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Dawson Knox - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Dawson Knox
BUF

TE BUF

#25 Tight End

71 Projected Points

ADP: 26.1
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 254
40 Time: 4.59

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

1.3

DS Projection

3.7

Consensus

38 other sites
5

High Ceiling

6.7

Rest of
Season

4.4

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2 25 0.2 3.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.3 25.8 0.3 4.4

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Knox’s 2nd season barely found him on the fantasy radar. Missing games due to a concussion, a calf injury and a stint on the COVID-19 list, he reached 50 yards only once.
  • He saw a 7.7% target share for a pass first Bills squad. That ranked 6th on the team.
  • Knox saw a diverse role with 31.2% of his snaps coming out of the slot; 6.7% out wide.
  • Among 34 TEs with 40+ targets, Knox ranked 1st in YAC per reception (7.1 yards).
  • He wasn’t efficient overall with just 1.13 yards per route run, 25th among 34 qualifying TEs.
  • The Bills moved on from TEs Tyler Kroft and Lee Smith in free agency. They leave behind just 22 total targets, though.
  • The Bills passed on drafting a TE with any of their 8 selections.
  • Jacob Hollister arrived in free agency, but he signed a 1-year deal worth just over $1 million. He’s not a major threat to Knox’s role after posting 25-209-3 (16 games) with Seattle in 2020.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Knox, 24, enters a make-or-break 3rd season. He looks the part of a receiving TE at 6’4, 254 pounds with impressive length and athleticism. But drops and inconsistent play have limited his opportunities.

So too has a loaded Bills offense. With Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis under contract, expect more up and down play from Knox. There’s also a possibility the Bills add a TE upgrade prior to Week 1.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic believes Bills TE Dawson Knox is “quickly speeding away” with the starting job. Free agent addition Jacob Hollister has missed most of training camp with a back injury. Per Buscaglia, Knox has “looked impressive” outside of 1 drop. Perhaps his development is why Buffalo hasn’t made a move for Zach Ertz. Knox, only 24, is currently coming off the board at TE28 in FFPC best balls.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

The Bills “aren’t giving up on Dawson Knox,” per Matthew Fairburn of The Athletic. “Dawson, going into Year 3, we have big expectations for him,” GM Brandon Beane said. “It’s a big offseason for him. He’s already told us that he plans to link up with Josh (Allen) out in California, which will be good for those guys to continue to get more reps.” Drops (13 on 94 career targets) have been Knox’s biggest issue thus far. Buffalo has yet to sign an impact free-agent, though, instead adding former Seahawk Jacob Hollister. If the depth chart remains favorable, Knox should have some streaming value in 2021. Just keep in mind that Buffalo ranked 2nd league-wide last year in percentage of 4-WR sets. With Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders and Gabe Davis, the position remains one of strength.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills WR Dawson Knox (calf) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Jets. Tyler Kroft gets another game as Buffalo’s lead TE but isn’t a fantasy option.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (concussion) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. Barring a setback, he should return for Sunday's game against the Raiders. With just 6 targets through 2 outings, though, he's not much of a fantasy option.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

Bills TE Dawson Knox (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams. Tyler Kroft will step in as Buffalo's lead TE but isn't a fantasy option. Knox's absence could mean an extra target or 2 for WRs Stefon Diggs and John Brown.

View all Dawson Knox Shark Bites »

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