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Week 11 DraftKings Cash-Game Picks

By Jared Smola | Updated on Mon, 15 Apr 2024 . 11:40 PM EDT

Top Plays for Head-to-Head and 50/50 Contests

Here are the guys I’m zeroing in on for DraftKings Week 11 cash games:

 

Quarterback

Brock Purdy, 49ers ($5,800)

Purdy’s DraftKings salary has hovered between $5,700 and $5,900 since Week 2 – despite him scoring 21+ points in five of his last seven outings.

He’s in a nice spot this week against a pass-funnel Bucs defense. Tampa Bay ranks seventh in run defense DVOA but 14th in pass defense DVOA. And the pass defense has been even worse than that lately.

As a result, opposing offenses have registered the third highest pass rate over expected against the Bucs.

So we should expect the 49ers to lean at least a bit more toward the pass than usual in this one.

San Francisco’s 26.75-point implied total is tied for third highest on the main slate.

 

Running Backs

Travis Etienne, Jaguars ($7,200)

Etienne flopped along with the rest of the Jaguars offense against the 49ers last week.

But he’d topped 22 DraftKings points in four straight prior to that, averaging 20.5 carries and 4.8 targets per game.

Sunday’s matchup isn’t ideal against the Titans, who rank fourth in run defense DVOA.

But the overall game environment is nice. Etienne’s Jaguars are seven-point home favorites with a 23.5-point implied total.

Volume should fuel Etienne to cash-game value.

Brian Robinson, Commanders ($5,800)

Robinson is in a great spot this weekend. 

His Commanders are nine-point home favorites, which means likely positive game script. Robinson has averaged 16.3 carries per game in wins this season vs. just 9.3 in losses.

The matchup is excellent against a Giants squad that ranks 30th in run defense DVOA and 27th in adjusted fantasy points allowed.

The cherry on top – and what makes Robinson a strong cash play – is the absence of RB Antonio Gibson.

Gibson leads Washington RBs in pass routes (232) and targets (35). RB Chris Rodriguez, who will be the No. 2 this weekend, hasn’t caught a pass this season and totaled just 20 receptions over five college seasons.

So Robinson is a good bet for an increased passing-game role on Sunday, raising both his fantasy floor and ceiling.

Devin Singletary, Texans ($5,300)

Not playing Singletary last week was one of the biggest DFS mistakes I’ve made this season.

No, we could not have predicted 30 carries and 26.1 DraftKings points. 

But we saw Singletary play 75% of Houston’s offensive snaps and handle 15 of 16 RB opportunities (carries + targets) the week prior. That profile at $4,700 – in a plus matchup vs. the Bengals, to boot – should have been a cash lock.

Let’s not make the same mistake this week.

Singletary is up $600 in DraftKings salary but is still underpriced for his current role. 

His Texans are six-point home favorites with a 27-point implied total – third highest on the main slate

And Singletary gets another excellent matchup against the Cardinals’ 29th-ranked RB defense.

Also consider:

  • Breece Hall, Jets ($6,400)

 

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill, Dolphins ($9,300)

In case you forgot with Miami on bye last week, Hill has averaged 26.7 DraftKings points per game this season.

Even more impressive: He’s scored 25+ points in six of nine outings.

Hill provides an awesome combination of ceiling and floor for cash games.

Although the Raiders rank 12th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs, there’s nothing to worry about in the secondary.

Miami’s 29.75-point implied total is the highest on the main slate by two points.

Tank Dell, Texans ($5,900)

Dell has topped 18 DraftKings points in four of six games with a 60+% snap rate this season.

He’s tallied 32.6 and 18.9 points the last two weeks, totaling 25 targets and three carries.

Houston gets WR Nico Collins back this week but will be without the red-hot Noah Brown.

Dell should again see plenty of volume against a flammable Cardinals secondary that ranks 19th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs.

Curtis Samuel, Commanders ($3,600)

Samuel has caught 4+ balls in six of nine games this season, laying a nice cash-game floor at this price tag.

He projects to be busier than usual in Sunday’s matchup vs. the Giants, who blitz at the second-highest rate in the league.

Per CBS Sports’ Jacob Gibbs, Samuel’s target per route rate jumps from 19.0% when QB Sam Howell is not blitzed to a team-high 21.9% when Howell is blitzed.

Samuel drew eight targets on a 19.0% share in the Week 7 meeting vs. the Giants.

Also consider:

  • Terry McLaurin, Commanders ($5,800)
  • D.J. Moore, Bears ($5,600)
  • Rondale Moore, Cardinals ($3,300)

 

Tight End

Trey McBride, Cardinals ($4,400)

This is more than we usually pay for TE in cash games, but there’s definitely a chance that McBride puts up a score that you need to have to win this week.

He scored 24.1 DK points last week in QB Kyler Murray’s 2023 debut. McBride also tallied 25.5 points back in Week 8, sandwiching a Week 9 dud with QB Clayton Tune.

He’s racked up 28 targets on a 31% share over the last three weeks.

This week, McBride finds himself in a likely shootout against a Texans defense that ranks 30th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Also consider:

  • Tyler Conklin, Jets ($2,900)

 

Defense/Special Teams

Jets ($2,600)

The Jets DST dropped 20 DK points in their Week 1 meeting vs. the Bills.

In two games against the division rival last year, the Jets totaled eight sacks, two takeaways, and allowed 37 total points.

This defense is underpriced for Sunday’s rematch vs. Buffalo.

 

Other rankings are stale  before the 2nd round.

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