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Travis Kelce - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTravis Kelce's Basic Stats

Travis Kelce
ADP: 1.12
Bye: 8
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 32.7
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 260
40 Time: 4.66
Speed Score: 111.10
Burst Score (Rank): 123.30 (81%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.51 (59%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.16 (80%)

Travis Kelce's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#1 Tight End

182.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.12 103.3 1239.2 9.8 1.8 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTravis Kelce's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Kelce caught 92 of 134 targets for 1,125 yards and 9 TDs last year.
  • He tied for the position lead in TDs, while ranking 2nd to Mark Andrews in targets, catches and yards.
  • Kelce finished 2nd to Andrews across fantasy scoring formats – but he was 58 PPR points and 44 non-PPR points ahead of the #3 TE.
  • Kelce has now finished as a top 2 fantasy TE in 6 straight seasons.
  • Among 35 TEs with 40+ targets last season, Kelce ranked 4th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, 7th in yards per route run and 9th in yards per target.
  • But Kelce’s 8.4 yards per target was a career low. His 1.92 yards per route run was the 2nd lowest mark among 8 NFL seasons.
  • Kelce turns 33 in October.
  • The Chiefs traded WR Tyreek Hill to Miami in March.
    • Hill has averaged 8.3 targets per game over the past 5 seasons, including a career-high 9.4 last year.
  • The Chiefs also lost WRs Byron Pringle and Demarcus Robinson this offseason. Those 2 combined for 101 targets last season (15.0% of the team total).
  • Kansas City signed WRs JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling and drafted WR Skyy Moore in Round 2 of this year’s draft. WR Mecole Hardman also returns.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kelce turns 33 in October and averaged a career-low 8.4 yards per target last season. It’s safe to say he’s past his peak.

But he still ranked top 9 among 35 qualifying TEs in yards per target, yards per route and Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year. And, most importantly, he has a chance to set a career high in targets this season with WR Tyreek Hill gone.

Kelce easily projects as the #1 TE across scoring formats for 2022 and is worth considering near the end of the 1st round of fantasy drafts. He’s a strong pick anywhere in Round 2.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR KC

6:25am EDT 6/15/22

Support for MVS

Pete Sweeney of Arrowhead Pride says that his "way too early" picks to lead the Chiefs in receiving yardage this year are TE Travis Kelce and WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling. This is likely based primarily on watching minicamp practices to date. It's worth noting that Skyy Moore and Mecole Hardman have missed some time with hamstring issues, though both have been on the field this week for mandatory minicamp. We'll keep watching for reports on expected target distribution within Kansas City's rebuilt WR corps. Sweeney also said last week that "no new Chiefs pass-catcher looks more comfortable with Mahomes" than MVS.

View all Marquez Valdes-Scantling Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce has been activated from the COVID list. He'll get in a full week of practice ahead of Sunday's game vs. the Bengals. Kelce remains an elite TE1 for that one.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (COVID) is officially inactive for today's game vs. the Steelers. He should be back for Week 17. Noah Gray and Blake Bell will handle TE duties for Kansas City today.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce did not clear COVID protocols and is out for today's game vs. the Steelers, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Kelce should be back for Week 17. His absence leaves Noah Gray and Blake Bell as Kansas City's TEs. Gray is the preferred fantasy option but would be a desperation play. WR Tyreek Hill should dominate Chiefs targets today.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Travis Kelce, TE KC
Dynasty MVP 106.5
Position Rank #3 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
505
505
505
Dynasty Write-up
Kelce has a chance to end his career with the Chiefs; he’s currently under contract through the 2025 season. Tied to Patrick Mahomes, the only real dilemma here is Kelce's age (33 in October). We'll also see how defenses adjust to an offense that no longer features Tyreek Hill.
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