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Dawson Knox - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDawson Knox's Basic Stats

Dawson Knox
Bye: 7
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26.0
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 254
40 Time: 4.64
Speed Score: 109.00
SPARQx (Rank): 109.90 (64%)
Burst Score (Rank): 121.40 (73%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.39 (73%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.15 (79%)

Dawson Knox's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.8 28.6 0.3 4.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.5 37.3 0.3 5.5

Dawson Knox's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#9 Tight End

105.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 53.1 637.7 6.9 0.9 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDawson Knox's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need To Know:

  • Knox enjoyed a massive 3rd-year breakout in 2021. Boosted by 9 TDs, he ranked 9th among TEs in fantasy PPG.
  • He finished as a top-10 scoring TE in 6 separate weeks.
  • Knox missed 2 games with a mid-season broken hand. He averaged 4.5 targets per game before the injury vs. 4.8 after, so it didn’t affect his role.
  • Overall, Knox ran a route on a healthy 86.2% of Buffalo’s pass plays. He played in the slot nearly 42% of the time — up from sub-30% marks over his first 2 seasons.
  • Among 25 TEs with 50+ targets, Knox ranked 20th in yards per route run (1.16).
  • The TDs were simply money, though. His 9 scores tied for a TE lead. And he ranked 2nd at the position in targets inside the 10.
  • Buffalo added former 1st-rounder O.J. Howard in free agency. The TE has struggled to stay healthy but brings serious red zone competition.
  • Howard’s recorded 15 career TDs in 59 games; his TD rate is a whopping 12.6%.
  • Knox, with 3 years alongside QB Josh Allen, still projects as the lead TE. But it’s worth noting that Buffalo ranked last in the league in 2-TE sets (6%) last season.
  • OC Brian Daboll left for the Giants’ HC job. First-time play-caller Ken Dorsey — formerly Allen’s QB coach — figures to keep the same approach.
  • Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley departed in free agency. They leave behind 184 targets.
  • Beyond Howard, Buffalo’s main offseason additions at pass catcher include RB James Cook, and WRs Jamison Crowder and Khalil Shakir.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Knox was known for 2 things prior to 2021:

Injuries and drops.

While he missed a pair of games with a broken hand — and still posted a drop rate of 9.2% — fantasy owners could forgive the young TE because of his 9 scores.

Finally, the athletic, former Round 3 pick delivered alongside 1 of the game’s best passers.

2022 turns up a contract year — and his most serious challenger for snaps/targets yet. Still, O.J. Howard comes with serious durability concerns. He might steal a few red zone TDs, but Knox remains a top-15 TE.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Isaiah McKenzie, WR BUF

4:00pm EST 11/24/22

McKenzie takes receiving lead vs. Lions

Bills WR Isaiah McKenzie caught 6 of 10 targets for a team-high 96 yards and Buffalo's 1st TD in Sunday's win at Detroit. That's more targets than McKenzie drew in the previous 4 games combined. WR Stefon Diggs endured an inefficient day, drawing 15 targets but catching only 8. He wound up with a solid fantasy line, thanks to a late 5-yard TD catch and a 36-yarder to set up the game-winning FG. WR Gabriel Davis added 4 receptions for 38 yards among 5 targets, while TE Dawson Knox contributed just 2 catches for 17 yards (2 targets). The next 2 weeks bring the season's 1st matchup with the Patriots and then a rematch with the Jets.

View all Isaiah McKenzie Shark Bites »

Bills WR Stefon Diggs snagged the team's only TD reception in Sunday's win over the Browns, a game that found QB Josh Allen throwing for a season-low 197 yards. Diggs totaled just 4-48 receiving on 5 targets. WR Gabriel Davis and TE Dawson Knox tied for the team lead with 7 targets apiece. Knox caught all 7 for 70 yards. Davis caught 5 for 68 yards. RB Devin Singletary was the only other Bill to catch a pass (2-11).

View all Stefon Diggs Shark Bites »

The NFL is moving Sunday's Bills-Browns game to Detroit, according to The Athletic's Tim Graham. Buffalo is expected to get pounded with 4+ feet of snow over the next few days. Moving from those conditions to a dome is obviously great news for all of the fantasy players in this game.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox collected 4 catches for a season-high 57 yards in Sunday’s loss to the Vikings. It’s a fine outing on the surface, although Knox’s first target didn’t come until deep in the 2nd quarter. Two of his catches (and 20 yards) came in the 4th quarter with the Vikings in a major prevent defense. He entered Week 10 with just 35 yards over his past 2. Week 11 turns up a meeting with Cleveland.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter calls Bills QB Josh Allen (elbow) "likely" to start today's game vs. the Vikings. That jibes with NFL Network's Ian Rapoport's Saturday report. "Bills officials spent intensive time this past week leaning on and listening to their doctors and other arm specialists, and the team was reassured that Allen is not at any added risk to make the injury worse if he plays," a source tells Schefter. We'll get Buffalo's inactives around 11:30 am ET, but Allen can be penciled into fantasy lineups for now.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Dawson Knox, TE BUF
Dynasty MVP 74.6
Position Rank #13 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Knox’s breakout 2021 included 9 TDs — 11 if you include the postseason. Only 25, he’s now set to enter a contract season alongside new Bills TE O.J. Howard.

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