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Cade Otton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCade Otton's Basic Stats

Cade Otton
ADP: N/A
Bye: 5
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 24.6
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 247

Cade Otton's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.4 31.2 0.2 4.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.2 32.7 0.3 5

Cade Otton's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#17 Tight End

80.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 51.4 523.3 4.7 0.7 0.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCade Otton's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Otton was a fine player last year, which qualified as impressive for a Day 3 rookie at TE.

But this year’s offense figures to lose both passing volume and efficiency. And both could drop precipitously.

Otton’s OK as a late TE3 for best ball rosters but doesn’t look interesting beyond that.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Otton jumped immediately into a Bucs offense needy at TE and grew his role as the season wore on.
  • He played 48% and 49% of offensive snaps the first two weeks. After sitting out Week 3, the fourth-round rookie topped 50% playing time every week until a meaningless finale that saw starters get pulled early.
  • For the season, only five TEs ran more pass routes than Otton. That’s impressive involvement for a Day 3 rookie. Of course, a big part of that was also the Bucs tying the Chargers for the league lead with 778 dropbacks. Only four QBs reached 700 dropbacks for the season, with Tom Brady at 761 trailing Justin Herbert by 3, leading No. 3 Patrick Mahomes by 39, and fifth-place Joe Burrow reaching 676.
  • Otton’s performance wasn’t as impressive as his level of involvement. Among 43 TEs who saw 30+ targets, he ranked:
    • 39th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • T-40th in yards per route
    • T-24th in yards after catch per reception
    • 36th in average depth of target
    • 28th in passer rating on balls thrown his way
      • His 94.1 there did beat WR teammate Mike Evans, at least.
  • Otton tied for the 12th-highest rate of slot routes among that TE group. We’ll see whether that type of usage continues under a new coordinator.
What to Expect in 2023
  • This year’s offense promises to be far less pass-heavy. The Buccaneers passed at the league’s highest rate each of the past two years, leading the NFL in pass attempts each time.
  • Now they go from Tom Brady to either Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask. One is coming off his worst NFL campaign, which saw one team trade him away, another release him, and a third let him walk in free agency. (To be fair, on that last one: He was looking for a starting opportunity, which the Rams didn’t offer.) Trask has attempted nine regular-season passes over two years since being selected at the end of Round 2.
  • Otton faces little competition at his position, at least.
    • Draft classmate Ko Kieft drew just 10 targets as a rookie and looks like more of a blocker.
    • Rookie Payne Durham lasted until Round 5 of the draft.
    • The other three TEs on the roster heading into training camp have a combined four NFL receptions (all by Dominique Dafney).
  • Durham will bear watching in camp. He matches Otton in size and posted strong college production. He’s slow for the position, though.
  • The Buccaneers aren’t expected to be very good. Only Arizona holds a lower projected win total (4.5) by Vegas numbers than Tampa’s 6.5. Losing would help the passing volume, but a bad offense won’t be good for Otton’s scoring opportunities.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cade Otton, TE TB

6:01pm EST 11/5/23

Cade Otton scores twice in Week 9 loss

Bucs TE Cade Otton tallied a 6-70-2 line in the 39-37 Week 9 loss to the Texans. The second TD was a particularly tough catch in tight coverage to give Tampa Bay a short-lived lead with less than one minute to go. Otton's nine targets in this one led the team and were a big 30% share. This will very likely go down as the best game of Otton’s season (maybe his career). But he’d totaled nine catches on 12 targets over the previous two games, so his role might be growing. Otton might be worth adding in deeper fantasy leagues, although the next two weeks bring negative matchups against the Bucs and 49ers. Otton does still get positive draws vs. the Colts (Week 12) and Falcons (Week 14).

View all Cade Otton Shark Bites »

Buccaneers WR Mike Evans racked up 171 yards and caught the team's lone TD pass in Sunday's win over the Bears. Evans tied WR Chris Godwin for the target lead with eight, catching six of those. Godwin posted a 5-58 receiving line. TE Cade Otton added 6 receptions for 41 yards on 6 targets. The Bucs host Philly in Week 3, an opponent they're likely to trail and a defense with multiple injuries across the starting secondary. Expect Evans and Godwin to land well inside starter territory in our Week 3 rankings.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

ESPN's Jeremy Fowler confirms that Bucs WR Russell Gage will miss the entire 2023 season with the knee injury he suffered in Wednesday's practice. Gage was locked into Tampa's No. 3 WR job before this injury. The Bucs are now left with WRs Trey Palmer, Deven Thompkins, David Moore, and Rakim Jarrett to battle for that job. Palmer is an intriguing rookie and might be worth a look near the very end of best-ball drafts. Gage's injury should mean extra targets for WR Chris Godwin, WR Mike Evans, RB Rachaad White, and TE Cade Otton. We've adjusted all the Bucs in the 2023 fantasy football rankings.

Update: Gage suffered a ruptured right patellar tendon.

View all Russell Gage Shark Bites »

Bucs TE Cade Otton shared some insight on new OC Dave Canales’ offense. “I think it’s a really good opportunity for us to get the ball in our hands,” Otton said. “I think easy completions is a big thing in this offense – making it easy on the quarterback. Then for us tight ends, getting the ball early in the down and trying to make plays down the field. So that’s a really exciting opportunity for us. You know they’re going to give us opportunities to do it, and then it is up to us to make the play and earn trust from the quarterbacks and the coaches.” Otton recorded 42-391-2 as a Round 4 rookie alongside Tom Brady. The 24-year-old won't be on the streaming radar to begin next season.

View all Cade Otton Shark Bites »

The Bucs are hiring Dave Canales as their new OC. The 41-year-old has spent the past 13 seasons working under Pete Carroll, first at USC and then with Seattle. Canales most recently served as Seahawks QBs coach, helping QB Geno Smith to a career year. But Canales' only experience as an offensive coordinator came at Carson High School in California in 2004 and 2005. He's a total wild card as we start to project what this Bucs offense will look like in 2023. We're also, of course, still waiting to see what Tampa does at QB. Kyle Trask is the only QB currently on the roster.

View all Chris Godwin Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Cade Otton, TE TB
Dynasty MVP 60.6
Position Rank #18 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
197
312
538
Dynasty Write-up
By rookie standards, Otton excelled in 2022 with 42-391-2. QB questions now linger for the long term. Purdue TE Payne Durham also arrived in Round 5 of the ’23 draft, but he projects as a backup.
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