HOU

#89 Wide Receiver

63 Projected Points

ADP: 21.7
Bye: 10
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: N/A
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#89 Wide Receiver

63 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
21.7 35 513 2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

47.3

DS Projection

63

Consensus

38 other sites
0

High Ceiling

151.2

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Collins was a 4-star prospect coming out of high school in 2017 and chose Michigan over offers from Alabama, LSU, Clemson and a bunch of other high-profile schools.
  • Bad Michigan passing games limited Collins to a 38-632-6 line in 2018 and 37-729-7 in 2019. But he posted solid market shares, accounting for 22+% of the team’s receiving yards and TDs both years.
  • He opted out of the 2020 season.
  • Collins tested as a 95th percentile athlete at his Pro Day. The 6’4, 215-pounder posted a 4.45-second 40 time and 37.5-inch vertical.
  • The Texans traded 4th- and 5th-round picks in this year’s draft -- plus a 2020 4th-rounder -- to move up and take Collins with the 89th overall pick.
  • Collins finds plenty of opportunity in Houston. Brandin Cooks is locked in as the #1 WR, and Randall Cobb figures to be the primary slot guy. But the other outside spot is open, with Chris Conley looking like Collins’ primary competition.
    • The 28-year-old Conley signed a 1-year, $1.5 million contract with the Texans this offseason. His 775 yards back in 2019 were a career high, and he’s finished with fewer than 500 yards in 4 of 6 NFL seasons.
  • With Deshaun Watson’s Texans future looking extremely shaky, Collins could be catching passes from some combination of QBs Tyrod Taylor and Davis Mills.
    • Taylor has thrown just 121 passes over the last 3 seasons and sports a career 7.0 yards-per-attempt average.
    • Mills is a 3rd-round rookie who made just 11 starts at Stanford.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Collins has plus size and athleticism and a chance to win a top 3 role in Houston right out of the gate. But he’s a rookie on what figures to be a bad passing game if Deshaun Watson isn’t in the picture, so consider Collins just a late-round flier.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Texans traded up to take Michigan WR Nico Collins with the 89th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. Bad Michigan passing games muted Collins’ numbers in 2018 (38-632-6) and 2019 (37-729-7). Then he opted out of the 2020 campaign. But Collins posted solid market shares, flashes dominant contested-catch ability on tape and is 1 of the biggest, most athletic WRs in this class. Collins measured 6’4, 215 pounds at his Pro Day and ran a 4.45-second 40-yard dash with a big 37.5-inch vertical. He earned a 95th percentile Relative Athletic Score. Collins is a boom/bust prospect but has the upside to develop into a fantasy difference-maker. Houston’s QB situation is a concern, but there’s plenty of opportunity for immediate playing time here with Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb the only established WRs on the depth chart.

View all Nico Collins Shark Bites »

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