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32 IDP Things to Know for Week 13

By Matt Schauf 11:11am EST 11/28/19


Arizona Cardinals

S Jalen Thompson has played all but 4 defensive snaps over the past 2 games. He's clearly the starter next to Budda Baker at this point.


Atlanta Falcons

DE Takk McKinley played through the shoulder injury that rendered him questionable in Week 12, but he spent a season-low 19% of the snaps on the field. If McKinley gets back to starter-level snaps against the Saints in Week 13, then there’s upside to a Week 14 date with the Panthers. But McKinley sports just 1.5 sacks or the season. He’s not worth it for most IDP lineups.


Baltimore Ravens

CB Marcus Peters has seen more than twice as many targets in coverage over 5 games as a Raven than he saw over 6 games with the Rams this season.

Peters totaled just 16 targets in coverage before the trade, with no game of more than 5. With Baltimore, Peters has seen 4, 12, 5, 7 and 7. Playing on the team with the league's top scoring and yardage offense can only help Peters on that front.

Buffalo Bills

DE Shaq Lawson totaled 2 sacks over the 1st 9 games this season. With a half-sack in Thursday's win over the Cowboys, he now has 3.5 over just the past 3.

Lawson has seen his playing time grow lately. He reached 50% just once over the first 7 contests. He has topped 50% in 4 of his past 5, including each of the past 3.

Lawson doesn't get a great matchup in Week 14, with Baltimore. A trip to Pittsburgh in Week 15 looks decent, though.

Carolina Panthers

S Eric Ried has delivered 5 straight games of 8+ tackles. He now ranks 3rd among DBs in total tackles for the season and 19th among all players.

Chicago Bears

DT Roy Robertson-Harris doesn’t have a sack since Week 4, but he did rack up a season-high 6 total pressures in the Week 10 meeting with Detroit (whom he’ll face again on Thanksgiving). Robertson-Harris also managed 3 pressures in Sunday’s win over the Giants. He posted 3 QB hits over those 2 games and has delivered 1+ in 4 of his past 6 contests.


Cincinnati Bengals

DE Sam Hubbard didn’t have a sack between 1 against the Cardinals in Week 5 and 1 against the Steelers last Sunday. But he did produce 16 total pressures over the 5 intervening games, according to Pro Football Focus. That included 3 QB hits over the 2 games preceding the Pittsburgh matchup.

Hubbard looks like a strong IDP option against the Jets this week and at the Browns in Week 14. A Week 16 trip to Miami looks good as well.


Cleveland Browns

DT Sheldon Richardson tallied his first 2 sacks of the season in Sunday's win over the Dolphins, as the Browns played without DE Myles Garrett (suspended), DT Larry Ogunjobi (suspended) or DE Olivier Vernon (injured). They marked just his 2nd and 3rd QB hits of the season, though.

His 1st came the week before against Pittsburgh, this week's opponent. Pro Football Focus credited Richardson with 5 total pressures, 1 of 3 games of 5+ among his past 5 contests. Richardson does appear to be rushing the passer more effectively than he did early in the season. He totaled just 10 pressures over his 1st 6 games.

Richardson has also benefited from increased opportunity as the Browns have improved. Richardson topped 28 pass-rushing chances just once over the first 8 games. He has seen 41, 38 and 35 over the past 3 weeks. Matchups with Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Arizona the next 3 weeks could see that trend continue.


Dallas Cowboys

DE Demarcus Lawrence had 7 solo tackles and 13 total through 7 games before DL Michael Bennett arrived via trade. In 4 games since, Lawrence has 17 solos and 22 total. He’s also averaging 1.5 tackles for loss and 1.5 QB hits with Bennett vs. 0.4 and 1.0 pre-Bennett.

Lawrence just returned in August from offseason shoulder surgery, and Bennett’s arrival followed a Week 8 bye. So the new teammate might have little-to-nothing to do with Lawrence’s production shifts. But it’s at least an interesting line to draw.


Denver Broncos

DL Shelby Harris left Sunday's loss to the Bills with an ankle injury that reportedly had him in a boot afterward. Harris returned to a limited practice Thursday, though. Adam Gotsis saw his playing time double when Harris left early. He was a sub-30% player the previous 2 weeks.


Detroit Lions

DE Trey Flowers had been hot before suffering a concussion in the Week 11 loss to the Cowboys. He racked up 4 sacks (among 5 total for the season) over the 3 contests before that, and collected 20 total pressures over his past 4 outings. That includes 6 hidden pressures against Dallas. His 3 QB hits in that game marked a season high.

Flowers is active for Thanksgiving, and he's a strong play against the Bears. He hit them up for 7 tackles (6 solo) and a sack in Week 10. If not, Flowers at least gets upside spots against the Bucs and Broncos beyond a neutral (but tackle-friendly) matchup with the Vikings in Week 14.


Green Bay Packers

The Giants -- this week’s opponent -- allowed just 1 total sack over their past 2 games. But they yielded 16 over the previous 3 contests. You know about the sack upside for EDGE players Za’Darius and Preston Smith, but there’s also sneaky upside to DL Kenny Clark this week.

Clark is just 1 game removed from racking up 10 total pressures against Carolina, according to Pro Football Focus. That performance and the game before at the Chargers earned his 2nd- and 3rd-highest PFF pass-rushing grades of the season.

Houston Texans

CB Johnathan Joseph returned to full playing time Sunday against the Colts for the first time since Week 5. Over the first 5 games, Joseph proved to be a consistent IDP contributor. There's plenty of room for numbers this week against a Patriots offense with high pass volume.


Indianapolis Colts

Colts DL Denico Autry started the season with 2.5 sacks over his first 2 games. He has 0 since then. And his Pro Football Focus pass-rushing grades and total pressures point to declining performance ...




Jacksonville Jaguars

LB Quincy Williams returned to 100% playing time last week, for the first time since Week 4. That followed 0 defensive snaps in Week 11. Najee Goode landed on IR this week, leaving the job to Williams the rest of the way.

Jacksonville's next 4 opponents rank 5th, 14th, 12th and 8th in most fantasy points supplied to LBs. And if you play into Week 17, the Jags get #2 on that list, Indianapolis.


Kansas City Chiefs

LB Damien Wilson spent 8 of the first 9 games between 78% and 89% in playing time. That has dipped to 54% and 56% the past 2 weeks. S Daniel Sorenson has grabbed extra playing time in recent weeks, including a season-high 89% in the Week 11 win over the Chargers.

Sorensen has collected 9 and 8 tackles the past 2 weeks, his 2 largest tallies in a year that didn't find him cracking 30% snap share until Week 7.


Los Angeles Chargers

The league suspended CB Michael Davis for 2 games under the substance-abuse policy. A statement from GM Tom Telesco said that Davis made a "significant mistake this past offseason." The suspension should mean 2 more games of CB Brandon Facyson as starter. Don't use Facyson against Denver this week, but he could be in play at Jacksonville next week.

Los Angeles Rams

DB Marqui Christian has seen his playing time decline from where it started following John Johnson’s injury. Christian played 80% of the snaps in the 1st game after Johnson landed on IR with a shoulder injury. Since then, he has gone: 74%, 49%, 55%, 60%.

Taylor Rapp, meanwhile, has turned into a consistent tackle-collecting force. In the 6 weeks since Johnson landed on IR, Rapp has collected the league’s 7th most solo tackles (across positions) and tied for 15th in total tackles. And that’s despite a Week 9 bye, giving him just 5 games over that span.


Miami Dolphins

DE Taco Charlton played through his “questionable” tag for an elbow injury on Sunday, but he made it through just a 20% snap share. He’s not a good enough player or big enough stat producer for us to bother with this week. We’ll see if he’s playing enough to be an IDP factor in upside matchups at the Jets and Giants the following 2 weeks.


Minnesota Vikings

CB Trae Waynes has defensed a pass in 7 straight appearances. (He missed Week 10.) Seattle has tied for 8th fewest passes defensed by opponent DBs so far, but the Seahawks have still supplied the 6th most fantasy points to the position.


New England Patriots

DE John Simon played 55% of the snaps in last Sunday's win over the Cowboys. That marked just his 2nd game over 40% among his past 5 outings. Simon has 0 QB hits over his past 4 games and just 1 since Week 4.

There's upside to this Sunday's matchup with the Texans, but Simon also carries too much risk to make sense for most IDP lineups -- especially for a guy with just 3 sacks on the year.


New Orleans Saints

DE Marcus Davenport’s sack against Carolina on Sunday marked his 1st since Week 5. He also saw his largest playing-time share and snap total in 4 games. He still hasn’t returned to his early-season rate of pressure, though.

According to Pro Football Focus, Davenport averaged 5.8 pressures over the first 5 games. He hasn’t reached 5 in a game since then, averaging just 2.7 per contest over the past 6.

There’s big sack upside in the Thursday night clash with the Falcons, but Davenport also brings a low floor. We’ll see if the Week 12 playing-time boost continues.


New York Giants

Julian Love stepped in when S Jabrill Peppers went down with a transverse fracture in his back last Sunday. HC Pat Shurmur says his team will use a combo of Love and Michael Thomas this Sunday against the Packers, though. That means you should bother with either in your IDP lineups.


New York Jets

S Jamal Adams has at least a half-sack in 4 straight games. Overall, he has racked up 6.5 sacks for the year, with 5 weeks to go. Only 3 DBs have ever compiled more sacks in a season:

Cardinals S Adrian Wilson in 2005 -- 8
Saints S Roman Harper in 2011 -- 7.5
Bears S Dave Duerson in 1986 -- 7.0


Oakland Raiders

S D.J. Swearinger saw his playing time dip slightly in his 2nd game as a Raider. After playing 60% of the snaps in Week 11, he played just 56% in last week's loss to the Jets. He's not worth an IDP lineup spot at that level of participation.


Philadelphia Eagles

According to Pro Football Focus, only 19 players around the league have amassed more pressures on the year than DT Fletcher Cox's 44. PFF credits all of those players with at least 5 sacks, and the group averages 8.8 sacks per person. That's why Cox carries much more upside into this week's matchup at Miami than you might expect from a DT with 3 sacks.


Pittsburgh Steelers

Here's the weekly playing time for rookie ILB Devin Bush this season:

76%
79%
100% (Vince Williams out)
100% (Williams out)
91% (Mark Barron left early)
89% (Barron out)
100%
94%
45%
77%
62%

Looks we can count on Bush's playing time staying down from full going forward. he's capable of producing on 60-70% playing time still. There's just more risk and a lower ceiling.

San Francisco 49ers

In 3 games without Kwon Alexander, LB Fred Warner has delivered 10, 12 and 11 tackles. That span included 9+ solos in each contest and 3 total sacks.

The biggest difference has been opportunity. Warner averaged 54 snaps per game over the first 8. He has played 73, 67 and 67 the past 3 weeks. The season opener was the only other time Warner has cracked 60 snaps this season. It's also the only other time he has topped 5 solo tackles (7, with 9 total tackles).

We'll see if that aspect continues. But let's enjoy the numbers for now.


Seattle Seahawks

DE Ezekiel Ansah supplied 1.5 sacks and a forced fumble in last week's win over the Eagles. But he played just 49% of the snaps in that game, even with Jadeveon Clowney inactive. Given Ansah's injury issues, it makes sense for Seattle to keep him around that level of playing time.

It also makes sense to keep Ansah out of your lineup for an unspectacular scoring matchup with the Vikings this week. Matchups with the Rams and Panthers the next 2 weeks carry much more upside.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

CB Jamel Dean has seen meaningful playing time in just 3 games this season. He defensed 4, 4 and 5 passes in those games -- the last Sunday’s surprising shutdown of the Atlanta passing game.


Tennessee Titans

CB Adoree Jackson has played every snap the past 2 weeks. He hadn't cracked 90% since the season opener (100%). Jackson's next largest playing-time share came in Week 9 (the game before the past 2), at 87%. Unsurprisingly, that pattern coincides with CB Malcolm Butler going down in Week 9 -- and then hitting IR.

Jackson has delivered his 2 largest tackle totals over the past 2 weeks and looks like a solid bet for CB production the rest of the way.


Washington

CB Josh Norman was active for Sunday’s win over the Lions, but he didn’t play. Instead, Washington pushed rookie Jimmy Moreland into the starting lineup in the slot and slid CB Fabian Moreau out to Norman’s spot. Quinton Dunbar played every snap, Moreau 83% and Moreland 71%.

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