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Dawson Knox - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDawson Knox's Basic Stats

Dawson Knox
ADP: 8.4
Bye: 7
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.6
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 254
40 Time: 4.64
Speed Score: 109.00
SPARQx (Rank): 109.90 (64%)
Burst Score (Rank): 121.40 (73%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.39 (73%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.15 (79%)

Dawson Knox's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Tight End

105.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
8.4 53.1 637.7 6.9 0.9 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDawson Knox's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need To Know:

  • Knox enjoyed a massive 3rd-year breakout in 2021. Boosted by 9 TDs, he ranked 9th among TEs in fantasy PPG.
  • He finished as a top-10 scoring TE in 6 separate weeks.
  • Knox missed 2 games with a mid-season broken hand. He averaged 4.5 targets per game before the injury vs. 4.8 after, so it didn’t affect his role.
  • Overall, Knox ran a route on a healthy 86.2% of Buffalo’s pass plays. He played in the slot nearly 42% of the time — up from sub-30% marks over his first 2 seasons.
  • Among 25 TEs with 50+ targets, Knox ranked 20th in yards per route run (1.16).
  • The TDs were simply money, though. His 9 scores tied for a TE lead. And he ranked 2nd at the position in targets inside the 10.
  • Buffalo added former 1st-rounder O.J. Howard in free agency. The TE has struggled to stay healthy but brings serious red zone competition.
  • Howard’s recorded 15 career TDs in 59 games; his TD rate is a whopping 12.6%.
  • Knox, with 3 years alongside QB Josh Allen, still projects as the lead TE. But it’s worth noting that Buffalo ranked last in the league in 2-TE sets (6%) last season.
  • OC Brian Daboll left for the Giants’ HC job. First-time play-caller Ken Dorsey — formerly Allen’s QB coach — figures to keep the same approach.
  • Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley departed in free agency. They leave behind 184 targets.
  • Beyond Howard, Buffalo’s main offseason additions at pass catcher include RB James Cook, and WRs Jamison Crowder and Khalil Shakir.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Knox was known for 2 things prior to 2021:

Injuries and drops.

While he missed a pair of games with a broken hand — and still posted a drop rate of 9.2% — fantasy owners could forgive the young TE because of his 9 scores.

Finally, the athletic, former Round 3 pick delivered alongside 1 of the game’s best passers.

2022 turns up a contract year — and his most serious challenger for snaps/targets yet. Still, O.J. Howard comes with serious durability concerns. He might steal a few red zone TDs, but Knox remains a top-15 TE.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

O.J. Howard, TE BUF

12:57pm EDT 6/17/22

Howard the clear backup?

It doesn't sound like The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia expects O.J. Howard to push Dawson Knox for the Bills' starting TE job. "Howard has not looked like the dynamic pass catcher he was when he was a first-round pick out of Alabama in 2017," Buscaglia writes. "He also looks like he can be an excellent blocker for 12 personnel while still offering a pass-catching threat. But his movement skills are well below what Knox brings to the table." We'll keep an eye on this situation in August, but we bumped Knox up the TE Rankings and Howard down.

View all O.J. Howard Shark Bites »

Bills WR Gabriel Davis has been placed on the COVID list. So both Davis and WR Cole Beasley will miss Sunday's pivotal game vs. the Patriots. That leaves Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders as Buffalo's top 2 WRs, with Isaiah McKenzie likely handling #3 duties. TE Dawson Knox should also play an even bigger role than usual. It's a tough spot for QB Josh Allen against a strong New England defense.

View all Gabriel Davis Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) is not listed on the final injury report. He practiced all week, including full workouts on Thursday and Friday. We’re not expecting Knox to be limited in Sunday’s game vs. the Jets. He was sitting 4th among TEs in half-PPR points through Week 6.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) was upgraded to full participation in Thursday's practice. He's on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Jets. Knox averaged 4.5 targets, 3.5 catches, 47.7 yards and .8 TDs over the first 6 weeks of the season.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) returned to a limited practice on Wednesday. Week 10 has been the target for his return from that broken hand, and he appears to have a good chance to play vs. the Jets on Sunday. Check back tomorrow for another update.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Dawson Knox, TE BUF
Dynasty MVP 84.1
Position Rank #13 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
307
500
500
Dynasty Write-up
Knox’s breakout 2021 included 9 TDs — 11 if you include the postseason. Only 25, he’s now set to enter a contract season alongside new Bills TE O.J. Howard.

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