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Bo Nix - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBo Nix’s Basic Stats

Bo Nix
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 0
Age: 24.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 217

Bo Nix's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
230.1 1.4 0.8 20.3 17.1

Bo Nix's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#17 Quarterback

274.3 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 351/551.8 3742 21.33 12.8 82.3 374.7 1.3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBo Nix's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Nix is the favorite to win Denver’s Week 1 starting job and should be a good fit in HC Sean Payton’s quick-hitting passing game.

But the rookie figures to pilot a conservative, run-leaning offense with a subpar group of weapons.

Nix should add some rushing production but is unlikely to ascend beyond QB2 status this season. He’s only worth drafting in superflex leagues and 1-QB leagues of 14+ teams.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Nix was a five-star recruit and the No. 1 dual-threat QB in the 2019 class.
  • He made 61 starts across five college seasons – three at Auburn and two at Oregon.
  • Nix’s numbers at Auburn were not very good:
    • 59.4% completion rate
    • 6.9 yards per attempt
    • 39 TDs vs. 16 INTs
  • He dealt with a poor supporting cast and questionable coaching at Auburn. But Nix never ranked better than 52nd in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • He was much better at Oregon.
    • Nix threw for 3,593 yards with 29 TDs and seven INTs on a 71.9% completion rate and 8.8 yards per attempt in 2022.
    • Then he set new career highs last year with:
      • 4,508 yards
      • 45 TDs (vs. just three INTs)
      • 77.4% completion rate
      • 9.6 yards per attempt
  • Nix led all QBs in Pro Football Focus’ 2023 passing grades and finished third in Heisman voting.
  • He thrived in an Oregon offense designed to get the ball out of his hands quickly.
    • Nix’s 2.44-second average time to throw last year was fourth fastest in the FBS.
    • His 6.8-yard average target depth was third lowest.
    • Just 10.9% of Nix’s passes traveled 20+ yards downfield – the 13th lowest rate among 147 qualifiers.
  • Nix was good when he did throw deep, though. Among those 147 qualifiers, he ranked sixth in completion rate, 14th in passer rating, and fifth in PFF passing grade on throws of 20+ yards.
  • Nix also ran for 1,613 yards and 38 TDs across his five college seasons.
    • If we omit the yardage deducted for sacks by the NCAA, he averaged 390.4 rushing yards per season.
  • The Broncos made Nix the 12th overall pick of this year’s draft. He was the fifth QB off the board, behind Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and J.J. McCarthy.
  • Multiple sources reported post-draft that Denver was the only team with a first-round grade on Nix.

What to Expect in 2024

  • With tons of college experience, first-round draft capital, and weak competition (Zach Wilson, Jarrett Stidham), Nix is the favorite to win Denver’s Week 1 starting job.
  • Broncos GM George Paton said shortly after the draft that Nix is "game-ready" to start as a rookie.
  • He’ll be operating in a Sean Payton offense that should be a good fit for his skill set. Payton has historically deployed a short, quick-hitting passing game. (Think Drew Brees.)
  • Denver was not a good environment for passing production in Payton’s first season at the helm. The 2023 Broncos ranked:
    • 29th in plays
    • 24th in pass rate
    • 27th in pass attempts
  • Russell Wilson ranked 16th among QBs in fantasy points per game as Denver’s starter last year.
  • We’re projecting the Broncos to be a conservative, run-leaning offense again in 2024.
  • Denver traded away WR Jerry Jeudy this offseason and added WRs Troy Franklin and Josh Reynolds. WRs Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims, along with TEs Greg Dulcich and Adam Trautman, return from last year’s group. It’s an underwhelming group of pass-catchers.

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Bo Nix, QB DEN

4:39pm EST 11/3/24

Bo Nix Catches a TD In Big Loss

Broncos QB Bo Nix had a disappointing day throwing for 223 yards and an interception with no passing TDs. He did catch a TD pass from WR Courtland Sutton in the game, but was unable to take advantage of a soft Ravens defense.

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Broncos QB Bo Nix ran nine times for 47 yards and TD and threw 36 times completing 25 passes for 216 yards. Most importantly, he did not have an interception in the upset win against the Buccaneers.

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Broncos WR Courtland Sutton managed only 4 catches for 38 yards in a Week 1 matchup at Seattle. Sutton led the team with 12 targets but struggled to click with rookie QB Bo Nix.

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Broncos HC Sean Payton named QB Bo Nix his starting QB on Wednesday. This was the most likely scenario when Denver took Nix with the 12th overall pick of this spring's draft. Nix bolstered his case with two strong preseason outings, completing 76.7% of his passes at 7.0 yards per attempt with two TDs and zero INTs.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Bo Nix, QB DEN
Dynasty MVP 19.5
Position Rank #13 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
760
1,261
2,438
Dynasty Write-up
A former Gatorade Player of the Year in Alabama, Nix never developed across three seasons at Auburn. His game needed polish, but questionable coaching and a suspect supporting cast didn’t help. A complete turnaround followed after his transfer to Oregon, highlighted by a Heisman-quality 2023 (4,508 yards, 45 TDs, 3 INTs). Nix has the requisite arm talent and athleticism to make waves in fantasy. Just note that he’s older for a prospect (24). Top-15 draft capital was a win here, and the landing spot with Sean Payton brings promise.
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