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D.J. Moore - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

D.J. Moore
CAR

WR CAR

#21 Wide Receiver

151 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.42

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Moore came away from Sunday’s loss to the Falcons with a solid 6-84 receiving line on 10 targets. He might have seen even more if Carolina hadn’t inserted QB P.J. Walker in the middle of the game. The #2 QB targeted former college teammate Robby Anderson with 8 of his 12 pass attempts, including a 4th-quarter TD.

Moore also might have been affected by a hamstring injury he suffered during the game. He left to get it checked at 1 point but pushed to go back in. Afterward, HC Matt Rhule called him “day-to-day,” according to the team website.

Assuming Moore is ready to play, he’ll get a tough draw at Buffalo in Week 15. The absence of Bills lead CB Tre’Davious White (ACL tear) softens the individual matchup for Moore, at least.

Tampa Bay and New Orleans present better spots the following 2 weeks.
Week 11
Although it wasn’t the high-upside type of game we’ve seen from Moore, he was definitely much more of a focal point of the offense with Cam Newton under center. Despite the Panthers throwing just 27 passes, Moore led the WRs with 7 targets, and even though that tied for his lowest target total over the last 5 games, the quality of targets was significantly better than it had been. With Newton threatening the defense with his running ability, there was more space than usual for Moore to operate in the short and intermediate areas of the field. He started the scoring for Carolina on a 10-yard TD that broke his 6-game scoring drought.

Fantasy managers have to hope that Newton can restore the elite upside that had gotten away from Moore due to terrible QB play for most of the season. He came into this game being held to fewer than 74 yards and no TDs in any of his last 6 games. And that was after averaging nearly 100 yards and a TD over the first 4 games of the season. His remaining schedule is dominated by teams that are below average in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing WRs. So as long as Newton can get him the ball, he could have a strong end to the season.
Week 10
Once again, Moore failed to meet expectation as his 4-24 day was overshadowed by a big win for the Panthers in Week 10. There is a lot of optimism surrounding Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey, but with Newton starting it might not be the best thing for Moore. Moore has seen his targets drop in every game over the past 5 weeks going from 13 vs. the Giants to 7 in back-to-back games vs. the Patriots and Cardinals. This has led Moore only topping 10 points in half-PPR once since Week 4.
This week Moore is in a potential bounce back spot vs. a Washington Football Team defense that has allowed the 7th most points to WRs over the past 5 weeks. This includes allowing scores to opposing #1s in 4 of the last 5, including Tyreek Hill, Marquez Callaway, Mike Evans and Davante Adams. Hopefully Newton provides the spark plug this offense needs, but we should remain skeptical of how much of a boost this will be for Moore in the coming weeks.
Week 9
Moore was in a bad spot, as his QB was facing a defense that has given him nightmares since his days in New York, when he was a member of the Jets. In addition, if there was one player the Patriots were worried about in the passing game, it was Moore, who did see plenty of defensive attention. Although he was targeted a respectable 7 times, he saw a steady diet of short passes, and the defense did well to keep Moore in front of them. The Panthers also gave him a pair of rushing attempts, which netted him an extra 14 yards.

While Sam Darnold was playing well during the first 4 games of the year, Moore was averaging 99 yards while scoring 3 TDs. However, since Darnold came crashing back to Earth, Moore’s production has fallen off to 62 yards per game without a score. Although he’s an elite NFL player, he needs some help from the QB, which he’s currently not getting. Of course, he’s an likely an auto-start in most fantasy lineups, but there’s no guarantee his upside comes back on a consistent basis this season.
Week 8
Sam Darnold’s struggles have become a problem for Moore. His target share has dipped slightly over the past 4 weeks -- despite the absences of Christian McCaffrey and Terrace Marshall -- to 26.8% from his 29.5% share of the 1st 4 weeks. That’s obviously not a big issue. A 26.8% share over a full season would rank near the top of the league.

The big issue is that Moore has also gone from 7.5 receptions and 99.5 yards per game through 4 weeks to 5 catches and 61.8 yards per game over the past 4. Moore also scored all 3 of his TDs to date among the 1st 4 contests. And his catch rate has fallen from 69.8% to 52.6%.

The relative good news: It’s not like a strong-performing teammate is taking away his role, or even siphoning significant opportunity volume. That said, Darnold has given us no reason for optimism.

Even at those deflated numbers, Moore remains fine as a fantasy option. He might be worth shopping, though, before more relative down games cut further into that early-season production and lower his value.
Week 7
Moore racked up 73 yards on 6 receptions in the Week 7 drubbing against the Giants. He was targeted a team-high 10 times but wasn’t able to break out and showcase his athleticism against a beatable secondary. He’s seen at least 10 targets and 5+ receptions in 5 games already this year with all but one with more than 70 yards to his credit.
Moore was the only thing working in the Carolina offense as QB Sam Darnold took a dump and was benched. Moore is doing it solo at this point as the Panthers desperately need RB Christian McCaffrey back or one of the other receivers to step up. He has a solid matchup this week against a Falcons secondary that has allowed 9 TDs to opposing WRs already.
Week 6
Moore caught 5 of 13 targets for 73 yards in Carolina's Week 6 overtime loss to the Vikings.
Moore again led the team in targets but caught just 38% of the balls in his direction as he dropped a couple of catchable balls and Darnold struggled with accuracy.
Moore has shown by far the most chemistry with Darnold and should continue to be peppered with targets.
Week 4
Even more of Moore at Dallas. He had game highs of 8 catches, 12 targets, 113 receiving yards and 2 TD catches. Moore also carried once on an end-around for a 6-yard gain. He is tied for 2nd in the NFL in receptions, tied for 1st in 1st downs, 4th in yardage, tied for 9th in TD catches. He is well on his way to a 3rd straight 1,000-yard season.
This appears to be a breakout season for Moore, whose next TD catch will equal his season high of 4. It’s likely he can do that Sunday against Philadelphia, which has given up 9 passing TDs in 4 games. Moore has established a rapport with new Panthers QB Sam Darnold, and he is 1 Carolina player whose fantasy numbers are helped by having RB Christian McCaffrey out of the lineup.
Week 3
If there were any remaining questions about the pecking order in Carolina’s WR corps, this game put those to bed.

Moore dominated, hauling in 8 of 12 targets for 126 yards. He accounted for 35% of the team’s targets, 35% of the catches and 41% of the receiving yards. Moore was targeted at all levels of the field and looked awesome as a route runner and after the catch. His outing could have been even bigger had QB Sam Darnold not just missed him on a potential 51-yard TD.

Through 3 weeks, Moore has accumulated 31 targets, 22 catches and 285 yards. Those marks rank 6th, 5th and 7th among WRs. Moore has scored just once but sits 9th at his position in PPR points and 13th in non-PPR.

Moore might pick up even more short-range work in the short term with RB Christian McCaffrey expected to miss the next few games with his hamstring injury.

He’s a must-start and has a chance to finish as a WR1 this season.
Week 2
Moore continued to look like the Panthers alpha WR in Week 2. Racking up 8 catches for 79 yards and a score, Moore has now out-targeted Robby Anderson by 10 over the first 2 games. He scored on a short-range slant pattern that saw him shake free of the DB. The 24-year-old now ranks as the PPR WR15. Week 3 turns up a sweet matchup with the Texans, followed by another favorable draw at Dallas.
Week 1
Moore looked like Carolina’s #1 WR in the opener. There were several plays dialed up to get the ball in his hands, including a jet sweep and a WR screen. The highlight of Moore’s day was a twisting, toe-tapper down the left sideline for 27 yards.

He finished with 6 catches on 8 targets for 80 yards. All 3 of those marks trailed only RB Christian McCaffrey (9 targets, 9 catches, 89 yards). Moore played 81% of Carolina’s offensive snaps and ran a route on 92% of pass plays.

The Panthers have a deep group of weapons, so Moore might be left out a few times this season. But he should be locked into fantasy lineups as a rock-solid WR2.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Moore’s usage changed in year 1 under HC Matt Rhule/OC Joe Brady. His average depth of target jumped from 11.7 to 13.7 yards; his deep target rate shot from 16.1% to 22.1%.
  • While his targets dipped by 17 (118) and his catches dropped by 21 (66), his YPC spiked from 13.5 to 18.1.
  • Moore’s 22.3% target share nearly matched his 2019 tally (22.5%). It was, however, a surprise to see new Panther Robby Anderson see a team-high 25.8% share.
  • Moore’s 2.23 yards per route run ranked 11th among 84 WRs with 50+ targets. The guy was efficient.
  • Moore was limited to low-end WR2 range because of his low TD count (4). His career TD rate is now a subpar 4.8%.
  • He missed 1 game on the COVD-19 list after missing 1 game in 2019 (concussion).
  • Moore played just 22.7% of his snaps out of the slot. Look for that number to rise after the panthers lost primary slot Curtis Samuel and added an outside threat in rookie Terrace Marshall in Round 2.
  • The Panthers swapped out Teddy Bridgewater for Sam Darnold. The move brings a downgrade in passing accuracy, though it’s worth noting that Moore caught just 58% of his 2020 targets. 9 drops certainly hurt.
  • Darnold will reunite with former Jet Robby Anderson. It’ll be worth tracking their practice reports throughout the summer, as the duo played 2 years together. Look for Anderson/Moore to remain in a co-WR1 role.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Only 24, Moore enters the fall following a 2nd straight 1,000-yard season.

2021 brings about some change. The Panthers will field a new starting QB (Sam Darnold) and a new WR in 3-WR sets (rookie Terrace Marshall). We’d be surprised if Marshall is an instant upgrade on the departed Curtis Samuel, so perhaps there’s a higher ceiling for Moore this fall.

Ultimately, though, the Maryland product retains a similar WR2 outlook. Currently, he’s fairly priced at a late Round 4 ADP.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Panthers WR D.J. Moore (hamstring) is active for today’s game vs. the Bucs. He was listed as questionable after getting in just a limited practice on Friday. Moore played through this injury last week, catching 6 of 11 targets for 48 yards.

View all D.J. Moore Shark Bites »

Panthers WR D.J. Moore (hamstring) is expected to play vs. the Bucs today, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Moore is listed as questionable after getting in just a limited practice on Friday. But he was able to play through this injury last week, catching 6 of 11 targets for 48 yards.

View all D.J. Moore Shark Bites »

Panthers WR D.J. Moore (hamstring) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Bucs. He only got in a limited practice on Friday, and HC Matt Rhule said earlier in the week that Moore would be a game-time decision. We’ll find out if he’s playing around 11:30 am ET on Sunday.

View all D.J. Moore Shark Bites »

Panthers WR D.J. Moore (hamstring) missed practice again on Thursday. He played through this injury vs. the Bills last week but might have aggravated it. We'll get another update on Moore tomorrow.

View all D.J. Moore Shark Bites »

Panthers WR D.J. Moore (hamstring) did not practice on Wednesday. He battled through this injury last weekend, posting a 6-48 line on a 91% snap rate in the loss to Buffalo. He should be available for this Sunday's game vs. the Bucs, but we'll keep an eye on him.

View all D.J. Moore Shark Bites »

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