Brian Robinson Jr. Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Robinson carried 92 times for 400 yards and 2 TDs last year, adding 25 scoreless yards on 8 catches.

He finished outside the top 80 RBs across fantasy scoring formats and scored as a top-36 RB in just two weeks.

Usage & Role

Robinson spent 2025 behind Christian McCaffrey, who played all 17 games in a workhorse role.

Robinson:

• Played 16.9% of San Francisco’s offensive snaps
• Handled 19.1% of the team’s rushing attempts
• Drew 2.1% of the targets

He ranked 82nd among RBs in expected PPR points per game.

Efficiency & Regression

Robinson was actually a more effective runner than McCaffrey by most metrics last year. He beat CMC in:

• Yards per carry (4.3 to 3.9)
• Yards after contact per attempt (3.10 to 2.76)
• Missed tackles forced per attempt (0.24 to 0.15)
• Pro Football Focus rushing grade (69.4 to 69.1)

Robinson looks less impressive compared to the rest of the league. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries last year, he ranked:

• 27th in yards per carry
• 21st in yards after contact per attempt
• eighth in missed tackles forced per attempt
• 45th in PFF grade

Historical Production & Trends

Robinson led committee backfields in Washington in each of his first three NFL seasons, averaging 190 carries and 776 yards per year on 4.1 yards per carry.

He wasn’t particularly impressive in advanced metrics in any of those seasons. Among 62 RBs with 250+ carries over the last four seasons, Robinson ranks:

• 37th in yards after contact per attempt
• 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Projected Role & Competition

Robinson goes from backing up McCaffrey in San Francisco to backing up Bijan Robinson in Atlanta after inking a one-year, $2.5 million deal with the Falcons in March.

Last year's No. 2 RB, Tyler Allgeier, averaged 8.4 carries, 0.9 targets, and 7.2 expected PPR points per game, all better than Robinson's 2025 marks. But that came under a different Falcons coaching staff.

It’s Tyler Goodson, Nathan Carter, and Carlos Washington Jr. behind Brian Robinson on the depth chart, so he’s a virtual lock for the No. 2 RB job.

Supporting Cast

The Falcons will likely have a new QB under center, at least to open the season. Michael Penix Jr. is working back from his third torn ACL and isn’t expected back on the field until August. Kirk Cousins was released in March.

That leaves Tua Tagovailoa as the likely Week 1 starter. Tua had a couple of strong seasons in 2022 and 2023 but disappointed the past two years.

The Falcons return four of five starters from last year’s offensive line. Jawaan Taylor will take over for Elijah Wilkinson at RT after arriving in free agency. Taylor has started for the past seven seasons (four with Jacksonville, three with Kansas City) and should be a tangible upgrade.

This should again be a serviceable run-blocking offensive line in 2026.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Atlanta canned HC Raheem Morris, OC Zac Robinson, and the rest of the staff this offseason. HC Kevin Stefanski takes over, with Tommy Rees as his OC.

Stefanski spent the last six seasons as Browns HC, compiling a 45-56 record. His first four offenses ranked between 14th and 18th in yards before QB play sank the operation the last two years.

Cleveland was generally a run-leaning offense under Stefanski. Here’s where the team ranked in neutral pass rate and pass rate over expected over the last six seasons:

Rees notably spent the past two years with Stefanski in Cleveland, including as OC last year. Rees took over play-calling from Stefanski in Week 10 last season and is expected to call plays this year.

Based on the history of this coaching staff and the Falcons’ personnel, expect this to be a run-leaning offense in 2026.

Stefanski’s history includes committee backfields in 2023 and 2024. But he also fed Nick Chubb 16.7 carries and 1.9 targets per game across 2020-2022. And Quinshon Judkins averaged 16.4 carries and 2.6 targets per game last year.

We expect Stefanski to deploy Bijan Robinson as a workhorse, leaving Brian Robinson with a small role.

Paths To Ceiling

Any ceiling case for Robinson likely includes an injury to Bijan Robinson. That would leave Brian Robinson as at least an early-down workhorse, with the potential to also control passing-down work considering the lack of viable options behind him on the depth chart.

Robinson has RB2 upside if the starter goes down.

Risk Factors

Bijan Robinson has averaged 17.4 carries and 5.1 targets per game over the past two seasons. If he gets a similar workload this year, there’s a strong chance that Brian Robinson proves irrelevant in fantasy.