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Dalton Kincaid - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDalton Kincaid's Basic Stats

Dalton Kincaid
ADP: 4.3
Bye: 12
Experience: 1
Age: 24.6
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 240
40 Time: 4.68

Dalton Kincaid's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.9 51.6 0.37 7.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.1 37.1 0.3 5.5

Dalton Kincaid's 2024 Projections & Outlook


#6 Tight End

110.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.3 73.5 774 5.55 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDalton Kincaid's Preseason Player Analysis

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Stefon Diggs, WR HOU

11:03am EDT 4/3/24

Stefon Diggs trade shakes up two offenses

According to multiple reports, the Bills are sending WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans. Buffalo is also sending a 2024 sixth-round pick and 2025 fifth-rounder to Houston, while getting back only a second-round pick in 2025. Diggs' production fell off late last season after the Bills switched offensive coordinators. Now 30 and in a new offense, Diggs will have to show he's not in decline. He'll add the challenge of splitting targets with Houston's emergent young wideouts. Nico Collins (seventh) and Tank Dell (12th) both ranked among the top 12 WRs in PPR points per game last season, with rookie QB C.J. Stroud. The Diggs addition obviously lowers the target-share ceiling for all three wideouts. We'll also have to see exactly how Houston plans to deploy them. Diggs spent 35.7% of his pass snaps in the slot last year; 34.2% the year before. He topped 30% in that category for three of his four Buffalo seasons, surpassed only by his 2016 sophomore season (62.9%). Collins spent 20.1% of his time in the slot last year; Dell 28.7%. We'd bet on all three moving around the formation some. But Diggs could wind up primarily replacing Robert Woods (55.5% slot) and Noah Brown (39.3%). The trio gives Stroud one of the league's best WR groups and boosts his fantasy upside. The QB already sat sixth at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP, though. That adds risk to Stroud as a draft target and gives him little room to move up. QB Josh Allen, meanwhile, has lost his top two wideouts (Gabe Davis the other) while adding only WR Curtis Samuel this offseason. The dearth of remaining talent adds risk to his fantasy outlook, though you shouldn't expect the high-level rusher to move significantly down our rankings. As for other affected players: Diggs' departure leaves target share available for TE Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir. His arrival in Houston makes life tougher for TE Dalton Schultz. He already sat just 13th among TEs in best ball ADP, though, and will likely fall further following this trade. Be sure to check our rankings for your format to see all the effects of this high-impact deal.

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The Steelers-Bills game originally scheduled for 1 pm ET on Sunday has been moved to 4:30 pm ET on Monday. Buffalo is expecting heavy snow and wind gusts up to 60 mph on Sunday. The forecast for Monday calls for light snow, sustained winds around 15 mph, and gusts up to 30 mph. That's still tough weather for the passing and kicking games -- but significantly better than it would have been on Sunday. We're adjusting our projections for this game.

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Bills TE Dawson Knox returned Sunday after missing the previous five games following wrist surgery. His return didn't hurt TE Dalton Kincaid's playing time, though. Kincaid still ran a route on 87.8% of Josh Allen's dropbacks. His 8 targets ranked second on the team, and his 5 receptions tied for the Buffalo lead. Kincaid managed just 21 yards (4.2 per reception), but short targets have been a staple all season. We'll take that issue if it comes with strong reception volume. Sunday marked the seventh straight game of 5+ receptions for Kincaid.

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Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) is active for today’s game vs. the Chiefs. We’ll see exactly how big a role he plays in his first action since Week 7. Knox averaged 4.0 targets per game over the first seven weeks of the season to TE Dalton Kincaid’s 4.5. We’re expecting that gap to be wider in Week 14 and beyond.

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Bills TE Dawson Knox (wrist) has been activated to the 53-man roster. That puts him in line to play vs. the Chiefs on Sunday for the first time since Week 7. Knox would be a desperation fantasy start, but his return dings TE Dalton Kincaid's target projection. It also takes WR Khalil Shakir out of the picture even in deep fantasy leagues.

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Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Dalton Kincaid, TE BUF
Dynasty MVP 87.8
Position Rank #3 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
While a bit undersized, Kincaid’s combo of tape and production was the best in the 2023 class. He looked like a natural pass catcher at Utah and added extra value after the catch. At 23 — and as a 5-year collegian — Kincaid proved pro-ready as a rookie (73-673-2 in 16 games). He's positioned for long-term success alongside Josh Allen.
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