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Patrick Mahomes Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsPatrick Mahomes's Basic Stats

Patrick Mahomes
ADP: 6.9
Bye: 6
Experience: 7
Age: 28.7
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 4.80
SPARQx (Rank): 99.80 (80%)
Burst Score (Rank): 109.50 (42%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.96 (95%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 60.00 (98%)

Injury PredictorPatrick Mahomes's Injury Guide

Very Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2024

11.4%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

0.7%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2024

0.50

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Oct 22, 2016 Non-NFL Hand Wrist Fracture Mahomes' injury was to the scaphoid bone in his left wrist. He played the final 5 games of the 2016 season with that injury.
Oct 17, 2019 NFL Knee Patella Dislocation Suffered a knee injury on a 4th-and-1 conversion in the second quarter
Nov 1, 2014 Non-NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Texas Tech vs. Texas: Mahomes played the next game, which was 14 days later.
Jan 17, 2021 NFL Head Cranial Concussion Grade 1 Mahomes sustained a concussion in the 3rd quarter of the Divisional Round win over the Browns.
Jan 17, 2021 NFL Pedal Toe Turf Toe Mahomes was diagnosed with a turf toe in his foot following the Divisional Round win over the Browns. He played through the injury for the following games.
Dec 4, 2022 NFL Pedal Foot Bruise Mahomes' injury surfaced in the 4th quarter.
Jan 21, 2023 NFL Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3 X-rays taken at Arrowhead Stadium were negative. Mahomes returned after halftime with his right ankle heavily taped.
Feb 12, 2023 NFL Pedal Ankle (high) Sprain Grade 3 Mahomes aggravated his right ankle injury in the Super Bowl.

Basic StatsPatrick Mahomes's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Mahomes is coming off the worst fantasy season of his career, finishing just 10th among QBs in points per game.

He was a top-6 fantasy QB in each of his first five seasons as Chiefs starter and is an easy 2024 bounce-back bet.

Mahomes remains one of the best QBs in the NFL and got weapon upgrades this offseason with the arrivals of WRs Marquise Brown and Xavier Worthy.

While his upside isn’t as high as dual-threat QBs like Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen, Mahomes is a good bet for top-5 production this year. And he might come slightly discounted in fantasy drafts.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Mahomes is coming off his worst fantasy season since taking over as Kansas City’s starter in 2018.
  • He ranked eighth among QBs in total fantasy points and 10th in fantasy points per game.
  • That followed these rankings in points per game in the previous five seasons:
    • 2018 - 1st
    • 2019 - 6th
    • 2020 - 3rd
    • 2021 - 4th
    • 2022 - 3rd
  • Mahomes’ 261.4 passing yards per game last year were a career low and ranked ninth in the NFL.
    • The biggest culprit was a career-low 7.0 yards per pass attempt.
    • And the biggest culprit for that was a career-low 6.5-yard average target depth, which ranked 30th among 32 qualifiers.
  • Mahomes’ 27 passing TDs last year were the second-fewest of his career. His 1.7 TDs per game were the fewest.
    • His 4.5% TD rate was a career low and ranked 15th among 32 qualifiers.
  • A final reason for Mahomes’ relatively disappointing 2023 fantasy season: He scored 0 rushing TDs after averaging 2.4 per season over the previous five years.
  • Kansas City’s pass-catching corps was a big reason for Mahomes’ struggles. The Chiefs’ team 72.0 Pro Football Focus receiving grade ranked 18th league-wide and was easily the worst mark since Mahomes took over in 2018.
  • Mahomes had 29 passes dropped last year – tied for most in the NFL.
  • Mahomes deserves at least a bit of the blame, too, though.
    • His 81.1 PFF passing grade was the second-worst mark of his career and ranked 13th among 32 qualifiers.
    • Mahomes’ -1.7% completion rate over expected ranked 35th among 45 qualifiers.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Expect a bounce-back season from one of the most talented QBs in NFL history.
  • The Chiefs made it a point to upgrade the WR corps this offseason, signing free-agent Marquise Brown to a one-year, $7 million deal and then trading up to select Xavier Worthy with the 28th overall pick of the draft.
  • Both guys bring much-needed speed to this passing game. Brown ran a 4.27-second 40-yard dash at his Pro Day; Worthy set the Combine record with a 4.21-second 40 time.
  • TE Travis Kelce returns for his 12th NFL season. He’s past his prime at 34 years old but remains a trusted target, posting a sterling 76.9% catch rate last year.
  • The biggest question in the pass-catching corps is WR Rashee Rice, who faces a likely suspension following a street-racing crash in Dallas in late March.
    • Rice turned in an impressive rookie season, emerging as a huge part of the passing game late in the season. Over his final 10 games (including four playoff games), Rice averaged 6.9 catches and 78 yards on a strong 8.8 yards per target.
  • Mahomes returns to the same offense led by HC Andy Reid and OC Matt Nagy.
  • The Chiefs have ranked top 9 in pass attempts in five of six seasons since Mahomes took over, including four straight top-5 finishes.
  • Their ranks in pass rate:
    • 2018 - 10th
    • 2019 - 8th
    • 2020 - 7th
    • 2021 - 5th
    • 2022 - 4th
    • 2023 - 5th
  • The Chiefs return four of five starters on the offensive line, opting to not re-sign LT Donovan Smith, who ranked 50th among 59 qualifying OTs in Pro Football Focus’ 2023 pass-blocking grades. He’ll be replaced by either 2023 third-round pick Wanya Morris or 2024 second-rounder Kingsley Suamataia.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

Patrick Mahomes, QB KC

12:01pm EDT 9/25/23

Patrick Mahomes' ankle "all good"

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes' ankle is "all good," NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. Mahomes got rolled up on near the end of the first half of Sunday's blowout win over the Bears. But he stayed in the game, only exiting in the third quarter after the Chiefs went up 41-0. Mahomes should be fine for Sunday night's game vs. the Jets.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes conceded that the right ankle he injured in the Divisional Round of the playoffs still isn't back to 100%. “Now, it’s been more about just kind of managing it, but getting the mobility back as best I possibly can,” Mahomes explained. “I wouldn’t say I’m 100%, but I’ve had no, necessarily, limitations. When you go through the grind of the week of training, you’re trying to push it and go through the rehab process, but at the same time, you want to make sure you’re still building. You might be a little sore on the weekends, but I think we’ve done a great job of pushing it to the right limit to where now I’m throwing and stuff like that and having no limitations there. Running and cutting, there will still be a few limitations going for the next few weeks.” Mahomes added that he expects to be at 100% come training camp. We'll continue to keep an eye on the situation, but the ankle is not impacting our 2023 projections for Mahomes.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (ankle) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. He avoided a setback in the AFC Championship win over the Bengals and should be closer to 100% for Sunday's Super Bowl vs. the Eagles.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes said Thursday that his ankle is "in a good spot" coming out of the AFC Championship win over the Bengals. Mahomes ran for just 8 yards in that one but didn't seem impacted when throwing, finishing with a 326-2-0 passing line. He has another 10 days to get ready for the Super Bowl.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that there's "true uncertainty" about how Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes' injured ankle will hold up in today's AFC Championship game vs. the Bengals. The ankle didn't swell up as much as the team thought it would, and Mahomes looked better in practice than expected, per Rapoport. But Mahomes didn't sprint at all this week, and it's unclear how the ankle will respond when Mahomes gets hit. There's clearly elevated risk to Mahomes in fantasy lineups today.

View all Patrick Mahomes Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

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