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Dawson Knox - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dawson Knox
BUF

TE BUF

#25 Tight End

71 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 254
40 Time: 4.59

Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 13
Both offenses struggled to move the ball through the air on Monday Night Football due to windy conditions. Knox was able to finish 2nd on the team with 6 targets, good for a 20% target share. Unfortunately, he was only able to bring in 2 of those passes for 14 yards. Knox was charged with a drop and also had 4th-quarter end-zone look knocked away on a nice play Pats S Adrian Phillips.

Knox has seen 19 targets over the Bills last 3 games and continues to be a favorite target for Josh Allen, especially in the red zone. He gets an upside matchup with the Bucs in Week 14, but tougher spots vs. Carolina and New England the following 2 games. Atlanta presents another favorable matchup in Week 17.
Week 12
The connection between Knox and Josh Allen in the red zone is fun to watch. Allen seemingly always looks to Knox when the team nears the endzone and that showed up big on Thursday night. Knox was able to find paydirt twice on three targets, the second TD coming on a busted coverage when Marshon Lattimore fell down. Knox wasn’t heavily needed in this game as the Bills led from start to finish. Knox finished with 3 catches (on 3 targets) for 32 yards and 2 TDs. Knox now has 7 TDs in the 9 games he has been active for this season, a career high for him. We have Knox ranked as our TE9 this week against the Patriots. The Patriots’ defense has been elite in stopping opposing TEs, holding their last two opposing TE groups to 59 total receiving yards. The next three games on the schedule for the Bills are NE, @TB, and CAR.
Week 10
Knox did not pick up where he left off in his first game back from injury. He caught his only target for 17 yards. He is clearly still dealing with the issues from his broken hand. In fact, he was seen wearing a padded protector similar to what MLB hitters wear to safeguard the hand.

Going forward, Knox should find his old form. Look for him to become more comfortable with his brace in the short term. He had seen 3 or more targets in every game prior to the injury and had scored in 4 straight before the Titans game. Look for QB Josh Allen to get back to targeting him the rest of the way.
Week 6
It was a quiet night for Knox, who has been dominant in the red zone this season. He was held out of the end zone for the first time since Week 1. He also broke a bone in his hand in the 3rd quarter. He was able to return for some action after the injury. At the end of the 3rd quarter (and after the broken hand), Knox took a double reverse and threw a successful pass to Josh Allen for a 2-point conversion. He finished the night with 3 catches (on 3 targets) for 25 yards.
Knox is having a breakout season, scoring 5 TDs so far. Hopefully, the broken hand won’t cost him much time following the Bills’ bye in Week 7. The next three games on the schedule following the bye week are MIA, @JAX, and @NYJ. After the bye (if he can play) Knox gets a matchup with a tough Dolphins secondary that has kept opposing TEs to below 75 yards every game and has only surrendered 3 TDs to TEs this season. We will see if the hand injury costs him any time or if he is able to play through it. If he continues to be a red zone threat for this explosive offense, Knox will be an option for teams as a TE1 for the rest of the season. We have Knox as our TE11 the rest of the way.
Week 5
Knox caught 3 of 4 targets for 117 yards and a TD in the Bills' Week 5 win over the Chiefs.
Knox has been on fire with at least 1 TD in 4 consecutive games. Knox easily led the team in receiving in this one as he caught a 53-yard TD and got behind the defense again on a long catch and run.
Knox should be viewed as a TE1 as he continues to get strong red zone usage.
Week 4
Knox continued his hot streak by scoring a pair of TDs, giving him scores in 3 straight games. In addition, he has now posted at least 37 yards in all but 1 game to start the season. And after averaging a respectable 4 targets over the first 3 games of the year, he saw a season-high 8 looks in this one. He was a perfect option for Josh Allen while playing in the heavy rain that fell the entire afternoon.

Knowing that aside from the elite TEs, stable TE production is rare, Knox is already showing enough of a role in the offense to be considered a top-10 weekly TE option. Of course, there will be games that he won’t produce, but his red-zone usage has been significant, and defenses will never be able to key on him with the other weapons on the roster. Also, with his worst fantasy performance of the young season being a 41-yard scoreless performance, the floor he’s shown is better than most TEs.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Knox’s 2nd season barely found him on the fantasy radar. Missing games due to a concussion, a calf injury and a stint on the COVID-19 list, he reached 50 yards only once.
  • He saw a 7.7% target share for a pass first Bills squad. That ranked 6th on the team.
  • Knox saw a diverse role with 31.2% of his snaps coming out of the slot; 6.7% out wide.
  • Among 34 TEs with 40+ targets, Knox ranked 1st in YAC per reception (7.1 yards).
  • He wasn’t efficient overall with just 1.13 yards per route run, 25th among 34 qualifying TEs.
  • The Bills moved on from TEs Tyler Kroft and Lee Smith in free agency. They leave behind just 22 total targets, though.
  • The Bills passed on drafting a TE with any of their 8 selections.
  • Jacob Hollister arrived in free agency, but he signed a 1-year deal worth just over $1 million. He’s not a major threat to Knox’s role after posting 25-209-3 (16 games) with Seattle in 2020.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Knox, 24, enters a make-or-break 3rd season. He looks the part of a receiving TE at 6’4, 254 pounds with impressive length and athleticism. But drops and inconsistent play have limited his opportunities.

So too has a loaded Bills offense. With Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis under contract, expect more up and down play from Knox. There’s also a possibility the Bills add a TE upgrade prior to Week 1.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) is not listed on the final injury report. He practiced all week, including full workouts on Thursday and Friday. We’re not expecting Knox to be limited in Sunday’s game vs. the Jets. He was sitting 4th among TEs in half-PPR points through Week 6.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) was upgraded to full participation in Thursday's practice. He's on track to return for this weekend's game vs. the Jets. Knox averaged 4.5 targets, 3.5 catches, 47.7 yards and .8 TDs over the first 6 weeks of the season.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) returned to a limited practice on Wednesday. Week 10 has been the target for his return from that broken hand, and he appears to have a good chance to play vs. the Jets on Sunday. Check back tomorrow for another update.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Jaguars. Week 10 has been Knox's expected return target all along, so this doesn't come as a surprise. TE Tommy Sweeney ran a route on 75% of Buffalo's pass plays last week, posting a 3-30 line on 4 targets. He's in play for desperate fantasy owners.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (hand) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Dolphins. TE Tommy Sweeney will be atop the depth chart for this one but would be a total flier in fantasy lineups.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

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