Will Levis - Fantasy Points Outlook

Bottom Line

Levis took over for Ryan Tannehill last year and was merely average. He locked in on DeAndre Hopkins and tried to navigate around a poor offensive line.

The Titans are clearly trying to support him by bringing in Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard, so the offense will be more pass-oriented than last season.

New HC Brian Callahan has a great QB track record, so Levis has a chance to at least be an upside QB2 this year.

What We Learned Last Year

• Levis was inactive through the first six weeks of the season. He started Week 7 after Ryan Tannehill suffered an ankle injury.
• Levis missed two games due to injury.
  • Week 16 due to a right ankle injury suffered in Overtime the week before
  • Week 18 due to a right foot injury.
• Levis’ scoring average in eight full games last year would have ranked 30th among QBs.
• He had one top-12 finish. He had three QB25 or worse finishes.
• His per-game averages were mediocre:
  • 58.4% completion rate
  • 200.9 yards
  • 0.89 TDs
  • 0.44 INTs
  • 7.0 adjusted yards per pass attempt
• Among 45 QBs with 135+ dropbacks, Levis ranked:
  • 32nd in Pro Football Focus passing grade (61.6)
  • Sixth in Big Time Throw percentage (5.9%)
  • Sixth in Turnover Worthy Play percentage (4.5%)
  • 24th in Time to Throw (2.76 seconds)
  • 42nd in Completion Percentage Above Expectation (-3.2%)
• Levis' 10.6 average air yards per pass attempt easily led all 32 qualifying QBs last year. (C.J. Stroud finished second at 9.0 yards.)
• He played behind a poor O-line that ranked 25th in Pro Football Focus' pass-blocking grades.

What to Expect in 2024

• Levis enters his second season on the Titans, but his first season with:
  • HC and play caller Brian Callahan
  • OC Nick Holz
• The Titans invested in the offense around Levis by adding:
  • WR Calvin Ridley (FA)
  • RB Tony Pollard (FA)
  • OT JC Latham (first round)
• The Titans are expected to perform similarly to last season. They are fourth in highest win total in the AFC South at 6.5 wins on most sportsbooks.
• They also are tied for 27th in terms of highest Super Bowl odds at +15000 on most sportsbooks.
• Levis enters his second season at age 25. According to our aging curve research, the average QB with Levis’ career and profile will produce at 95-97% of peak value in his age-25 season.