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Corey Davis - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Corey Davis
NYJ

WR NYJ

#45 Wide Receiver

121 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.48

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

High Floor

5.2

DS Projection

6.8

Consensus

38 other sites
7

Low Ceiling

9.2

Rest of
Season

7.9

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.1 50.2 0.3 6.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.3 55 0.4 7.9
Week 5
Davis led the team with 4 receptions and 45 yards in the Week 5 loss to Atlanta while playing in London. He was targeted 7 times, also a team high, but there was little in this one for the free agent signee.

Davis has been serviceable to start the year but Wilson’s inconsistency makes him a hit-or-miss candidate each week. Davis has 20 receptions for 302 yards and 3 TDs leading into the Week 6 bye.
Week 4
Davis continues to operate as the Jets’ #1 WR as he paced the team in routes again in Week 4. This helped him turn 7 targets to 4-111-1, including an amazing grab for a 53-yard TD. Something to monitor for Davis owners is the usage of Jamison Crowder. Crowder in his first game back did lead the team in targets, receptions, and red zone opportunities. Overall, Davis has established himself as viable WR3 with WR2 upside as he continues to see steady targets for the Jets this season.
In Week 5 Davis should be on the WR3 map as he gets a great matchup vs. the Falcons. The Falcons this season have allowed big games to outside WRs, including DeVonta Smith (6-71-1), Mike Evans (5-75-2) and Terry McLaurin (6-123-2).
Week 3
Davis caught 5 of his team high 10 targets on Sunday for 41 yards. After the Week 1 smash, things have been bleak for the WR. He has just 7 catches and 49 yards over the last two weeks. His Week 1 stat line of 5-97-2 is looking like a blip and not the expectation.

Going forward, Davis is a desperation flex play at best. With the offense a mess and the QB running for his life there is little reason to have optimism. The volume is fantastic, but if the passes coming from Zach Wilson and his 6 yards per attempt, it leaves a ton to be desired.
Week 2
Davis caught just 2 of 5 targets for 8 yards in the Jets' Week 2 loss to the Patriots.
Davis was 3rd on the team in targets behind WRs Elijah Moore and Braxton Berrios. QB Zach Wilson was picked off on his first two attempts both towards Davis where he was unable to come down with jump balls.
Davis should remain the #1 WR in New York, but this offense looks like it will struggle and be inconsistent from week to week.
Davis and the Jets have a very difficult matchup on the road in Week 3 against the 2-0 Broncos.
Week 1
Like he was in the preseason, Davis was the #1 option in the Jets passing game in Week 1. He tied Braxton Berrios for the team lead with 7 targets, hauling in 5 of them for 97 yards and a pair of scores.

Davis’ 1st score came on a broken play. QB Zach Wilson escaped from the pocket and found Davis open in the corner of the end zone for a 22-yard TD. The 2nd score was a well-timed out route from 8 yards.

Davis played 89% of the Jets’ offensive snaps and ran a route on 87% of pass plays in this one. He’s this team’s #1 WR -- at least until Elijah Moore settles in.

The risk is that this offense doesn’t figure to put many points on the board in the short term, with a rookie QB behind a bad offensive line. But volume should carry Davis to at least WR3 production.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • 2020 was a contract-year for Davis. He set career highs in yards (984), TDs (5), catch rate (70.7%) and yards per route run (2.46).
  • He matched a previous career high in catches (65).
  • Davis posted lines of 3-36-1 (vs. Jacksonville) and 5-69 (at Minnesota) in 2 games without A.J. Brown.
  • Davis tested positive for COVID-19 and missed 2 games.
  • On the year, Davis finished 31st in PPR points per game. He hit 15+ PPR points 6 times but was shut out in 3 games (including the postseason) for the run-heavy Titans.
  • He doesn’t profile as a clear #1 target with the Jets, as they currently feature Denzel Mims, Jamison Crowder and Elijah Moore — plus athletic TE Chris Herndon. Davis’ 3-year deal worth $37.5 million does make him the target favorite.
  • Don’t be surprised if the Jets save money by moving on from Crowder, whose slot role could easily go to the undersized Moore.
  • Davis will catch passes from rookie BYU QB Zach Wilson. His college accuracy was excellent, but the jump in competition will be a true test.
  • We like the potential for this offense with new OC Mike LaFleur. He’s followed Kyle Shanahan from Cleveland to Atlanta to San Francisco since 2014. He’s held roles like offensive intern (Cleveland), offensive assistant (Falcons) and pass game coordinator/WR coach (49ers). LaFleur, brother of Packers HC Matt LaFleur, is only 34.
  • If the Shanahan principles remain (as expected) look for pre-snap motion and play-action passing to help open windows in the passing game.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Davis largely shoved aside durability concerns during a career-best 2020. Only 26, it’s quite possible his arrow is still pointing up.

Going from Ryan Tannehill to Zach Wilson will almost certainly prove to be a sharp downgrade in 2020. But a still-poor looking Jets defense should help stabilize the offense’s pass volume. Current projections have Davis for 114 targets, making him a value target in the double digit rounds of drafts.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jets WR Corey Davis (shoulder) is ready for the start of training camp on Wednesday, according to The Athletic's Connor Hughes. Davis hurt his shoulder at a May OTA session and didn't do much in minicamp. But it looks like a non-issue now. Davis is coming off a strong 2020 season and got paid like a #1 WR by the Jets in free agency. He's a value at his WR54 ADP.

View all Corey Davis Shark Bites »

Jets WR Corey Davis suffered what's believed to be a minor shoulder injury at OTAs on Thursday, NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports. Dr. James Andrews is taking a look at Davis' scans to confirm the diagnosis. This doesn't sound like something that'll impact Davis' 2021 season, but we'll keep an eye on it. He's missed 8 games through 4 NFL seasons.

View all Corey Davis Shark Bites »

The Jets and WR Corey Davis agreed to a 3-year, $37.5 million deal with $27 million guaranteed, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Davis had an up-and-down 4 seasons in Tennessee but is coming off a career-best 65-984-5 line. He ranked 5th in yards per route run among 84 WRs with 50+ targets. We'll credit OC Arthur Smith for some of that, but Davis has never lacked ability. It's why he was the 5th overall pick of the 2017 NFL Draft. And he remains in his prime at just 26 years old. New York isn't an ideal landing spot, with new OC Mike LaFleur and the QB spot standing as question marks. But Davis has the potential to carve out a big target share. He figures to be joining Jamison Crowder and Denzel Mims in the Jets' 3-WR set.

View all Corey Davis Shark Bites »

The Titans have activated WR Corey Davis off the COVID list. That makes him available for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh. Davis has seen 8, 5 and 6 targets in his 3 games so far this season. He'll be in contention for at least WR4-level usage in fantasy lineups for Week 7.

View all Corey Davis Shark Bites »

Titans WR Adam Humphries was activated from the COVID list this week. WR Corey Davis has not been and isn’t expected to play vs. the Texans on Sunday. WR A.J. Brown and TE Jonnu Smith should continue to dominate targets for Tennessee.

View all Corey Davis Shark Bites »

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