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Cade Otton - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCade Otton's Basic Stats

Cade Otton
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 3
Age: 25.4
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 247
40 Time: 4.78

Cade Otton's Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.3 31 0.23 4.3
Weekly Writeup
Otton has 21 targets and 16 catches over the last three weeks -- both top-5 marks among TEs. He's a viable Week 6 spot starter against a Saints defense that ranks 22nd in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.2 30.4 0.2 4.4

Cade Otton's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Tight End

121.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 51.2 488.2 3.54 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCade Otton's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Otton is much more valuable in real football than fantasy.

He saw an increase in TD opportunities last season, but it was never consistent enough to feel confident starting him.

His TD dependency will continue in the Buccaneers’ new offense.

Otton’s lack of upside makes him a low-end TE2 at best.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Otton posted a season-long stat line of 47 catches for 455 yards and four TDs on 67 targets.
  • His per-game numbers were a slight improvement from his rookie season in 2022:
    • 3.94 targets (4.06)
    • 2.76 receptions (2.63)
    • 26.8 yards (24.4)
    • 0.24 TDs (0.13)
  • Otton ranked as the TE20 in PPR fantasy points and TE27 in points per game.
  • He missed no games due to injury and has not missed a game in his NFL career.
  • Otton had four top-12 finishes. He also had seven TE25 or worse finishes.
  • His target share (13.0%) was an increase from 2022 (10.7%)
  • Otton led all TEs with 699 pass routes last year but failed to finish higher than 20th in targets, catches, or receiving yards.
  • Among 31 TEs with 45+ targets, Otton ranked
    • 28th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 30th in yards per route run (0.94)
    • 19th in average target depth (7.0)
    • 26th in percentage of team air yards (9.23%)

What to Expect in 2024

  • Otton enters his third season with the Buccaneers under HC Todd Bowles
  • New OC Liam Coen spent last year as the Kentucky OC after coordinating the Rams in 2022.
    • In 2022, the Rams ranked 24th with 531 pass attempts.
  • The Buccaneers are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Buccaneers have the 21st-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +5500 on most sportsbooks, second-best in the division.
  • Otton enters his third season at 25 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average TE with Otton’s career produces at peak value at age-25.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jalen McMillan, WR TB

8:04pm EDT 10/2/24

Jalen McMillan & Trey Palmer Out For Week 5

Bucs WRs Jalen McMillan (hamstring) and Trey Palmer (concussion) are out for Thursday night's game vs. the Falcons. That'll leave Sterling Shepard as Tampa's No. 3 WR -- and push more targets to WR Chris Godwin, WR Mike Evans, and even TE Cade Otton. Otton is a viable Week 5 spot starter after compiling 17 targets over the past two weeks.

View all Jalen McMillan Shark Bites »

Buccaneers TE Cade Otton caught six passes for 52 yards in Sunday's win over the Eagles. His 9 targets matched WR Chris Godwin for second on the team. That followed a 7-47 receiving day for Otton in the Week 3 loss to the Broncos. QB Baker Mayfield attempted 47 passes against Philadelphia, his most in any game since joining the Bucs and tied for the second-most in a game for Mayfield's career. That came despite Tampa Bay jumping out to 24-0 lead by the middle of the second quarter. In short, Otton benefited from atypical passing volume. He would need a more permanent shift on that front to support weekly fantasy viability. I'm staying skeptical on Otton as a real lineup option for now. That said, injuries to WRs Jalen McMillan and Trey Palmer that leave them unlikely to play Thursday make Otton worth a look for Week 5 -- especially with four teams on bye.

View all Cade Otton Shark Bites »

Liam Coen is expected to be named the Bucs' new OC, according to NFL Network. Coen broke into the NFL coaching ranks as a Rams assistant under HC Sean McVay from 2018 to 2020. He headed to the college ranks in 2021 as Kentucky's OC, re-joined McVay as Rams OC in 2022, and then bounced back to Kentucky's OC job this past year. The most noteworthy aspect of this hire is that Coen spent the second half of that 2022 season with QB Baker Mayfield, who's scheduled to hit free agency next month. A return to Tampa Bay seems to make the most sense for both sides.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Bucs TE Cade Otton tallied a 6-70-2 line in the 39-37 Week 9 loss to the Texans. The second TD was a particularly tough catch in tight coverage to give Tampa Bay a short-lived lead with less than one minute to go. Otton's nine targets in this one led the team and were a big 30% share. This will very likely go down as the best game of Otton’s season (maybe his career). But he’d totaled nine catches on 12 targets over the previous two games, so his role might be growing. Otton might be worth adding in deeper fantasy leagues, although the next two weeks bring negative matchups against the Bucs and 49ers. Otton does still get positive draws vs. the Colts (Week 12) and Falcons (Week 14).

View all Cade Otton Shark Bites »

Buccaneers WR Mike Evans racked up 171 yards and caught the team's lone TD pass in Sunday's win over the Bears. Evans tied WR Chris Godwin for the target lead with eight, catching six of those. Godwin posted a 5-58 receiving line. TE Cade Otton added 6 receptions for 41 yards on 6 targets. The Bucs host Philly in Week 3, an opponent they're likely to trail and a defense with multiple injuries across the starting secondary. Expect Evans and Godwin to land well inside starter territory in our Week 3 rankings.

View all Mike Evans Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Cade Otton, TE TB
Dynasty MVP 15.0
Position Rank #19 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
186
295
509
Dynasty Write-up
Otton took a step forward with 47-455-4 in 2023. 2024 turns up some change, with OC Dave Canales taking over as Carolina's HC. Baker Mayfield at least returns to provide some stability.
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