Week 16 FanDuel Advice
Pay up For: Tom Brady, Patriots ($8,600)
Brady has just 2 TDs since Week 13 — his 1st meeting with Buffalo. That should only help lower his tournament ownership.
Brady’s outlook would improve if Chris Hogan’s back in the lineup. Just getting back home is favorable, as he’s tossed his 2 highest TD totals in Foxborough. The Pats have surprisingly been on the road for 3 straight and for 5 of their past 6 games.
Tournament Option: Jared Goff, Rams ($7,700)
While Todd Gurley’s stolen the headlines, Goff’s quietly posted promising friendly numbers of late. He’s notched 2+ passing TDs in 6 of his last 7 outings.
He simply hasn’t supplemented those TDs with high yardage totals. But that could change this week against a Tennessee defense that’s much tougher vs. the run than it is vs. the pass. Football Outsiders’ pass D rankings place the Titans 24th league-wide.
Goff, meanwhile, has his top-3 WRs healthy. Robert Woods (shoulder) returned to a 6-45-1 line in Week 15 on 7 targets.
Value Option: Blake Bortles, Jaguars ($7,600)
Bortles has dipped below 16 FD points just once over his past 8 showings. And only Ben Roethlisberger, Russell Wilson and Case Keenum own more fantasy points than Bortles over the past 5 weeks.
The 49ers have faced the 2nd fewest pass attempts over that stretch, yet they’ve surrendered the 14th most QB fantasy points.
While Bortles won’t have Marqise Lee, the Jags retain big-play talent in Dede Westbrook and Keelan Cole.
Also consider: Jameis Winston
Value Option: Dion Lewis, Patriots ($6,700)
Lewis is unlikely to become a workhorse back — even with Rex Burkhead out of the lineup. Still, Lewis should see a boost in red zone opportunities. The former Bengal has handled 16 RZ rushes this year, including 9 from inside the 10 yard-line.
For the year, Lewis is sitting on a healthy 5.2 YPC average.
Tournament Target: Devonta Freeman, Falcons ($7,000)
Freeman’s price didn’t budge from last week, as he played on Monday night. But after another busy, productive outing (27 touches and 194 total yards), this Falcon is simply too cheap — even with Tevin Coleman set to return from a concussion.
Also consider: Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fournette, C.J. Anderson, Joe Mixon
Pay up For: Michael Thomas, Saints ($8,200)
Thomas has garnered at least 8 targets in all but 1 game this season. He’s caught fire of late with TDs in 3 straight, a span that’s produced an average of 8 catches and 93.3 yards.
In fact, Thomas’ best game of the year came just 2 weeks ago vs. Atlanta (10-117-1).
Value Option: Mike Evans, Bucs ($7,000)
Among main slate WRs, Evans sits #1 in our $/point rankings. Not only is he discounted, but the Bucs’ #1 WR also gets a Panthers defense that’s allowed the most fantasy points to WRs over the past 5 weeks.
Plus, DeSean Jackson enters the weekend highly questionable with an ankle injury.
Tournament Target: Marvin Jones, Lions ($7,300)
Jones hasn’t found the end zone in 3 straight, but he’s reached 64 yards in each of his past 5. And he’s clearly Detroit’s top scoring threat, drawing 18 end zone targets on the year (per ESPN).
He’ll carry extra motivation this week going against his old squad. More importantly, though, the Bengals have struggled to stay healthy in the secondary.
Also consider: Devin Funchess, Chris Hogan, Robert Woods, Dede Westbrook
Value Option: Charles Clay, Bills ($5,500)
With Kelvin Benjamin battling a knee injury, the Bills are looking thin at pass catcher. Insert Clay, who tied a season high with 9 targets last week vs. Miami.
Buffalo enters the weekend as 12.5-point underdogs, so late-game passing looks positive for Clay.
Sure, the Pats have defended TEs well this year, allowing just 5 scores to the position and none since Week 6. But that simply looks schedule-driven.
Tournament Target: Evan Engram, Giants ($6,600)
Engram carries a favorable target projection this week, simply because he’ll avoid Patrick Peterson’s coverage. Engram’s likely to see fellow rookie Budda Baker on the majority of his routes — per Pro Football Focus — although he’ll surely see some of the surging Tyrann Mathieu, too.
Combine the matchup with Engram’s top-end athleticism, and it’s easy to see his tournament appeal.
Also consider: Travis Kelce, Greg Olsen
Cash: Chargers ($4,900) at Jets
Tournament: Chiefs ($4,500) vs. Dolphins
Ryan Succop, Titans ($4,700)