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Travis Kelce - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Travis Kelce
KC

TE KC

#1 Tight End

207 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 32
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 255
40 Time: 4.61

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

5.9

DS Projection

9.5

Consensus

38 other sites
11

Low Ceiling

13.2

Rest of
Season

Week 19 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.6 59.1 0.6 9.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 13
Kelce had 3 receptions for 27 yards on 8 targets in Sunday night’s win over the Broncos.
Kelce had his slowest game of the season along with Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill as they struggled to move the ball and the defense simply dominated the game.
Kelce had another couple drops in this game as he seems to drop at least 1 ball every week.
Kelce has been up and down this season, but he’s still the TE1 and is approaching 1,000+ receiving yards once again.
Kelce and the Chiefs are in fantastic spot in Week 14 at home against the Raiders, who he lit up for 8-119 in Week 10.
Week 11
OK, so Kelce didn’t catch a pass in the 1st half against Dallas. He still scored a 1st-quarter TD that put the Chiefs on the board with a lead they never lost. He carried the ball and bulled into the end zone from 4 yards out. QB Patrick Mahomes was unable to get the ball to Kelce with a sidearm throw. The TE finished with 5 catches on 8 targets for 74 yards.
Kelce leads all NFL TEs with 67 catches, 5 of which have gone for TDs. Chances are if he has been on your roster, he has been in the starting lineup. Unfortunately, you’ll have to move him temporarily to the bench because Kansas City has a bye this week. Don’t forget to reinstate him for Week 13.
Week 10
Kelce was utilized throughout the game on short and intermediate routes. He led the team in receiving yards and tied for the team lead with 10 targets (20% target share). Kelce showed incredible balance on a short pass when he was able to shake several defenders for a huge gain. Kelce finished the night with 8 catches for 119 yards.
This was Kelce’s highest yardage output of the season and the first double-digit target game since Week 7. He will continue to be the security blanket for Patrick Mahomes in every game. Stop me if you’ve heard this before: Kelce is ranked as our TE1 this week against the Cowboys. The Cowboys’ defense has held opposing TE groups to 60 or less yards in back-to-back weeks. The next 3 weeks on the schedule for the Chiefs include DAL, BYE and DEN. Kelce is the unquestioned overall TE1 the rest of the way.
Week 9
Kelce had a strong day from a fantasy perspective. He caught 5 of his 8 targets for 68 yards and a TD. He only trailed Tyreek Hill from a target perspective.

Going forward, there is little reason to doubt the Chiefs TE. He is still seeing a massive amount of targets with 6 or more in every game. This not only dominates other TEs but places him 8th among all pass catchers. If this offense bounces back a bit, things could get even better for Kelce.
Week 8
Kelce managed 4 receptions for 27 yards and a lost fumble in the comeback win over the Giants on Monday night. The elite TE was targeted 7 times, which tied him with WR Mecole Hardman for 2nd-most on the team behind WR Tyreek Hill’s 18.

Kelce was blanketed most of the night with double coverage as the Giants did their best to take away one of the Chiefs’ primary weapons.

Games like this are bound to happen, as teams do their best to deactivate some of the fire power from Kansas City. Kelce has just 1 TD since Week 2, but his target share and volume still makes him the pre-eminent player at his position.

Week 9 brings the Packers, who Football Outsiders ranks just 25th in TE-coverage DVOA.
Week 7
Kelce caught 7 of 12 targets for 65 yards in the Chiefs' Week 7 loss to the Titans.
Kelce led the team with 12 targets but averaged just 5.4 yards per target as the Chiefs struggled for all 4 quarters with their only points (3) coming in the 3rd quarter.
Kelce and the Chiefs had a game to forget, but he is still the top TE in fantasy and should get right back on track in Week 8 against the Giants.
Week 5
Kelce caught 6 of 10 targets for 57 yards and 1 TD in the Chiefs' Week 5 loss to the Bills.
Kelce caught just 6 balls in a game in which QB Patrick Mahomes threw it 50+ times. Kelce struggled to make his appearance felt as the Bills jammed him at the line and threw multiple defenders at him.
Kelce got behind the defense on their first drive of the game and was wide open for a 75-yard TD but Mahomes overthrew him.
The Chiefs did not look right in Week 5 but should bounce back in a big way in Week 6 against Washington.
Week 2
The guy is an unstoppable force every single week.

The Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes find ways to get the ball in Kelce's hands as often as possible. One reason why, he makes incredible plays in the open field. He took a short pass on a scramble drill for a 46-yard TD in the 3rd quarter, breaking multiple tackles on the play in one of the more impressive plays of the young season. Kelce tied for the team lead in targets in this game with 8. He finished the night with 7 catches for 109 yards and the terrific catch-and-run TD.

We have Kelce ranked as the overall TE1 against the Chargers this week and overall TE1 the rest of the way. Kelce has scored a TD in 7 of his last 8 games.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Kelce set career highs across the board last year with 105 catches, 1,416 yards and 11 TDs. (And he did it in 15 games, sitting out the meaningless regular-season finale.)
  • He scored 32 more PPR points and 34 more non-PPR points than any other TE.
  • Kelce provided a lofty weekly floor, scoring as a top-12 TE in 13 of 15 games.
  • And he brought plenty of ceiling, scoring at a top-2 level 9 times. Darren Waller did it 5 times, and no other TE more than 3.
  • Kelce has led TEs in PPR and non-PPR points in 3 straight seasons. The 2 years prior, he ranked top 2 across scoring formats.
  • Kelce turns 32 in October but has obviously shown no signs of decline. In fact, his 2.49 yards per route run last season was a career high.
  • He hasn’t missed a single game due to injury since 2014 -- although he did sustain 2 concussions during the 2017 season.
  • He returns to the same offense with the same (elite) QB in 2021.
  • Kelce even has a shot to top last year’s 24.7% target share after the Chiefs parted ways with WR Sammy Watkins this offseason and only added 5th-round rookie WR Cornell Powell.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Kelce has led all TEs in fantasy points in 3 straight seasons and ranked top 2 in 5 straight. Despite going on 32, he’s shown zero signs of decline.

Back with QB Patrick Mahomes and HC Andy Reid for another year, Kelce is 1 of the safest picks in fantasy football and worth consideration in the middle of Round 1.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce has been activated from the COVID list. He'll get in a full week of practice ahead of Sunday's game vs. the Bengals. Kelce remains an elite TE1 for that one.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (COVID) is officially inactive for today's game vs. the Steelers. He should be back for Week 17. Noah Gray and Blake Bell will handle TE duties for Kansas City today.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce did not clear COVID protocols and is out for today's game vs. the Steelers, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Kelce should be back for Week 17. His absence leaves Noah Gray and Blake Bell as Kansas City's TEs. Gray is the preferred fantasy option but would be a desperation play. WR Tyreek Hill should dominate Chiefs targets today.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is not experiencing COVID symptoms, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That improves the vaccinated Kelce's chance of being cleared in time for Sunday's game vs. the Steelers. We'll continue to keep a close eye on the situation.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

The Chiefs have placed TE Travis Kelce on the COVID list. ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that because he is vaccinated, Kelce has "a chance" to return for Sunday's game against the Steelers. The entire fantasy football community will be watching closely.

View all Travis Kelce Shark Bites »

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