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Nico Collins - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsNico Collins's Basic Stats

Nico Collins
ADP: 2.9
Bye: 7
Experience: 3
Age: 25.0
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.50
Speed Score: 109.20
SPARQx (Rank): 108.40 (63%)
Burst Score (Rank): 126.30 (75%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.11 (67%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.37 (95%)

Nico Collins's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 73.8 0.46 10.4
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.2 56.5 0.3 7.5

Nico Collins's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#12 Wide Receiver

172.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
2.9 90.1 1254.6 7.82 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsNico Collins's Preseason Player Analysis

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Stefon Diggs, WR HOU

11:03am EDT 4/3/24

Stefon Diggs trade shakes up two offenses

According to multiple reports, the Bills are sending WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans. Buffalo is also sending a 2024 sixth-round pick and 2025 fifth-rounder to Houston, while getting back only a second-round pick in 2025. Diggs' production fell off late last season after the Bills switched offensive coordinators. Now 30 and in a new offense, Diggs will have to show he's not in decline. He'll add the challenge of splitting targets with Houston's emergent young wideouts. Nico Collins (seventh) and Tank Dell (12th) both ranked among the top 12 WRs in PPR points per game last season, with rookie QB C.J. Stroud. The Diggs addition obviously lowers the target-share ceiling for all three wideouts. We'll also have to see exactly how Houston plans to deploy them. Diggs spent 35.7% of his pass snaps in the slot last year; 34.2% the year before. He topped 30% in that category for three of his four Buffalo seasons, surpassed only by his 2016 sophomore season (62.9%). Collins spent 20.1% of his time in the slot last year; Dell 28.7%. We'd bet on all three moving around the formation some. But Diggs could wind up primarily replacing Robert Woods (55.5% slot) and Noah Brown (39.3%). The trio gives Stroud one of the league's best WR groups and boosts his fantasy upside. The QB already sat sixth at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP, though. That adds risk to Stroud as a draft target and gives him little room to move up. QB Josh Allen, meanwhile, has lost his top two wideouts (Gabe Davis the other) while adding only WR Curtis Samuel this offseason. The dearth of remaining talent adds risk to his fantasy outlook, though you shouldn't expect the high-level rusher to move significantly down our rankings. As for other affected players: Diggs' departure leaves target share available for TE Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. His arrival in Houston makes life tougher for TE Dalton Schultz. He already sat just 13th among TEs in best ball ADP, though, and will likely fall further following this trade. Be sure to check our rankings for your format to see all the effects of this high-impact deal.

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Bobby Slowik is getting a "significant raise" to remain the Texans' OC, according to insider Albert Breer. Slowik drew significant HC interest after leading Houston to top-13 finishes in both total yards and points this past year. His return is good news for QB C.J. Stroud and the Texans offense, although we'd like to see Slowik lean further toward the pass in 2024. Last year's Texans ranked 16th in neutral pass rate and 19th in Pass Rate Over Expected.

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Texans WRs Robert Woods (hip) and Noah Brown (back) did not practice on Tuesday. Both guys missed the Week 18 win over the Colts and are iffy for Saturday's Wild Card game vs. the Browns. Their absences last week left John Metchie and Xavier Hutchinson as Houston's No. 2 and 3 WRs -- although neither made an impact. WR Nico Collins hogged 35% of the targets and posted a big 9-195-1 line.

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Texans WR Robert Woods (hip) is inactive for tonight’s game vs. the Colts. He joins WR Noah Brown (back) on the inactive list. That leaves WRs Xavier Hutchinson and John Metchie behind No. 1 WR Nico Collins. TE Dalton Schultz could play an expanded role in the passing game tonight.

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Texans QB C.J. Stroud has cleared concussion protocol and will play vs. the Titans on Sunday, barring a setback between now and then, insider Aaron Wilson reports. With Stroud out the past two weeks, Houston has totaled just 41 points and 370 passing yards. The rookie's return is a big boost for the entire offense, particularly WR Nico Collins, WR Noah Brown, and TE Dalton Schultz. See where all the Texans sit in the Week 17 Rankings.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Nico Collins, WR HOU
Dynasty MVP 142.2
Position Rank #21 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
455
734
1,282
Dynasty Write-up
Collins really took off in 2023 alongside C.J. Stroud (80-1,297-8). 2024 turns up a contract year, but we suspect extension talks will take place this offseason. We'll also have to see how targets are divided up following the arrival of Stefon Diggs.
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