It’s been two completely opposite stories for Kincaid over the first five weeks of the season. After ranking as the TE2 with 20.3 PPR points per game over the first two weeks, he’s ranked as the TE46 with just 3.2 PPR points per game over the past three weeks. Kincaid hauled in one of his 2 targets for seven yards and completed a 2-point attempt leading to 3.7 PPR points to land as the TE38 in Week 5.
2026 Fantasy Football Impact: Routes Up, Targets Down
Kincaid was second to TE Dawson Knox in route participation among Bills TEs last season, participating on 46.8% of passing snaps compared to Knox’s 49.7% mark.
But that hasn’t been the case this season. Kincaid has a career-high 67.0% route participation mark compared to a 45.5% mark from Knox. That, despite the halt in production, isn’t something that’s flipped. Kincaid still ran 23 routes, which only trailed WR Khalil Shakir for the team lead, compared to Knox’s 12.
The issue has resided in Kincaid’s lack of targets on the higher volume routes he’s running. Since Week 3, he’s produced a target on just 10.3% of his routes which ranks 30th among TEs. On the season, Kincaid ranks 23rd, averaging a target on 17.0% of his routes.
He aims to get closer to his early-season production in Week 6, facing a Raiders defense that’s allowed the sixth-most points to TEs.
