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Samaje Perine - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsSamaje Perine's Basic Stats

Samaje Perine
ADP: 10.7
Bye: 9
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 28.0
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 235
40 Time: 4.65
SPARQx (Rank): 127.50 (90%)
Burst Score (Rank): 114.10 (28%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.63 (25%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.26

Samaje Perine's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
24.2 0.2 2.7 19.4 0.1 6
Weekly Writeup
Perine handled only 1 carry in Week 2. He retained a receiving role with 4 targets, but he's barely a FLEX at this workload level.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
20 0.2 1.9 13.2 0.1 4.7

Samaje Perine's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#49 Running Back

90.6 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
10.7 150.7 487.7 3.1 1.1 1.9 28.2 210.6 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsSamaje Perine's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Perine’s 2023 fantasy value ultimately hinges on Javonte Williams’ recovery from last October’s multi-ligament knee injury. There’s a chance that Williams isn’t ready for the start of the season – and his effectiveness when he does return is in question.

That makes Perine worth considering in RB3-4 territory. Just be careful not to overrate a player who’s been no better than average through six NFL seasons.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Perine set career highs last year with:
    • 51 targets
    • 38 catches
    • 287 receiving yards
    • 4 receiving TDs
  • All four of those marks ranked top-21 among RBs.
  • Perine added 394 yards and two TDs on 95 carries (4.1 YPC).
  • He finished 36th among RBs in PPR points and 38th in non-PPR – the best finishes of his career.
  • Perine started two games last year with RB Joe Mixon out.
    • In Week 12, Perine carries 17 times for 58 yards and a score and caught four of seven targets for 35 yards. He finished the week RB10 in PPR points and RB11 in non-PPR.
    • In Week 13, Perine tallied 106 yards on 21 carries and 49 more yards on six catches. He ranked fourth among RBs in PPR points and seventh in non-PPR.
  • Among 48 RBs with 90+ carries last season, Perine ranked:
    • 35th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 22nd in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 38th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • He was more a bit more effective as a pass catcher, ranking 24th in PFF receiving grade and 20th in yards per route run among 43 qualifying RBs.
  • Perine was basically a non-factor in fantasy football over his first five NFL seasons. He finished RB43 in PPR points and RB41 in non-PPR as a rookie in 2017 but didn’t crack the top 60 in any of the next four years.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Bengals let Perine hit free agency this offseason. He wound up joining the Broncos on a two-year, $7.5 million deal with $3 million guaranteed.
    • That lands Perine 20th among RBs in average annual salary.
  • Perine joins a Denver backfield alongside Javonte Williams, who’s rehabbing a torn ACL, torn LCL, and torn posterolateral corner suffered Oct. 2. Williams’ availability for the start of the season and his effectiveness when he does return are uncertain.
  • New Broncos HC Sean Payton has a long history of deploying split backfields. He had at least 2 RBs average 9+ touches per game in 14 of his 15 seasons as Saints HC.
  • Payton on Perine in May: “When we signed Samaje, this is a guy that gave us flexibility. We signed him because we knew he was durable and reliable. We felt like we got another solid runner who’s built in a strong way. There are a lot of things he does well. When we signed him, there was still uncertainty (with Williams). I was taught a long time ago to stack them up at that position. It’s a tough position in our league.”
  • Denver’s offensive line ranked 15th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades and 20th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards last year.
  • The unit projects to be better in 2023 after the Broncos spent big money to add RT Mike McGlinchey and LG Ben Powers in free agency. LT Garrett Bolles will also be back after missing the final 12 games of last season with a broken leg.

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Javonte Williams, RB DEN

23 hours ago

Javonte Williams quiet in loss

Broncos RB Javonte Williams took 11 carries for 42 yards in an ugly loss to Miami. The good news is that Williams looked explosive on a few runs. Denver, though, failed to keep this one close, which limited Williams’ touches. We also saw Samaje Perine and Jaleel McLaughlin sub in near the goal line. We’ll see if Williams’ role grows at all for a Week 4 date at Chicago.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams earned 15 of 21 team RB opportunities in Sunday’s loss to Washington. Nice usage in general, although he lost out on a goal line TD to reserve RB Jaleel McLaughlin. Williams watched Samaje Perine take passing down snaps, too (23 routes run vs. 12). Denver draws a tough Dolphins D in Week 3. They just limited New England RBs to 63 yards on 20 attempts.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Cecil Lammey and Andrew Mason of Denver Sports expect Broncos RB Jaleel McLaughlin to have a role on offense in Sunday's opener vs. the Raiders. Lammey threw out a prediction of a 40/40/20 split between Javonte Williams, Samaje Perine, and McLaughlin. "Jaleel is trusted on those passing downs ... situations where you need that big play," Lammey added. It's certainly worth remembering that HC Sean Payton often deployed 3-RB committees with the Saints. McLaughlin is certainly not a Week 1 fantasy option, but garnering even a few touches would put a dent in Williams and Perine's fantasy value.

View all Jaleel McLaughlin Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams is not listed on the Week 1 injury report. He'll play on Sunday vs. the Raiders -- his first regular-season game since last October's multi-ligament knee injury. HC Sean Payton said Wednesday that Williams will have a "big role" this weekend. "I haven’t put together a [snap] number for him," Payton added. "He’s moving well. He’s strong and healthy." We're still expecting Williams to at least open the season in a fairly even committee with RB Samaje Perine. But Williams should see enough work to at least be a RB3 or flex play in Week 1.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

NFL Network’s James Palmer reports that Broncos RB Javonte Williams (knee) is not expected to start training camp on the PUP list. That would mean there’s no chance for him to open the regular season on the PUP. That’s obviously great news for his early-season outlook and the overall status of Williams’ knee. He’s been going at a low-risk level in early fantasy football drafts

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Samaje Perine, RB DEN
Dynasty MVP 44.1
Position Rank #68 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
155
243
321
Dynasty Write-up
Perine parlayed a solid 2022 — which included a career-high six TDs — into a two-year deal ($3 million guaranteed). His immediate value is tied to the health of Javonte Williams (ACL, LCL tear). Turning 28 in September, there’s not much value beyond 2023.
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