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Week 3 DraftKings Tournament Picks

By Jared Smola 9:25pm EDT 9/24/22


Stacks

Joe Burrow ($6,600) + Ja’Marr Chase ($8,100) + Tee Higgins ($6,100)

Burrow is off to a slow start after matchups with the Steelers and Cowboys – defenses with plenty of talent, especially in the pass-rush department.

Week 3 presents a get-right spot vs. the Jets, who rank dead last in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA. New York has allowed 7.8 yards per attempt and a 7.0% passing TD rate to Lamar Jackson and Jacoby Brissett through 2 weeks.

The Jets play very little cover-2 man defense, which presents big-play potential for Chase and Higgins.

If you wanna save some money, consider using TE Hayden Hurst ($3,900) instead of Chase. Jets WRs Garrett Wilson ($5,400) and Elijah Moore ($5,000) are nice runbacks on Burrow stacks.

Patrick Mahomes ($7,900) + JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,500) + Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,700)

Mahomes was relatively quiet in Week 2. But we saw him go for 37.9 DraftKings points in a plus Week 1 matchup vs. the Cardinals.

Mahomes is in another good spot this Sunday vs. a Colts squad sitting 29th in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA. Gus Bradley is running Indianapolis’ defense this year. Bradley was the Raiders’ defensive coordinator last year and coughed up 664 yards and 7 TDs on 9.0 yards per attempt in 2 games vs. Mahomes last year.

Valdes-Scantling and Smith-Schuster haven’t popped yet, but they lead Chiefs WRs with 83% and 80% routes rates. If Mahomes pops off, they’re good bets to pay off these cheap price tags.

WR Michael Pittman ($6,900) is a strong runback on Mahomes stacks. He figures to be underowned coming off the quad injury but went off for a 9-121-1 line in the opener.

Also consider: Jalen Hurts ($7,600) + A.J. Brown ($7,300) + Dallas Goedert ($4,700) and Kirk Cousins ($6,700) + Justin Jefferson ($9,300) + Irv Smith ($3,100)


RBs

Dalvin Cook, Vikings ($7,900)

I highlighted Cook’s spot in the DK cash-game article. But he’s a strong tournament play, too, at just 12.0% projected ownership.

A.J. Dillon, Packers ($6,000)

Aaron Jones had the big game in Green Bay’s backfield last Sunday night. But he and Dillon continued to split work basically down the middle. Dillon has actually out-carried Jones 28 to 20 and out-targeted him 9 to 8 through 2 games. Dillon ranks 10th among RBs in expected PPR points.

Expect another RB-centric game plan from Green Bay vs. the Bucs this weekend with WR Sammy Watkins out and WRs Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb and Christian Watson banged up.

The Bucs currently rank 1st in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA but just 15th vs. the run.

Miles Sanders, Eagles ($5,500)

Sanders is in a 3-way backfield committee with a mobile QB – so he’s tough to trust in cash lineups. But he’s leading that backfield in snaps, routes and carries. And he’s in a red-hot Eagles offense.

Sunday’s game vs. Washington looks like a mismatch on the ground. The Eagles rank 3rd in Football Outsiders’ rush offense DVOA; The Commanders rank 31st in rush defense DVOA and have allowed 6.8 yards per carry to Jacksonville and Detroit RBs.

Also consider: Joe Mixon ($7,600), D’Andre Swift ($7,200)


WRs

Michael Thomas, Saints ($5,900)

Folks are evidently hesitant to buy back in on Thomas. He’s projected for just 6% ownership, despite a reasonable price tag.

Thomas has opened the 2022 campaign with 22.7 and 18.5 DK point outings. He’s garnered 23% of Saints targets and ranks 18th among WRs in expected fantasy points.

Drake London, Falcons ($5,800)

We might look back in a couple of months at $5,800 London and think it was a ridiculously low price tag.

The rookie has hogged 32% of Falcons targets in his first 2 NFL games and ranks 11th among WRs in expected fantasy points. He gets a Seahawks team this weekend that ranks 30th in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA and is without stud S Jamal Adams.

Treylon Burks, Titans ($4,900)

Burks hasn’t earned a full-time role yet, but he’s trending up. He went from a 36% route rate in the opener to 57% in Week 2. Expect that to climb again this Sunday, especially with WR Kyle Phillips out.

And Burks has been impressive on a per-route basis, averaging a huge 3.40 yards per route run – 5th most among 58 qualifying WRs.

We could see a true breakout this weekend against a beatable Raiders secondary.

Also consider: Justin Jefferson ($9,300), Davante Adams ($8,400), Michael Pittman ($6,900), D.J. Moore ($5,600), Garrett Wilson ($5,400), Elijah Moore ($5,000), Mack Hollins ($3,300)


TEs

Darren Waller, Raiders ($5,800)

Waller is off to a good start, ranking 3rd among TEs in both expected and actual PPR points. He should get a target boost this weekend with WR Hunter Renfrow out. And the matchup is good vs. the Titans.

Waller has a ceiling that really only Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews can match at the position – and those guys are $2,100 and $1,100 more expensive.

Dallas Goedert, Eagles ($4,700)

Goedert has tallied 9.0 and 13.2 DK points in the first 2 games of the season. But he’s sitting on a much bigger outing considering he’s run a route on 91% of pass plays in this high-scoring Eagles offense.

Goedert gets a Washington defense on Sunday that sits 25th in Football Outsiders’ TE coverage rankings.

Also consider: Travis Kelce ($7,900), Kyle Pitts ($4,800), Tyler Higbee ($4,500), Juwan Johnson ($2,900)


DSTs

Saints ($3,500)

Eagles ($2,900)

Panthers ($2,600)



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