|ADP||Rec||Rec Yds||Rec TDs||100||Fum|
What You Need to Know:
-2020 was a contract-year for Davis. He set career highs in yards (984), TDs (5), catch rate (70.7%) and yards per route run (2.46).
-He matched a previous career high in catches (65).
-Davis posted lines of 3-36-1 (vs. Jacksonville) and 5-69 (at Minnesota) in 2 games without A.J. Brown.
-Davis tested positive for COVID-19 and missed 2 games.
-On the year, Davis finished 31st in PPR points per game. He hit 15+ PPR points 6 times but was shut out in 3 games (including the postseason) for the run-heavy Titans.
-He doesn’t profile as a clear #1 target with the Jets, as they currently feature Denzel Mims, Jamison Crowder and Elijah Moore — plus athletic TE Chris Herndon. Davis’ 3-year deal worth $37.5 million does make him the target favorite.
-Don’t be surprised if the Jets save money by moving on from Crowder, whose slot role could easily go to the undersized Moore.
-Davis will catch passes from rookie BYU QB Zach Wilson. His college accuracy was excellent, but the jump in competition will be a true test.
-We like the potential for this offense with new OC Mike LaFleur. He’s followed Kyle Shanahan from Cleveland to Atlanta to San Francisco since 2014. He’s held roles like offensive intern (Cleveland), offensive assistant (Falcons) and pass game coordinator/WR coach (49ers). LaFleur, brother of Packers HC Matt LaFleur, is only 34.
-If the Shanahan principles remain (as expected) look for pre-snap motion and play-action passing to help open windows in the passing game.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
Davis largely shoved aside durability concerns during a career-best 2020. Only 26, it’s quite possible his arrow is still pointing up.
Going from Ryan Tannehill to Zach Wilson will almost certainly prove to be a sharp downgrade in 2020. But a still-poor looking Jets defense should help stabilize the offense’s pass volume. Current projections have Davis for 114 targets, making him a value target in the double digit rounds of drafts.