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Breece Hall - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBreece Hall's Basic Stats

Breece Hall
ADP: 1.4
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 23.0
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.39

Burst Score (Rank): 131.00 (94%)

Breece Hall's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
77.5 0.59 3.8 31.7 0.17 15.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
63.4 0.5 2.6 21.1 0.1 11.8

Breece Hall's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Running Back

286.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
1.4 252.2 1163.1 8.85 6 1.5 56.9 474.9 2.55

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBreece Hall's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

At 22, Hall carries the type of youth we look for in a fantasy RB.

Now further removed from his ACL tear, there’s reason to believe he’ll build off a strong 2023.

Hall’s ceiling likely comes down to whether Aaron Rodgers stays healthy. But at least ahead of training camp, injury news on the future Hall of Famer has been all positive.

Consider the Jets’ workhorse a viable pick come mid- Round 1.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Hall returned for Week 1 of 2023, about 11 months after suffering an ACL tear.
    • He came off the PUP list on August 15, so he didn’t get a full training camp.
  • Despite the rehab-filled offseason, Hall excelled in 2023.
    • He ranked 6th in PPR points per game, boosted by league-leading totals in targets (95), catches (76), and receiving yards (591).
    • Hall finished as a top-6 PPR back six times. He slotted outside the top 30 only three times.
    • Among 25 RBs with 200+ carries, Hall ranked T-8th in YPC, 2nd in yards after contact per attempt, and 3rd in Pro Football Focus' Elusive Rating.
    • Among 47 qualifiers, Hall ranked sixth in rush yards over expected per attempt (per Next Gen Stats).
    • Hall played all 17 games and twice topped 30 touches.
  • The young RB overcame an O-line that finished 29th in run-block win rate.
  • Hall also overcame the Week 1 loss of Aaron Rodgers.
    • Zach Wilson started most games and predictably struggled.
    • Overall, the Jets ranked 31st in total yards; 29th in points per game.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Hall will be over 20 months removed from his ACL tear come Week 1.
    • With the benefit of a full offseason, it’s possible we see him hit another level in ‘24.
  • An upgraded supporting cast certainly helps.
    • Aaron Rodgers is on schedule to be 100% healthy for Week 1.
    • The Jets bolstered the WR corps with veteran Mike Williams, who’s coming off his own ACL tear. He’ll add a downfield/red zone weapon if healthy.
    • Round 3 pick Malachi Corley adds a run-after-catch and motion element to the offense.
  • Morgan Moses, Tyron Smith, and Olu Fashanu add talent at OT.
    • Moses and Smith are durability risks at 33, but Fashanu arrives in Round 1 as valuable insurance.
  • The Jets added two RBs in the draft: Braelon Allen (Round 4) and Isaiah Davis (Round 5).
    • Consider it a signal that the team isn’t committed to 2nd-year RB Israel Abanikanda.

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Aaron Rodgers, QB NYJ

9:29pm EDT 5/5/24

Aaron Rodgers expected to be full-go for OTAs

Jets QB Aaron Rodgers is expected to be a full participant in OTAs later this month, HC Robert Saleh said. Rodgers is about eight months removed from his torn Achilles. "Once phase three hits, we're not anticipating any restrictions from what we can and can't do with him," Saleh said. It's been a smooth rehab for Rodgers by all accounts, and he should be ready to roll come Week 1. It's excellent news for WR Garrett Wilson, RB Breece Hall, and the rest of New York's skill-position players.

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The Jets selected South Dakota State RB Isaiah Davis in Round 5 of the NFL Draft. If you value productive RBs, Davis is your guy. Across four seasons at South Dakota State, the 218-pounder racked up 677 carries, 4,552 yards (6.7 YPC) and 50 TDs. He hit 1,400+ rushing yards in his junior and senior seasons. Now, the heavy workloads might be some cause for concern long-term. He missed eight career games across 2021-2022 – all with a shoulder. Davis didn’t miss time last fall, though, and the tape is undeniably impressive. The Missouri native runs hard at nearly 220 pounds, yet he moves like a satellite back. ESPN analyst Louis Riddick said Davis has “vision and feet/jump cut skills as good as any runner in [the] draft.” The 22-year-old earned every yard, too. Per PFF, Davis ran into heavy boxes (7+ defenders) on ~82% of his carries. That mark led the class – along with his 6.6 yards per carry in such situations. Davis isn’t a zero in the passing game, but he lacks reliable hands and a developed route tree. He joins fourth-round rookie Braelon Allen in the Jets’ backfield, behind Breece Hall. It’s a rough spot for Davis’ dynasty value.

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The Jets took Wisconsin RB Braelon Allen in Round 4 of the 2024 NFL Draft. Allen is the youngest player in this entire draft class, turning just 20 back in January. He exploded as a 17-year-old true freshman in 2021, running for 1,268 yards and 12 TDs on 6.8 yards per carry. But by most measures, that was his best season at Wisconsin. Allen topped 1,200 rushing yards again in 2022, but his yards per carry, yards after contact per carry, and missed tackles forced per attempt all sunk from the previous season. Then his usage and production took a hit in a pass-heavier Wisconsin offense last year. Allen carried 181 times for 984 yards (5.4 YPC) and 12 TDs. He at least rebounded in yards after contact per attempt, ranking 29th among 157 qualifiers. But Allen ranked just 97th among those 157 RBs with a career-worst 78.6 Pro Football Focus rushing grade. The burly 6’1, 235-pounder runs with good vision and has better long speed than you’d expect. But he doesn’t always play to his size and doesn’t possess much wiggle. It’s also worth noting that Allen suffered shoulder, right leg, and left ankle injuries, plus a concussion, during his three years at Wisconsin. Allen joins a Jets backfield that will be dominated by Breece Hall for the foreseeable future. The rookie will duke it out with 2023 fifth-round pick Israel Abanikanda for scraps.

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Jets QB Zach Wilson (concussion) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Patriots. QB Trevor Siemian will presumably close out this Jets season that was doomed when QB Aaron Rodgers went down in the opener. Siemian isn't a fantasy option but has at least been peppering RB Breece Hall and WR Garrett Wilson with targets.

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Jets RB Breece Hall delivered a top-5 fantasy score in Sunday's win over the Texans, thanks almost exclusively to his biggest receiving production of the year. Hall tallied 8 receptions for 86 yards and a TD on 9 targets. That tied his season high for targets and set new top marks in catches and yards. The 86 yards were 10 more than Hall's previous high this season and 32 more than his next-best outing. He has now seen 8+ targets in three straight games, though Sunday marked just the second time he has garnered more than five looks in a game QB Zach Wilson played the whole way. Hall remains a weak bet for rushing production. He gained 40 yards on 10 carries against Houston, his fifth straight contest with 40 yards or less and ninth game this year with less than 50. But the receiving should make Hall a starter for most PPR lineups going forward.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Breece Hall, RB NYJ
Dynasty MVP 169.6
Position Rank #1 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
563
886
1,442
Dynasty Write-up
The 36th overall pick, Hall looked to be on his way to an excellent rookie year. Then came an ACL tear in Week 7. Only 22, the Iowa State product returned for Week 1, 2023, proving both durable and effective in a tough situation. 2024 looks sunnier with the return of Aaron Rodgers (Achilles').
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