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The move from Chicago to Buffalo gives Moore a QB upgrade and WR2 fantasy upside. But he’s coming off a disappointing 2025 season and will need to bounce back to reach that ceiling.
If he doesn’t, he could struggle for WR3 value in a spread-the-wealth Bills passing game.
We’re ultimately treating Moore as a fine WR3 target in drafts with a wide range of potential outcomes.
Customize his projection for your exact league settings inside the Draft War Room.Moore caught 50 balls for 682 yards in 17 games last year. Both marks set career lows and landed outside the top-35 WRs.
Six TDs somewhat salvaged Moore’s fantasy season, but he still finished just 46th among WRs in PPR points per game and 43rd in half-PPR points per game.
Moore scored as a top-10 PPR WR four times (all from Week 9 on) but failed to crack the top-36 WRs 10 times.
Moore led Bears WRs in snaps (84.8%) and routes (79.8%) last year. But Rome Odunze edged him 90 to 85 in targets, despite missing five games.
Moore’s 0.16 targets per route ranked 66th among 86 WRs with 250+ routes last season. His 14.3% target share ranked 53rd.
Moore did get strong usage near the end zone, leading Chicago with 23 red-zone targets and 11 end-zone targets. Those marks ranked 27th and 11th, respectively, among all WRs.
Still, Moore finished just WR51 in expected PPR points per game.
Moore caught 58.8% of his targets and averaged 13.6 yards per catch last year. His 8.0 yards per target ranked 33rd among 76 WRs with 50+ targets.
But he ranked just 60th out of those 76 WRs with 1.22 yards per route and 55th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
Moore also underwhelmed in other grading systems:
The Bears offense took a big step forward in HC Ben Johnson’s first season, climbing from 32nd in yards and 28th in points in 2024 to sixth in yards and ninth in points last year.
Chicago finished 10th in pass attempts, yards, and TDs despite a still-inconsistent Caleb Williams. He ranked 38th among 42 qualifying QBs in completion rate and 22nd in yards per attempt.
75.6% of Moore’s targets last year were catchable, according to Fantasy Points charting. That ranked 42nd among 76 WRs with 50+ targets.
Moore’s 9.9 PPR points per game last year marked a career low. He has also registered back-to-back career lows in yards per route and PFF receiving grade.
He’d been a strong target earner prior to last year, topping a 23% share in each of the previous five seasons. His finishes among WRs in PPR points per game those years:
Moore turned just 29 in April, helping his chances of bouncing back in 2026.
Moore has played all 17 games in five straight seasons. He missed one game in 2020 with COVID and one in 2019 with a concussion.
The Bills sent the 60th pick of this spring’s draft to Chicago for Moore and a fifth-round pick.
2026 is the first year of the four-year, $110 million extension Moore signed in July 2024. He carries just a $6.75 million cap hit this season. But that jumps to $28.94 million in 2027. There’s a potential out in the contract after that 2027 season.
It’s a relatively big investment from the Bills and a sign they believe Moore can bounce back.
“I didn’t see a drop-off in D.J.’s play last year,” HC Joe Brady said in March. “I didn’t see a drop-off in who he is. Knowing his skill set is important for me, in terms of building the offense this offseason.”
The Bills also return their top seven targets from a year ago:
Shakir has averaged 6.3 targets per game over the last two seasons and will remain a significant part of this passing game in 2026. Kincaid is coming off an injury-riddled season but averaged 4.1 targets per game and could draw more volume this year.
No one else is guaranteed a role, though. And there’s certainly an opportunity for Moore to emerge as the receiving leader.
QB Josh Allen is back at Buffalo's starter and looks like a big upgrade from Caleb Williams. Here’s how those two compared in key metrics last year:
Buffalo has not been a great spot for WR production lately. But the team did rank top-5 in total WR PPR points in three straight seasons from 2020-2022.
That, not coincidentally, was the first three years of the Stefon Diggs era. Here’s where Diggs finished in PPR points per game in his four seasons with the Bills:
That points to Moore’s upside with the Bills. But it’s worth noting that Diggs was 27 and coming off a 1,130-yard season for the Vikings before arriving in Buffalo.
Here’s a deeper comparison of Diggs vs. Moore in their final seasons before joining the Bills:
The Bills fired Sean McDermott in January, ending a nine-year run as HC. The team replaced him by promoting Joe Brady.
Brady spent the past 2.5 seasons as Buffalo’s OC after taking over for Ken Dorsey midway through 2023. The Bills went run-heavy over the second half of that season, posting a 48.2% pass rate and 52.0% neutral pass rate. Here’s where Buffalo has ranked in those metrics the last two years:
We’ll see what the departure of defensive-minded McDermott means for the run-pass split, but we’re expecting this to remain a run-leaning offense in 2026.
Brady spent two seasons as Moore’s OC in Carolina in 2020 and 2021, when Moore posted strong 23.1% and 26.4% target shares. A poor offense still limited him to WR27 and WR28 finishes in PPR points per game.
Moore topped a 23% target share in five straight seasons before last year, and now he gets a sizable QB upgrade from Williams to Allen.
If Moore’s target share rebounds to 23% or above and his efficiency improves in Buffalo, he could score as a top-20 fantasy WR.
Moore was not good last year, earning just 14.3% of Bears targets and registering career worsts in yards per route and PFF receiving grade.
If he doesn’t bounce back, Moore could be out-targeted by Khalil Shakir and struggle for WR3 value this season.
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D.J. Moore 'Getting No. 1' Treatment
D.J. Moore 'Getting No. 1' Treatment
ESPN's Alaina Getzenberg reports that WR D.J. Moore has enjoyed a strong start to his first training camp with the Bills. Moore reportedly made "highlight catches" on each of the first two days and looks like the lead receiver.
Bills Still Publicly Backing Keon Coleman
Bills Still Publicly Backing Keon Coleman
Bills GM Brandon Beane backed WR Keon Coleman in an interview with The Athletic released today. He said it wasn’t “an ability thing” with Coleman, that he has “shown plenty.", and that the Bills are “putting all our eggs in [Coleman’s] basket to come back for year three and be a part of this group, however that is.” But that stance clashes with what Bills Owner Terry Pegula said in January, when he blamed the former coaching staff for pushing to “draft Keon” with Beane sitting next to him and offering little pushback. The Keon Coleman situation remains muddled.
Finally: Bills Upgrade WR Corps With D.J. Moore
Finally: Bills Upgrade WR Corps With D.J. Moore
The Bills and Bears have agreed to a trade to send WR D.J. Moore to Buffalo. The Bears are getting a "mid-round pick" in return, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. It's a much-needed boost to QB Josh Allen's weaponry -- and frees up opportunity for WRs Luther Burden and Rome Odunze and TE Colston Loveland in Chicago.
Update: The Bears are sending Moore and a 2026 fifth-round pick to Buffalo for a 2026 second-rounder.
D.J. Moore Active, Olamide Zaccheaus INACTIVE
D.J. Moore Active, Olamide Zaccheaus INACTIVE
Bears WR D.J. Moore is active for tonight’s game vs. the 49ers; WR Olamide Zaccheaus is inactive. Both guys were added to the injury report this morning with illnesses. It adds some risk to Moore’s fantasy outlook. (We saw Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan catch just one ball after being added to the injury report with an illness this morning.)
D.J. Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus Now Questionable
D.J. Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus Now Questionable
The Bears have added WR D.J. Moore and Olamide Zaccheaus to the injury report as questionable for tonight's game against the 49ers because of an illness. Players typically play through illnesses, so we're not taking them out of the Week 17 rankings. But make sure you have an insurance option available if you're planning to start Moore. If he's out, Burden and TE Colston Loveland would get target boosts. We'll get their statuses around 7 p.m. ET.
See whether D.J. Moore is available in your leagues.
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