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D.J. Moore - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsD.J. Moore's Basic Stats

D.J. Moore
ADP: 5.1
Bye: 13
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26.4
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.42
Speed Score: 108.50
SPARQx (Rank): 123.80 (93%)
Burst Score (Rank): 133.20 (94%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.02 (74%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.29 (89%)

D.J. Moore's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 65.1 0.3 8.5
Weekly Writeup
Moore is tied with rookie RB Roschon Johnson for the third-highest target share (14.1%) on the Bears this season. Yeah, we don't really get it either. Fortunately, a lot of that is bogged down by a poor Week 1. Last Sunday, Moore saw 7 targets, catching 6 of them for 104 receiving yards. Despite the dysfunction on offense in Chicago and a tougher matchup against the Chiefs, Moore is likely to be involved enough in Week 3 to warrant being a low-end WR2/flex option in fantasy.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.8 64.6 0.3 8.7

D.J. Moore's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#36 Wide Receiver

123.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.1 65.9 898.5 4.7 2.2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsD.J. Moore's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Moore gets a QB upgrade with his move from Carolina to Chicago. But the Bears are coming off a season as the league’s most run-heavy offense. They’ll either have to move well away from that or let Moore dominate targets if he’s to approach his ceiling.

Moore looks fine at WR3 level in drafts. We’ll see what kind of upside Chicago can provide beyond that.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Despite playing with three different starting QBs on the Panthers last year, Moore finished as the WR24 in PPR.
  • It was Moore’s third top-24 finish among his five seasons, with two others among the top 36.
  • He had five weekly finishes last year within the top 12, one in the top 24, and only two others in WR3 range – among 17 games.
  • Moore led the Panthers in targets per game (6.9), target share (27.5%), air yards share (48%), Weighted Opportunity Rating (0.72), and receiving yards (888).
    • No other Panthers’ pass catcher came close to Moore in any of these categories. Excluding WR Chosen Anderson (five games played, traded to the Cardinals ahead of Week 7), the closest receiver (Terrace Marshall Jr.) recorded a mere 15.7% target share, 24.2% air yards share, and 480 receiving yards.
  • Though Moore almost doubled all his teammates in nearly every opportunity metric, he ranked 25th among 30 WRs who saw 100+ targets last year in NFL passer rating when targeted (86.5).
  • Poor QB play has been a consistent theme throughout Moore’s career. In his five seasons as a professional, Moore’s career passer rating when targeted is 83.7.
  • Among that group of 30 receivers with 100+ targets in 2022, Moore ranked 22nd in PFF receiving grade, 24th in yards per route run (1.74), and 28th in yards after catch (191).
What to Expect in 2023
  • Moore will have an opportunity to start over in a new situation as the lead pass-catcher with QB Justin Fields.
  • It’s fair to say that he’s never had quality QB play in his career with eight different starters since 2018:
    • Baker Mayfield
    • Sam Darnold
    • P.J. Walker
    • Cam Newton
    • Teddy Bridgewater
    • Kyle Allen
    • Will Grier
    • Taylor Heinicke
  • None of those players screams high-end passer. Fields hasn’t been known for his throwing acumen to date either, though:
    • He finished dead-last in PFF passing grade, passing yards (2,242), and attempts (318) among 25 QBs who recorded 400+ dropbacks in 2022.
    • Moreover, the Bears’ offense skewed super run-heavy last year, ranking first in team rushing yards per game, and 31st in pass rate. They posted the NFL’s lowest pass rate over expectation since 2016 (-14.1%).
  • Between acquiring Moore this offseason and trading a 2023 second-round draft pick to the Steelers for WR Chase Claypool, it’s evident the Bears want to throw more in 2023. How much more? We probably won’t know that answer until the season.

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D.J. Moore, WR CHI

5:33pm EDT 9/17/23

D.J. Moore goes over 100

Bears WR D.J. Moore racked up 104 yards on 6 receptions in Sunday's loss to the Buccaneers. His 7 targets ranked second on the team and accounted for 24.1% of QB Justin Fields' total pass attempts. Moore also garnered 49.3% of Chicago's receiving yards. The Bears passed or took a sack (six of them) on 68.6% of offensive snaps, leaning that way even in the first half. We'll be curious to see if that split continues. The Bears' early tendency toward trailing opponents would certainly help to drive up passing volume. WR Chase Claypool led the team Sunday with 8 targets, catching three for 36 yards and Fields' lone passing TD. TE Cole Kmet finished with 6 targets, 4 receptions and 38 yards. Chicago heads to Kansas City in Week 3 before hosting the Broncos in Week 4.

View all D.J. Moore Shark Bites »

Bears WR D.J. Moore struggled in his debut vs. the Packers, recording only 2 catches on as many targets for 25 yards. Teammate Darnell Mooney led the team with 7 targets, 4 catches, and 53 yards, along with a receiving TD. It’s bizarre that Moore saw such little volume, considering three different Bears (Mooney, TE Cole Kmet, RB Roschon Johnson) saw 7 targets in the Week 1 loss. Moore’s totals are even more puzzling when realizing that his new QB, Justin Fields, attempted 37 passes, two fewer than his career-high of 39 (2021 Week 15). Hopefully, the veteran can regroup in Week 2 vs. a Buccaneers defense that surrendered the second-most passing yards (344) in the NFL on Sunday. We'll chalk this one up to the occasional bad luck game for now.

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Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune shared details on the health of Bears WR Darnell Mooney. Recall that he suffered multiple torn ligaments in his left ankle last November. “From what I hear, Mooney is doing well and there is a chance he will be fully cleared before the conclusion of the offseason program, which ends with mandatory minicamp in mid-June,” Biggs said. “If not, it’s expected he will be at full speed for the start of training camp.” Good to know. Mooney, the WR58 in FFPC best ball ADP, is set to enter a contract season. The 25-year-old watched as Chicago added D.J. Moore and Round 4 WR Tyler Scott this offseason. See where Mooney slots in our updated 2023 WR rankings.

View all Darnell Mooney Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

D.J. Moore, WR CHI
Dynasty MVP 100.8
Position Rank #34 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
329
520
886
Dynasty Write-up
Moore landed in Chicago following a blockbuster March trade. Justin Fields supplies the best pure QB of Moore's career, while we expect the 26-year-old to operate as a clear WR1 alongside Darnell Mooney and Chase Claypool. Whether or not this offense takes a big step toward increasing its pass volume will depend on Fields' development. Chicago averaged a league-low 22.0 passes per game in 2022.
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